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US100 NASDAQ Technical AnalysisWhen the US100 4-hour chart is examined; It is observed that the price movements continue on the triangle formation. It is evaluated that the index price can target the 20655 level by passing the 19929 level in price movements above the 19040 level, but it is evaluated that it can retreat to the 17326 level by breaking the 18585 level in price movements below the 19040 level.
Nasdaq Thoughts 16-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Weekly Analyses and RecapSep 16 - 20 2024
Hi Traders and Welcome to Another Weekly Analyses and Recap Idea Post.
Last week the bulls held their strength and price was on a strong uptrend with only a 1H Low as the biggest TF to make a HL. This 1H Low occurred on Wednesday Sep 11 after CPI and acted as a retest before continuing the bullish trend. Although this was not the low I anticipated, it acted as a key entry point to continue the uptrend which continued up to a high of 19,565.9.
On my chart I have highlighted bearish levels of resistance as red zones where price previously respected or retraced to signal some form of a HL. Following the 1H Low, the next retracement level was at 19,235.1 for price to retrace. This retracement only signalled a 45min HL and once again was not the kind of low I anticipated. This further highlights how strong the bulls were last week.
Historically, once price has completed it's retracement, it will recover the sells and less than half the time the sells took the play out. So for example, the 23H HL took 2 weeks to complete to make its lowest point at 18,305.1. Within one week the 23H LH now sits at a high of 19,565.9. This is an indication that the retracement period may be over and we are resuming an uptrend.
Trading Plan for This Week:
Since price is at a high, we cannot buy at a high but rather wait for HLs to signal on the larger TFs for an entry point. On my chart I have indicated a consolidation zone in orange where price previously retraced.
At the time of this post, price is currently at 19,500.9 and is currently retracing from the high of last Friday. However, since the 7H TF is the biggest TF at a LH which needs to signal a High I anticipate that price will eventually continue bullish during London or NY session up to 19,647.7 to signal a 7H High. With the 7H TF being at a high, all the timeframes from the 23H down will be at their highest point making the retracement valid down to 19,134.8 to signal possibly a 4H HL.
19,134.8 is chosen as a TP of interest because
- it currently sits at the 38.2% fib level of extreme volatility.
- it is within an area for which previously acted as a resistance but since price broke out this resistance level can turn into a support.
Once price reaches 19,134.8 only then will I look for buys.
Daily HL signal - indication of a new low
23H LH - bullish correction
4H HL to 23H HL - confirmation of bullish reversal to ATH
From a fundamental standpoint, we do have the Fed's interest rate decision and FOMC which can cause added volatility since the markets anticipate the Feds to announce rate cuts. So then it possible that the price will not signal a HL on the bigger TF and will make a series of HHs and HLs on the 1H TF to break above the orange consolidation zone to new ATHs.
NAS100 9/16/24💹 Indices:
👁️ Outlook
30m Context Time Frame: The 30m time frame has been breaking bullish all last week. I am expecting some type of re-accumulation tomorrow NY session taking some lows before we get a continuation. We can possibly get a setup for longs but we can also just be sitting on our hands all of Monday and have no opportunity.
Daly Bias: Bullish but expecting some sort of re-accumulation before the coninuation.
Keeping an eye on this. 👁️
NAS100USD Middle of rectangle patternIt’s going up till 20387 then going down till 18831 (in extension 18554) and another buying opportunity in begging of October.
The stock market is highly volatile. Please be very careful with your investments.
US _ 100 _ Cash _ CFD _ Sep_ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ TraUS _ 100 _ Cash _ CFD _ Sep_ Distribution _ Prices _ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ PEPPERSTONE.
Good week ahead .
Expecting the following same as I will be expecting tomorrow will be Monday (GMT).
1st Distribution prices:
$19,551.9
$19,592.6
$19,594.0
$19,639.6
$19,676.5
$19,717.7
$19,731.6
____________________
Retest (drop) To the key level of $19,430.3
2nd Distribution price:
$19,925.7
$20,149.1
$20.229.6
____________
It may struggle to 3rd Distribution:
$20,343.9
$20,390.3
________________
Prepare for descending to the key level of, $19,052.9 , $18,895.0
Look Both Ways Before Crossing The StreetHey, I’m back and better. Just tweaking a lot of things when it comes to my strategy but always remember price action comes before everything else.
