TSLA trade ideas
TSLA - Support and ResitanceI believe NASDAQ:TSLA is entering a key support level here that will lead to a strong bounce back up. TSLA is down nearly 50% from all-time highs and is reaching a support level that had strong resistance for much of the last half of 2024. The RSI is also hanging out below 30 which could also indicate it as a strong candidate for an RSI play as well. I entered into a long position today and will accumulate more while it travels between the $260 and $230 levels. I will also add to this position when the RSI breaks above its 14 SMA. Targets for this trade are the $320 support level and 50 SMA line.
$TSLA worst 4 years are ahead us under president Trump? - What biden couldn't done would be done under $TRUMP.
- NASDAQ:TSLA has always traded at a premium devoid of any fundamentals.
- NASDAQ:TSLA cars are ugly looking cars as compared to NYSE:BYD and $RIVN. It's technology is great but you are basically buying a cheap build quality cars.
- Everyone thought that Trumpn <-> Elon parternship will be great for $TSLA. But my hunch is it will be bad for NASDAQ:TSLA shareholders. Elon's association with Trump will drag the NASDAQ:TSLA shares down and always in the limelight.
- Most elite investors are often leftist and might want to distance with trump and elon.
Fundamentally,
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 2.90 | 3.85 | 4.96. | 6.40
EPS growth% | 18.02% | 32.82% | 28.87% | 29.12%
Fair forward p/e for a company growing EPS 20%+ with a moat is ~ 30
Fair stock value:
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Stock price ( base case p/e = 30) | $87 | $115 | $148 | $192 |
Stock price (bear case p/e = 20 ) | $58 | $77 | $99 | $128 |
Stock Price ( bull case p/e = 50 ) | $150 | $192 | $248 | $320 |
- Bulltard + Elon musk premium p/e if ELON divorces with Trump = 100
Stock price ( p/e = 100 ) | $290 | $385 | $496 | $640
$TSLA Sales Slump but is Support Near?Is Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) facing a sales slump and an overpriced valuation? In this video, we dive into the latest Tesla stock analysis, starting with the declining sales numbers and why the current valuation might be raising red flags for investors. We then break down the weekly chart, spotlighting a potential breakdown retest as NASDAQ:TSLA price nears key support levels around the 243 weekly SMA. What was once resistance could now flip to support—find out how! Zooming into the daily chart, we explore the 280 price level where the 200 SMA is and outline a possible 5-wave pattern completing at 243, followed by a correction toward Goldman Sachs’ 320 target and Bank of America’s 380 forecast. But could a deeper drop to 200 be on the horizon? Get the full technical analysis, price targets, and insights to navigate NASDAQ:TSLA ’s next move in this must-watch stock market update!
TSLA Potential Bullish Bat PatternOn the daily chart, TSLA has recently fluctuated and fallen, and the bears have the upper hand. The current downside target can pay attention to the previous demand area of 246.6-255.3. After reaching it, you can pay attention to the potential bullish bat pattern, and the buying position is around 243.2.
TSLA Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels
* Current Price: $278.53
* Support: $265, $250
* Resistance: $292.5, $300, $310
TSLA has recently rebounded from a demand zone around $265, showing early signs of a potential reversal. Multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts indicate a possible transition from a bearish to a bullish market structure.
Reversal Zone Analysis
TSLA has entered a potential reversal zone between $278 - $292.5. If price sustains above $278, upside momentum toward $300 and $310 could unfold. A failure to hold $278 could send it back to retest the $265 support level.
Options & GEX Analysis
* IVR: 84.1
* IVx Avg: 80.3
* GEX: Green (bullish positioning)
* Put Walls: $265, $250
* Call Walls: $292.5, $300, $310
Options flow indicates bullish sentiment, with increasing call interest above $292.5 and strong put support at $265.
