Tesla - This Is Actually Not Gambling!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) still looks quite bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of weeks ago I published a bunch of analysis, explaining all the reasons for a potential -40% drop on Tesla. However on the higher timeframe, Tesla still looks quite strong and with the bullish break and retest playing out so far, we could even see new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $260, $400
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA Drill Team is Back
Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, Tesla is facing significant headwinds as we approach its Q1 2025 earnings.
A 13% year-over-year decline in deliveries, ongoing margin pressures from price cuts, and negative consumer sentiment tied to Elon Musk’s political involvement are weighing on the company.
While the energy segment and potential updates on the affordable vehicle could provide some upside, the risk of a disappointing earnings report looms large, potentially exacerbating Tesla’s challenges in a competitive EV market.
Technically
We see that the price is consolidating near the lower boundary of the golden pocket on the FIBO channel on the 1-hour chart. For a few days now, the price has been holding just above the 240.00 support level, but the bearish trend remains dominant with 23 out of 26 technical indicators signaling bearish sentiment as of April 20, 2025.
Entry SHORT around 240$ targeting 220$
Post-earnings, we could see a breakdown below 220.00, targeting the next support at 216.00, from which the future prospects will depend.
Resistance levels: 270, 250, 240
Support levels: 220, 216, 210
The price is struggling to break above the resistance, consolidating over days. With earnings on Tuesday, there’s a high probability of a breakdown if the report misses expectations or lacks clear guidance on growth initiatives.
A break and consolidation below 230.00 could lead to a decline toward 220.00 or even 210.00 in the coming week.
However, if Tesla surprises positively—particularly with strong energy segment growth or clarity on the affordable vehicle—we might see a reversal. Still, the current setup suggests caution, and we’ll need to monitor the price reaction closely post-earnings.
Keep your long term vision NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA Eiffel Tower Not CompleteEiffel tower patterns are rare but very powerful TA structures when they develop.
They are very hard patterns to short since we can never know when the wave up ends. However, there is so much information we can extract from them during and after the collapse.
When they are rising and going vertical, and you happen to be in it. The benefits will be great! As the price action sucks in everyone all at once with virtually no sellers.
So, what info can we learn?
On the way up, when this is happening, you should have the ability to recognize it at some point without worrying if you got the top. Take your money and RUN!
Never try to get back in and try to chase it up!
Never try to short it, thinking it is too high, this is the top!
When it tops out, never buy the dip! Bc you know how this structure will end.
Never buy based on some silly FIB or bc it's down too much!
Never buy the base thinking it will go back to new all-time highs, and it is now safe to get back in bc it will only keep going lower, more through time, frustrating you until you puke it up.
So remember this gimmicky sound bite.
"If they don't scare you out, they will wear you out!"
Ain't nobody got time for that! Your money has a much better place to be allocated to make you money instead of being fixated on a chart like this.
The reason people get stuck is bc the move provoked emotion! Then, when they get involved thinking they will be Buffett tomorrow from this one trade, they will experience Euphoria, sadness, anger etc., further provoking even more emotions to the point they become obsessed! Guessing, waiting, hoping, doubling down on and on...
Ask me how I know! hahaha!
While I made a lot of money shorting GME, here is an example of an Eiffel tower with many, many people that have this trading disease I just spoke about.
In conclusion, anyone who believes that TSLA will hit $1,000 blah blah blah and suckered into buying it. You now know you are being honey dicked by a bunch of armatures and bots on X. Beyond TSLA there are many such charts out there tight now that have formed the beginnings of ET. As such, you should know how to recognize it quickly and avoid the pitfalls out there.FYI I called the Top on TSLA ))
Click Like, Follow, Subscribe to learn much more about real macroeconomics and technical analysis. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets.
TSLA Diamond Penet BreakoutThe "TSLA Diamond Penet Breakout" strategy suggests monitoring two critical levels: if Tesla's stock price breaks below the "red" level, it indicates a short position opportunity; conversely, breaking above the "green" level suggests taking a long position. This strategy also forecasts a potential 3% price movement following a breakout in either direction, emphasizing the importance of these defined thresholds for trading actions .
TSLA at an inflection pointNASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shown wirh Mcginley indicator (a trend following indicator) and cycle oscillator. Whilst price currently shows a negative bias, I believe price has reached an inflection point as the market seeks direction. Those waiting to buy the dip should wait patiently for entry opportunities upon confirmation of momentum and volume.
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It shows you when to walk away.
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Theory: Tesla Stock is just Nvidia Stock in May 2012In this video, I go over the legit possibility of Tesla stock simply looking exactly like Nvidia did in May 2012, and I compare sentiment and chart patterns that look near identical to put together a picture of what the future potentially holds for Tesla stock
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood
Will it? Let's take a look ~
ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration.
All of this doesn't matter
Why?
Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue.
From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027.
TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago.
Voluming is rising in the longterm
and literally the conservatives love him,
If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close.
On the short term,
The FUD will wash away,
TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel,
shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs,
Shorts will get squeezed by end of June,
and Up and UP TSLA will continue.
BTFD!
TESLA: $250 | Waiting for Reset and Buy back at Sub $100Royal Arabs of mid east aka pals of Elon booking gains
and informed players wait for buy back of funds
as SHORTS are piling up with momentum kicking in
in addition to Elon spreading himslef as DOGE frontman in Trump's campaign to making America Great Again ...
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching:
📥 Entry zones:
• 240 (aggressive)
• 215 (ideal support zone)
• 195 (deep discount territory)
🎯 Profit targets:
• 265
• 290
• 355+ (if momentum takes off)
TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast.
🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
Tesla Bounce Zone?Tesla has been trading in a sideways range between $220 - $290 for the last several weeks, a sign of what may either be a potential accumulation, or another distribution range which ultimately ends in lower prices.
At the moment, we are at an interesting zone, being the low of the range with earnings coming into effect tomorrow.
Although there is a lot of stipulation behind Elon's current credibility working for Trump, it is clear that the overall market sentiment is at extreme lows for Tesla.
Given this, the earnings tomorrow may be a liquidity catalyst event that may shoot this stock back up into a recovery. Perhaps Elon announces his resignation from Doge, or Tesla earnings surprise, or perhaps Tesla is not affected by tariffs as badly as people may think.
Technically, Tesla is sitting at a key zone being the POC (point of control) also known as the most traded zone of the last 4 years. Should a bounce materialize, it would make sense for it to take place around this price. We are also seeing what may be considered a bullish harmonic playing out during this recent volatility.
Either way, we cant predict, we can only manage our risk. The expected move for tomorrow is + or - 10%. Budget accordingly.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought TSLA before the recent rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 230usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-4-25,
for a premium of approximately $10.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report
On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022.
Why Is TSLA Falling?
There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets):
→ Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology.
→ A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year.
→ Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors.
According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock
We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends.
That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark.
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THE DEATH CROSSDeath Cross Triggered During Consolidation: What It Could Mean
The 50 SMA (blue) just crossed below the 200 SMA (red), signaling a Death Cross—a traditionally bearish indicator. But here’s the catch: this didn’t happen during a steep downtrend. It happened during consolidation.
That changes the narrative.
When a Death Cross forms during a period of sideways chop instead of a clear downtrend, it often reflects lagging momentum, not accelerating weakness. It can trap shorts expecting a breakdown, especially if price is coiling above strong support or forming a basing pattern.
💡 Key things I’m watching:
Does price respect the consolidation range low?
Are we forming a bullish divergence on RSI or MACD?
How does volume behave around the cross?
This may not be a "short and hold" moment—this might be a shakeout before trend resolution. Stay sharp. Don't trade the cross, trade the context.