Trade Setup Description (Buy Side) – US100 (Nasdaq 100) 5-MinuteI am taking a buy-side trade on US100 based on the following confluences:
Support & Trendline Respect:
Price respected a horizontal support level near 23,079.2 and is currently bouncing from a rising trendline, showing potential for a bullish move.
Bullish Candlestick Reaction:
After testing the trendline, bullish candles formed, indicating buying interest at this zone.
EMA 50 Reclaim Potential:
Price is attempting to reclaim the 50 EMA (currently at 23,141.3). A successful break and hold above it would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI Confirmation:
RSI is currently around 47 and curving upwards, indicating a potential reversal from oversold/neutral territory. The RSI yellow moving average is also turning up.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup has a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with the stop loss placed just below the trendline and recent wick low, and the target placed above the recent high around 23,264.5.
NAS100 trade ideas
US consumer sentiment improved in Jun could boost US indices The US July Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 61.8 from 60.7, while the 12-month inflation expectation decreased to 3.6% from 4% in the previous month. This suggests an easing of inflation concerns and improved consumption optimism.
This data, coupled with recent stronger Retail Sales figures, continues to support expectations for robust US economic growth amidst trade tariff uncertainties. Inflation is anticipated to have a limited short-term impact. Concurrently, the approval for AMD and Nvidia (NVDA) to export AI chips to China further bolsters the US tech sector.
The USTEC is currently in an upward trend, having reached a new high before a slight retreat. It is trading above both the EMA21 and EMA78, indicating higher highs and higher lows, suggesting the rally could persist.
Should the USTEC continue its surge, the index may test the resistance level at 23,200. Conversely, a failure to maintain above the trendline could trigger a decline towards the next support at 22,600.
By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist from Exness
NASDAQ100 Hits Target at 23170 – Watch for Breakout or PullbackNASDAQ100 Tests ATH – Key Decision Zone at 23170
New ATH Achieved:
NASDAQ100 recorded a new All-Time High (ATH), hitting our target at 23170 precisely as projected.
Currently, price is consolidating below 23170. Sustained rejection at this level could trigger a short-term bearish pullback toward 23010. A deeper correction may extend to 22900 or even 22815.
However, a clean breakout above 23170 would confirm bullish continuation, with the next target at 23350.
Key Levels
• Pivot: 23170
• Resistance: 23250 / 23350
• Support: 23010 / 22900 / 22815
Outlook:
• Bullish above 23170
• Bearish below 23170 (short-term pullback zone)
Nas Long to clear HH liquidity before correctionHTF Context – Monthly / Weekly / Daily
• Big Beautiful Bill (Trump Tax + Spending Bill)
o Passed July 4th, acting as a stimulus.
o Markets historically rally on fiscal stimulus expectations (tax cuts + spending packages).
o This fuels bullish sentiment short-term, but long-term raises debt, inflation risk, and rate hike concerns.
• Seasonality
o July is typically strong for equities, especially tech, with mid-July often marking local tops before August pullbacks.
• Monthly structure
o Strong bullish monthly candles.
o Next major fib retracements if rejected: 38.2% ~20,398, 50% ~19,625, 61.8% ~18,852.
• Weekly / Daily structure
o HH-HL sequence continues.
o Price in premium zone, approaching major supply block 23,200–23,300.
o Daily BOS not broken downwards yet.
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Key Levels
• Major supply / liquidity magnet: 23,200–23,300 (sell-side OB in futures, uncollected liquidity above HH)
• Recent swing high: 22,900
• Daily pivot: 22,470
• Intraday demand zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H wedge base + VWAP)
• Weekly support shelf: 22,100–22,200 (if lost, major trend shift bearish)
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My View – Most Likely Path
1. Price is likely to sweep the liquidity above recent highs into the 23,200–23,300 supply zone.
o Why? Market rarely leaves liquidity uncollected. This move traps breakout buyers and hits stops above HHs.
o Big Beautiful Bill fuels the final squeeze higher as algorithms price in fiscal stimulus.
2. After liquidity sweep above 23,200–23,300:
o Expect strong rejection from that zone.
o Institutions offload positions into trapped retail longs.
o Price pulls back towards daily and weekly support zones for reaccumulation.
3. Alternate scenario (less likely)
o Immediate sell-off from current levels without sweeping HH.
o Weak move; would still expect a revisit higher later to clear liquidity before a proper downtrend.
