TSLA trade ideas
TSLA short swing ideaI like the RR in this trade, that's why I am choosing TSLA over others. As we are bearish on current order flow, the price prints are showing bearish movement in the coming days. One possibility is that it might take out buystops before trending lower and I think today's day will give more information on that. However, the technicals are there that favors the trade. Weekly Sibi, Daily SIBI, and H1 breaker + FVG.
Tesla: bounce expected at $200 Support?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where the price has previously shown bullish reactions. This level aligns closely with the psychological $200 mark, which tends to carry added weight in the market .
The recent momentum suggests that buyers could step in and drive the price higher. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would increase the probability of a bounce from this level. If I'm right and buyers regain control, the price could move toward the 260.00 level.
However, a breakout below this support would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially leading to more downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
TSLA Trade Thesis (Test)TSLA is holding strong at current demand. In order for price to rise, it will have to invalidate closest supply, if demand cannot hold, expecting price to sell off
:bulb: Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: $75.34
Stop Loss: $42.85
:dart: Targets:
Target 1: $139.27
Target 2: $217.02
Raise your stop-loss to entry price once we price reaches $98.95
:mag: Reasoning:
The double correction may be ending at that level for the stock market.
TSLA descending wedge into heavy support bounce? 300-330 pttesla has been slaughtered by the tariffs and social justice warriors, but it seems to be finding footing.
here we see a triple bottom on very heavy volume combined with a possible descending wedge. with earnings coming up in a few weeks (4/22, surprisingly not sunday 4/20 ha), it seems the risk/reward here is looking reasonable.
one possible way to play this with minimal cash outlay is TSLL. this is a 2x leveraged etf that also has options available on it. thile not suitable for a long term 'buy and hold', it can work well for shorter term trades without having to blow out too much cash making the risk/reward here look somewhat attractive.
target 300-330, or about a 30-40% bump from here. stops should be around 200-210, or pessimistically sub 200.
TESLA Always Pay YOURSELF! Tsla Stock were you PAID? GOLD Lesson
⭐️I want to go into depth regarding the this topic but it is a long one with PROS & CONS for doing and not doing it.
Every trader must choose what's best for them but you will SEE when I finally get to the write up that MANY OF THE PROS are NOT FINANCIAL but PSYCHOLOGICAL❗️
Another of 🟢SeekingPips🟢 KEY RULES!
⚠️ Always Pay YOURSELF.⚠️
I know some of you chose to HOLD ONTO EVERYTHING and place your STOP at the base of the WEEKLY CANDLE we entered on or the week priors base.
If you did that and it was in your plan GREAT but... if it was NOT that is a TRADING MISTAKE and You need to UPDATE YOUR JOURNAL NOW.
You need to note EVERYTHING. What you wanted to see before your exit, explain why not taking anything was justified to you, were there EARLY exit signals that you did not act on. EVERYTHING.
🟢SeekingPips🟢 ALWAYS SAYS THE BEST TRADING BOOK YOU WILL EVER READ WILL BE YOUR COMPLETE & HONEST TRADING JOURNAL ⚠️
📉When you read it in black amd white you will have YOUR OWN RECORD of your BEST trades and TRADING TRIUMPHS and your WORST TRADES and TRADING ERRORS.📈
✅️ KEEPING an UPTO DATE JOURNAL is STEP ONE.
STUDYING IT IS JUST AS IMPORTANT👍
⭐️🌟⭐️🌟⭐️A sneak peek of the LESSON after will be HOW & WHEN TO ENTER WHEN THE OPEN BAR IS GOING THE OPPOSITE WAY OF YOUR IDEA.👌
🚥Looking at the TESLA CHART ABOVE you will see that we were interested in being a BUYER when the weekly bar was BEARISH (GREEN ARROW) and we started to consider TAKE PROFITS and EXITS when the (RED ARROW) Weekly bar was still BULLISH.🚥
First let's go down a little more and then retest broken supportFifth Elliott wave is forming. This wave may possibly extend to $160.
It is likely to test the support it broke later around $250.
* The purpose of my graphic drawings is purely educational.
* What i write here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose your money.
