UK100 trade ideas
Market Uncertainty Deepens in Europe as Stocks Extend Losses
Stocks extended losses for a third day in Europe on Thursday amid rising uncertainty ahead of key macro data.
Risk appetite continued to fall after the downgrade of the US credit rating combined with the latest batch of mixed earnings reports sparked economic worries. Investors have seized the opportunity to limit their exposure to stocks while waiting for more bullish market drivers ahead of key macro data from the US and Europe.
While all eyes are likely to be on tomorrow's highly awaited US NFP, the focus of investors today is likely to be on the Bank of England's rate decision. While a 25 basis point rate increase is widely expected, there is still some speculation about the possibility of a more hawkish stance in the form of a 50 basis point rate hike, which has weighed on market sentiment.
Traders will closely scrutinise the speech of BoE Governor Bailey to glean insights into the outlook for interest rates and bond sales for the rest of 2023. While there is already speculation about a continuing hawkish stance due to stubbornly high UK inflation, investors remain cautious and await further clarity from the central bank.
The FTSE-100 index is currently testing its 50% Fibonacci retracement at 7,474.0pts, in a sharp bearish price action since the appetite for stocks fell everywhere, and we expect market volatility to increase further with today's and tomorrow's macro announcements.
Pierre Veyretโ Technical analyst, ActivTrades
UK stock market weaker after the FITCH downgrade of the USSentiment seems to have taken a hit due to the recent FITCH downgrade of the US. We took a look at the UK stock market (we previously indicated a potential downward correction for the S&P earlier in the week)
What's concerning is the attempt to surpass the 61.8% retracement level, which stood at 7723 based on this year's movement. Unfortunately, it has experienced a clear setback from here. Currently, we find ourselves at the 55-week moving average, which sits at 7521. Should we not find support here, it opens the possibility of testing the 3-year support line at 7275.
FTSE EyesThis is a deduction drawing using the previous highs and lows to create something that might make sense. Potential support and resistance shapes from which the price might bounce again.
A machine learning instrument (AI) would probably detect these math equations and have an eye for the potential future bounces. Traders are usually busy trying to identify flags, channels, and other simple patterns. There might be some intelligence behind the noise that we perceive on the charts. There might be more math than randomness. Doesn't necessarily matter. This is just an experiment.
FTSE Elliott Wave Analysis Higher Timeframe (29/07/2023)The pullback in the higher timeframe is ongoing. We had 5 waves up as an impulse in the weekly and daily. Investors should wait for the completion of the pullback to buy. Traders should analyze the lower timeframe. There might be a good short opportunity next week.
FTSE Ahead of a major bullish break-out.The FTSE 100 Index (UK100) is consolidating above the Support of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) with the 1D RSI at 66.250. This is the symmetrical level is was trading at during the November 04 - 09 2022 consolidation. Both near the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
That fractal eventually broke upwards, hit the Lower Highs trend-line (the dominant Resistance) and extended to Fib 2.0 even marginally surpassing the Resistance of the last Lower High.
We are going long on that buy signal and target the 7900 (Fib 2.0).
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UK 100Buy setup on UK100 following a break of a strong daily resistance leading to the continuation of the larger buy trend.