I am looking to sell NASDAQ this week
my confirmations to sell are due to liquidity zones
we also are forming a Symmetrical triangle following the Elliot Wave principles the D wave is the Correction and E wave will be the impulse.
The market is Correcting right now but overall still Bullish
Technical Analysis is a language - Jeffery Kennedy
Look Both Ways Before Crossing The StreetHey, I’m back and better. Just tweaking a lot of things when it comes to my strategy but always remember price action comes before everything else.
I am looking to sell NASDAQ this week
my confirmations to sell are due to liquidity zones
we also are forming a Symmetrical triangle following the Elliot Wave principles the D wave is the Correction and E wave will be the impulse.
The market is Correcting right now but overall still Bullish
Technical Analysis is a language - Jeffery Kennedy
My Analysis of where nas 100 can go. Not so sure about this oneMy Idea on nas100 is that it can make pullback before going up or it could go up right away but i am not sure about whats gonna happen. From the fundamental side of thing (stable financial news results and the upcoming Fed interest rate decision) it looks possitive to me.
Whats Your opinion on Nas100? Let me know, i am in the game new so i apreciate every idea and point of view.
NASDAQ H4 IdeaPlanning to initiate a short position in the Nasdaq when it reaches 19,100, aiming to capitalise on a downward movement to 18,900. Once the Nasdaq hits 18,900, I will close my short position and open a long position, anticipating a rebound that could lead to a new all-time high (ATH). This strategy is designed to take advantage of both the anticipated decline and the subsequent recovery in the Nasdaq index.
NAS100 View!!Wall Street was on track to open slightly higher on Friday as investors reevaluated the possibility of a bigger interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, while Boeing fell after the planemaker's factory workers went on strike.
Traders' bets of a 50-basis point rate cut jumped overnight, now standing at 43% compared with 14% on Thursday, CME's FedWatch Tool showed.
Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley said there was a strong case for a 50-bps interest rate cut. Separate media reports calling the decision "a close call" also added to the uncertainty.
"A couple of articles were published in the
UPDATE ON NAS100 ANALYSISNAS100 4H - Back with some updated on analysis on this pair, as you can see previous analysis has played out perfectly for us up to now. Anyone who got involved in longs will have profited nicely.
I am now closing my longs in prep for a down move, we are seeing price sit well at this area of interest. We are also seeing price distribute and this maybe in prep for the anticipated down move, as always we just need to wait for relevant confirmation before we can look to take this market short.
Confirmation will be a break in the fractal structure thats traded price up, I have gone ahead and marked out the last fractal relevant protected low. A break in that will suggest that the bullish leg taking price higher has now finished and a new trend to the downside is ready to be printed.
If however price absorbs this area and breaks above it, we could look to add into further long positions trading price up and into the zone above, again we will need confirmation first before we look to do anything of the sort though.
NAS100 Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 19,484.5.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 19,918.5.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US100 | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
* Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards)
* Weekend Crypto Session
# Trend | Time Frame Conductive | Weekly Time Frame
- General Trend
- Measurement on Session
* Support & Resistance
* Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead
# Position & Risk Reward | Daily Time Frame
- Measurement on Session
* Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618
* Extension | 0.786 & 1
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
NAS100 - FOMC [18th] WEEK4HR SMA's Crossing, monitor price reaction closely this week.
20 SMA - Blue
200 SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Thank you for your time reading, boosting and/or following my analysis.
I deeply appreciate it.
Nas100 BULLISH- I'm looking at that daily FVG and we might get our low of the week inside,
- also looking for sell side to be swept inside that daily FVG first before I start looking for buys.
- keeping in mind that SMT might be formed if Nas100 is stronger between USPX500 and Nas100 might not sweep that sell side but SPX500 might do it for NAs100
- entries would be around New York Am Session as usual looking for 1mins to 5mins MSS.
- it would be beautiful if this happens during that FOMC fundamental day
Always use Stop losses to protect your mentality
GOOD LUCK
Opportinity for money 📉💵⚡1. Rising Interest Rates📉💵⚡
1.Central banks, particularly the Fed, continue to raise interest rates to control inflation. Higher rates mean more expensive borrowing for companies and consumers, reducing consumer spending and business investment, which can lead to market declines.
