Ascending wedges in DJI vs BTC topsJust a comparison of ascending wedges in DJI and the tops of BTC runs. Not saying we are at the top of this run... but just something to look at as a possible sign if broken.
DJI trade ideas
US30/USD 4H ChartOur Preferance
The index shows signs of weakness amid ongoing market uncertainties and potential macroeconomic headwinds. Price has retested resistance at 43,780, forming a bearish rejection. A support area has been identified at 41,708. Potential short setup with SL above 43,780 and TP1 at 42,753, TP2 at the support level. Monitor key economic data releases for further confirmation.
Note: This analysis is for educational purposes and not trading advice. Consider market conditions and strategies.
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Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes):
Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns:
2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst.
2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis.
2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock.
2. Recovery Time:
The recovery periods vary significantly:
Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days).
Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn.
COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention.
3. Trends and Momentum:
The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability:
Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries.
Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades.
RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets.
4. Market Volatility and Volume:
A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity.
Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds.
---
Conclusions:
Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth.
The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers.
Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
DOW JONES LONGDow Jones
MTF Analysis
Dow JonesYearly Demand Breakout 37778
Dow Jones 6 Month Demand Breakout 40077
Dow JonesQtrly Demand 40077
Dow JonesMonthly Demand 40077
Dow JonesWeekly Demand 42505
Dow JonesDaily Demand DMIP 42130
ENTRY -1 Long 42505
SL 41650
RISK 855
Target as per Entry 44562
RR 2
Positional Target 49211
Target Points 2057
Recent High 45000
Last Swing Reversal 41647
Is another big crash coming ?This chart displays the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) monthly candlestick data alongside its 200-month simple moving average (SMA), highlighting significant historical declines and their characteristics. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Bearish Phases (Highlighted in Blue Boxes):
Major drawdowns over the years are shown, with the percentage drop, the number of bars (months), and the trading volume involved. These events align with historical financial crises or economic downturns:
2000-2003 (-36.94%): Reflects the Dot-Com bubble burst.
2007-2009 (-52.12%): Represents the Global Financial Crisis.
2020 (-37.58%): Associated with the COVID-19 pandemic shock.
2. Recovery Time:
The recovery periods vary significantly:
Dot-Com Bubble: Took 37 bars (1,127 days).
Financial Crisis: Longer with 18 bars (548 days) of drawdown and prolonged recovery beyond the charted downturn.
COVID-19 Crash: Shortest at 2 bars (58 days) due to rapid monetary intervention.
3. Trends and Momentum:
The 200 SMA provides a clear indicator of long-term trend stability:
Downturns saw temporary breakdowns below the SMA, followed by robust recoveries.
Overall, the index reflects an upward trend over the decades.
RSI (14) Indicator: RSI peaks correlate to market highs; lows often match oversold conditions in major bear markets.
4. Market Volatility and Volume:
A noticeable spike in volumes coincides with large bearish moves (e.g., 2007-2009 and 2020 crises), signifying panic-driven trading activity.
Recent periods (2020 onwards) show high volatility, accompanied by strong rebounds.
---
Conclusions:
Historically, even severe bear markets have seen the DJIA recover and continue its long-term uptrend, which aligns with the principle of compounding returns and economic growth.
The market tends to break its long-term SMA during extreme crises but eventually recovers.
Current RSI values suggest the market may not yet be overheated, but caution is advisable given previous patterns.
Would you like a deeper technical analysis or possible forecasting based on this data?
trend dji#dji
Will the Dow Jones reach its previous ceiling?
Support range 43200 and 42300
43700 and 44450 resistance ranges
With the high stabilization of the resistance of 43700, we can hope for the rise of the price ceiling.
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US30 Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 43,000 zone, USOIL is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 43,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30 4HIt is expected that the price will move towards the middle range after hitting the upper resistance and then again move towards the lower target.
I also expect that after hitting the lower range, the price will change direction upwards; however, I will wait to see if an engulfing pattern occurs or not.
US 30 Came out of Consolidation to Give a Bullish MoveUS30 made a bullish move after hours of consolidation. Price is currently between supports at 43300 and 43100. This area could elicit some additional consolidation but will likely continue bullish until. 43700 and then will likely correct again at that level.
Look for price to push up the remainder of the day.
uptrendIt is expected that the continuation of the upward trend will form until the specified resistance levels. Then there is a possibility of a trend change
Bullish possibility YM may likely break the green trendline with the motive to go towards the top. However, failure to break the trendline to the upwards may mean bearish continuation.
US30 Downside Test: Key Levels to WatchHello,
BLACKBULL:US30 is likely to see further downside, with a potential test of the 1-year pivot point (1Y PP). How the price reacts around this level will be crucial—if it breaks through, we could see a deeper decline, possibly testing the entire 1-year support structure. However, proceed with caution, as the market remains in a strong bullish trend. Additional bearish confirmation will be more reliable if the price breaks and closes below the 1-day pivot point (1D PP).
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
LONG ON H1 TFOn an hourly timeframe price is expected to make a small correction back to the TP level on Phi
Trade safe, good luck
Elliot Wave Analysis -DOW JONES IND. AVG. (1932-2026)We have done a Loooooooong Term Elliot Wave Analysis starting from 1932 and maybe ending in 2026(or perhaps 2027).
If you see the chart in Normal scale, its parabolically going right up, and these type of moves are really bad for the market. So I have just tried to analyze the waves and hope it might help you to exit the markets at the right time.
Sayo Nara.................
Market Update - 2nd Trading Day of 2025US Equity Futures US equity futures were cautiously higher pre-bell Friday as traders searched for cues on the second trading day of 2025.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) futures: +0.2%
S&P 500 futures: +0.2%
Nasdaq futures: +0.3%
Oil Prices Oil prices were lower, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude down 0.1% at $75.86 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude down 0.1% at $73.06 per barrel.
Economic Indicator The Institute for Supply Management's Manufacturing index is scheduled for release at 10 am ET and is expected to come in at 48.2 for December, compared to 48.4 in November.
Dow Jones Analysis The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) cycled near familiar levels on the first trading day of 2025. Tepid intraday flows crimped hopes for a ‘Santa Claus rally’. Initial Jobless Claims improved but not enough to spark a firm risk-on bid. The DJIA fizzled on Thursday, kicking off the 2025 trading year with a flat performance and churning chart paper near 42,500. Equities were middling overall during the US market session, with early gains reversing through the day. The first week of 2025 remains thin on the economic calendar overall, though US ISM Manufacturing PMI survey results are due on Friday..
US30 Provided a nice intraday Short and will Likely ConsolidateUS30 Fell to the support at 42300 and is currently between that support and the resistance at level 42800. As a result look for short intraday trades as price consolidates between the two levels.
Price is currently showing another intraday opportunity to resistance at 42800.
Dow jones Quarterly Analysis ---> ( 1st jan - 1st April )The Dow Jones Industrial Average is currently exhibiting a bullish trend, with no significant negative catalysts evident on the charts at present. While the upcoming quarter may experience volatility, a sustained breach above 44,525 could propel the index to 45,467-46,000. Conversely, the downside risk remains open to 40,827-500. However, the current view will be rendered invalid if the Dow Jones breaches 40,500.
New US30 EntrySeeing an opportunity and taking it. Confirmation on Higher time frame for 1h Fib Extension
Swing bearish us30However a bullish scalp can be available annual percentage gain is currently at 13% us30's usual gains so today and tomorrow there is no large change till Wednesday we will see huge pumps in price probably downwards .However caution is a fourth bearish weekly candle is very rare on us30 so keep in mind.
