12-18 months from now, HSI can hit 30,000, hahaThis is my prediction for 2025 where HSI still have room to rally..........The CCP is serious about shoring up their economy , already confident that they can hit the 5% target of GDP for 2024 and it's recent stimulus of 10 trillion.
The two industries that I am banging on are the tech stocks - Meituan, Tencent, Alibaba, Baidu, etc or you can go for the HS TECH ETF , 3067 and if you like a broader index, the 2800 Tracker Fund ETF is also a good options with 3% dividend. The only downside is I think the property sector is struggling to find a bottom and there are lots of supplies issue that need to be taken care of. Time is needed to prop up this sector so I am not longing them for now, the timing is premature at this juncture.
Nobody knows if Donald Trump victory will cause a dent in the HK/China stock market since he is blabbering about imposing the 60% tariff on Chinese imports. He is pro business so protecting the big boys in US but the tariffs if imposed will increase the costs to the end consumers in US. Somebody has to pay along the line, simple as that.
China is doing all it can to spur up its domestic economy though the result has been quite disappointing at the moment. Let's see if the Singles Day event will help drive up the sales that is much needed in China. Already, we are seeing decreasing revenue sales from major US companies that derives 20-35% revenue from China - Apple, Starbucks, etc and the locals are going for more local brands as well. LVMH also recently reported bad sales figures for a few quarters !
We are now in the Phase 1 of the bull run in China and so long the stimulus is ongoing, the stock market will continue its rally. Any pullback of 10-15% is considered a good opportunity to accumulate/long.
Please DYODD