2. Persistently High Inflation
Ongoing high inflation erodes real consumer incomes and corporate profit margins. Rising energy and raw material costs continue to weigh on companies' production costs. If inflation remains elevated, expectations for economic slowdown will increase.
3. Threat of Recession
Higher interest rates, rising living costs, and economic slowdown could lead to a recession. Recession expectations often cause market declines as investors reassess company valuations and expected earnings.
4. Geopolitical Uncertainty
International conflicts, such as the war in Ukraine or trade tensions between the U.S. and China, create uncertainty and can lead to sharp market sell-offs. Political instability typically weakens investor confidence.
5. Technical Correction After Prolonged Growth
Markets have seen significant growth in recent years, and many stocks are considered overvalued. This increases the likelihood of a technical correction—a natural decline in stock prices after a prolonged period of growth, where investors take profits.
What could lead to a different outcome (bullish scenario):
Central Banks Ease Monetary Policy: If central banks, especially the Fed, unexpectedly ease monetary policy by lowering interest rates or halting further hikes, it could boost market confidence and support a rise in stock prices.
Inflation Drops Significantly: If inflation starts to decrease faster than expected, it could signal that the economy is stabilizing, which would restore investor confidence.
Positive Economic Reports: Surprise positive macroeconomic news (e.g., strong GDP growth, low unemployment, or better-than-expected corporate earnings) could lead investors to start buying again, pushing markets higher.
Geopolitical Stability: Progress in international relations, such as ending conflicts or trade agreement resolutions, could reduce uncertainty and strengthen markets.
Post-Pandemic Recovery: A stronger-than-expected global recovery post-COVID-19, particularly in sectors like tourism, hospitality, and retail, could boost growth stocks and reignite optimism about future economic growth.📉📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡📉💵⚡💵⚡📉💵⚡
NQ BULLISHNESS AHEAD . NEW ALL TIME HIGH hello this is my forcast for the upcoming week for nasdaq i wanna see price take out PWHs and onto that imbalance. buy side delivery
Technical and digital analysisWe notice that we are in an upward correction and there is an increase in momentum. We are waiting for sellers to weaken in order to buy,
SELLS ON NAS100Market has reached a pivotal level I'm looking for a break and retest from the trendline to enter i wont rush the trade should be active on Tuesday so be in the look out Mondays are usually slow so no trade on Monday.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this conversation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages incurred as a result of following the information provided.
US Tech 100 Index (NASDAQ 100) (Symmetrical Triangle Pattern)Salam,
This is only my personal opinion and forecast for educational purposes only.
In this chart, we are looking at the US Tech 100 Index (NASDAQ 100) on a 4-hour timeframe. Several technical patterns and indicators can be observed:
1.Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle, with the price bouncing between a descending resistance line and an ascending support line.
A symmetrical triangle typically signifies a period of consolidation before a breakout. Since this pattern is neutral, the direction of the breakout can be either upward or downward.
2. Current Price Action
The price is currently near the apex of the triangle, where a breakout is imminent. The price is moving towards the resistance trendline.
Volume is low, and the market is consolidating, suggesting a potential move soon.
3. Moving Averages
There are Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) (likely 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods) on the chart. These are often used to gauge the trend direction.
The price seems to be hovering near the shorter-term EMAs (possibly the 50 EMA). If the price stays above the EMA, it could indicate bullish momentum.
4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
At the bottom of the chart, we see the MACD indicator.
The MACD line (blue) is below the signal line (orange), which typically signals bearish momentum, but the histogram shows weakening downward momentum, possibly indicating that the selling pressure is fading.
My Forecast
Bullish Case: If the price breaks out above the descending resistance line (around the 19,500 level), this could trigger a rally. The next resistance would be the prior highs near 20,500.
Bearish Case: If the price fails to break the resistance and instead breaks down below the ascending support line (around 18,700), the price could target lower levels, with support likely at around 17,600.
Since the price is nearing the apex of the triangle, we are expecting a breakout soon. Keep an eye on volume and momentum for confirmation of the breakout direction.
Thank You
Mustaqim Mazuky
Independent Trader /Investor
