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NAS100 trade ideas

NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis NASDAQ Potential Bearish Reversal Analysis 🧠🔻 The chart illustrates a potential bearish setup forming after a recent uptrend in NASDAQ. Let's break it down professionally: 🔍 Technical Overview: Ascending Trendline Break ✅ Price had been respecting a steady ascending trendline. A break below this trendline indicates a possible momentum shift from bullish to bearish. Bearish Pattern Formation 🔷 A bearish flag/pennant-like formation can be observed after the sharp rise. This consolidation followed by a breakdown could be a continuation pattern, hinting at further downside. Resistance Rejection 🔴 A red arrow marks a clear rejection from the resistance zone near 22,800 USD. Strong wick rejections and bearish candles suggest selling pressure at that level. Support Turned Resistance (SUPPOT 🛑) The previously broken support zone is now acting as resistance (note: "SUPPOT" appears misspelled—should be "SUPPORT"). Bearish Target Zone 🎯 The chart marks a "TAEGET" zone (should be "TARGET") near the 21,900 – 22,000 USD range. This aligns with prior consolidation and demand zones, making it a likely area for price to retrace. 📌 Key Zones: Resistance (Rejection Area): 22,800 USD Current Price: 22,739.7 USD Bearish Target Zone: 21,900 – 22,000 USD ⚠️ Conclusion: The market shows signs of a bearish reversal with a confirmed trendline break, resistance rejection, and bearish pattern formation. If the price fails to reclaim the 22,800 level, there’s a high probability of downward continuation toward the 22,000 target.
IG:NASDAQShort
by MrStellanSight
1
NASDAQ After the Fireworks: Bearish Setup LoadedAfter the classic 4th of July rally, I stepped in on the short side of Nasdaq, targeting 22,000 and 21,400 zones. The market structure shows exhaustion, and with the cloud retest failing to hold new highs, I positioned accordingly. Technical: • Price stalled at prior expansion highs with tight compression near 23,000. • Daily FibCloud offered resistance confirmation. • Bearish risk-reward skew forms after extended rally and thin retraces. • Volume divergence spotted. Fundamentals: Multiple overlapping uncertainties: • Trump confirmed tariffs will take effect on August 1, threatening a 10% surcharge on BRICS-aligned nations. • Treasury Secretary Bessent anticipates several trade deal announcements within 48h—but stresses quality over quantity. • Bank of America maintains its base case of 0 rate cuts in 2025, citing strong economic data and sticky inflation risks. The combination of tariff escalation, hawkish monetary expectations, and global trade friction creates a perfect backdrop for volatility and correction—especially in overextended tech indices like the Nasdaq. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
Nasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time HighNasdaq 100: Bearish Signals Near the All-Time High As the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) shows, the index reached a new all-time high last week. However, the price action suggests that the current pace of growth may not last. Last week’s strong labour market data triggered a significant bullish impulse. However, the upward momentum has been entirely retraced (as indicated by the arrows). The tax cut bill signed on Friday, 4 July, by Trump — which is expected to lead to a significant increase in US government debt — contributed to a modest bullish gap at today’s market open. Yet, as trading progressed during the Asian session, the index declined. This suggests that fundamental news, which could have served as bullish catalysts, are failing to generate sustainable upward movement — a bearish sign. Further grounds for doubt regarding the index's continued growth are provided by technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, specifically: → a bearish divergence on the RSI indicator; → price proximity to the upper boundary of the ascending channel, which is considered resistance. It is reasonable to suggest that the market may be overheated and that bullish momentum is waning. Consequently, a correction may be forming — potentially involving a test of the 22,100 level. This level acted as resistance from late 2024 until it was broken by strong bullish momentum in late June. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
USNAS10 Faces Key Test at 22,615 Ahead of NFP VolatilityUSNAS100 – Key Levels Ahead of Major News Today’s economic data releases (NFP, Unemployment Rate, etc.) are expected to drive volatility in the market. Traders should watch key levels closely. Technical Outlook (USNAS10): • Price is attempting to test 22,615. • If it holds above 22,615, the bullish momentum is likely to continue. • However, if price stabilizes below 22,615 on the 1H chart, further downside toward 22,420 is expected before a potential bullish reversal begins. A breakout above 22,740 could trigger further upside toward 23,000 Key Levels: • Resistance: 23,000 / 23,100 • Support: 22,420 / 22,280
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
