TSLA trade ideas
TSLA at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown? Mar.3📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA
* Current Price Action: TSLA is recovering from a downtrend and has entered a reversal zone, breaking out of a descending channel. However, it's facing strong resistance near $298-$300.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance 1: $298-$300 (Volume Profile POC) – A critical area where sellers may step in.
* Resistance 2: $310 (3rd Call Wall) – Breaking above this could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Major Resistance: $320-$337 – Strong rejection expected if price reaches this level.
* Support 1: $290 (Volume Value Area Low - VAL) – A pullback could test this before another move up.
* Support 2: $280 (Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support) – A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling.
* Breakdown Level: $273 – Losing this level could send TSLA toward $250.
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, suggesting momentum may continue upward.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 96, signaling a potential pullback before another move.
🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels:
* 80.77% Call Resistance at $310 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum.
* 67.72% 2nd Call Wall at $350 → Strong gamma resistance, unlikely to break in the short term.
* Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support at $280 → If TSLA stays above, dealers will hedge bullishly.
* 3rd Put Wall at $273 → A breakdown here could lead to increased downside volatility.
* 2nd Put Wall at $250 → Below this, expect a sharp sell-off.
📌 IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 72.8 → High implied volatility, options are expensive.
* IVx Avg: 84.3 → Elevated, indicating large expected price swings.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 33.8% → Some bullish bias but not extreme.
📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $300 with strong volume.
* Target: $310, then $320.
* Stop Loss: Below $290.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown):
* Entry: Below $290.
* Target: $280 or $273.
* Stop Loss: Above $300.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion
* TSLA is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $300-$310 could push it toward $320+.
* If it fails to hold $290, expect a retest of $280-$273, which is a major support zone.
* Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike!
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
TSLA Predicted Path for 2025As of 3/2/25, TSLA sits at $292. Expecting a short retracement above $300, maybe as high as $314 this week, then expecting a sharp pivot back down to $204 (slight chance we only get as low as $275) before we see a mini rally back up to $360+, then pivot back down to reach the ultimate low price of around $120-$160 by mid-year to bottom out and then see the rally up to make a new all time high of $500+ going into 2026.
Tesla Ends the Week Rebounding from SupportFebruary has not been kind to Tesla (ticker: TSLA), settling the month down 28% and stirring levels not seen since November 2024.
I will keep the following analysis simple and concise. Despite the eye-watering drop in February, a daily support area entered the fray on Friday between US$264.82 and US$272.25, made up of the following technical components:
• Horizontal support at US$264.82
• Moderate Fibonacci cluster at US$272.25 (61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement values)
• Trendline support taken from the low of US$138.80
• 200-day SMA at US$278.75
• Oversold signal from the Relative Strength Index (the lowest level since early 2024)
• Bullish engulfing candlestick
In light of the technical confluence, this may prompt profit-taking, with technical traders possibly employing Friday’s bullish engulfing candle to structure their entry/risk parameters. A noticeable initial upside objective is seen at resistance from around US$326.70ish. Nevertheless, should sellers continue to pull the stock lower, the next layer of support is not seen until US$233.62.
Written by FP Markets Market Analyst Aaron Hill
TESLA Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear friends,
TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 292.31 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 353.33
Recommended Stop Loss - 263.13
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Upside potential on $TLSA Im back again with an analysis on Tesla (please feel free to check out the previous one: )
Tesla has had a rough couple of weeks more related to political sentiment than the company fundamentals itself. Now Tesla is testing a key support level highlighted by
1) the trendline support
2 the anchored Vwap from the low of April 2024
3) The Fibonacci 38.2% level
Should this support level hold (because we know nothing is guaranteed), We should see some serious upside. Target 1 would be to regain the $485 all time high and target 2 would be the 1.618 Fib level currently sitting at $689 (you read that right). The reason I like this trade is that it is a very low risk in the sense that it is sitting on the support level therefore you can manage risk fairly easily and keep it small if it doesn't hold. This is however a mid to long term play.
Feel free to comment what stock you would want to see me cover or what indicator and ill make some time for it.
PS this is for educational purposes only and this is not a trade recommendation in any way or form.
Stay green.
