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U.S. Dollar Index

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DXY trade ideas

Do Not Be Fooled TVC:DXY is not truly weak. Over the past 2 months the only thing mainstream Fin Media has been talking about is how Dollar value is plummeting and while I do not debate the merits o that I do take contention with the idea that this means the DXY Will KEEP going down significantly from here. From a pure TA perspective DXY is simply in a consolidation phase with a high level volatility which did not begin with the recent drop in March. I began watching DXy like a HAWK in November 2024 and for anyone who has not, the extreme volatility began then with DXY going on a rally from Nov 24 to feb 25. The move from Mach until now has been simply another leg of vol extension. This is important to realize because the volatility now points to higher levels of it eventually returning and when that happens I predict it will take the form of an explosive impulse to the upside based on the long term inverse head and shoulders pattern coupled with the near textbook bull flag pattern
TVC:DXYLong
by TooSuave
DXY:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate! Recently, the economic data of the United States has shown mixed performance. The non-farm payrolls added in April were higher than expected, but the data for March was revised downward, and the number of initial jobless claims also exceeded expectations. Overall, the U.S. Dollar Index still has a trend of fluctuating. Pay attention to the resistance level of 100.3742 above and the support level of 99.2702 below. In terms of trading operations, it is mainly advisable to take short positions on rebounds. Trading Strategy: sell@100.3000-100.0000 TP:59.5000-59.0000 The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
TVC:DXYShort
by PagAugustine
DOLLARDXY and Bond Yield Correlation: Key Dynamics in 2025 Core Relationship The US Dollar Index (DXY) and US 10-Year Treasury yields exhibit a positive correlation, driven by shared sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy, inflation expectations, and global risk sentiment. Fed Rate Hikes Strengthens USD (DXY ↑) and pushes yields higher Strong US Growth Bolsters USD and raises yields via inflation risks Risk-On Sentiment Weakens USD and lowers yields as capital flows to riskier assets Inflation Fears Raises yields but may not always lift USD if growth concerns dominate Current Correlation Metrics (2025) DXY and 10-Year Yield Correlation: Historically positive, with recent coefficients ranging from +0.50 to +0.93 depending on market conditions. USD/JPY and Yields: Extreme correlation of +0.93 in 2025, reflecting synchronized moves between the dollar and yields. Key Drivers in 2025 Monetary Policy: The Fed’s restrictive stance (4.50% rate) supports both USD and yields, but delayed cuts and tariff-induced inflation risks create volatility. ECB and BoJ dovishness amplifies USD strength, reinforcing the correlation. Economic Data: Robust US GDP growth (0.4% Q1 2025) and sticky inflation (2.1% in Germany) keep yields elevated, supporting DXY. Weakness in global markets (e.g., China, EU) drives safe-haven flows into USD and Treasuries, complicating the correlation. Fiscal and Geopolitical Risks: US fiscal deficit concerns and trade tensions (e.g., U.S.-China tariffs) threaten to decouple DXY from yields. For example, rising yields due to debt supply fears may coincide with USD weakness if investors flee US assets. Bond market turbulence (10-Year yields at 4.47% in April 2025) highlights sensitivity to foreign demand and leverage unwinds. Exceptions and Divergences Risk-Off Scenarios: In crises, investors may buy both Treasuries (lowering yields) and USD, creating a temporary negative correlation. De-Dollarization Fears: Structural shifts, such as reduced foreign appetite for US debt, could weaken the link between DXY and yields despite high rates. 2025 Outlook Yield Range: Expected to stabilize between 4%–5%, supporting a firm USD if Fed policy remains hawkish. DXY Trajectory: Faces headwinds from fiscal risks and tariffs but could rebound if global growth slows and US data stays resilient. Summary Table Correlation Positive (DXY ↑ as yields ↑), but context-dependent Fed Policy Primary driver; higher rates lift both DXY and yields Inflation Supports yields, but may weaken USD if growth falters Global Risk Risk-off flows can strengthen USD while lowering yields 2025 Risks Fiscal deficits, tariffs, and de-dollarization may disrupt correlation In conclusion, while DXY and bond yields generally move in tandem, 2025’s unique mix of monetary policy, fiscal strains, and geopolitical shifts introduces volatility. Traders should monitor Fed rhetoric, inflation data, and global risk appetite for directional cues.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Bearish Forecast for Quarter 2, 20251. Technical analysis The idea is based in ICT's PO3; AMD pattern. We have a rally above the open price of May 2025, to take out BSL above the highs. It also aligns with Daily tf premium arrays to short from. The lowest hanging fruit being the relative equal lows at equilibrium of the dealing range. 2. Fundamental analysis Investor's confidence in the Dollar is low due to POTUS' tariffs. ICT: Inner Circle Trader PO3: Power of 3 AMD: Accumulation, Manipulation & Distribution BSL: Buy side liquidity tf: Timeframe
TVC:DXYShort
by gabrielmike010
USD Is Bullish Short Term. Short The Majors! This is the FOREX outlook for the week of April 28 - May 2nd. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD Index is heading up towards a bearish FVG. The EURUSD, GBPUSD, and the other Major pairs will be pulled down by this price action .... until the USD hits it's POI. Then things will get interesting! Take advantage of the USD push higher! Remember, NFP is Friday! Be careful of wonky price action on Thursday and Friday. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
TVC:DXY
by RT_Money
DXY Bullish Breakout Within Ascending ChannelThis 4-hour chart of the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows price trading within an ascending channel, currently testing a resistance zone around 100.50–100.80. If the resistance holds, a pullback to the lower boundary of the channel or the highlighted retest zone near 99.50 is possible. However, a breakout above resistance may lead to further bullish continuation toward the marked 1st and 2nd target zones above 101. The chart also highlights recent change-of-character (ChoCH) signals, suggesting a shift toward bullish momentum. TP1 (1st Target): Around 100.85 – 101.00 — just above the current resistance zone. TP2 (2nd Target): Around 101.40 – 101.50 — the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Note: If the market does not retest and breaks directly above the resistance zone, we will enter a buy position on the breakout and aim for targets at 100.85 (TP1) and 101.50 (TP2).
TVC:DXYLong
by ChartWizard_1
DXY Ready to Pop – Watch That 100 Break!After breaking below the key psychological level at 100 and making a low just under 98, the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a consolidation phase. Over the past three weeks, price has developed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline perfectly aligning with the horizontal resistance at 100 — a strong zone of confluence from both a technical and psychological standpoint. Despite the current hesitation under resistance, the structure suggests bullish potential. I believe we are approaching a breakout above 100, and once that happens, an acceleration to the upside is likely to follow. 🎯 Target: 102 🔒 Invalidation: A break below 98 would cancel the bullish bias. As long as the price stays above the 98 area, I remain bullish and expect the dollar to strengthen. 🚀 The breakout hasn’t happened yet — but the pressure is building.
TVC:DXYLong
by Mihai_Iacob
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of DXY (Dollar Index) with you. Looking at the DXY chart, I expect a price increase towards 101.267. After reaching this level, I anticipate a decline to around 96.00. 📉 Expectation: Bullish Scenario: Price increases towards 101.267. Bearish Scenario: After reaching 101.267, a decline to 96.00. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 101.267 Support: 96.00 💬 What are your thoughts on DXY this week? Let me know in the comments! Trade safe
TVC:DXYShort
by PouyanTradeFX
1
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months. Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: Monthly Close Above 100.160: A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities. Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y): This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets. COT Report Insights: The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves. Seasonal Patterns: Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape. Targets: Initial Target: 106.120 Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
TVC:DXYLong
by Wiiso