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SPY S&P 500 ETF Potential W-Shaped Recovery Forming We may be witnessing the formation of a W-shaped recovery on the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – a classic double-bottom structure that often signals a strong reversal after a period of correction or volatility. Let’s dive into the technicals and what this could mean in the sessions ahead. 🔍 The Technical Setup: SPY recently tested key support around the $485-$500 zone, bouncing off that area twice in the past few weeks. This gives us the left leg of the W and the first bottom. After a modest relief rally to ~$520, we saw another pullback – but this second dip failed to break below the first bottom, a hallmark of the W-pattern. As of today, SPY is starting to reclaim ground toward the $517-$520 resistance zone. If bulls can push through this neckline area, especially with volume confirmation, we could see a breakout that targets the $530-$535 area in the short term. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: Support: $490-$500 (double-bottom support zone) Neckline/Resistance: $530 Breakout Target: $550 (previous highs) Invalidation: A break below $490 with volume could invalidate the W-recovery idea and shift bias bearish. 📊 Momentum & Volume: RSI is climbing back above the 50 level – bullish momentum building. MACD shows a potential crossover forming, hinting at a shift in trend. Watch for increasing buy volume as SPY approaches the neckline – that’s where the bulls will need to step up. 🧠 Macro & Earnings Angle: Don’t forget – we’re entering a heavy earnings season and rate cut expectations are still a wildcard. A dovish tone from the Fed and strong corporate results could be the fuel that sends SPY higher to complete this W-shaped recovery. 🧭 Final Thoughts: This is a high-probability setup if neckline resistance is broken cleanly. Wait for confirmation before going heavy – fakeouts are common in double-bottom scenarios. If we do get the breakout, we may be looking at a broader market rebound going into summer. 🔔 Set alerts near $525. A confirmed breakout could mean the bulls are back in charge.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TopgOptions
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-31 : Carryover PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to carryover Friday's selling trend. I do believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to find some support as we move into a Temp Bottom pattern tomorrow. So be aware that the SPY/QQQ may attempt to find support near 535-540/450-455 over the next few days. I would also urge traders to not get very aggressive in terms of trying to pick a bottom in this downtrend. In my opinion, I don't see any reason why anyone should be buying into this breakdown unless you are prepared to take a few big lumps. Just wait it out - wait for a base/bottom to setup. Gold and Silver are moving higher and I believe this trend will continue for many weeks/months. BTCUSD should continue to move downward - trying to establish the Consolidation Phase range. As we move into trading this week. Be aware that Tuesday/Wednesday of this week are more ROTATION type days. They may be wide-range days - but they are still going to be ROTATIONAL. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
SPY: Breaking Levels; TASPY broke down the Weekly demand line and now looking to break the Monthly demand. Looking to possibly test the bottome weekly trendline. Possibly a 530 price target and if weakness continues, possibly below more to 520 then 510.46 to fully retest that bottom trendline. The market has bene crazy, people calling bottom, wanting to catch the reversal. I mean, I would want to catch this “V” up too, but have to see if it keeps trending down to the bottom trendline. LMK what you think and if you have any TA, tag me! *Not FA
AMEX:SPYShort
by sweatytrigger
1
SPY: TA-Market Chaos Calls for Smart Eyes, Not Just Smart ChartsThe market isn't playing fair lately. Classic TA setups are getting invalidated. Support zones crumble in seconds. Even golden cross setups fizzle out. But this isn’t the time to quit—it’s the time to get tactical. When technicals break, the silent signals from the options market become louder. That’s where Gamma Exposure (GEX) step in. This week, we saw aggressive institutional repositioning, unexpected volatility, and coordinated rotations into both risk and safety assets. Let’s talk about SPY, our macro compass. Then we’ll dive into stock-specific GEX sentiment and options setups that still offer alpha. 🔎 SPY – Institutional Tug-of-War Trend: SPY is forming a falling wedge, which could break either way. Price is sitting just above $500, after tagging the Highest Negative GEX / PUT Wall around $505–$502, which held on Friday. GEX & Options Flow: * PUTs at 84.7% dominate the board. * IVR is 121.8, showing high implied volatility demand. * Strong support from PUT walls at $502, while CALL resistance at $547–$551 could suppress any upside. Outlook: * If $502 breaks, momentum could drag us toward $490 or even $475. * Bulls need to reclaim $520, flipping the key Gamma Wall. Strategy Suggestion: For options, consider SPY put spreads if below $505, or long SPY calls above $520 for quick squeezes—preferably with tight expiry (0DTE or 2DTE) to ride the gamma wave.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY - support & resistant areas for today April 4 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. My group in my signature, get these first, then ideas, and then minds; I also post these for QQQ TSLA META VIX in my group, so join if y'all haven't. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 30 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, Or how to trade this? Comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
