Tesla Faces Bearish Sentiment: Short Recommendations for Next We
- Key Insights: Tesla's stock is currently in a bearish trend, trading below key
moving averages and experiencing negative momentum. The broader consumer
discretionary sector is struggling, with Tesla contributing to the overall
market decline. Analysts urge caution as price action suggests significant
downside risks, especially if it fails to breach resistance levels.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $350.00, T2: $335.00; Stop levels: S1:
$354.45, S2: $360.00. Given the current price of $361.62, the targets
reflect a conservative outlook, aligning with the bearish sentiment
identified in market analysis.
- Recent Performance: Tesla's stock has seen steady declines over the past
weeks, evidenced by missed revenue and earnings targets in the recent
earnings report. The recurring theme of negative international sales and
declining consumer interest continues to pressure the stock.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain split on Tesla's outlook. While some experts,
like Tom Lee, believe the stock is undervalued due to its investments in AI
and innovative technologies, bearish trends suggest that unless key
resistance levels are reclaimed, substantial downside remains a real
concern.
- News Impact: Recent earnings reports have significantly impacted investor
sentiment, showcasing miss targets and raising concerns about international
market performance. At the same time, the initiation of new Model Y orders
could potentially stabilize demand, but tariff-related challenges in
overseas markets continue to pose risks to growth.
TSLA trade ideas
TLSA takes a breather, a deep oneTrend Barrier is broken.
Close below the Weekly Center-Line.
There's mostly a reaction to such events, so I expect a slight weekly pullback to the upside before a complete break to the PTG1.
PTG2 could be the continuation profit target mid term.
Rule #1: Protect You Soldiers
TSLA 367.5 PUT 2/7/25 (Win)Saw TSLA broke out to the downside of a Daily descending triangle, and broke below the daily/weekly trend line leading me to a slightly bearish bias on top of the tariff news from Trump. 1HR timeframe showed a mini downtrend and what appeared to be a head & shoulder pattern. Dropped down to the 15 minute timeframe, and saw price broke below the ORB low, made a 15min head & shoulder and also formed a bearish flag pattern, which lead to me entering the trade. Multiple confluences for the win.
TESLA Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for TESLA is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 361.54
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 401.41
My Stop Loss - 337.47
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Tesla Long sell to 168Tesla is selling off rapidly . Based upon the previous chart data, I see 256 in the next 2-3weeks , seeing that we broke broke above the downwards trend channel in September to touch 256-265 , came down in October and grabbed 211 then proceeded to continue to trend upwards outside of the channel. How ever Major Support on the monthly time frame shows 168 as a the start of the upwards trend in June and reaching 270 in July , Coming down to grab 180 in August establishing a higher low, then continuing upwards momentum. I believe the market will follow the same pattern downwards All the way to 165.We will see what follows when we get there.
Bullish Confluence: Possible upwards move in the short termThe following elements support a short-term upwards move to 288:
Market structure : Falling wedge, price hitting the lower line.
Price Action : Price hitting a relatively strong support level at 361.
Oscillator 1 : Stochastic RSI is in the oversold zone. But it is still pointing downwards so there maybe still be some way to move downwards.
Oscillator 2 : DMI shows a weakening of the bearish line and a pickup of the bullish line.
I expect any upward movement will be brief and will quickly be overcome due to:
1. Poor fundamentals, falling sales in major outlets across the board including China.
2. Poor brand image due to the CEO’s most recent actions.
TSLA just another opinionI'm bullish long term bearish short term. If this plays to the down side marked I think it may happen quick.
Stairs up, elevator down.
I only day trade options, long and short, and DCA shares long term
There is a lot of meat on the bone almost daily, risk is high.
See profit, take profit is the current mode.
maybe $300 coming this next week ....
TSLA: Fractal-Based Timing [FA]Coverage of the chart as a reflexion of reality without TA bias because the chart is already a self-referential source.
Visualizing the relativistic structure of price movements using Fibonacci Channels, mapping historical significance onto a probabilistic framework. The intersections of these channels define areas of probability density, highlighting potential attractors and repellers for price. This structured projection offers a fractal-based roadmap of price behavior, where past cyclical relationships guide future targets.
Frames of Reference:
HH 2021 × LL 2023 → LL 2024
Regressive HH 2021 → LL 2024
Regressive LL 2023 → HH 2024
Interconnected historic prices project probabilistic levels at intersections (Interference Pattern in QM). Use them to evaluate your own targets.
TSLA Main Trend 02 2025Logarithm. Time frame 1 month (no need for less). Chart until 2031
🟢At the moment we are running a big triangle that broke through upwards .
🔄 There is a rollback now , to retest the breakout zone. All according to technical analysis, due to the super success of the company and the liquidity of its shares. As for me, the retest should be successful, and then the trend will continue.
🔴But, they can do, like in the last cycle (I specifically highlighted this and showed %), a reset (for some grandiose news) and only then a reversal. If this happens, remember, this is a "temporary phenomenon". Do not play locally in shorts, the main trend is bullish, and it will clearly dominate in the long term.
Fundamental analysis. Competition with BYD.
That's why I'll write a lot of text about how this will greatly affect the price of TSLA shares in the future (real supply/demand) due to trade wars for sales markets.
1️⃣ The only competitor in the world is only the Chinese BYD . Which will become an order of magnitude stronger for TSLA in monetary terms and the popularity of more technologically advanced and affordable cars. Its main advantage, why it can give a cheaper price for a higher quality product, is complete control over the production of the most expensive unit of an electric car - batteries. From the extraction of raw materials for production to the assembly of the battery, without intermediaries. But, it is worth noting that the future super giant BYD will be denied access (as is currently partially the case) to countries where politics is subject to US influence.
