NSDQ100 another bullish flag developing ?Donald Trump has agreed a new trade deal with Japan, setting 15% tariffs on US imports like cars and launching a $550 billion fund to boost investment in the US. This is lower than his earlier 25% tariff threat. Other allies saw mixed outcomes—the Philippines got a small tariff cut, while Canada’s talks stalled. Goldman Sachs now expects the US baseline tariff rate to rise to 15%.
Trump also suggested that Fed Chair Jerome Powell may not stay in his role much longer, and he’s considering removing capital gains tax on home sales, which could affect the housing market.
Separately, a Chinese-linked cyberattack breached the US nuclear weapons agency, though no classified data was stolen. Meanwhile, SpaceX’s investor documents flagged Elon Musk’s political activity as a potential risk as the company targets a $400 billion valuation.
Conclusion for Nasdaq 100:
The Nasdaq 100 faces short-term uncertainty due to rising trade tariffs, Fed leadership questions, and geopolitical risks. While some US-focused investments could benefit, traders should stay cautious as policy and global tensions evolve.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23265
Resistance Level 2: 23670
Resistance Level 3: 23480
Support Level 1: 22953
Support Level 2: 22840
Support Level 3: 22740
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NAS100 trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?The Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 22,818.27 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 22,590.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 23,274.42 which is a swing-high resistance.
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SELL USTEC 22.7.2025Confluence trade order: SELL at M15
Type of entry: Limit order
Condition:
- If the price break down THE LAST TOP confirming the down trend into H1.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (23,146)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 23,184
- SL at 23,212
- TP1: 23,146
- TP2: 23,080
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
US 100 (NDQ) : Stay Heavy on PositionsApril Fear & Buy Signals
In early April, the Nasdaq 100 experienced a sharp sell-off, triggering extreme fear sentiment across the market.
At that point, scale-in buy signals appeared—classic "buy the fear" conditions.
Markets swing between greed and fear—unless the whole country collapses. Right now, greed is taking the lead, but the real blow-off top volatility hasn’t even started yet.
Stay Heavy on Positions
Despite short-term uncertainty, I’m maintaining an overweight position on the Nasdaq 100.
As long as we don’t see a major breakdown, the bias remains bullish.
NAS100 - Bullish Setup BuildingPair: NASDAQ (NAS100)
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview: 1H structure holding bullish after recent break of internal highs. Price pulling back toward a key demand zone.
LTF Confirmation: Waiting for price to mitigate the 1H Order Block, then drop to lower timeframes (15M → 5M) for confirmation entries.
Entry Zone: Watching for bullish reaction within OB, ideally paired with inducement or liquidity sweep before shift.
Targets: Short-term target is the next 1H high — extended targets align with overall bullish momentum continuation.
Mindset Note: Patience over prediction. Let price tap into the zone and confirm — don’t chase, just position smart.
Bless Trading!
NAS100 - Stock Market Awaits Tariffs!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 1-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. The target for this move will be the channel ceiling, but if it corrects towards the indicated support area, it is possible to buy Nasdaq with better reward to risk.
In a week once again clouded by trade tariff threats, the stock market reacted cautiously at times. However, what truly captured investors’ attention was growing concern over potential political interference in Federal Reserve policymaking—a development that influenced market sentiment and shifted the focus away from geopolitical tensions.
Despite political headwinds, U.S. economic data continued to show signs of resilience. Investors this week were more focused on corporate earnings and inflation data than on trade war rhetoric or speculation about Jerome Powell’s possible dismissal. While betting markets such as Polymarket raised the odds of Powell being removed to 40%, legally, the president cannot dismiss the Fed Chair without a valid cause—and allegations like “lying to Congress” lack legal standing.
Still, the greater danger lies not in Powell’s dismissal itself but in the potential erosion of the Federal Reserve’s independence—something that could unsettle investors in stocks, bonds, and currencies alike. Analysts expect Trump may soon appoint an ally as an informal or “shadow” Fed Chair, a move that would elevate political risk in financial markets.