Buy the Dip $TSLANASDAQ:TSLA
Target TP: $414
Support: $292
Support 2: $269
SL: $209
Narrative:
1. Historically, TSLA stock price intersect with 200 EMA always reacted by a significant revamp.
2. Latest PCE report signaled a very strong growth in Automotive sector.
3. Short-Selling primarily driven by investor sentiment and materialization of long-dated long position, which is non related to fundamental business of Tesla's core value.
4. by April is Earnings report of Q2 2025 for Tesla. Tesla stock always respond highly volatile to the earnings report.
5. Strong uptrend support in Daily candle accompanied with major Fibonacci support range.
Bull and Bear case of TSLA1. Bull Case
Support & Potential Reversal Zones
$275–$280 appears to be the next support band on the Volume Profile.
$255–$238 also shows elevated volume, potentially acting as a secondary support if $275 fails.
Oversold Momentum Indicators
RSI is around 39, nearing oversold territory (<40). A reversal above 50 would signal renewed bullish momentum.
Stochastics around 20 is also in oversold range, hinting a short‐term bounce could be on deck.
Moving Averages (MAs)
The stock is trading below short‐term MAs (likely 9, 21, 50‐day).
Bullish trigger: A daily close above the 50‐day MA (currently near $340–$350) with rising volume would strongly suggest a bottom is in.
Upside Targets
$341–$353: Initial resistance from prior swing lows and converging MAs.
$415: Next major supply zone if TSLA can reclaim and hold above $353.
$488–$550: Longer‐term targets if a strong bullish trend re‐emerges.
Bullish Confirmation:
A bounce off $275–$280 or $255–$2188.
Momentum turning positive: RSI > 50 and Stochastics crossing up from oversold.
2. Bear Case
Downtrend & Lower Highs
TSLA has made lower highs since its peak (~$550), indicating a persistent downtrend.
The descending trendline from $490–$415–$353 remains intact.
Momentum Oscillators
RSI < 50 and drifting near 39: still in the bearish zone.
PMO (~-2.8 / -5.3) suggests ongoing negative momentum.
Further Downside Levels
If $275 breaks, next high‐volume nodes are around $255–$238.
A drop below $238 could open the door to $219, then the bigger gap area near $170 or even $138 if the sell‐off accelerates.
Moving Averages
Price is below key MAs, which have likely started rolling over (bearish slope).
Until price reclaims them, rallies may be short‐lived.
Bearish Confirmation:
A daily close below $275 .
RSI remains under 40, and PMO continues trending downward.
3. Which Side Is TSLA Currently Inclined Toward?
Short‐Term Bias: Bearish
Price remains below short‐term MAs, RSI < 50, and a negative PMO all point to continued downside or at best a weak bounce.
Possible Bounce:
Stochastics/RSI oversold suggests a short‐term relief rally is possible, but any upside must reclaim $340–$350 to meaningfully change the trend.
Overall, bears have the upper hand unless TSLA defends a strong support (like $275–$280) and reverses, pushing RSI back above 50. If support fails, expect further downside toward $255–$238 and potentially lower $218.
Bulls struggling to hold major trend support, is it over?boost and follow for more ❤️🔥unfortunately tesla is breaking some major pivot level and trend support.. but there is the last line of support around 280 @ the 200 SMA
if we can hold that then this could all be a big short trap before the next big Tesla rally.. 🚀
lets see what happens, good luck to everyone.. see you soon with more 💪
Nicest setup I’ve seen in a while-Not complicated; why make it?Tesla with perfect technically sound pattern
Five or six things coming together, including a perfect tag of the breakout line, a perfect tag of the long-term uptrend line a Bollinger band crash perfect tag of the Fibonacci .62
It’s like a perfect set up
Not very complicated; why make it complicated?
TSLA - $350 Magnet Update to my previous post, looking for for a nice technical bounce in March... would not want to be short here
Chart speaks for itself, with key pivot points shown. I'm out at $350 and will consider going short again there... otherwise take profits at $330 if bulls run out of steam
Correction before global spaceAccording to logarithms, we follow the global cycle of 5 waves. But now there is a correction of wave 4, the target for it is in the area of the last lows in the region of $ 105. Next, you can prepare for the 5th wave, where the goals are above > $ 2000 on the horizon of 2-4 years.