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AMD trade ideas

AMD Testing Resistance! Will Bulls Push Through or Will Bears?📊 Technical Analysis (TA): 1. Trend & Structure: * AMD has shown Break of Structure (BOS), confirming its previous downtrend. * Change of Character (ChoCH) signals a potential reversal, and buyers are stepping in. * Key Resistance: ~102-105 (supply zone & call wall) * Support Zone: ~95-100 (recent demand zone) 2. Indicators Suggesting Strength: * MACD: Bullish crossover confirms increasing momentum. * Stochastic RSI: Moving out of oversold territory, supporting further upside. * Volume Surge: High buying volume indicates accumulation near support. 🔹 GEX & Options Flow: 1. Call Walls (Resistance) 🚧 * 105-107: Strong resistance, where gamma resistance intensifies. * Above 107: A breakout could lead to further upside. 2. Put Walls (Support) 🛑 * 100: Highest negative NETGEX, acting as a strong bounce level. * 95-90: Deeper support areas if AMD pulls back. 3. IV Rank & Skew: * IVR 38, suggesting moderate implied volatility. * Call positioning at 15%, indicating a shift toward bullish sentiment. * Put walls remain strong at lower levels, meaning downside hedging is present. 📌 Trading Plan & Suggestions: * Bullish Breakout Scenario: * If AMD holds above 100-102, a breakout toward 105-107 is likely. * Ideal trade: April 105C or 107C, targeting a continuation move. * Bearish Rejection Scenario: * If AMD fails to hold 102, expect a retest of 100-95. * Ideal Put Play: Buy March-April 100P or 95P, targeting a retest of the lows. ⚠️ Key Warning: A strong breakout above 105 could trigger a gamma squeeze to 107+. 🔥 Conclusion: AMD at a Make-or-Break Level – Can Bulls Maintain Momentum? AMD is testing key resistance, with strong buying volume and bullish indicators forming. If 102-105 holds, we could see further upside, but failure to break could lead to a rejection back toward 95-100. Watch the reaction near 102-105 carefully! 🚀📉 🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:AMD
by BullBearInsights
The next Intel or the next Nvidia?Neither, AMD has it's own path with destiny. The cyclical nature of semiconductors makes this an interesting stock to analyse through TA. The fundamentals remain strong, whilst they are clearly behind Nvidia and Broadcom, there's also closely following behind and have a far smaller market cap. In a risk on mode, I think this offers far better upside than a 3 trillion dollar Nvidia stock. It looks like much of Nvidia's stock price has been baked in the revenue growth into the stock price. Not even an earnings beat was enough to satisfy investors. People are panicking, 10 year yields are dropping, the market is in freakout mode. Meanwhile, AMD remains bearish, there is no doubt about that. The question is where is the bottom? I have a very strong buy zone here at $91-100. I think the risk to reward here is quite compelling. Using stop losses to minimise potential capitulation, risk management would have saved a lot of headache for anyone who has purchased since 06/03/24, almost a year ago, as they are down on their position and were better taking a small calculated loss. Not financial advice, do what's best for you.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by NoFOMO_
4
AMD: getting close to invalidating the macro uptrend since 2022AMD has not been able to keep up with NVDIA for about a year. The year long decline is about to approach a critical support area. $93.12 is the line in the sand to invalidate the expanding diagonal structure to complete minor wave 5. If this level breaks that will mean AMD is still on minor degree wave 4 and is in an expanding ABC correction. Unless this turns into a running flat scenario, expanding correction would take the C wave below the A wave, which was $54.57. That will not be pretty for AMD, given the chip market overall is getting very messy with the trade war situations. With RSI braking below 30, we should expect a bounce soon. If that bounce starts to look like a V shape recovery, then there might be some hope to see higher high again. Earnings are still a few weeks away. In the meantime, price needs to head back above $130 to have any reason to long this ticker!
NASDAQ:AMD
by mukit1
Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #5 - AMD Major Trend BreakMy personal sentiment for the market overall right now is bullish for the shorter term, which you can probably see in my ideas the last few weeks. CPI is tomorrow and there's strong potential for downside, so I'll make one bearish idea for the top 5 this week. AMD has been the red headed step child of semis this year, kind of sad to see. Now it has a major trend break here, with this trendline starting back in 2022. Not a good look at all. This is a longer term chart, final downside target would be all the way down near $74, but there's plenty of potential supports along the way. I think this will be a good name to short if the market turns bearish and if we rally, it could be a good short in the near future on a retest of this trendline. If it rallies back up for a retest that would be the first one and this is a major one so I'd say the probability of a fail on the first retest would be very high.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by AdvancedPlays
1
Bottom in $AMDDowsing went to AMD this morning and suggested a low in the $108 vicinity, which it gapped down to and ripped higher. I expect a somewhat extended move higher & possibly to $144. This is all based on my dowsing (as in with a pendulum) and is always interesting to see what plays out. I did get that there could be news today or tomorrow. The consolidating at these lows has been good, and actually, I have an old target around the 103-105/6 area based on 3 alerts that never quite got hit. So this is definitely a support as my levels are often pretty good, tho maybe not exact.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by JenRz
4