This is the so-called "gray zone" where a "trade war" will develop for the sale of products. The one who pays more will win, or their government (USA or China) will use greater leverage. For example, as now, in Brazil. The construction of the BYD plant is closed due to "inhumane working conditions" (and this is in a company with 500 billion in capital) in an important region (Latin America), where "the enemy does not sleep" and plans to begin construction of TSLA-Brazil in 2026. You probably understand what the matter is...
The main “trade battle” will naturally take place for the European market . The European electric car industry will not be competitive with TSLA and BYD (two main flagship companies in the transition of internal combustion engines to electric transport on earth).
It is worth noting that TSLA is now very popular in China. There is a large plant (Shanghai). 40,000 pre-orders for the new Model Y. The Chinese government does not interfere with this. But if unfair play continues in other markets, it is unlikely that TSLA will not be thrown out of China. Competition must be fair. Duties on cars are similar. So far, this is conditionally observed, but there are negative signs from the United States.
2️⃣ The reality of the launch of a new hydrogen engine from Toyota. There are rumors that it is being developed jointly with BMW. This is a completely new level of hydrogen engines. Instead of refueling with hydrogen, distilled water will be poured into the tank. The engine converts it into hydrogen. Serial production will allegedly begin in 2028, when the first hydrogen BMW models will roll off the assembly line.
In some sources, also together with Mercedes-Benz, and even Porsche. Perhaps this is just a news teaser for a potential future buyer, to save the catastrophic decline in sales last year and this year, due to the virtual loss (due to the inability to compete) of the world's largest sales market — China.
It is probably logical to assume that the release of this hydrogen engine to the masses will negatively affect TSLA shares. Provided that TSLA does not follow this fuel trend. My opinion is that they are unlikely to give mass production to something like this. It is like the mass production of electric cars in the 1990s and 2000s, in the era of the reign and monopoly of the hegemonies of oil capital, and as a consequence of internal combustion engines.
3️⃣ Massive power outages around the world. The next point is probably more of a “conspiracy theory”, but I can't help but mention the extremely unlikely scenario of impact on stock prices (a sharp drop).
It is worth noting that the shares of any company that is associated with electricity are extremely “afraid” of a massive power outage and its rise in price, especially accompanied by extremely negative news. If, at least for a week, with a significant transition to electric vehicles (for example, 20-30%) in a large city there are power outages, then this can have an extremely negative impact on the shares of companies associated with the production of electric vehicles and components for them, which is logical. To scare and save and, as a result, "get your way".
4️⃣ Also, a gradual but rapid rise in the price of electricity , as a result of some events or policies, will discourage people from using electric vehicles (they will buy and drive less). This could also have a negative impact on the earnings of these companies like TSLA and BYD, and as a result on their speculative assets.
PS . Of all the points, probably the most important is 1 (real competition and trade war). Then 2, after 2028. Before that, I think TSLA and other companies related to electric cars will pump up a lot.
[02/03] TSLA GEX Outlook for February expiration📌 Key Levels & GEX Insights
Gamma Flip Zone: ~400 (until Febr expiration)
Tight Transition Zone, Wide Clear Movement Range
Above 420 Call Resistance : Every strike has positive Net GEX, meaning a return to this range would likely support further balanced upside or sideways movement.
Below 375 : The next PUT support is at 350, so a break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop.
There are 3 weeks until expiration. IV and IVR remain high even after earnings.
Despite today’s selloff, the high call pricing skew is still attractive if we want to collect credit.
In this case, a call butterfly or broken-wing call butterfly could be worth considering—but strictly based on GEX levels.
PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 330/335/465/470 IC*... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: Post-earnings, IV remains fairly decent here at 57.3. Selling the -20 delta short option legs and buying the wings out from there. Basically, just doing small stuff while I wait for other stuff to play out.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.70
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
ROC at Max: 51.2%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Delta/Theta: .95/2.24
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, consider doing a delta adjustment when the delta/theta ratio skews out to >2.0.
* -- Iron Condor.
TSLA: Technical Analysis (TA) for Feb. 7Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Market Overview
* Current Price: $370.88
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $380: Immediate resistance. A breakout above this level aligns with a potential gamma squeeze.
* $400: Higher resistance and critical level for bullish continuation.
* Key Support Levels:
* $363: Closest support, aligned with the highest negative GEX level.
* $350: Stronger support and psychological level with higher PUT concentration.
Trend Analysis
* TSLA is moving within a descending triangle. A breakout above $380 could signal a bullish reversal.
* However, price action remains constrained, suggesting cautious entry until direction is confirmed.
Momentum Indicators
* MACD: Bearish momentum is easing, but there is no clear bullish crossover yet.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought in short-term, indicating the potential for short-term consolidation before further moves.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading
GEX Overview:
* Call Resistance:
* $380: Strong resistance aligned with 92.29% CALL wall concentration.
* Put Support:
* $363: High negative GEX level, suggesting robust support.
* Sentiment: GEX indicates a neutral-to-bearish sentiment due to concentrated PUT walls below the current price.
Trading Suggestion
Options Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Call Options if the price breaks above $380 with strong volume.
* Target: $400.
* Stop Loss: Below $374.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Put Options if the price drops below $363.
* Target: $350.
* Stop Loss: Above $368.
Critical Observations
* At market open, price movements may shift due to increased volume and volatility. Ensure to check real-time GEX updates to validate your setups.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risks accordingly.