AG trade ideas
First Majestic Silver - Sniper Entries for 9:1 Long TradeSome thoughts that occur to me while updating the First Majestic Silver chart are teased here, which I hope you will challenge with tough questions. These ideas of mine are meant to arouse the reverse-engineers and provoke the thinkers. As always, I strive to render them so obviously as to require no words.
Nevertheless, First Majestic Silver (AG) is such a titan in this niche industry that it makes an excellent leading indicator. As of this writing, price is well below the "Snipers' Range" (Orange channel), which by itself would be a risky signal of imminent collapse; in this case it offers early, low-risk entry points for many and varied Long positions including the 9:1 shown here.
My strategy is built on innate Pattern Recognition and hard-won sympathy for the Market Maker’s Business Model. My tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.
Anyways …
Although not shown in this view, the Snipers' Range was established after the low of March 2020, not retested until August 2022, and not overrun until early this year. Above the Red area that contains it, a Blue area indicates a statistically safe "Accumulation Zone" for long-term entries, and this idea takes its final profit at the top of that zone, before price inevitably drops to retest the middle of it.
Furthermore, a target for partial profit taking is suggested, either to de-risk or else to swing out and buy back in. The Stop Loss given is fairly conservative (i.e. wide), and should possibly be moved upward if taking a long position after the Snipers' Range is tested as resistance, and definitely if it is tested as support.
For greater precision, a harmonic pattern is implied, however it must be noted that such patterns are NOT confirmed until the D-point prints, ergo trading the CD leg is especially risky, and requires real-world context not available on the naked chart. If you are enough of a speculator in the metals markets to know the position that First Majestic Silver has in them, then you may have your own reason(s) for suspecting that the price just bottomed.
The Snipers' Range, along with VWAPs anchored to the last Earnings report and to the C-point of the pattern, are a few features from my complete AG chart, which I intend to publish in a more comprehensive video surveying the strategic metals mining sectors. First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
Majestic is acting like 2015-2016First majestic silver has created very simillar conditions as in 2015-2016 move. If we are expecting it to play in the same way, we still could touch 5$, then it looks like 700% move is possible. 35$ on the table. My GSR chart would agree. Silver chart also. Could be huge opportunity right around the corner.
Majestic Trade First Majestic Silver - NYSE:AG
- Risk/Reward Ratio 12
- Positive Divergence
- Spring reversal from under ascending triangle
- Green circle is the convergence of 200 DSMA,
POC & break out from falling wedge. A break &
close above $7.10 may be confirmation
You could enter here and place your stop as outlined on the chart and be ok with 20% hit in the event of. Or you wait for the confirmation above the noted levels before entering and place a higher stop.
PUKA
Long First Majestic #tradingtheapocalypseFundamentals
First Majestic is a primary silver producer (which moves more like a junior). It has historically been heavily shorted, making it a good candidate for outperforming in any precious metals bull market. Arguably, we are in the beginning stages of a precious metals bull market, kicked off by the slowing of Fed rate rises in August 2022. First Majestic sold off heavily on news that they had suspended production at Jerrit Canyon. In fact, this news, while disappointing in the short term, is bullish in the medium term, since it returns the company to be mainly weighted silver, which outperforms gold. It's also bullish in the long term, as once management has made the necessary changes, Jerrit Canyon can come back online and produce gold at a reasonable AISC. AG is trading near its Covid lows, which seems to be to be deeply oversold from a fundamental point of view.
The underlying macro thesis is that there will be a flight to precious metals due to weakness in the banking sector, historical price manipulation coming to an end, central bank buying of gold, and many other reasons. #tradingtheapocalypse
Technicals
Weekly RSI in July 2022 was around as oversold as the Covid lows. Compared to then, weekly RSI has made a regular bullish divergence, signalling a likely end to the high-timeframe downtrend.
Daily RSI already made regular bullish divergence on the low before the JC news, and has made even more pronounced bullish divergence since. Price recently reclaimed weekly resistance.
This position is a long-term (weeks/months) long trade, entering now, with a stop under the recent low and a final take-profit at the 2021 high. There are many dynamic and horizontal resistances between here and there where one could swing a portion of the trade.
First Non Majestic 32123Cratering through levels like knife and hot butter. Mine closure. No profits. Massive losses. How is that so? It appears its management is atrocious and at this rate AG while my target is a possibe 3 dollar area. 50 cents full reset is entirely possible and not out of the picture. I will gladly buy it at 50 cents though I took a gamble , SMALL, at 5.6.
I used to be bullish on it , but not any longer. Just a gamble until I see some changes in the fundamentals.
AG | This Has Me Drooling | LONGFirst Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America. It holds 100% interests in the San Dimas Silver/Gold Mine covering an area of 71,868 hectares located in Durango and Sinaloa states; the Santa Elena Silver/Gold Mine covering an area of 102,244 hectares located in Sonora; Jerritt Canyon gold mine that covers an area of approximately of 30,821 hectares located in Elko County, Nevada; and the La Encantada Silver Mine covering an area of 4,076 hectares situated in Coahuila, as well as surface land ownership of 1,343 hectares. The company also holds 100% interests in the La Parrilla Silver Mine that covers an area of 69,478 hectares located in Durango; the Del Toro Silver Mine consisting of 3,815 hectares of mining concessions and 219 hectares of surface rights located in Zacatecas; the San Martin Silver Mine includes 33 mining concessions covering an area of 12,795 hectares located in Jalisco; and the La Guitarra Silver Mine that covers an area of 39,714 hectares located in Mexico. In addition, it holds interest in the Springpole project, a gold and silver project covering an area of approximately 41,913 hectares in Ontario, Canada. The company was formerly known as First Majestic Resource Corp. and changed its name to First Majestic Silver Corp. in November 2006. First Majestic Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
$AG - Not gonna do wellYeah...
Again, this is another stock that's been added to the meme basket. Yes... a Silver Mining/Trading company was added to the Meme stock basket... it didn't make much sense until i saw they added this yesterday and that AG has earnings TOMORROW. The only reason to add things to the meme basket like this is obviously to make meme stocks go down with a helpful push from bad earnings.
It doesn't make sense that this stock would drop MORE from where it already is... it really doesn't, but seeing that they added it to the meme basket 1 day before earnings... yeah i'm now convinced AG will have bad earnings and Wallstreet/someone already knows. You don't add successful companies to the meme basket :)
TLDR: Get $AG Puts 11-25 days out.
the start of the 3rd wave is nearcrab harmonic pattern:
X=$201.6
A=$0.02
AB=0.61 XA
BC=0.38 AB
0.78 BC=$3.76
0.88 BC=$4.68
1.13 BC=$7.97
1.41 BC=$14.7
1.6 BC=$23
0.78 XA=$28
2 BC=$53.4
0.88 XA=$70.5
2.24 BC=$90.2
2.6 BC=$206
1.13 XA=$668
3.6 BC=$1835
1.27 XA=$2474
4.23 BC=$7087
1.41 XA=$8830
1.6 XA=$60087
Speculative Bearish Entry on SIlver Miner's Upcoming EarningsAG is sitting at the supply zone of this potential Bear Flag and has been once rejected from the 200 Day Moving Average. AG now reports earnings in 2 days and i have bearish bets on those earnings in the form of multiple April 21st PUT Options at the Strike Price of $8 and now will be hoping to see a square-up of the range lows.