Trading Plan & Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
* Entry: Above $278 with strong volume confirmation
* Target: $292.5, then $300
* Stop-Loss: Below $272
Bearish Scenario (Less Likely)
* Entry: If price rejects the $292.5 - $300 zone
* Target: $265
* Stop-Loss: Above $295
Options Trade Idea
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $280 Calls, Sell $300 Calls (April Expiry)
* Credit Put Spread: Sell $270 Puts, Buy $260 Puts
Final Thoughts
TSLA is showing early signs of a reversal, but needs to hold above $278 for confirmation. Watch for strength toward $292.5 and $300. If price struggles at resistance, a retest of $265 is possible.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TESLA Can it really reach $900?Tesla / TSLA hit its 1week MA50, having declined by -45% from its December 2024 All Time High.
This is a critical Support junction as besides the 1week MA50, the price hit both the former Falling Resistance and the Rising Support of the April 2024 low.
Last time we saw the exact same pattern was after the March 2020 COVID crash tested the 1week MA50 and rebounded.
The rebound went all the way to just over the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
This is why we remain bullish on Tesla, targeting $900 (Fibonacci 1.5 extension).
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TESLA I Its not only EV Cars. Elon Musk predicting 1000% growthThis is not a short-term trade as you know from me on FX, Crypto and Indices. This is buy and hold investment. I got already good bag of share and Im still adding without trying to time if perfectly, but now I think its time to buy bigger positions.
Tesla is my 3rd biggest position after the Bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy). Many people see it only as an EV cars company, but it's not all what they do, just read bellow to see why I see a huge potential in this company.
📍 Why Tesla is Considered a Top Investment
Tesla stands out as a leading player in the EV market, with a strong brand and a history of delivering innovative products. In 2024, it produced about 459,000 vehicles and delivered over 495,000 in the fourth quarter alone, showcasing its ability to meet growing demand Tesla Fourth Quarter 2024 Production, Deliveries & Deployments.
💾Financially, Tesla reported $97,690 million in total revenue for 2024, with the automotive segment contributing $87,604 million and energy solutions adding $10,086 million Tesla, Inc. Annual Report on Form 10-K for 2024. This diversification into energy, alongside investments in autonomous driving, positions Tesla for long-term growth, making it attractive for investors seeking exposure to future trends in sustainability and technology.
📍 What Tesla Does Beyond EV Cars
Beyond EVs, Tesla is deeply involved in energy solutions:
📍 Solar Products: Offers solar panels and solar roofs for clean energy generation.
📍 Energy Storage: Provides Powerwall for homes and Megapack for large-scale projects, helping stabilize grids and manage energy costs.
📍 Charging Infrastructure : Operates a network of Supercharger stations, increasingly open to other EVs.
Services: Includes vehicle maintenance through service centers and body shops.
📍 Robotaxi: Plans to launch a fully autonomous ride-hailing service in June 2025 in Austin, Texas, potentially opening new revenue streams Tesla's robotaxis by June? Musk turns to Texas for hands-off regulation.
📍 Tesla Optimus: Developing a general-purpose robotic humanoid for tasks like household chores or industrial work, which could lead to new markets.
This expansion into energy and services, along with unexpected ventures like Robotaxi and Tesla Optimus, enhances Tesla's role in the transition to sustainable energy and technology, offering benefits like grid stability and potential robotics applications.
The growth in the energy segment, with a 67% increase from 2023 to 2024, highlights Tesla's expanding role in sustainability, potentially attracting investors focused on long-term trends. Additionally, Tesla's commitment to innovation, particularly in autonomous driving technology, is noteworthy. The company is developing features like Full Self-Driving (FSD), which could open new revenue streams, such as robotaxi services, enhancing its investment appeal.
🤔I think Optimus and Robotaxi will exceed rapidly exceed their EV cars revenue. Elon musk is predicing over 1000% growth in 5 years. Which would be way above $2900 without stocks splits.
I m a bit conservative and I think we can go somewhere between 3 - 4 standard deviations.
Wishing you continued success on your trading journey. May this educational post inspire you to become an even better trader!
“Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own.”
David Perk ⚔