$Tesla back to $360 - explosive move expected soonSitting at the bottom of the long respected bottom support for it's current down trend channel after shedding $100 this month. Conditions are extremely oversold having reached a massive buy zone, which fills the long withstanding $280 gap from November, and also doubles as a retest of long term support (200MA).
The rebound from this area could easily take us to the top of the same channel around the $360 mark give or take, and bears would STILL be in control. Anything above that and we could see $400+ next month.
Easy swing play IMO for the next week or two - PTs are $345>$355>$365
TSLA trade ideas
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping Strategy🔥 Market Overview:
Trend: Strong bearish trend with no clear reversal yet.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $292.70, $303.37
Support: $287.00, $275.00
Indicators:
EMA9 below EMA200 → Downtrend still dominant.
MACD deeply negative → Bearish momentum strong.
RSI at 31.82 → Oversold territory, possible bounce.
Risk of Short Squeeze? Medium—if it reclaims $292.70, shorts could cover.
Market Maker Activity: Selling pressure remains high; no strong accumulation signs.
🔥 Scalping Strategy:
🩸 1. Momentum Scalping (If Reclaims $292.70)
Buy near: $292.70
Target: $303.00
Stop-loss: $290.00
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
🩸 2. Range Scalping (If Price Holds $287.00 - $292.70)
Buy near: $287.00
Sell near: $292.70
Stop-loss: $285.00
Profit Potential: ~2.9%
🩸 3. Breakout Scalping (If Below $287.00)
Short below: $287.00
Target: $275.00
Stop-loss: $290.00
Risk-to-Reward: 1:3
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks):
Below $287.00 = Tesla continues lower to $275.00.
If $292.70 is reclaimed, it could push towards $303.00.
🔥 News & Market Context:
45% YoY sales decline in Europe → Bearish.
Stock down 2.5% in a month → Trend aligns with bearish sentiment.
No earnings soon, no immediate catalysts.
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term Play: Short if $287.00 breaks, scalp long if $292.70 reclaims.
🩸 Mid-term Play: Bearish until confirmed reversal above $292.70.
🩸 Ideal Play: Play range between $287 - $292.70 cautiously.
👑 Final Verdict: No bottom yet—trade with discipline.
🔥 LucanInvestor's Quote:
"Markets punish greed and reward patience—wait for your moment."
TSLA is very close to a buy - $268 , 2-3 days ? Continuing coverage on TSLA. See other previous charts. Zeroing in on $268 as a good entry point. $249 is a stop loss for now. We are about 90 days early in time for a bottom. So caution and stops are warranted. Much lower prices are certainly possible Especially with the correction in the Nasdaq that is underway. Murrey Math, Elliotwave , Kumarwave all in play in this forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcomed. Good Luck.
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 305/2x315/320 BWB*... for a 1.25 credit.
Comments: I don't do these very often, but decided to putz with one here. The setup consists of two parts -- a long put vertical (the -315P/320P) and a short put vertical (the 305P/-315P), one of which is wider than the other. I wrapped it around the 30 delta/expected move strike at the 315 and erected wings out from there.
Although the ROC at max is sexy and alluring, it is illusory, since it would require a finish between the break even at 308.75 and 315 which is a fairly small landing pad when you've launched your rocket from 38 days out in time. Consequently, you generally want to look to take profit either at 50% max of the credit received or for something decent, but far less than the max if presented with the opportunity.
From a trade management standpoint, these generally work or they don't, although I will consider rolling up the 305 put to the 310, assuming I get an opportunity to do so for a debit that is less than the credit received. This would convert the setup into a "free fly," since both wings would be of the same width (i.e., the max loss of the short put vertical would be equal to the max loss of the long put vertical).
Metrics:
Max Profit: 6.25
Max Loss/Buying Power Effect: 3.75
ROC at Max: 167%
Break Even: 308.75/share
* -- Broken wing butterfly.
TESLA SWING LONG IDEA - TSLA We had a great run on Tesla after Trump's election, which boosted the idea of Robotaxi and green earnings over time.
If you follow me on X, you would know that I have been buying Tesla since the $204 level (August 5th crash). We had a great run from there to $490.
Currently, we have seen a 33% retracement from the top.
