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Euro Bund

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EUBUND trade ideas

ECB October Meeting Could Start TaperingQuote: "A hawkish ECB has placed German bund yields squarely in the spotlight Once described as the “short of a lifetime” by the likes of bond gurus Jeffrey Gundlach and Bill Gross, bets on German government bond yields, or bunds, heading higher have preoccupied the minds of investors who highlight the divergence between German and U.S. bonds. Yet, talk of investors wagering for the gap to narrow have gathered momentum recently. What’s the catalyst? European Central Bank President Mario Draghi has hinted that a more substantial discussion of the tapering of the ECB’s €60 billion ($71.7 billion) monthly asset purchases at its October meeting. Many investors have bet on that yield differential to narrow, with many wagering for the value of bunds to fall, pushing yields higher." Source: www.marketwatch.com Opinion: The multi year support of financial markets with QE's and QQE's could come to an end. Usually stockmarkets react to steps like this with short term or medium term falling prices.
TVC:EUBUNDShort
by SwissView
Remind Bill Gross Prediction: "Short of a lifetime"It was an April 21th 2015. when Bill Gross made his famous call: "Gross: German 10yr Bunds = The short of a lifetime. Better than the pound in 1993. Only question is Timing / ECB QE" Source: mobile.twitter.com Quote: "Bunds were yielding 0.94 percent in Tuesday (On April 21th 2015) morning trade, up 19.8 percent on the session but down nearly 83 percent year to date. Traders have been piling into the nation's debt ever since European Central Bank President Mario Draghi announced his intention to commence U.S.-style quantitative easing , a debt-buying program aimed at keeping yields low and goosing the financial markets with liquidity." Source, with Video: finance.yahoo.com Opinion: As now everybody might know the Fed is expected to tell on wednesday, September 20th 2017, how to reduce it's huge balance sheet. Expected is a 10 billion drop monthly in Q1 2018. Also expected is that the fed will add 10 billion each quarter. In Q4 2018 the fed is expected to lower it's balance sheet by 50 billion USD monthly. It is unlikely that the ECB not to start tapering in the next 6 month. Bund Yields should rise, the EURO BUNDFUTURE should drop now. Maybe it's not a short of a lifetime, but after a 2 years sideways range it is becoming a short now and it's unlikely that stockmarkets are going to like it.
TVC:EUBUNDShort
by SwissView