Tesla Forecast 2025 - Key Support Level on $209
NASDAQ:TSLA and AMEX:SPY are both down significantly, with the former reflecting a market shift from a Keynesian economy—reliant on government spending that benefits a few well-connected corporations—to an Adam Smith-inspired liberal economy driven by the invisible hand. Could this transition, with all the buzz about tariffs, fuel inflation? That depends on how these new policies are executed, especially since $2.2 trillion of the Fed’s 2020–2022 QE remains in the system. Definitely, pushing for interest rate cuts now would be a premature shortcut.
This new approach to economic policy will sap vitality from large corporations that thrived on U.S. government spending—spanning defense contractors to retailers—while favoring innovative companies like $TSLA. Firms such as NASDAQ:TSLA , which focus on efficiency and generate real wealth rather than nominal gains, stand to gain. Technically, NASDAQ:TSLA ’s key support level on the five-year weekly chart is $209, a critical and pivotal threshold.
Tesla (TSLA) Long-Term Analysis: Retesting Key SupportHello traders! Let’s dive into a long-term analysis of Tesla (TSLA) on the monthly chart to understand where the stock might be headed next. I’ll walk you through my thought process, focusing on a comparison between the recent correction and a similar setup in 2020, while also analyzing the current correction’s alignment with the triangle formation from the 2021–2024 consolidation. My goal is to help you see the context of this setup and make an informed decision if you’re considering a trade.
Step 1: Understanding the Big Picture and Historical Context
Tesla has been in a strong uptrend since 2013, as evidenced by the ascending channel (highlighted in blue). This channel has guided the stock’s long-term trajectory, with the lower trendline providing support during pullbacks and the upper trendline acting as resistance during peaks. Within this uptrend, Tesla has experienced significant breakouts followed by corrections, and I’ve identified a compelling similarity between the current price action and a setup from 2020, alongside a key technical level from the recent consolidation.
Step 2: Comparing the Recent Correction to 2020
In 2020, Tesla consolidated in a range between $12 and $24 (labeled "Consolidation 1" on the chart). It then broke out, rallying to a high of $64.60—a gain of about 169% from the upper end of the consolidation range. Following this breakout, Tesla experienced a sharp pullback, dropping to $23.37, which represents a 63.8% correction from the $64.60 high. After finding support at this level, Tesla resumed its upward trajectory, soaring to $166.71—a 613% increase from the pullback low. Now, let’s look at the current situation: Tesla broke out of "Consolidation 2" (around 2021–2024), rallying from $212.11 to a high of $488.54—a 130% increase. It has since corrected by 51%, dropping to the current price of $239.43. This 51% pullback is slightly less severe than the 63.8% correction in 2020, but the structure is similar: both followed significant breakouts from consolidation zones.
Step 3: Current Price Action and the Triangle Retest
Tesla is currently trading at $239.43, down 55% from its recent high of $488.54. If the correction deepens to around 60%, it would bring the price to approximately $195.42 (calculated as $488.54 × (1 - 0.60) = $195.42), which aligns perfectly with the upper trendline of the triangle formation from "Consolidation 2" and the "Retest support?" zone around $170–$200. This confluence suggests that the current correction could be setting the stage for a significant bounce, just as the 2020 correction did. If this $170–$200 level fails to hold, I’m watching for a deeper pullback to the "Retest support" zone around $138–$150, which aligns with the lower trendline of the ascending channel and has acted as support during previous pullbacks (e.g., in 2023).
Step 4: My Prediction and Trade Idea
Here’s where I put myself in your shoes: if I were trading Tesla, I’d be watching for a retest of the $170–$200 support zone as a potential buying opportunity, drawing from both the 2020 playbook and the current technical setup. Why? In 2020, Tesla found support at $23.37 after a 63.8% correction, which set the stage for a 613% rally to $166.71. Similarly, a 60% correction now would bring Tesla to the upper trendline of the Consolidation 2 triangle at $170–$200, a level that could act as a springboard for the next leg up. If Tesla holds this support, I expect a move back toward the $300–$339 range, where it faced resistance before the recent drop. A break above $339 could signal a continuation toward $488.54, retesting the recent high.
Profit Targets and Stop Loss
Entry: Consider buying around $170–$200 if the price retests this support and shows signs of reversal (e.g., a bullish candlestick pattern or increased volume).