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Trade Setups – Intraday & Swing
Intraday Long (Most Likely)
• Bias: Bullish continuation
• Entry Zone: 22,450–22,350 (4H demand + VWAP)
• Trigger: 5m/15m BOS up
• Stop: Below 22,300.
• Targets: First at 22,615, next at 22,845, final at 23,200–23,300.
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Intraday Short (Countertrend / Liquidity Sweep Reversal)
• Bias: Short from supply after liquidity grab
• Entry Zone: 23,200–23,300
• Trigger: Sweep of HH with rejection wick or bearish engulfing candle
• Stop: Above 23,350 (structure invalidation).
• Targets: First at 22,845, then 22,600, extend to 22,450 if momentum accelerates.
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Swing Long (Continuation)
• Bias: Bullish trend intact
• Entry: After retest of daily pivot (22,470) or 4H demand (22,350–22,450) with 4H CHoCH + BOS up.
• Stop: Below 22,200 (weekly support break invalidates).
• Targets: 22,845 then 23,200–23,300. Blue sky if above.
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Swing Short (Only if structure breaks)
• Trigger: Daily close below 22,200
• Bias: Bearish trend shift
• Targets: 21,800 first, then 21,000 major fib cluster and weekly MA.
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Summary – My Final Opinion
Price is in a strong uptrend fuelled by fiscal stimulus, rate cuts and tarrif hopes . I think it will sweep the liquidity above 23,200–23,300 before any deeper pullback or trend reversal. Any rejection from that supply zone will be the cue to short for a structural retracement. Until then, I’ll keep buying dips aligned with the HTF bullish structure.
NAS100 - Bullish Trend Continuation Setup• Pair: NAS100 (Nasdaq)
• Bias: Bullish
• HTF Overview (4H):
• Strong bullish structure and momentum from last week.
• Price consistently printing higher highs with no signs of reversal.
• MTF Refinement (30M):
• Waiting for a clean sweep of SSL (sell-side liquidity).
• Looking for price to dip into 30M OB for continuation opportunity.
• Entry Zone:
• Watch 30M OB — once price sweeps liquidity and confirms, execute long.
• Targets:
• Structure highs / previous weekly highs.
• Mindset Note:
• Simple execution plan — ride the trend, trust the structure.
• Wait for confirmation before switching from analyst to trader mode.
Bless Trading!
NAS100 - Pattern & SMA PerspectiveDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Not much new to report...
Exhaustion rising wedge continuation
1) Short corrections, new demands keep forming.
2) Can price break out to ignite an even steeper climb?
3) Or will price keep on respecting the wedge above 22900?
4) Still no catalyst to ignite a free fall...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
NAS100Short-Term Outlook for NAS100 (as of mid-July 2025):
Recent Trend:
• The NAS100 has been in a strong bullish trend throughout much of 2025, driven by:
• Big tech earnings growth (e.g., Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta).
• AI and chip sector boom.
• Fed’s pause (or even rate cuts) in interest rates.
NQ, Short setupJust before market Open price dropped lower, I expect price to travel back up into the 15 m Gap and then sell off. This is the only setup I am interested in today.
The 15m level will be a resistance level for price. This level is derived from the last reversal. Since NQ was lagging, i expect price to use his level to squeeze the shorts out and start a new down trend.
If this does not happen and the highs get taken out, I will be flat today
Goodluck, Good trading.
F
Will USTEC Continue to Climb Amid Key Catalysts Ahead?Fundamental approach:
- USTEC climbed to fresh record highs this week, supported by positive investor sentiment amid consolidation ahead of key catalysts.
- Sentiment was buoyed by expectations of continued AI and semiconductor strength, with Nvidia (NVDA) and Amazon (AMZN) registering gains, while Tesla (TSLA) rebounded on optimism despite recent volatility. However, persistent tariff threats and uncertainty around US trade policy generated caution, with markets jittery as investors eyed incoming earnings reports and inflation data releases for further direction. The term structure in tech remains constructive, with buyers stepping in on minor pullbacks, showing little sign of trend exhaustion.
- USTEC may face heightened volatility as the next round of corporate results and updates on US tariffs could shift sentiment. Upcoming earnings from major tech firms and macroeconomic releases, including key inflation and consumer confidence data, could set the tone for the index's next move.
Technical approach:
- USTEC closed above the range of 22650-22900, and also above both EMAs, indicating a strong upward momentum.
- If USTEC maintains above 22900, it may continue to rise to 78.6% Fibonacci Extension at around 23870.