The price hit the weekly demand zone and showed a strong rejection there (forming a weekly dragonfly doji).
I have started to build a swing position from this level to ride Tesla to new all-time highs.
The first challenge will be the bearish trendline that has been driving the bearish trend since December 18th. Breaking that trendline should lead to new highs, in my opinion.
If the price breaks and closes below $300 on the daily chart, it will invalidate my setup, and I will look to exit the position.
Quick 4-Min Tesla Analysis: Deeper Pullback or Ready for LiftoffJust wrapped up a quick Tesla analysis (under 4 min)! Right now, we could see a dip to the $289 zone before pushing higher, or a deeper move down to $250 before driving up toward $475.
Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let me know your thoughts!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
#Tesla $TSLA is approaching key levels. NASDAQ:TSLA D1
Key levels:
$300: 1 Year demand zone.
$280: 200 SMA + a significant lower channel wedge extending since April 2024.
A bounce from these levels will fuel more momentum to $375 or more.
A weekly close below $270 will unlock a new zone extended down to $230
#TSLA #TESLA #STOCKS #AHMEDMESBAH
Weekly & Monthly Closing on a Positive Note is Important.Immediate Support is around 355 - 357,
if this level is Sustained on Monthly basis,
we may witness further upside around 400.
However, the monthly candle is not yet closed.
Weekly candle closing above 357 - 360 may confirm
a Morning Star Formation which will be a Positive Sign.
Strong Resistance is around 400 - 415.
Crossing & Sustaining 490, may lead it towards 600.
YOLLO TESLA TO $400'S ISH.... After weeks and weeks and weeks trying to find a button it looks like a Tesla found the bottom today. Take a look it looks promising. It looks like we could rebound to the low 400s at least and that is a good distance from here. Tesla remains a great company with increasing revenue from everywhere. You cannot sort it forever eventually reverse. I think Tesla has reached an extreme again.
$Tesla at a Crossroads: $330 Recovery or $259 Drop?Following MARKETSCOM:TESLA 's recent drop to $300, this analysis examines the critical support level that has recently formed and highlights $312.50 that could determine whether the stock recovers toward $330 or continues its downward trend to $259.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Drops by Over 8%
The Tesla stock chart today paints a grim picture for investors, as TSLA's price during trading on 25 February:
→ fell by more than 8% in a single day;
→ dropped below the psychologically significant $300 per share mark for the first time since early November 2024 (despite nearing $500 in late December 2024).
Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Have Fallen
Tesla’s sales in Europe fell by 45% in January compared to the same period last year, even as overall EV sales in Europe grew by 37%.
This sharp drop in European sales has heightened concerns that CEO Elon Musk’s political activities are negatively affecting the company’s business.
Technical Analysis of Tesla (TSLA) Stock Chart
Price movements in 2024 formed a key upward trend channel (marked by blue lines), but yesterday’s decline led to a bearish break below the lower boundary of this trend. Specifically:
→ The $330 level, where the lower blue boundary was breached, now appears to be a significant resistance level.
→ The B→C retracement is approximately 50% of the A→B decline – a bearish signal.
→ Price movements in 2025 outline a descending trend channel (marked in red), which is becoming increasingly relevant.
If the psychological support level of $300 per TSLA share fails to hold, the price may continue to decline towards the key $270 level. This level acted as resistance to growth in the second half of 2024 but was broken after news of Trump’s victory.
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, possibly hoping that Musk’s close ties with Trump will help accelerate the launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service.
Another potential positive driver could be Tesla’s entry into the Indian market.
According to TipRanks:
→ 13 out of 35 surveyed analysts recommend buying TSLA shares;
→ The average 12-month price target for TSLA is $357.
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TESLA: Tesla sales fall by 50% in Europe! Fear ??
Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union fell by 50.3% in January 2025, compared to the same month last year, according to figures published on Tuesday by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Specifically, the company sold 7,517 units in the first month of this year, compared to 15,130 vehicles in January 2024, according to EFE.
This drop contrasts, however, with a 34% increase in the purchase of electric vehicles in the EU, up to 124,341 units, so that this type of vehicle represented 15% of the automobile market.