Profit Target 1: $300 (a conservative target based on recent resistance).
Profit Target 2: $339 (a more aggressive target at the prior resistance zone).
Stop Loss: Place a stop below $160 to protect against a breakdown of the $170–$200 support zone. This gives the trade a risk-reward ratio of up to 13:1 for the first target.
Risks to Consider
If Tesla fails to hold the $170–$200 support, we could see a deeper correction toward $138–$150, and potentially even $64–$90, another historical support level. Additionally, keep an eye on broader market conditions, as Tesla is sensitive to macroeconomic factors like interest rates and consumer sentiment in the EV sector. While the 2020 setup and the triangle retest provide a historical and technical parallel, the current 55% drop suggests heightened volatility, so be prepared for potential whipsaws around these key levels.
Conclusion
Tesla’s recent 55% correction from $488.54 to $239.43 echoes the 63.8% pullback in 2020 after the breakout from "Consolidation 1." If the correction deepens to 60%, it would retest the upper trendline of the Consolidation 2 triangle at $170–$200, suggesting a potential opportunity for a high-probability trade with clear profit targets and a defined stop loss. This setup could mirror the 2020 recovery, where Tesla rallied 613% after finding support. What do you think of this setup? Let me know in the comments—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
Long TSLA Next Week: Targets and Analysis
- Key Insights: Tesla's brand may face challenges, but its advancements in
autonomous driving and robotics technology provide a strong foundation for
potential growth. Despite ongoing volatility and political distractions, the
focus should be on Tesla's technological and innovative strengths. A mixed
sentiment from analysts suggests monitoring reversal signals for possible
entry points.
- Price Targets: Next week's targets for a long position are set at $255 (T1)
and $262 (T2), with stop levels at $217 (S1) and $190 (S2).
- Recent Performance: Tesla, along with other tech stocks, has faced significant
volatility influenced by broader market weaknesses. Breaking key levels
within major indices like the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100 has affected Tesla's
technical outlook. Despite this, there's potential for a V-shaped recovery
led by improvements in the tech sector.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts present a dual sentiment, acknowledging the brand
issues while highlighting innovations like Tesla's role in autonomous
driving. Predictions suggest holding Tesla stock with specific price targets
in mind to leverage potential future growth.
- News Impact: Factors such as tariffs, US-China trade tensions, and
disappointing Q1 vehicle sales continue to challenge Tesla's market
position. Political actions from Elon Musk and discussions around vandalism
incidents contribute to brand challenges. However, Tesla's progress in AI
and robotics remains promising for future growth. The situation warrants
close attention to market shifts and reversal signals.
TSLA Enters the Breakdown Zone – Is $222 Next? Prepare or Avoid the Trap!
🧠 Market Insight:
The recent Trump tariff announcement has shocked the tech and EV sectors, triggering a broad sell-off across growth names. With sentiment rattled and gamma exposure skewing aggressively negative, traders are facing a high-risk, high-opportunity zone. TSLA is now sitting at a critical juncture—with both Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Options Market positioning flashing red flags. Caution is essential, but opportunity awaits the prepared.
🔍 Technical Analysis (1H Chart):
* Break of Structure (BOS) at $243 confirms bearish intent after multiple Chochs.
* Price is holding below a major supply zone ($250–$272), now turned resistance.
* Strong bearish channel structure forming, with price consolidating just below BOS—often a sign of continuation.
* MACD is below the signal line but slightly curling upward—showing potential for a relief bounce.
* Stoch RSI is oversold, indicating exhaustion in short-term bearish momentum. Watch for a bullish crossover.
🔐 Key Levels:
* Resistance: $243.32 (prior BOS), $249.89 (HVL / NETGEX wall), $272.5 (2nd Call Wall).
* Support: $235 zone (current), $222.28 (recent swing low), $215–$210 (GEX danger zone).
💣 Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Highest Negative NETGEX at $250 – now acting as a gamma barrier, suggesting strong dealer hedging may suppress rallies.
* Heavy put walls layered down from $235 to $210, with the 2nd PUT Wall (-66.72%) at $215, marking a likely magnetic downside zone.
