Dow outlook for first half of JanuaryCurrently I am inclined towards the market making a Wave C of ABC flat correction. Although its still holidays week so we can see choppy market during this time.
DJI trade ideas
US30 LongThis analysis focuses on the interplay of weekly and intraday confluences, which collectively point towards a potential bullish scenario. A detailed breakdown of the price movements and key levels is provided to support the thesis.
1. Weekly Confluences
Unmet Target: The price has yet to reach its anticipated target of 45,300, indicating unfulfilled market objectives.
Order Collection Observation: A significant retracement suggests an attempt to collect orders within a specific price region.
The first notable level was 43,500, corresponding to a prior body closure. Price broke through this level and moved downward.
The second key region, 42,100, showed a rejection pattern characterized by a three-pin formation.
Pattern Analysis: An "M" pattern is apparent, signaling that the price may retest its neckline at 43,500.
2. Four-Hour Timeframe Insights
Rejection and Momentum: The price rejected the 42,100 weekly level with strong bullish momentum, forming a bullish setup with a target of 42,600.
Order Collection Confirmation : Despite the bullish target not being achieved, the retracement implies another round of order collection, this time within the 42,328 daily level.
Conclusion and Thesis:
The evidence points to a bullish outlook. While the price is gathering momentum and confirming its intentions, I will wait for clear intraday confirmations before entering the market. Patience at this stage will ensure alignment with the larger trend and reduce exposure to potential false moves.
This Shit Weird But God Got Me Happy New Years . God Bless you all , from this moment forward i will trust my process 💯
US30 Provided a bullish Move only to settle below 42900US30 provided a bullish move that was anticipated a a result of price hitting a previous low at 42300 support level.
The market makers faked a buy signal at 43000 area only to drop price below 42900 area. Currently price is settled midway between 42900 and 42300.
Price is likely to fall some to at least 42500 before returning bullish again.
Be careful not to take a short at this level as its more risky than a buy unless price gives an entry below 42900 which is unlikely at this point.
Better to look for bullish moves from this area.
The Party Is EndingAnother year, another pumped and manipulated charade.
Some observers called a melt up move for 2024, instead, we got a rally of around 10%...too much weed being smoked.
The 18th of Dec witnessed a 1500 point decline, that was your big guns spitting the dummy. The first wave one down and subsequent wave two ABC up either finished or another small move up to position more shorts.
Now we sell the rallies, confidence will grow as the the December lows are smashed, the Fed is NOT in control of rates, cheap debt is not coming back.
The Fed's numbers are lies, inflation and the economy is way worse than the fudged data...now the chickens are coming home to roost.
The odds of a market crash on any given day is approximately 1000/1...basically a nothing. The true odds of a market crash or collapse in the next few months is around 65%, almost two thirds. A market condition named "Hindenburg Omen" has had multiple instances the past few weeks and months...warning of much higher than random probability of dangerous conditions in a grossly overvalued markets.
Such multiple signals occur rarely, this party is coming to the end.
Gold and silver are trading sideways, the coming upside breakout will be huge once this triangle completes.
Appreciate a thumbs up, God Bless you all and good trading!
Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): SHORT TRADETrade Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) chart presents a strong short trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe. Using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , this trade successfully achieved TP1 (43,779.69) through TP3 (42,180.27), with TP4 (41,686.05) remaining highly probable based on prevailing market trends.
Key Levels:
Entry Price: 44,273.91
Stop Loss (SL): 44,673.77
Take Profits:
TP1: 43,779.69
TP2: 42,979.98
TP3: 42,180.27
TP4: 41,686.05
Market Sentiment:
The trade reflects bearish momentum, supported by broader market conditions indicating reduced risk appetite. The Dow Jones continues to exhibit a descending trendline and weaker market confidence.
The Risological Indicator identified precise entry, stop loss, and take-profit levels, enabling a disciplined and profitable trade execution. With three targets already achieved, the setup remains poised to capture further downside momentum.
US30 price prediction next were looking bearish for this next direction for this market and maybe the rest of index market. the arrow is pointing at where I see the market heading next. im not a financial advisor this all my personal opinion. do not risk money you cannot afford to lose. After this sell I'll look for more bullish action. this is maybe a 2k pip move downside.
Year ahead 25'Weekly Analysis Update
Looking ahead for the year, the weekly timeframe shows that price remains within a long-term uptrend channel trading right at an up trendline now. I’ll be shifting to lower timeframes to identify trade opportunities, applying both my trend-following and counter-trend strategies. To maximize returns, I’ll incorporate my profit-enhancing techniques.
Stay tuned for updates as opportunities unfold!
US30 Bearish to Bullish Play for the Week So US30 hit a nice bullish Rally from the divergent bottom but we were not able to break through 35.400 even though we broke the 4hr daily yellow trendline to the upside.
We broke back into bearish territory Friday before close. So now I am looking at a weekly consolidation candle from last week giving me a projection for another possible consolidation week starting with a drop to the 42.450 area then I expect bulls to come In ultimately pushing price higher breaking through our 1st major resistance 34.400 into our 2nd major resistance 35.550, if we manage to break through both expect a bullish Rally into our next Major Resistance at 44.450. This week could close as another doji consolidation week if so I’m holding bottom buy entry to swing exits.