SPY at the Edge! Will Buyers Step Up or Is More Blood Ahead?🔥 🚨 Market Structure Insight
SPY is currently in a sharp descending channel, respecting both the upper and lower trendlines. After a clean Break of Structure (BOS) at 546.97 and a failed CHoCH attempt, the price accelerated downward and is now hovering just above a key psychological round level near $500. The most recent BOS confirms a bearish continuation, but the current price is sitting at the bottom of the channel, where a short-term bounce may occur if momentum slows down. We're in the discount zone—a key area Smart Money often targets for reversals. Smart Money & Technical Zones * Resistance zone: $546.97 (last BOS area) * Support zone: $502.19 (recent swing low) * Channel bounds: Top near $550–560, Bottom near $500 MACD is starting to curve upward while Stoch RSI is lifting from the oversold zone — potential signs of a short-term relief rally. However, there’s no CHoCH yet to confirm a structural reversal. GEX & Options Sentiment Breakdown * IV Rank: 121.8 → Elevated implied volatility, prime for option premium selling. * IVx avg: 53.1 → Still rising, shows fear entering the market. * PUTS Dominate: 84.7% of options flow are puts. * GEX Bias: Strong negative gamma exposure, indicating dealer selling accelerates downside moves. * Key Support Walls: * $520: Highest negative NETGEX / Put Support. * $500: Second Put Wall with -76.41% pressure. * Resistance Walls: * $547: HVL and minor call resistance. * $560: 3rd CALL Wall, minimal resistance at 1.26%. Dealers are heavily short gamma, suggesting large directional swings and continued volatility. Trade Setups
Scenario 1 – Dead Cat Bounce (Bullish Relief Rally) * Entry: Above $510 with confirmation of strong volume or CHoCH. * Target 1: $520 (first structural test). * Target 2: $546–$551 HVL rejection zone. * Stop Loss: Below $502 Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation * Entry: Rejection at $510–$520 zone or breakdown of $502 * Target 1: $495 psychological level * Target 2: $485–$475 (overshoot flush level) * Stop Loss: Above $522 Investor Strategy Insight
Long-term investors should remain cautious until SPY shows structural strength above $546. Until then, dollar-cost-averaging with tight capital allocation could be safer. This environment favors option sellers due to elevated IV, or high-conviction intraday scalping on well-defined levels. Outlook & Mindset
This week is dominated by uncertainty—rising global tariffs, geopolitical risk, and credit tightening all weigh on risk-on sentiment. SPY may enter a volatile range-bound phase between $500–$550, until new macro data shifts sentiment. If you’re trading SPY this week, don’t try to catch the knife. Wait for confirmation candles or volume shifts, and be nimble with risk. Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Analyzing SPY's Current Technical SetupAfter a strong downward momentum observed on the daily timeframe, SPY has shown signs of a potential reversal on the lower timeframe (65-minute chart). Here's the breakdown: SPY has seen a significant bearish move recently, breaking through key support levels and establishing a new recent low around the critical Half 2 Short target at $486.41. This sharp bearish action indicates strong selling pressure, as evidenced by high volume spikes accompanying the down move. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily has reached oversold territory (around 20), suggesting potential for a short-term bounce or consolidation. 65-Minute Chart Analysis: On the shorter timeframe, SPY is showing a recovery phase, with the price reclaiming the Half 1 Short level at $508.91. The upward price action is supported by rising RSI, now trending upward above the mid-level (50), signaling short-term bullish momentum. Volume is moderately strong, suggesting buyer participation. Trade Idea and Levels: - Bullish Scenario: - Entry: I deally, an entry would be considered on a confirmed hold above $508.91. - Profit Targets: - First target: Weeks High Short at approximately $520.16. - Second target: High Sell Target around $531.41 (more optimistic scenario if bullish momentum strengthens). - Stop Loss: Clearly set a stop below the recent pivot low at approximately $497.50 for risk management. - Bearish Scenario: - If price fails to sustain above $508.91 and reverses downwards: - Entry: Consider short entry upon confirmed rejection below $508.91. - Profit Targets: - First target: Recent pivot low at $497.50. - Second target: Half 2 Short at $486.41. - Stop Loss: S et stop above $513, allowing for minor volatility without compromising risk control. Final Thoughts: Given the current oversold conditions on the daily timeframe and emerging bullish signs on the shorter timeframe, cautious bullish entries with tight stops could present favorable risk-to-reward setups. However, remain flexible to shift to a bearish stance if the price action fails to sustain the critical $508.91 level. Always manage risk accordingly and adjust positions based on ongoing market confirmation.
AMEX:SPYLong
by HispanicHedge