* IVR: 95.2 with Call$ at 60.5% – Options are still expensive, and call bias may indicate dip-buying interest, but negative GEX outweighs that for now.
📈 Trading Scenarios:
🐻 Bearish Continuation (High Probability):
* Entry: Below $235
* Target: $222 → $215
* Stop: Above $243 BOS
* Reason: Clean break of BOS, trapped longs, negative gamma buildup
🐂 Bullish Reversal (Less Likely – Monitor):
* Entry: Bounce from $235 with strong volume + bullish MACD crossover
* Target: $243 → $249.89
* Stop: Below $230
* Reason: Oversold Stoch RSI + high IV environment may cause volatility pop
💡 Strategy Suggestions:
* Scalpers: Trade between gamma walls, especially $235 to $222 zone with tight stops.
* Swing traders: Wait for reclaim of $243 to consider long.
* Options: Buying puts carries risk due to inflated IV. Consider spreads (put debit or bear call).
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
TSLA has lost key support and sits in a high-volatility, dealer-driven gamma pocket. Directional plays are dangerous unless you're trading with the flow and reacting quickly. Be surgical, respect your stops, and scale into conviction—not noise.
🧨 This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading. 🧨
TESLA: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
Balance of buyers and sellers on the TESLA pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the buyers, therefore is it only natural that we go long on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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$TSLA $160-180? I think..."Technical bounce on NASDAQ:TSLA at 160-180? – Possible long???"
📉 Nasty drop on TSLA, broke below the $250 level.
🎯 Potential short setup now, with a target around $160-180.
That’s where I’ll start buying—if we get a daily or weekly reversal candle, with a stop just below support.
👉 Follow me for more updates on stocks and futures.
TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFATSLA Weekly Chart Analysis-Bearish Scenario. NFA
-Weekly structure making bearish rising wedge
-This week's candle closed below 200Days SMA and also EMA9/21 cross down on weekly.
-Price rejected from weekly resistance zone(Red iFVG-W rectangle)
- if market continues to drop next week I am expecting Sellside($138ish) as next target
nazis arent from south africawhat do u want me to say...
weekly chart here w/ weekly trendlines (aggressive & conservative- dashed)
earnings report on the 22nd line up at 200$ for Q1. awfully close at the 173/169 dollar too.
what does the FOMC have to say on the 9th???
i have an alert at 200, i'll buy @ 175$ (wait n see a week or two)
the Left losing their minds!!!!!!!
TSLA is coming down to my buy zoneTSLA is coming down to my buy zone. I will be accumulating at 229 and below.
I will start first by selling cash covered naked puts to collect credits until it drops to that zone. The goal is to get assigned with the naked put options at a cost of 229 and below to purchase TSLA shares.
There is a good possibility that the next earnings of TSLA will disappoint and we might get a quick dip. In that case we may even see early 200s. I would be adding more shares there.
Note that this is a weekly chart so it will take some time to play out.
This is a long term hold for me.
Upside Target:
- Nearest upside target is 11.9% above the current price, approximately $267.86.
Downside Target:
- Nearest downside target is -1% below the current price, approximately $237.04.
- Next downside target is approximately $195.65-196
- Support and Resistance: Monitor the support at $217.02 and resistance at $291.85 for potential breakouts or breakdowns.
- Action: Given the bearish sentiment, consider waiting for a clearer bullish signal or confirmation of support holding before entering long positions. Up Volume to Down Volume Ratio 30-Days is 0.86 and 50-Days is 0.78, both below 0.8, indicating bearish sentiment in the near term so wait for it to come down to the buy zone.
TSLA looking for a bounce in the buyer's garageOn the NASDAQ:TSLA 1W chart, the price is currently pulling back below the 78.6 Fibonacci retracement level after a significant move up, and the zone between 224 and 182 presents an attractive area for potential long entries. The Ichimoku cloud (10, 20, 40, 10) shows bearish momentum, but a change in market structure on the daily chart such as a break above a previous swing high would strengthen the bullish case. The Trend Strength Index (20, 10) is in overbought territory, signaling caution, but if the price fails to reverse soon, it could continue falling toward the 146 to 109 range, a historically strong support zone where price has rebounded multiple times. This area would become a key long term investment opportunity if reached.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.