US100 update market The chart you've shared is a 2-hour timeframe for the US 100 index (NASDAQ 100) with a clear bearish outlook marked by projected price levels and potential demand zones. Key Observations: 1. Current Price: 22,478.5 (near-term consolidation with recent bearish pressure) 2. Highlighted Zones: Resistance Zone: Around 22,750–22,800 — where price previously reversed. First Demand Zone: Around 22,100–22,200 — potential support. Second Demand Zone: Around 21,500–21,600 — deeper support level. Third Major Demand Zone: Near 21,200 — long-term support. 3. Bearish Structure: Price has broken below recent support levels. Black dotted line shows a projected move toward lower demand zones. Momentum appears to be weakening after a strong bullish rally from June 21–28. 4. Technical Bias: This is a bearish correction or possible trend reversal setup. The presence of strong demand zones suggests potential bounce zones if price reaches those levels. --- Summary: This chart implies a bearish move is underway on the US 100 with expected targets near 22,100, then 21,600, and potentially 21,200. Watch for bullish reaction or reversal signals at those zones. If price reclaims 22,800+, bearish outlook would be invalidated. Let me know if you want a trade setup or confirmation strategy based on this analysis.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Mr_Zakrii
Nasdaq Approaches 23,000 Mark for the First TimeOver the past five trading sessions, the U.S. Nasdaq index has posted a gain of more than 1.5%, supported by a recent rise in market confidence that has pushed the equity index to new all-time highs. The NFP employment data released yesterday surprised markets with 147,000 new jobs, compared to the 111,000 expected, reflecting a recovery in the labor market that could ultimately support domestic consumption in the U.S.. This has helped maintain investor confidence in equities, supporting a bullish bias in the Nasdaq in recent sessions. Sustained Uptrend Since the early days of April, the Nasdaq has maintained a solid upward trend, with no relevant signs of selling pressure that would threaten the current bullish structure. As a result, the long-term bias remains clearly bullish within the broader market outlook. However, it's worth noting that a growing sense of indecision has emerged in recent sessions, reflected in the candlestick patterns, which could open the door to short-term bearish corrections. Technical Indicators MACD: The MACD histogram continues to hover around the neutral zero line, indicating a balance in moving average strength during recent sessions. If this pattern continues, it may result in a more defined period of price neutrality in the short term. RSI: The presence of consistent RSI highs, alongside higher price highs in the Nasdaq, has led to the formation of a bearish divergence. This suggests that market equilibrium has been affected by recent bullish momentum, and could lead to price pullbacks in the upcoming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: 23,000 – Psychological barrier: A tentative resistance level in the short term due to the lack of clear technical references. A breakout above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias and signal a more sustained upward trend. 21,800 – Nearby support: An area aligned with a recent neutral technical zone, which may act as relevant support in the event of a short-term pullback. 21,000 – Key support: A level that coincides with the 50-period simple moving average. A break below this level could put the current bullish structure at risk and pave the way for a more significant downward move. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
Nasdaq Analysis 07-Jul-25In this video we are discussing the main fundamental reason behind Nasdaq bullish momentum. In addition to area if interest with possible scenarios. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EASYMARKETS:NDQUSD
by easyMarkets
Nas100With speculation about no rate cuts we can expect to see Nas100 plumet with Fed Powells upcoming speech. If we look at the technical side we can see that Nas has been somewhat consolidating over the past 2 days creating a fair amount of Sell side liquidity. We can expect Powell to speak about rat cuts today in his upcoming speech and we will use this to our advantage waiting for early buyers to push up the market triggering our setup. We can look for a plus minus 100 pip move before Nas turns around, we will however closely monitor the movement of Nas now until the speech so that we can execute a trade with the least amount of risk. Remember to like and subscribe for more A+ setups.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by JamaicanLNS
NSDQ100 lower after ADP Employment shrank to 33K in JuneTrump Trade Tensions: Donald Trump reaffirmed his July 9 deadline for higher tariffs, intensifying criticism of Japan, particularly over auto sector issues. While Japan insists talks are in good faith, market fears of a breakdown are rising. US Tax Policy in Focus: Trump’s “Big Beautiful” tax and spending bill faces potential resistance in the House despite narrowly passing the Senate. The proposal’s scale and political friction are drawing investor attention. Apple Supply Chain Worry: Foxconn has pulled hundreds of Chinese staff from its Indian iPhone factories, sparking fresh concerns about Apple’s supply chain and Wall Street’s potentially overheated tech optimism. Paramount Settlement: Paramount resolved a lawsuit with Trump over alleged election interference via CBS’s coverage. Meanwhile, the company awaits FCC approval for its Skydance merger. Auto Sector Weakness: Stellantis reported a 10% drop in U.S. Q2 deliveries despite some brand gains. Tesla is expected to post a 12% annual decline in vehicle deliveries, reinforcing signs of cooling demand in the sector. Conclusion: Markets remain cautious but resilient amid political tensions, supply chain disruptions, and weaker auto sales. Attention is now turning to upcoming trade deadlines, policy decisions, and Q2 corporate results. