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China Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

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CN10Y trade ideas

Bitcoin and Global LiquidityWhenever global liquidity increases, this liquidity increase fuels Bitcoin and supports Bitcoin's rise. This pattern has been continuing in the form of a sine wave since 2009. Global liquidity falls at certain times and rises at certain times. Since 2011, global liquidity has been rising in a low-speed trend, exceeding the previous peak each time it rose. Global liquidity, which last peaked in 2022, returned to a slow increase at the beginning of 2023. I think there is currently at least a 100% gap for this rise to be completed. I think Bitcoin will also rise as this gap is filled. I think it is essential for at least a long-term cryptocurrency investor to follow global liquidity closely. While this global liquidity is not meaningful to explain the SP500 or Nasdaq indexes, it appears to be in full correlation with Bitcoin.
TVC:CN10YLong
by YavuzAkbay
Global Liquidity vs BTCUSDIn this idea we'll have a look global liquidity vs BTCUSD on a quarterly timeframe. The main pane contains the bars of a new global liquidity formula discovered by Twitter TechDev_52. On top of the bars is a solid orange line which is BTCUSD both on quarterly timeframe. Also on the main pane is a value grid for global liquidity which is based on time and global liquidity closing values. The secondary panes show the DB ZPS RSI values of global liquidity and BTCUSD. The entire point of this idea is three factors; 1) showcase the beautiful cyclical nature of global liquidity and 2) to show the beautiful cyclical nature of BTCUSD and financially 3) the near 1-to-1 high timeframe cycle pattern matches. It's common theory that as global liquidity increases money flows into highly valuable assets and then trickles into secondary assets in a lagging manner. If this idea is correct, this would showcase the best periods to enter and exit assets from a very high level from an investment point of mind. To the investor these cyclical patterns are a gift that shows periods of wealth growing opportunities in traded assets. Enjoy!
TVC:CN10YLong
by thefluffyones
China Credit Cycle & US MarketsIdea on Macro: - China's Credit Impulse has turned negative. - Credit impulse is the change in new credit issued as a % of GDP. - China's Government Bonds 10 YR Yield are correlated with China's Credit Cycle. - The Credit Cycle taking a downturn signals deflation. Bond prices will rise as borrowers (issuers) will expect to pay back the principal at a loss, and interest rates will fall to incentivize borrowing. During deflation, default risk increases. - There is news of China "cracking down" on the market... Warning signs: www.bloomberg.com Commodities: www.reuters.com Cryptocurrencies: www.reuters.com - However, these are simply headlines. What is occurring is a downturn in the China Credit Cycle, and deflation in their economy. - The US markets too follow the China Credit Cycle. After the 2008 bailouts, the US markets followed the credit impulse back to recovery. - Now China's Credit Cycle has begun a downturn. US markets have deviated so far from this traditional relationship - creating a global asset inflationary bubble, that there is only one thing left it can do, according to reflexivity... return to the mean. - Once the deflationary shock takes place, there are several ways out. WWII followed the Great Depression, with defense spending and inflation. - A wild thought, but perhaps with the UAP disclosures, the US is toying with an idea for future defense spending... www.cnn.com GLHF - DPT
TVC:CN10YShort
by UnknownUnicorn1043646
ridethepig | Chinese Yields Struggling📌 A Pullback for Chinese Yields This illustrates the notion of development in a change in trend for China's sovereign bond market . Sellers avoided a breakout and are aiming to test 3.00%. On the fundamental side , China is outperforming as expectations are skewed towards favouring their management of the virus and recognisable weakness of the West! Strong LT push factors remain in play, putting the renminbi into SDR was a g ame-changer , as with the Saudi's allowing issuing Oil in CNY contracts; 2020 was the year of the Yuan while 2021 looks more like a game of two halves. H1 2021 we have another deflation storm cooking while H2 2021 rate markets are showing early hints of inflation and rate hikes. On the technical side, sellers now have the attacking position in the highs. This is a definite advantage . Here the weakness comes from a breach of our diagonal resistance (light blue). With this move, sellers see themselves as obliged to continue by playing an initial test of 3.00% which will unlock a sweep of July 2020 lows at 2.83%. Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming 👍 or 👎
TVC:CN10YShort
by ridethepig
2
A sick market - China 10 year bonds future marketToday let's look at the China 10 year bonds future market. As the most important market of controlling the inflation , those "jigou" ( securities company hedging manager in Chinese) are buying this market into Renminbi interests lower which is canceling the 13th. March hike. This has caused 3 months inflation lower in China till the June. ( maybe they're saving their ass from the buying failure in 2016) There's a system bug between "zhengjianhui" ( China Securities Regulatory Commission in Chinese) and the PBOC as an administration absence in China 10 year bonds future market. This market has no administration, crazy... I here urge the China authorities assembling a super administration bank like the U.K or the USA as soon as possible. With a new rising cycle beginning those bugs could damage the safety of financial system in the future
TVC:CN10Y
by Victor.Y.F
1