I’m looking for a higher low this week giving us a wick on this weekly candle, I have a sell limit placed (shown on chart) and will possibly put a buy limit at the target price.
FULL BEARISH SCENARIO: If we manage to break through 42.440 in a major way expect 42.250 next and a full break through that level would go to next major support zones at 41.900 & 41.650
May the pips be in our favor.
US30 SELL ANALYSIS RISING WEDGE PATTERN Here on US30 price has form a rising wedge pattern and is likely to fall as the line 43340.8 has broken so trader should go for short and expect profit target of 43160.4 and 42970.1 . Use money management
DOW JONES What signals the top of this Cycle?Dow Jones (DJI) has been on a highly systematic pattern ever since the 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis and this chart on the 3W time-frame depicts very accurately the symmetrical nature of the Cycles that the index is going through in the past 15 years.
As you see, ever since the October 2011 bounce on both the 3W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 3W MA200 (orange trend-line), Dow started a hyper aggressive Bull Cycle, which after making a Top on each phase, it broke below the 3W MA50 to become a buy opportunity again but has never yet broken below the 3W MA200.
So far we have completed three such phases and we are currently on the 4th. In the three that have already been completed, the Top of the Phase was signaled by the RSI. At a certain point that it broke above the 70.00 overbought barrier, it started a Channel Down comprised of 4 legs (a through d). On the (d) leg, it gave a signal that Dow had (or is very close to) topped. That was the ultimate long-term Sell Signal. Similarly, when the index broke below its MA50 and the RSI double bottomed, it has been the ultimate signal to buy.
Right now it appears that the RSI has completed Leg (a) and is starting the rise to Leg (b) of its newly emerged Channel Down. That means that the market has around another 12 months before it Tops again.
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US30 BULLISH SWING IDEA So US30 hit a beautiful double bottom creating a 4HR Divergence pushing price back up 1st breaking a 1hr trendline propelling it all the way back up from the news drop now we’re slowly making higher lows looking like we will break to the upside BUT keep in mind Bearish scenario #2 (drawn in RED) is possible since we still are under the daily/weekly trendline/resistance level in Bearish territory UNTIL we break 43.400 to the upside.. if that happens expect a beautiful Bullish Rally going into January.. May the markets be on our side !!
My expectation for Dow at H1 (Range for at least two weeks)Hello, Happy New Year in advance
The yellow trend line and probably the "A" point are the price target for the coming days, to reach this point after days of downtrend, the price needs a long range, so the emotional and sharp price movements in the middle or above and below the range are magnet to those levels and are not necessarily a valid breakout, be careful, good luck
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
DOW JONES: Ignore the pullback, this is a new bullish wave.Dow Jones turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -138.420, ADX = 33.278) as it failed to hold the 4H MA50 as support today and crossed under it. The 1D MA100 is coming in as the next level of support, which formed the Dec 18th-19th low. According to the 4H MACD, the index formed during those 2 days a bottom similar to of August 5th. As long as the 1D MA100 holds, it is more likely to see a bounce above the 4H MA50 again like August 13th. Our goal is a wave, so we're targeting the R1 level (TP = 45,000).
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LET GO for short this Loveley chart i think market up in a uptrend and after that we have a big move for dumping and i predict and ready for this setup if verfyed i enter in trade
Dow to drop into bear market but first bounce at 36k H&S patternBearish case
Dow to drop 20% from ATH to be into a bear market
20% from ATH = weekly 200 EMA so banks will try and hold the price at 36k
I think it bounces here and then eventually fails and we get a big equity bear market
We have two H&S patterns that together take us below 36k if their targets are met
be a nice trade if it bounces at 36k off the 200 EMA to get in and out and add to short again without being slapped in the face. At which max bounce point off the (36k) look for the rest of the equities to go short on of stocks that have broken their key levels of support. Or look for dow stocks that are leading the way down because they already broke their weekly 200 EMA and are the weaker members of the pack.
US30 Fell to provide an intraday short and correctionUS30 could not hold above support level at 42965 creating a short opportunity to 42299.
Once price reached the next support area there was a clear rejection and correction back to 42900.
Price will likely fall back down to 42999 and back to its current support in a consolidation pattern before continuing bullish.
Expect consolidation in this zone before going bullish.
US30 - Potential Reversal Zone AnalysisThis chart highlights a potential reversal zone for the US30 based on recent price action and support/resistance levels. The marked areas indicate a possible retracement before a significant bearish continuation. Key levels are identified for monitoring price reactions, with a projected target near 41,687. Stay cautious and align this analysis with your trading strategy.
BEarish drop?Dow Jones (US30) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 43,358.90
1st Support: 41,883.16
1st Resistance: 44,074.83
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US30 Fell to collect Stop Losses only to rallyUS30 Fell at 10am only to rally and continue its Bullish Look above 42600 zone. This is indication the US30 will continue its overall bullish trend since hitting the recent low on December 24th. Look for price to continue its bullish trend as companies look to optimistic out comes due to the recent elections and Trump initiatives.