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 22710 Resistance Level 2: 22820 Resistance Level 3: 22930 Support Level 1: 22190 Support Level 2: 22040 Support Level 3: 21900 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Bollinger Bands: How to Stop Being a Slave to the Markets.Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis indicator widely used in trading to assess the volatility of a financial asset and anticipate price movements. Created in the 1980s by John Bollinger, they consist of three lines superimposed on the price chart: The middle band: a simple moving average, generally calculated over 20 periods. The upper band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are added. The lower band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are subtracted. These bands form a dynamic channel around the price, which widens during periods of high volatility and narrows when the market is calm. When a price touches or exceeds a band, it can signal an overbought or oversold situation, or a potential trend reversal or continuation, depending on the market context. What are Bollinger Bands used for? Measuring volatility: The wider the bands, the higher the volatility. Identify dynamic support and resistance zones. Detect market excesses: A price touching the upper or lower band may indicate a temporary excess. Anticipate reversals or consolidations: A tightening of the bands often heralds an upcoming burst of volatility. Why is the 2-hour time frame so widely used and relevant? The 2-hour (H2) time frame (TU) is particularly popular with many traders for several reasons: Perfect balance between noise and relevance: The H2 offers a compromise between very short time frames (often too noisy, generating many false signals) and long time frames (slower to react). This allows you to capture significant movements without being overwhelmed by minor fluctuations. Suitable for swing trading and intraday trading: This TU allows you to hold a position for several hours or days, while maintaining good responsiveness to take advantage of intermediate trends. Clearer reading of chart patterns: Technical patterns (triangles, double tops, Wolfe waves, etc.) are often clearer and more reliable on H2 than on shorter time frames, making decision-making easier. Less stress, better time management: On H2, there's no need to constantly monitor screens. Monitoring every two hours is sufficient, which is ideal for active traders who don't want to be slaves to the market. Statistical relevance: Numerous backtests show that technical signals (such as those from Bollinger Bands) are more robust and less prone to false signals on this intermediate time frame. In summary, the 2-hour time frame is often considered "amazing" because it combines the precision of intraday trading with the reliability of swing trading, thus providing superior signals for most technical strategies, particularly those using Bollinger Bands. To summarize Bollinger Bands measure volatility and help identify overbought/oversold areas or potential reversals. The 2-hour timeframe is highly valued because it filters out market noise while remaining sufficiently responsive, making it particularly useful for technical analysis and trading decision-making.
CAPITALCOM:US100Education
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
NASDAQ 100 TRADING PLAN ⸻ 🧠 US100 Multi-Timeframe Playbook (W1 → D1 → H4 → M30 → M5) ⸻ 🔹 Higher Timeframe Context WEEKLY (Strong Uptrend): • Key Levels:  – ATH supply: 22,800–23,000  – Support shelf (prior resistance): 22,100–22,200  – 50-SMA: 20,400  – 200-SMA: 16,100 • Summary: Bullish structure is intact as long as price holds above 22,100–22,200 and the long-term trendline. DAILY (Bullish but stretched): • Key Levels:  – Upper Bollinger Band: 23,025  – Mid-band & 20-SMA: 22,430  – 50-SMA: 21,985 • Summary: RSI at 66 and MACD > 0 but flattening. This suggests bullish momentum may be cooling — odds of a pause or pullback rising. 4-HOUR (Wedge – Late-Trend Exhaustion Risk): • Key Levels:  – Rising wedge: upper rail ≈ 23,200, lower ≈ 22,450  – 8-EMA: 22,655 | 21-EMA: 22,425  – Anchored VWAP (from June low): 22,350 • Summary: Ribbon still bullish, but volume and MACD momentum are plateauing. A break below 22,450/VWAP confirms a corrective leg. 30-MINUTE (Neutral to Weak): • Key Levels:  – Descending micro-trendline: 22,725  – Rising support: 22,690  – Session range: High = 22,845 | Low = 22,690 • Summary: Price is coiled near the apex. EMAs curling downward. Market decision point imminent. 