- On the contrary, closing below 22900 may push the price to retest the previous support at 22650.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
NASDAQ will fall to 21500 until August 1Nearly all Indicators, Geopolitics, uncertainties, Trade Tariffs, Powell vs Trump- tell us to sell, marking a bearish perception on Stock Market. Although your right analysis to sell is still bougt by super fast algorithms, there are facts that neither investors nor programms can ignore, and they are about to come. If housing market stambles tomorrow, which, probably, will be the fact, it will be the first step towards this deep dive. Wish us all profitable trading. Remember, it is not about being right or wrong, it is about making money, so even if you are wrong-dont compete with your own money against you, stay focused falks. See ya.
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on Positions1) April Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
2) Current Market State: No More Fear, but Watching
Since then, the market has stabilized.
The fear has disappeared, but we are still in a wait-and-see mode as traders assess the next move.
Momentum is holding, but participation remains cautious.
3) Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NAS100 (CASH100) SHORT - Double Top H8Risk/reward = 4.6
Entry price = 23 063
Stop loss price = 23 190
Take profit level 1 (50%) = 22 635
Take profit level 2 (50%) = 22 303
Still waiting for confirmation on some variables.
For example, need H8 candle to close in range and volume to validate, amongst other variables.
USNAS100 | Consolidation 23010 - 22900, Bearish or Not Yet...USNAS100: Cautious Consolidation as Powell Uncertainty Lingers
Following political noise around Fed Chair Powell — with Trump admitting he floated the idea of replacing him — tech markets have entered a cautious consolidation. While no immediate action was taken, the underlying uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment, especially in rate-sensitive sectors like tech.
Technically: Consolidation Before the Break
The price is currently consolidating between 22900 and 23010.
A confirmed 1H close below 22900 would signal the start of a bearish trend, targeting 22700 and 22615.
Conversely, a close above 23010 would open the path toward a new all-time high (ATH) at 23170.
Key Levels:
Support: 22700, 22615
Resistance: 23010, 23170
NASDAQ 100: AI Momentum and Resilient Earnings Drive New HighsThe NASDAQ 100 continues its strong uptrend 📈, recently breaking to new highs after a period of consolidation. The rally is broad-based but remains led by heavyweight tech names and AI-related stocks 🤖.
Key Fundamental Drivers:
AI & Tech Growth 🤖💡: The biggest catalyst is the ongoing boom in artificial intelligence and digital transformation. Companies in the index, especially the “Magnificent Seven” (like NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple), are seeing robust earnings growth and strong investor demand for AI exposure. Global IT spending is projected to grow by over 9% in 2025, with AI spending up nearly 30% year-on-year.
Earnings Resilience 💪💰: Despite high interest rates and inflation, tech companies have adapted well, maintaining strong margins and growth. The sector is expected to remain a top performer through 2025.
Fed Policy & Rate Expectations 🏦🔮: Markets are increasingly pricing in a pause or even cuts in US interest rates later in 2025, which is bullish for growth stocks and tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ 100.
Geopolitical & Macro Factors:
Reduced Uncertainty 🌏🕊️: The market has absorbed major geopolitical shocks (such as the Israel-Iran conflict and US-China trade tensions), and the resolution or de-escalation of these risks has reduced uncertainty, supporting risk assets.
US Election & Policy 🇺🇸🗳️: The outcome of the US election and expectations for stable or pro-business policies have also contributed to positive sentiment.
Global Supply Chains & Resilience 🌐🔗: While some risks remain (e.g., cyber threats, regulatory changes, and supply chain disruptions), the tech sector’s global reach and adaptability have helped it weather these challenges.
Why is it rallying now?
AI optimism and strong tech earnings are the main drivers 🤖💹.
Expectations of easier Fed policy and a resilient US economy are fueling risk appetite 🏦📈.
Geopolitical risks have eased or are being priced in, allowing investors to focus on growth 🌍🕊️.
Summary:
The NASDAQ 100’s rally is powered by AI-driven tech growth 🤖, resilient earnings 💪, and easing macro/geopolitical risks 🌏. The index remains a global leader as investors bet on the next wave of technology and digital innovation 🚀.
NAS100 - EXPECTING THE DUMPTeam, we got short well today with AUS200 - both target hit
we have set up the NAS entry , this is the entry price 23268 - 23200
STOP LOSS at 23100
Once it break above 23320 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 23320-60 - take 50%-70& partial
Target 2 at 23380-23400
LETS GO