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After crossing the trendline, the bulls can rise towards the Swing High of 42,719, then retrace back down towards the trendline to retest it before heading up again, even higher towards the Swing High of 43,116.

2/2 Summary of Key Levels
Daily & 4-Hour Support and Resistance
Daily Support: 41,940 USD, 41,800 USD, 41,600 USD
Daily Resistance: 43,116 USD, 43,300 USD, 43,500 USD
4-Hour Support: 42,000 USD, 41,850 USD, 41,700 USD
4-Hour Resistance: 42,200 USD, 42,400 USD, 42,600 USD
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Levels
Daily EMA:
EMA 50: 42,150 USD
EMA 100: 42,300 USD
EMA 200: 42,400 USD
EMA 400: 42,500 USD
4-Hour EMA:
EMA 50: 42,100 USD
EMA 100: 42,200 USD
EMA 200: 42,350 USD
EMA 400: 42,450 USD
Weekly and Daily Pivots
Weekly Pivots:
Pivot Point: 42,200 USD
Resistance 1: 42,400 USD
Support 1: 41,900 USD
Daily Pivots:
Pivot Point: 42,150 USD
Resistance 1: 42,300 USD
Support 1: 41,950 USD
Fibonacci Retracement Levels
23.6%: 42,178 USD
38.2%: 42,351 USD
50.0%: 42,478 USD
61.8%: 42,605 USD
Fundamental Analysis and Upcoming USD News
📈 As we look ahead, it is essential to consider the impact of upcoming economic events on the US30 index. Notably, the following USD news is anticipated in the coming weeks:
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision: Scheduled for next month, this decision could significantly impact market sentiment and the strength of the USD.
Non-Farm Payrolls Report: Set to be released in two weeks, this report will provide insights into employment trends, which are critical for gauging economic health.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) Data: Expected next week, this data will offer insights into inflationary pressures, influencing the Fed's monetary policy stance.
These events are likely to create volatility in the markets, and traders should stay informed to adjust their strategies accordingly.
Conclusion
In summary, the US30 index is currently navigating critical support and resistance levels, with technical indicators suggesting potential volatility ahead. By keeping an eye on the key levels identified in this analysis, traders can better position themselves to capitalize on market movements. Additionally, staying informed about upcoming economic events will be crucial for making informed trading decisions.
1/1 🟡 US30 Daily Market Analysis—June 20, 2025
Introduction
In today's analysis, we will delve into the current state of the US30 index, which is trading at 42,097 USD. This comprehensive market overview will utilize various technical indicators, including Fibonacci Retracement Levels, Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), Relative Strength Index (RSI) divergence, Smart Money Concepts (SMC), Support and Resistance levels, Order Blocks, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). We will focus on both the daily and 4-hour timeframes to provide a well-rounded perspective on the market's movements.
Market Overview
Current Market Price: 42,097 USD
As we analyze the US30 index, it is crucial to understand the context of its current price in relation to historical swing levels. The recent swing high stands at 43,116 USD, while the swing low is at 41,940 USD. These levels will serve as critical references for our technical analysis.
Technical Analysis
1. Support and Resistance Levels
Daily Timeframe:
Support Levels:
41,940 USD (Swing Low)
41,800 USD (Previous Support)
41,600 USD (Key Psychological Level)
Resistance Levels:
43,116 USD (Swing High)
43,300 USD (Previous Resistance)
43,500 USD (Key Psychological Level)
4-Hour Timeframe:
Support Levels:
42,000 USD (Round Number)
41,850 USD (Recent Low)
41,700 USD (Minor Support)
Resistance Levels:
42,200 USD (Recent High)
42,400 USD (Minor Resistance)
42,600 USD (Psychological Barrier)
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Using the swing high of 43,116 USD and the swing low of 41,940 USD, we can derive the following Fibonacci Retracement levels:
23.6%: 42,178 USD
38.2%: 42,351 USD
50.0%: 42,478 USD
61.8%: 42,605 USD
These levels indicate potential reversal points and can be crucial for setting entry and exit strategies.
3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Daily Timeframe:
EMA 50: 42,150 USD
EMA 100: 42,300 USD
EMA 200: 42,400 USD
EMA 400: 42,500 USD
4-Hour Timeframe:
EMA 50: 42,100 USD
EMA 100: 42,200 USD
EMA 200: 42,350 USD
EMA 400: 42,450 USD
The EMAs provide insight into the overall trend direction. In the daily timeframe, the EMAs suggest a bullish trend, while the 4-hour timeframe shows potential consolidation.
4. RSI Divergence
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently showing a divergence on the daily chart. This indicates that while the price is making higher highs, the RSI is not confirming this strength, suggesting a potential reversal or pullback could be imminent.
Current RSI Level: 65 (indicating overbought conditions)
5. Order Blocks
Order blocks are significant areas where large institutional orders have previously been placed. The key order blocks identified in our analysis are:
Bullish Order Block: 41,950 - 42,000 USD
Bearish Order Block: 42,600 - 42,650 USD
These blocks can serve as potential areas for price reaction, offering traders insights into where to expect buying or selling pressure.
6. MACD Analysis
The MACD indicator is currently showing a bullish crossover on the daily timeframe, suggesting upward momentum. The MACD line is above the signal line, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend if the price remains above key support levels.
MACD Level: 150 (indicating bullish momentum)
On the Daily, the bears rejected a breakout from the low of the Inside Day pattern at 41,803. A bullish candle showed up to shift the trajectory. The bulls can head towards the pattern's high of 42,719 for a breakout and higher. Watch to see if it's a true (or fake breakout) to be sure.
*Reminder: A Double Inside Day pattern showed up, so a BIG move is coming.