5-MINUTE (Immediate Bear Bias): • Key Levels:  – Live VWAP: 22,752  – 9-EMA sloping down  – Stochastic: mid-range • Summary: Price remains below VWAP and 9-EMA. Short-term sellers in control unless VWAP is reclaimed. ⸻ 📈 Trade Setups 1. Swing Long – Buy the Dip • Let price wash through 22,450–22,350 (H4 wedge floor + VWAP zone) • Enter if:  – 30m bullish engulfing or hammer closes back above 22,450  – AND 5m VWAP is reclaimed • Initial Stop: Below liquidity sweep or 22,300 – whichever is lower – minus 0.25 × ATR(14, H4) ≈ 30 pts → around 22,270 • Targets:  – T1: 22,845  – T2: 23,200  – Leave runner for blue-sky continuation • Comment: With weekly trend. Wait for deep retracement. Great RR ≈ 1:3+ ⸻ 2. Intraday Short – Mean Reversion • Trigger Zone: 22,725–22,760 (broken trendline + 5m VWAP) • Enter if:  – 5m rejection wick or bearish engulfing forms on avg+ volume • Stop: Above 22,800 + buffer (≈ 22,820) • Targets:  – T1: 22,600  – T2: 22,450  – Optional T3: 22,350 (VWAP) • Comment: Counter-trend, so treat as scalp. Tight stops. Demand at least 1:2 RR. ⸻ 3. Breakout Long – Trend Continuation • Entry Criteria:  – 30m close above 22,845 with 150%+ average volume  – 5m bull flag holds above breakout level • Stop:  – First 30m candle close back inside the range  – Or 22,770 (flag base) — whichever happens first • Targets:  – T1: 23,025 (Daily BB)  – T2: 23,300 (measured move) • Comment: Only take if strong volume confirms new participation. Avoid during Asia or illiquid hours. ⸻ ⚙️ Execution & Risk Guidelines • Risk per trade: ≤ 1% account (limit counter-trend trades to 0.5%) • Sizing formula:  Contracts = Account Risk / (Stop pts × $ per pt) • ATR reference:  – ATR(14, H4) ≈ 120 pts  – ATR(14, 30m) ≈ 80 pts • Move stop to break-even once price moves 0.75 × stop distance in your favor • Never run trades #2 and #3 at the same time → directional conflict • Watch out for macro data (e.g., NFP, CPI) — can override intraday structure ⸻ ⏱ What to Watch (In Sequence) 1. Overnight – Does price stay pinned below the 30m 21-EMA, or start to float above it? 2. London Open – First test of the 22,725–22,760 zone: fade or reclaim? 3. NY Open – Volume surge confirms either breakout (#3) or fade setup (#2) 4. End of Day – A close below 22,450 on volume = deeper pullback risk toward 22,000 next week ⸻ 🔍 Final Thoughts The trend is still your friend — but the daily and H4 chart are stretched. Let the trade come to you: • Buy the flush only if we dip into confluence support and reclaim key levels (#1) • Buy the breakout only if high volume confirms continuation (#3) • Everything in-between is a scalp fade (#2) — execute cleanly, with defined risk, and respect trend structure. This is for educational purposes. Fit these into your system and risk tolerance. ⸻
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis1
Pullback before next leg up NASDAQ’s looking weak short term. We’ve seen multiple rejections from the highs, an M pattern forming on the daily, and RSI divergence creeping in on the daily — momentum is clearly fading. I already took profit around 21980. And a few small swings between the range since 3rd of June. The rally off the tariff drop was sharp, but it feels mechanical. Bulls look tired here. You can see price is stalling — pushing into the same highs but getting nowhere. Classic signs of distribution. That said, this isn’t the start of a full-blown bear market. The long-term trend remains bullish. AI investment is still piling into the U.S., tech’s still leading globally, and structurally we haven’t broken down yet. Some weakness is starting to show though. But short term, I think we see a pullback. The Fed’s still sitting on the fence with rate cuts, which is creating uncertainty. Add that to the current geopolitical tensions, and there’s enough on the table to justify a temporary risk-off move. If price breaks and closes above 21,860, I’ll reassess and potentially shift back to a bullish bias. Until then, I’m leaning short and letting price action do the talking. My key downside levels: TP1: 21,483 — scale out and protect. TP2: 21,322 — potential bounce from this area. TP3: 21,145 — structure starts to weaken. TP4: 20,894 — bears starting to control and a deeper flush, I’ll reassess bias at this level. SL @ 21850 on my second entry short Short term: pullback likely. Big picture: still bullish — but bulls need to reset before any next leg up.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by In-de-trend
1
Technical Analysis – NAS100 (15min)Chart Overview Date: July 7, 2025 Market: NAS100 (US Tech 100 Index) Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart Context: Clean with Price Action Focus 🧠 Market Structure Overall uptrend structure since June 21st – higher highs and higher lows. Key resistance zone: 22,900 – price was rejected here multiple times. Support area: 22,500 – formed after bullish impulsive move and retest. 🎯 Entry Scenario Currently in a sideways consolidation between 22,700 – 22,900. A break above 22,900 with strong volume can lead to a bullish continuation. Alternatively, a rejection near 22,900 with bearish engulfing candle may offer a short scalp back toward 22,700. 📈 Bias & Confirmation Trend Bias: Bullish Wait for: Breakout and close above resistance for long. Rejection and bearish signal at resistance for short. 📌 Plan Type Trigger SL TP Target 1 TP Target 2 Long Break & close >22,900 <22,800 23,050 23,150 Short Rejection @22,900 >22,950 22,720 22,600 "📊 Clean and structured technical analysis on NAS100 – Currently consolidating after a strong uptrend. Watching key levels around 22,900 for breakout or rejection scenario. Trade safe. 📈 #ALIPFX #TechnicalAnalysis #NAS100"
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ALIP_FX