NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
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NDQ trade ideas
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,090.40 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,044.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
NAS100 (4H) Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
The market recently broke out of a downtrend, showing signs of a bullish reversal with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 20,600 – If broken, bullish momentum could continue.
📉 Support: 20,200 – Could act as a retest zone if price pulls back.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Higher highs & higher lows confirm an uptrend.
🚀 If 20,600 breaks, targets are 21,000 → 21,300.
⚠️ Rejection at 20,600 could lead to a pullback toward 20,200 or 19,880.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 20,600 with a target of 21,000+.
Bearish rejection at 20,600 could provide a short opportunity toward 20,200.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmations before entering trades. Set SL below recent structure lows.
Nasdaq Short: Top of channelThis is similar to the S&P500 short idea. In fact, they complement each other. While S&P500 has breached the top trendline, Nasdaq hits the trendline.
Also something different from S&P500 is that the Nasdaq correction unfolds is 5 waves instead of 3 in S&P500.
Place the stop loss where I indicated and you should be fine to take one a positional short.
Good luck!
Bullish Signal NAS100Trade Setup:
Market: NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Entry Strategy: Looking for a retracement to a key price level (Killzone) before a bullish move toward resting liquidity.
Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Market Structure & Price Action
The market is in a downtrend, but there is a sign of a potential reversal.
Price is approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone, around 19,565 - 19,668, where buying pressure is expected.
The 50% - 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels indicate an area of interest for buyers.
2. Liquidity & Key Price Levels
A key price level is marked around 20,450, acting as a potential resistance zone.
Resting liquidity (liq) is positioned higher at 20,880, suggesting an upside target if the trade plays out.
The killzone (highlighted in red) is the ideal area for a possible buy entry.
3. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Within the Fibonacci retracement zone (Killzone) around 19,565 - 19,668.
Stop Loss: Below the 100% Fibonacci retracement level (19,403) to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
Take Profit: Targeting the resting liquidity zone around 20,880, aligning with a previous supply zone.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green risk/reward box indicates a positive R:R setup.
4. Additional Confluences
The 200 EMA (blue line) may act as dynamic support.
Volume profile shows a high liquidity area near the killzone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Previous price action suggests strong reactions from similar levels.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650).
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$NDX Bear Flag FlaggingAs we can see on the NASDAQ:NDX there is a Bearflag pattern that has yet to be broken. As it develops on the lower time frames we will watch for price to trade in this channel and develop on the higher time frames.
After struggling at the top, we expect a short term rejection of the channel back down to the 19,516 Level.
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above
USTECUSTEC price is in a correction period. If the price cannot break through the 20664 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will fall.
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NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705🚀 OANDA:NAS100USD Buy Idea: Bullish Momentum Targets 20705 💹 - 24h expiry
OANDA:NAS100USD - We look to Buy at 20025
Stop Loss: 19825
Target 1: 20705
Target 2: 20730
Resistance: 20234, 20705, 20730
Support: 20025, 19423, 19125
Technical Setup:
📈 Continued upward momentum from 19424 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday .
⚠️ Overbought extremes indicate scope for mild selling at the open, but losses should remain limited .
🔑 Medium-term bias remains bullish .
🏁 Key resistance level at 20705 .
📰 News Sentiment
📊 Recent sessions show a bullish uptick in News Sentiment (Red Line), aligning with the price movement (Blue Line).
🌟 Positive sentiment (Red Line) is extending higher, suggesting further upside potential in the short term.
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NQ: 300-500 to end the bounceGood day!
Asian session consolidated and European session continued the bounce. Price is currently above yesterday High. Price might reach the last target of this retrace today. Price is 300-500 points away from it. Then, we should see a short consolidation. around that area. Hence, price will resume the down movement early next week.
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels