I'm coloring outside the lines today - Long at 1.64In times of duress (and we can all agree this qualifies, I think), go back to a classic - the 200d MA. Not many stocks these days are trading above their 200d MA. Fewer still are in a business that is a built in hedge for inflation. I think these tariffs will be even more inflationary than they are recessionary and gold itself isn't quite a buy, so it's this small miner I'm trading today. I don't intend to hold it very long, but it's always nice to have a reason besides technicals in your back pocket in a trading environment like this one. There is some support nearby and the 200d MA as well.
As an added bonus, low priced stocks tend to generate outsized moves. I don't know about your portfolio, but after today, mine could use an outsized move in the upward direction. 5 down days in a row improves the odds as well. Now for the juicy part.
This is a new method I've been working on for the past few months and it has done PRETTY well in all environments, at least relative to buy and hold. It isn't foolproof and if a stock goes straight down it can be a way to amass a handful of garbage (see 10/25 - 12/5 on the chart).
Overall, though, it does extremely well, as you can see from the yellow arrows on the chart, representing past trade setups with this stock.
28 trades: 27 wins, 1 open - the most recent one.
-Average gain = +6.01%
-Average hold period = 10.3 trading days
-Average gain/lot/day held = +0.58% (roughly 13x the average long term daily return of the S&P)
Depending on the market conditions and what the stock does, I MAY do a FPC close, I may not. I will add as necessary, but hopefully this will be a one and done trade.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