AMD LONG : 103 Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Stock Analysis Report Technical Analysis: 1. 200 EMA Support: On the weekly timeframe, AMD's price is currently touching and reacting near the 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which historically serves as a strong dynamic support level. 2. Key Support Level: The price action is at a significant support oblique zone that has held since 2018, suggesting a potential area of accumulation. 3. FVG Gap Fill: On the weekly timeframe, the price correction seems to be filling the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from October 2023, which may provide a solid confirmation for future bullish momentum. 4. Fibonacci Level: The price is currently near the 86.6% Fibonacci retracement level, suggesting that the ongoing correction may serve as a strong setup for a bullish reversal. 5. MACD indicator : On the weekly chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence, seems to be crossing soon. This indicate a great buying signal opportunity. 6. Ascending Triangle Formation: On the daily chart, price action appears to be forming an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a period of consolidation before a potential breakout to the upside. 7. RSI Indicator: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe is in the oversold region (35), indicating potential buying interest from investors. Projection: From a technical perspective, the $103 price level is identified as a key reversal point. The trade setup presents an attractive risk-reward ratio (RRR) of approximately 1:6 ________________________________________ Fundamental Analysis: 1. Growth in Key Markets: o Data Center Expansion: AMD is aggressively expanding its presence in the data center market with its EPYC server CPUs. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for high-performance computing, particularly in AI-driven workloads. o CPU Market Leadership: AMD continues to gain market share over Intel in the CPU segment. With growing adoption for AI-powered applications, AMD’s processors are becoming an increasingly preferred choice due to their efficiency and performance advantages over competitors. 2. Competition with NVIDIA in AI GPUs: o AMD’s MI300X series GPUs are positioned as a direct competitor to NVIDIA’s Blackwell H100 & H200 GPUs. o The MI300X offers superior bandwidth and memory specifications, although NVIDIA continues to lead in AI training efficiency & ray tracing However, AMD's continuous innovation signals its potential to close the performance gap in the AI computing space, making it a strong contender in the long term. 3. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: o AMD is strengthening its market presence through key partnerships with industry leaders such as Dell and CEA, further expanding its AI-driven solutions. o The acquisition of Xilinx enhances AMD’s ability to innovate and capture additional market share in the AI and high-performance computing segments. 4. Future Market Potential: o During Q3 2024, AMD CEO Lisa Su stated: “In the data center alone, we expect the AI accelerator TAM will grow at more than 60% annually to $500 billion in 2028. To put that in context, this is roughly equivalent to annual sales for the entire semiconductor industry in 2023.” o This projection highlights AMD’s significant revenue growth potential, reinforcing its position as a key player in the AI and semiconductor industries. 5. Earning Report & clients: o AMD's earnings reports continue to show positive results, indicating stability in the company’s growth trajectory. o AMD is currently making business with big Ai companies like: Microsoft, Google, Meta, Amazon, Oracle, IBM, Siemens, Advantech, etc. Companies that can be huge buys of their product and thus increase the revenue. Risks and Challenges: 1. Underperformance in 2025: Compared to 2024, US technologies stock performance in 2025 has shown signs of underperformance, raising concerns about its short-term growth momentum continuation. 2. Economic Sentiment: The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index has been lower than expected in 2025, suggesting that consumers may be less willing to invest in the economy. This could impact AMD’s stock performance as investor confidence weakens. ________________________________________ Conclusion: Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest that AMD is in a strong position for future growth. The stock is currently undergoing a healthy correction, providing a potential buying opportunity. Given the company’s increasing market share, strategic partnerships, and advancements in AI and high-performance computing, AMD remains a compelling investment prospect for the long term.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by jysupmtb
AMD Analysis: Shorting to $100 as Cup & Handle Pattern FormsHello Traders, I'm sharing a weekly chart analysis for AMD, where I’ve identified a Cup & Handle pattern. The current price is $148, and it's retesting the broken red trend line. I suggest considering a short position targeting $100. I've also included a back test for the two previous patterns, which support the validity of the middle red trend line. It's important to note that if AMD reaches the $100 level, the Cup & Handle pattern above the blue trend line will become valid, potentially targeting even lower levels around $55, or possibly further down. Additionally, pay attention to the downtrend progression channel in cyan. The current price of $148 is positioned around the resistance of this channel's middle line. If these scenarios play out, a harmonic pattern may also form, which I will define at a later stage. Stay cautious and manage your risk!
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by Eymen-GUVEN
5
AMD Swing trade ideaI like the OF on the H4 time frame here in AMD and have some swing positions open. I already took off some positions on this same trade idea with target as PDL that already puts me in profit on this trade as AMD was a nice sell off in the AM session. The rest of the trade is risk free and will be managed accordingly next week. Rejection from H4 SIBI, taking out buy stops and heading towards sellside liquidity confirms bearish orderflow may be in play. Possibly MMSM here. Any displacement from this level would be further confirmation for price to trend lower.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by TradesofThunder
Wedge inside a wedge with upward intentionsOn daily chart the price is inside huge downward wedge, which in the long run should reach price of 218.77. On hourly chart we can see a local downside wedge inside the global big one. This indicates that the price is currently in correction. Prediction A) The price continues to go up since it has bounced off the bottom of global wedge and recently tested MA200, it should break the local channel and MA200 and go up to price 120.00, then globally the price should continue to go up to 218.77 and reach the global wedge top. Prediction B) The price will break the local channel downward and drop to level 109.93, then bounce off of it and continue up to 218.77. It would be best to wait for price to reach level 109.78 and wait for reversal signals to ride the price up to level 218.77. Of course, this trend might continue for a few months and global politics might change the price course, but at the moment technical analysis gave me this idea. This is not a financial advice, please do your own due diligence if you plan to trade. Also, please feel free to comment your thoughts and predictions about the price action for the upcoming days.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by OleksandraVolodymyrivna