US 100 Technical Analysis – March 12, 2025 (15-Min Chart)1. Trend Identification
Bearish Bias:
The price is trading below the 200-period moving average (red line), indicating overall bearish momentum.
The Point of Control (POC) at 19,449.24 represents a high liquidity area, acting as a strong resistance level.
Short-Term Consolidation:
The price is oscillating around 19,375, suggesting market indecision before a breakout or breakdown.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Resistance: 19,400 - 19,450 (POC and recent highs).
Immediate Support: 19,300 (lower consolidation boundary).
Stronger Support: 19,000 (psychological level & lower trend channel).
Upside Target: 19,500 - 19,600 (breakout scenario).
3. Volume Analysis
Last 120 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -15.53%, indicating stronger selling pressure.
Last 60 Bars: Up Volume < Down Volume by -10.28%, reinforcing short-term bearish dominance.
Interpretation:
Bearish Sentiment Dominates: Selling pressure is higher, increasing the probability of a breakdown below 19,300.
If buyers regain control near 19,300, a bounce toward 19,450 is possible.
4. Chart Patterns & Projections
Bearish Breakdown Scenario: If price fails to hold 19,300, it could drop to 19,000 (blue channel projection).
Bullish Reversal Scenario: A breakout above 19,450 could trigger a move toward 19,500 - 19,600.
Trade Setups & Risk Management
1. Short Trade Setup (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Sell below 19,300 (confirmed breakdown).
Stop-Loss: Above 19,400 (previous resistance).
Targets:
First Target: 19,150 (mid-support).
Final Target: 19,000 (key support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better.
2. Long Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout)
Entry: Buy above 19,450 (confirmed breakout).
Stop-Loss: Below 19,375 (recent consolidation zone).
Targets:
First Target: 19,500 (local resistance).
Final Target: 19,600 (upper channel).
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3 or better.