Nevertheless, markets are continuing to operate along familiar lines: equities focus on corporate profits, the bond market on inflation and growth, and the currency market on relative returns. For now, the takeaway is clear: Trump is winning—but perhaps only temporarily.
Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer at BlackRock, noted that despite trade tensions and inflation concerns, tariffs have had limited impact so far. Following the June CPI report, he pointed out that inflation ticked up slightly—core CPI rose by 0.23% monthly and 2.93% annually, while headline inflation was up 0.29% monthly and 2.67% annually—but the broader trend still reflects easing price pressures.
Rieder attributed this to companies acting preemptively, managing inventory and adjusting supply chains to avoid passing on costs to consumers. He also cited easing wage pressures and a weakening labor market as factors contributing to the decline in inflation.
As such, Rieder believes the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates in September, though a cut in July is less likely, as the central bank would prefer to assess the impact of tariffs first.
According to the Wall Street Journal, Treasury Secretary Scott Besant privately urged Trump not to remove Jerome Powell. Besant warned that such an action could cause unnecessary turbulence in financial markets and the broader economy, and would also face legal and political hurdles. He emphasized that the Fed is already signaling potential rate cuts later this year, and confronting Powell now would be unwarranted.
A source noted that Besant reminded Trump the economy is performing well, and markets have responded positively to administration policies—another reason to avoid drastic moves.
On another front, rising long-term bond yields have become a concern for Besant, as they increase the government’s borrowing costs.He has been working to keep yields in check and believes firing Powell could further escalate them—hence his conversation with Trump aimed at dissuasion.
The coming week will begin with market attention on the European Central Bank’s rate decision, which could set the tone for Eurozone monetary policy in the second half of the year. Meanwhile, a series of key U.S. economic data will be released, providing a clearer view of conditions in employment, production, and housing.
On Tuesday, Jerome Powell will deliver an opening speech at an official event in Washington. While he is unlikely to directly address Trump’s recent verbal attacks, investors will be listening closely for any subtle references to Fed independence or interest rate direction.
On Wednesday, the June existing home sales report will be released, which could indicate whether housing demand remains steady or is weakening.
Thursday will be a packed day on the economic calendar. The ECB’s rate decision will be announced—an event under heavy scrutiny amid Eurozone stagnation. In the U.S., preliminary PMI data from S&P, weekly jobless claims, and new home sales will also be published.
Finally, the week will wrap up on Friday with the release of U.S. durable goods orders—an important gauge of capital investment in the manufacturing sector.
Nas100• Daily: Price is nearing the upper boundary of a rising wedge pattern — showing signs of overextension.
• 4H: Strong bullish structure with clean breaks and retests of minor consolidation ranges.
• 1H: Small range developing after recent high. A deeper pullback to 22,960–22,880 would offer a cleaner entry for continuation.
⚠️ Watch For:
• Wedge resistance on the daily chart.
• Bullish continuation only valid above 23,040.
• If we break below the 4H support zone (around 22,880), short-term pullbacks are likely.
7/21/25 ((NAS100)) analysisPrice is definitely going up
may come down to quickly tap the daily FVG first
perhaps in the beginning of the week
---Monday/Tuesday style but not married to that Idea
could also come back to hit that volume weekly line thing
I just decided to implement lol who knows
anyways I plan to be in BUYS all week long BABYYY
Weekly Close High to HOLD?As expected Nas100 will end in a weekly high after hitting a nice fresh record due to TSMI stock among other things like Trump walking back on firing Jermone Powell.
Technicals tell me that this is extremely overbought and I wonder if this will continue I cannot believe this rally. AS LONG as it holds the 23100 to 23150 range then it could break out again and set another high but I would be cautiously optimistic. Somebody's got to take the profit!
NAS100 - Follow Progress 3Dear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Remember:
"NASDAQ IS IN EXTREME GREED/OVERBOUGHT TERRITORY"
1) NASDAQ formed new key support/demand levels post CPI + PPI
2) Price needs to stabilize above 23046 next.
3) As long as both key support levels hold, the potential for more
bull runs remains high.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.