In global terms, new vehicle registrations fell by an average of 2.6% in the community market, with the largest declines recorded in France (-6.2%), Italy (-5.8%) and Germany (-2.8%). Spain, however, was the only one of the four major EU economies in which new vehicle registrations increased, specifically by 5.3%.
--> What is the company's technical aspect?
If we look at the daily graph, the medium-long term trend is still bullish (Bull), but it is in a phase of decline that began on December 17 when it reached highs in the 488 area.
Yesterday, the shares plummeted by -8% due to the news of vehicle sales in Europe, reaching the KEY ZONE of 299 (61.8% Fibonacci + most important dynamic support). From this area, it is MOST LIKELY that there will be an upward rebound, but until this rebound is consolidated and the STRENGTH AND MOMENTUM turn bullish (Bull), the retracement phase will remain active.
--> Which area could be good for entering long positions?
If the price exceeds 383 with the H4 close, we could confirm the end of the retracement and the beginning of a new bullish impulse on the way to highs.
-------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 383
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 429 area (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 349 (-9%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-9%) (coinciding with the 899 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 429 ).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
WHERE IS TESLA GOING???Tesla latest earnings report sent shockwaves to investors with earnings per share and revenue missing Wall Street expectations. The stock initially dropped in after hours trading but managed to rebound a little as the market digested the report . With mixed sentimental surrounding the automotive giants near term prospects, lets take a look at the stock technical positioning.
Tesla reported Q4 2024 earnings per share of $0.73, missing the concuss estimate of $0.76.
Revenue came in at $25.71 billion falling short of the expected $27.26 billion. From technical perspective Tesla is trading around $375 if this neckline break it shall test the support around 340- $257.Thats the area where buyers previously stepped in during November 2024.
TSLA - Prepare to buy $282 - $264 Tesla has been in a 3 month pull back and the price is almost right to pull the trigger on a re entry. She is however ahead of schedule by a solid 2 full months in time. This usually resolves itself in price. Meaning a break down to lower support levels. So if the regression to the mean price level is at $282, we could see slippage down to $264 quite easily and it is almost expected. $250, is easily reachable as well. If we break down below $250, I would take a knee on this one, and wait passed the June 11 date to re-enter. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Kumar wave being used for the forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcome. Good Luck!
TSLA at a Critical Level! Reversal or More Pain Ahead? Feb. 26Technical Analysis (TA) & Price Action
Tesla (TSLA) has been in a sharp downtrend, breaking key support levels and forming a descending channel on the 1-hour chart. The stock is now testing a crucial demand zone around $300, which aligns with a major PUT wall and strong buyer interest.
Key observations:
* Trend Structure: TSLA is currently in a falling wedge pattern, often a sign of potential reversal.
* Support & Resistance:
* Major Resistance: $320 (previous breakdown level).
* Key Support: $300 (PUT Wall and highest negative NETGEX).
* Breakout Target: $340 if TSLA regains momentum.
* MACD Indicator: Bearish but showing early signs of a possible crossover.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) indicator reveals heavy PUT positioning near $300, making it a high-stakes level. A break below could trigger a gamma-driven sell-off, while holding above could fuel a short-covering rally.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): 62, with IVx avg at 71.7%, indicating high volatility.
* Call Side Bias: 31.3% of options flow, meaning some traders are betting on a bounce.
* Key GEX Levels:
* PUT Wall & Key Support: $300 → Breaking below could see more downside toward $290-$280.
* CALL Resistance & Upside Target: $340 → Breaking above this level would confirm a reversal.
Trade Plan & Suggestions
📌 Bullish Reversal Play (If $300 Holds)
* Entry: Above $306 with strong volume.
* Target 1: $320
* Target 2: $340 (CALL Wall breakout target).
* Stop-loss: Below $297
📌 Bearish Breakdown Play (If $300 Fails)
* Entry: Below $297 with volume confirmation.
* Target 1: $290
* Target 2: $280 (Potential next support).
* Stop-loss: Above $310
Final Thoughts
TSLA is at a make-or-break level, with $300 acting as the battleground. If buyers step in, we could see a relief rally toward $320-$340. However, if selling pressure continues, a break below $300 could lead to a further slide toward $280. High volatility means traders should be cautious and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
📢 Risk Management: Adjust stop-loss levels and position size accordingly. This setup has high risk but also high reward potential.
🔹 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly before trading.