US2000 trade ideas
Bullish thesis on small capsEntry here would be very low risk. We have:
- bullish continuation pattern (ascending triangle)
- triple hidden bullish divergence on MACD on 4h chart
- price sits right at a support level/trendline that held multiple times
- RSI support on 4h chart
Stop loss here could be very tight, just below the support level/trendline that we are hugging right now. It feels like recent price action was affected by Russell rebalancing and it might be a case of people selling the news but I wouldn't panic just yet. Zooming out the overall trend is still very bullish adding to the argument.
Dangerous Situation in small caps!Hourly Chart: Top Swing
Daily Chart: Right at the support level. (possible price action for few days)
Weekly Chart: close at the lowest level since February
Monthly Chart: -6.38% since the beginning of July, the Worst performance since March 2020..!
Conclusion: This correction could slip to a bearish market..! Risk is high..!
Why Small caps are at higher Risk!history tends to repeat itself..! and what has happened in the past has a higher chance of happing in the future!
March 2009 - Sep 2011:
Oct 2011- Jan 2016:
Feb 2016 - Dec2018
I will wait for the reaction to the trend line! closure below the trend line could bring a 20% further correction!
US2000 - Important support and perfect pitchfan for long positioHi friends!
Here a very interesting idea for Russell. You can check the diagonal treding support vs pitchfan convergence and 25 weekly EMA. In my personal opinion, we have an interesting opportunity for long position, So I am opening new long entries. Please let me know your comments.
Thank you!
Israel
Small Caps Are StrugglingThe S&P 500 keeps hitting new highs, but the Russell 2000 small cap index hasn’t been so fortunate.
RUT has gone almost four months without a new record level. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Transports haven’t hit a new high in over two months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 hit new highs this week.
A few bearish patterns stand out on the small cap chart. First, notice the lack of bounce at the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages (SMA). This is different from the earlier rebounds at those lines in May and June.
Next, the shorter time frame: RUT’s 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossed under the 21-day EMA last week and has remained below it.
Turning to the longer-term weekly chart, we see a bearish inside candle at the end of June. A red bar followed and now we’re in another down week:
It’s not totally bearish overall, but there are growing signs of weakness and poor relative strength. If the market has summer volatility, the sellers may begin their work in RUT.
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