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NASDAQ 100 H1 Chart BreakdownWyckoff Distribution Phase: The chart shows clear signs of a Wyckoff Distribution, which suggests the market is in the process of transferring from bullish to bearish sentiment. The market is likely in Phase C, where the price tests supply at a premium level before a possible markdown phase. In Phase C, we typically see a test of the resistance zone (created by supply) followed by a final push down. Harmonic Patterns: A Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern has completed near 20,432, signaling a high probability of a reversal or a temporary top. The harmonic pattern provides confluence with the Wyckoff Distribution, as both imply that the market may be exhausted at current highs. Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHoCH): There’s a noted Break of Structure (BOS) at 20,162, where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. Following the BOS, we have a Change of Character (CHoCH), indicating a potential reversal from bullish to bearish sentiment. Key Levels: 20,432 is a significant resistance level where both the harmonic pattern and distribution align. A failure to break above this level confirms the bearish scenario. Targets on the downside include 20,297 (discount zone) and 20,162 (liquidity zone). Short-term Outlook: NASDAQ 100 is expected to continue lower if it fails to break above 20,432. Downside targets include the 20,297–20,162 range.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by spaceangel
1
NAS100 Outlook for the Week (October 21-28, 2024) Key Concepts: Wyckoff Phases and Distribution: The chart seems to follow the Wyckoff methodology, particularly focusing on Distribution phases (Phase A, B, C). The current price action appears to be in Phase C, approaching the potential markdown (downtrend) continuation. Supply and Demand Zones: A Bearish Order Block is identified at the upper part of the chart, indicating an area where institutional sellers are present. Price action is likely to be rejected here, pushing prices lower. There is also a Buy Side Liquidity zone that was previously mitigated and failed to push price higher, confirming further bearish momentum. Elliott Wave Analysis: We can see an Elliott Wave structure forming, with a Wave 3 completion in progress. Wave 4 is expected to be corrective (minor upward retracement), followed by Wave 5 (continuation of the downtrend). The labeling of the waves implies that next week's price action is entering Wave 5, which will likely bring prices lower towards the 2.618 extension levels seen on the chart. Liquidity and Smart Money Concepts: Liquidity Sells Below Wave 2: Retail traders' stop losses are marked below the previous Wave 2 low. Smart money will likely target this liquidity zone to push price lower. SOW in Phase B (Sign of Weakness): The chart shows a SOW (Sign of Weakness), confirming a bearish trend during Phase B. Prices are likely to continue lower as market participants distribute their holdings. Market Structure and Break of Structure (BOS): The chart highlights CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) events. These represent moments where the market shifted from bullish to bearish structure, signaling a downtrend. There’s a CHoCH in Phase B, leading to MSB (Market Structure Break), confirming a further decline. Fibonacci Levels: The Premium and Discount levels marked on the chart indicate the range where price is likely to react. Prices rejected from the 0.705 retracement level, confirming a bearish continuation towards the Discount range (below 20,000 level). Outlook for Next Week: Monday: Expect a continuation of the bearish move, possibly targeting the current weak low around 19,640. Early in the week, we might see minor retracement into the Wave 4 correction, but this is expected to be short-lived. Tuesday - Wednesday: Market could test the Bearish Order Block or the Premium level again before moving lower. Watch for a Break of Structure (BOS) around the 19,910 level. If this level holds, a strong push down into the lower liquidity zones is likely. Thursday - Friday: Wave 5 should start its completion phase, driving price further down towards the 19,131.8 and 19,210.3 levels. This would be in line with the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, where we can expect significant support or a reversal if market conditions change. Key Levels: Bearish targets for next week: 19,210.3 (2.618 extension), 19,131.8 (2.786 extension). Support areas to watch for potential reactions: 20,042 and 19,640.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by spaceangel
18
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument Part 5This week will prove to be one of the easiest trading weeks as the strategy I have been using will align perfectly with the current market conditions. Last week we saw the ATH broken and then pushed higher on Friday and now we have a new ATH to start the week. This does not mean that I will enter trades from the current position as a retracement will be due soon, however since I am not selling the retracement, I will wait patiently for it to be over. What am I expecting for the week? 1. More Hl's to HH's 2. More volatility as we have CPI, Inflation, Powell's speech etc. All in all I will be patient and wait form HL's to HH's and not try to sell a historically bullish market. You may not hear from me much this week, however my strategy remains the same. Have a great week #oneauberstrategy #auberstrategy #aubersystem #whywewait #patience #zigzagtheory
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Auberstrategy
US100 Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for US100. Time Frame: 45m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 21,117.7. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 21,285.0 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by SignalProvider
1
US-100 which way to go(Note I have not considered last and upcoming news events) Trend: The daily chart is in a bullish trend, moving within an upward channel. Higher highs and higher lows indicate sustained buying pressure. Key Levels: Resistance: Around 21,200 - 21,300, where price could encounter selling pressure. Support: Strong support around 20,600 and additional lower support near 16,776, though this is a much deeper level. Market Structure: Recent price action shows signs of consolidation near the upper channel, suggesting a potential pullback before the next move up. 4-Hour Timeframe: Trend: The 4-hour chart also displays a bullish trend within a narrower range, but with some recent retracements that align with minor supply zones. 1-Hour Timeframe: Trend: The hourly chart shows a short-term consolidation near the upper range of the trend channel. Some break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (CHoCH) points are visible, indicating shifts in short-term momentum. My take: The hourly trend could either break out above 21,200, aligning with the daily bullish trend, or pull back to support around 20,800, reinforcing the consolidation pattern before a potential upward move.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by onlynasir
Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement. Technical Analysis • Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline. • Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario. • Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone. • Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken. Fundamentals: The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment. Risk Management • Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum. • Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts. • Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists. Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
Nasdaq Quantum Computing SimulationsMany things can happen in the future. But do some potential scenarios have a higher probability of happening than others? I don't know. But if the Destination in this setup is to be reached, I would like to see a REBOUND from the GREEN curve and see if I can take it from there. Next in the setup to be observed are the 333 projections. 2 orange arrows. One green circle. If the price hits any of these 3, the project is considered a success in the attempt to answer the initial question. With or without the DESTINATION. There is no quantum computing here. Unless it is hiding in my brain making jokes. Unless all of this is just a joke.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by nen