GERMANY BOND 10YHello and have a good time
I trade according to these analyses
My analysis is based on fundamentals, intermarket analysis, news, geopolitical topics, and of course technical levels.
I hope it is your light
DE10Y trade ideas
DE10YCurrently DE10Y is in the selling zone, but if the red average indicated by the blue arrow is broken and we enter the green zone, the market will be in the buying phase.
EU and US spreads always lead price actionEU and US spreads are exploding higher as markets start pricing in the spreads between what is required and what is committed (Fed only so far). For Historical reference, price has always followed interest rate spreads
German Bund Yields heading higher againBeen calling this the last few days. German Bund yields beginning to break back higher again. Inflation NOT transitory. ECB next week. Could be headed back above 2% soon.
German government bonds forming a triangle in my opinion it has chance for another wave up
make sure the triangle confirms first
German Bond Yields DE10Y, DE02Y, DE01YThe German 10Y notes began to move higher slowly since early 2021, and rapidly in 2022 like we all know of. The ECB deposit facility as of 21.06.23 is 3.5% and main refinancing operations is 4%. Like most of us know, the bond market is a major leading indicator of the future rates, and the DE02Y and DE10Y indicate lower rates ahead in the coming months, hinting that we're at the top of interest rates hiking cycle by the ECB. Lets watch how things fold out ;)
German Bund 10y going towards 3%I think the current buoyancy on long duration eu core gov bonds is deceptive.
rates in europe are way to low due to current macro environment, inflation still high, prices of gas and oil sets for higher levels in coming months ECB still in hawkish mode.
rsi is also on the rise above its mean.
probably this development will require 2 steps for the yield to reach 3% level. first stop is 2.55% / 2.6% that is a strong resistance so, some form of consolidation, then a breakout to 3%
Bund yields going higher again?This is one of the patterns I have been looking at the last few months. If it is playing out Bunds are heading towards 3%.
DE10HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT DE10 is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade..
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TURTLE TRADER 🐢
German Bund yields: secular reversalGerman Bund yields ( DE10Y ) are in the midst of a secular trend reversal after the breakout of both the 200-month moving average and a 40-year descending trend line.
Yields on the 10-year Bund have never gone over the 200-mma mark before.
The next barrier is the psychological threshold of 2%, which coincides with the September 2013 highs and 23.6% of the Fibonacci retracement level (all-time highs of 1981 to all-time lows of 2020).
Breaking above 2% could then see the 3.7-3.8% yield as target (2009 highs and 38.2% Fibonacci).
The ECB's forthcoming interest-rate hikes and Germany's rising inflation trend, which reached 7.9% in August, the highest level since German reunification, can exert substantial upward pressure on Bund yields in the coming months.
In particular, the market may begin factoring in a greater volume of Bund emissions from the German state as a means of financing an expanding deficit caused by energy subsidies. The latest €65bn package is worth more than 3% of the German's GDP.
With the ECB expected to reduce (or completely stop) government bond purchases, the German government would need to find buyers who demand higher yields due to rising interest rates and inflation.
The current real rate of Bunds (the difference between the nominal and inflationary rates) is -6%, which is close to the lowest level ever.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com
DE10Y (SELL)Similar to my analysis of CA10Y. Two possibles ways, one: the price continue to go down; two: the price make a range during few days and go down.
EXY y DXY diferenciales de tasas carry trade Carry trade diferenciales de tasas euro bajista
Displayed are the 12-month inflation rates of personal consumption expenditure price index (PCEPI), core PCEPI (this excludes food and energy), and the median inflation rate across personal consumption expenditure categories. These three series overlay the percentiles of inflation rates of the personal consumption expenditure categories. The lowest light-blue shaded area goes from the 10th to the 25th percentile, the dark-blue area is the inter-quartile range (25th-75th percentile) and the highest light-blue shaded area goes from the 75th to the 90th percentile.
Germany 10 Year Bond Germany Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
Germany 10 Years Government Bond Germany Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series
Focus: Worldwide
By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service
A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research
Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures |
USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India
Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision.
#debadipb #profitsolutions
Yield STILL going HIGHERGerman 10yr yields which have been negative yielding for much of the last few years continue to RISE and just hit a two year high (last seen May 2019).
They are set to go even higher in coming weeks/months and should be back in positive yield territory shortly.
Charts suggest German 10yr yields could rise to +0.50% in 2021. Great news finally for savers/investors relying on income. Not so great for risk assets.
Bunds (bonds) potential reversal zone 1.05-1.15%Potential reversal from here 1.05-1.15% zone
Confluence 1989 downtrendline and 2015 yield high resitance
RSI o/bought
German 10 year Yields Breaking? a descending wedge. Given we have a weekly close, this would be important. Unless we see any retest, the European rates need a big catch-up. Risk assets have enjoyed years of negative yields. It may be time to change the easy money
fdax vs germany yeild and us10year yeild if you see crona crash on march 2020 ,germany and us 10 year yield give buy signal sooner !!
check on sundays us and germany 10year yield not bad
for now yields go down(trend -) can show dax will start down trend
#Bund and #BTP yields to go higherMr. Market seems to question the ECB.
US yields are going higher again, and USD curve gets steeper every day. European long end bonds will sell off too. Both Bund and BTP yield will likely trade much higher and EUR curves will get steeper.
