US30 trade ideas
Long US30 Trade: Targeting 43,200 for Potential Upside1. On-Balance Volume (OBV) Analysis
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) for the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a strong bullish signal:
Current OBV value: 122 billion as of March 7, 2025
Trend: Consistently rising (115B to 122B over the last 5 periods)
2. Volume RSI and Market Sentiment
The Volume Relative Strength Index (RSI) provides insights into the market's momentum:
Current RSI: 40.5 as of March 7, 2025
Interpretation: Not oversold, potential for reversal
3. Trading Volumes and Market Participation
Recent trading volumes indicate strong market participation:
Average 3-month volume: 571,237,219
Recent daily volumes: 378,263,925 and 355,151,349
Last 24-hour volume: 543,817,886
4. Institutional Money Flow
The Commitments of Traders (COT) report and other indicators suggest strong institutional presence:
Institutional traders maintaining substantial positions in US30 futures
High trading volumes indicating active institutional participation
Rising OBV confirming institutional accumulation
This institutional involvement provides a solid foundation for the long position, as large players often have the power to drive market trends .
Its Been A Long Time Hasn't It?I see a possible horrible set up coming. But also an incredibly easy set up for the current US Administration to revert policy at a certain level.
I start to wonder if they are actually not looking at the market like they said. Its not like you need to look at the market for more than 5 minutes a day after doing a SINGLE in depth analysis on a longer time frame.
We will se what happens.
US30 Technical Analysis: Potential Decline Towards 44,182In this detailed market analysis provided by Brokerir, the US30 index has recently exhibited a strong bullish trend but is now showing signs of exhaustion, with price action suggesting a potential retracement. Utilizing technical indicators and key support/resistance levels, we anticipate a potential decline in price from the 44,600 level toward 44,378 and ultimately 44,182.
Market Structure & Price Action
• The price is currently trading at 44,585, showing initial signs of rejection from the 44,600 resistance zone.
• The market structure indicates a lower high formation, suggesting a weakening bullish trend.
• A break below 44,585 would confirm further downside pressure, targeting the next support zones.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Level Type Expected Reaction
44,600 Resistance Price rejection & potential pullback
44,378 Support Short-term reaction, potential consolidation
44,182 Major Support Critical level, potential trend shift
If price breaches 44,378, the probability of reaching 44,182 increases significantly, given the lack of strong liquidity zones between these levels.
Technical Indicator Analysis
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
• The MACD histogram is turning bearish, with decreasing momentum towards the zero line.
• The MACD line is crossing downward below the signal line, further confirming bearish sentiment.
• If this bearish divergence persists, price action is likely to follow with increasing sell pressure.
Volume & Liquidity Considerations
• Current trading volume is declining at resistance, indicating a lack of strong buying interest.
• If selling pressure intensifies, we could see an acceleration in downward movement once key levels are breached.
Conclusion & Trade Outlook
Given the technical factors at play:
• A confirmed break below 44,585 would signal further downside movement.
• The 44,378 level is expected to provide some short-term support; however, if price breaks below this zone, a retest of 44,182 becomes highly probable.
• The MACD trend shift supports this bearish outlook, reinforcing the expectation of further downside.
Brokerir will continue monitoring price action for confirmations before committing to a definitive bearish scenario. It is crucial to observe how the market reacts at key support levels to validate further movements.
Dow Jones at the bottom of the trading rangeGiven the recent emotional decline in the Dow Jones and S&P500, the Dow Jones is expected to make an upward correction from the bottom of its confirmed trading range. The stop loss is equivalent to the closing of the 4-hour candle below today's last low, with a target of 43,500 in the final step.
US30Trend: Bearish market.
Take Profit Levels:
TP 1 at 41681.00: Previous quarter’s low.
TP 2 at 40000.00: Key psychological level.
Confirmation: Breaking the 42568.00 low will confirm bearish momentum.
COT Data: Confirmed bearish sentiment from Commitment of Traders (COT) report, supporting the bearish outlook.
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is fallling towards the pivot and could boucne to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 41,777.16
1st Support: 40,202.56
1st Resistance: 43,339.19
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US30USD - Short AnalysisThere has been a lot of consolidation in the market. I can see the bulls making a run on liquidity sweeping the previous internal highs before reaching the swing high, and the bears building momentum to the downside.
I could see a retest of the 1h Low marked on the chart before sweeping liquidity above the current Range (Consolidation). Once price has swept the sell side liquidity, the Bears will enter the market at my Potential Sell Entry to continue with downside momentum.
US30 (Dow Jones) 4H & 1H Analysis US30 is currently trading in a well-defined downward channel, making lower highs and lower lows. The next critical support sits near the 31,880 “Major Low,” where any decisive break could lead to further downside. On the upside, watch for a potential bullish bounce targeting the fair value gap and Fib confluence around 32,400–32,500. A breakout above the channel top may signal a trend shift, while a rejection there would likely keep the bearish momentum intact. Always monitor price action and manage risk around these key levels.
US30 BUY?The market is currently testing the current Weekly area.
Based on Daily, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see BUYERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
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Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor