US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
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NDQ trade ideas
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg.
At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively.
If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3.
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NAS Might Drop Due to Middle East TensionsWild times, eh?
In the midst of a new war in the Middle East, the NASDAQ (like most other indices) is bursting with symbolic strength.
Will it do well? One may doubt it.
Here is a short idea with a conservative target, supported by clearly bearish RSI divergences.
"NASDAQ 100: THE TECH ROBBERY! – Quick Profits Before Reversal?"🔥 "The NDX NASDAQ 100 INDEX Heist: Bullish Loot & Escape Before the Trap!" 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental analysis), here’s our master plan to heist the NDX - NASDAQ 100 INDEX. Follow the strategy on the chart—long entry is the play! Aim to escape near the high-risk RED Zone (overbought, consolidation, potential reversal). The bears are lurking, so take profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 💪🏆🎉
🚀Entry (The Vault is Open!)
"Swipe the bullish loot at any price!"
For precision, place buy limit orders within 15-30min timeframe (recent swing lows/highs).
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🛑 Stop Loss (Safety Net)
Thief-style SL at nearest swing low (4H timeframe) → 21,770.00 (adjust based on risk/lot size).
🏴☠️ Target 🎯: 22,800.00
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Macroeconomic trends, COT data, geopolitics, and sentiment align for bullish moves.
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Avoid new trades during high-impact news (volatility = danger).
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NAS100 Analysis – Structure Breakout or Trap?📍 Levels Marked: 22,101 Resistance | 21,880 Mid-Level | 21,375 Channel Support
⸻
📊 Technical Breakdown:
The NAS100 has surged into the 22,000+ range, breaking above the mid-level channel boundary after consolidating beneath it for days. This breakout takes us right back into an untested supply zone from March.
On the lower timeframes (1H & 23min), price cleanly cleared multiple lower highs with aggressive bullish momentum, printing a new intraday high at 22,015. However, structure is still trapped inside a long-term ascending channel on the 4H and D1 — and this move could be setting up a liquidity grab before reversal.
Key zone to watch:
• 22,101 – 22,200 (daily resistance + equal highs)
• 21,880 – 21,920 (possible retest zone)
• 21,375 (channel base support)
⸻
📉 Trade Ideas:
• Short Bias if price rejects the 22,100–22,200 area with bearish confirmation on lower timeframes. Target: 21,800 – 21,600.
• Long Bias only if price gives a bullish retest of the 21,880–21,920 zone with clean structure. Target: 22,222+ with tight risk.
⸻
💡 Final Thoughts:
A textbook case of a channel edge breakout — but breakout or fakeout? Always wait for confirmation and let structure guide the setup. We’re either about to print new highs or see a sharp correction.
📌 Mark your levels. Watch the retest. Execute with confidence.
NAS100 - Priming to SHORTDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Rising Wedge - Bullish Exhaustion Pattern
"SHORT" Targets:
1] 20740.00
2] 20200.00
Fundamentally:
If I was an institutional Invester and/or hedge fund manager with
100's of millions in US stocks. Considering the geopolitical tensions at the moment.
I will move the largest percentage of my portfolio to safe
haven $-bonds and/or commodities like GOLD.
But that's just me...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USTECH Long opportunity USTECH is currently on a bullish impulse move, sitting at the resistance level of 22,000. price is trading above the 50 SMA and we can see momentum favors the bulls with the RSI above the 55 level
Expecting a drop in price, based on the technical analysis, where we could potentially see a retest of of the 21,800 price level before the bullish trend resumes beyond 22,000.
Fundamentals with the Iran Israel cease fire support further bullish indices with confidence coming back into the markets.
NAS100 | Intraday buy setupTimeframe: M15
🔸 Bias: Short-term bullish (scalp to premium zone)
Price just tapped into a fresh M15 demand zone following a strong impulsive leg and is now showing early signs of a reaction (entry model confirmation ✅). Liquidity has been taken beneath the short-term low, and I'm now looking for a short-term push back into the premium supply area near 21,800.
🧩 Confluences:
Bullish BOS + Demand zone reaction
Liquidity sweep below Asian session low
Entry model + candle shift on M15
Potential reversal from discount → premium
🎯 Target: 21,800 zone
❌ Invalidation: Clean break & hold below 21,675
⏳ Type: Intraday scalp / short-term swing
“Risk managed. Liquidity collected. Now we let price tell the rest of the story.” 🚀
NASS1001. Nasdaq 100 (NASS100) Performance
As of mid-June 2025, the Nasdaq 100 index is around 21,600 to 21,700 points, showing moderate volatility with recent declines amid geopolitical tensions and trade concerns.
Technology stocks, including semiconductor giants like NVIDIA and Broadcom, remain influential on Nasdaq movements.
Market sentiment is cautious due to escalating Middle East conflicts and US-China trade uncertainties.
2. US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y)
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering around 4.3% to 4.4% in June 2025.
Yields have edged up recently, reflecting inflation expectations and Federal Reserve monetary policy stance.
Rising yields often pressure growth stocks, including tech-heavy Nasdaq components, due to higher discount rates on future earnings.
3. US Dollar Index (DXY) Dynamics
The DXY has been relatively stable but showed some weakening in 2025 despite rising Treasury yields, reflecting complex market dynamics including geopolitical risks and shifts in capital flows.
A weaker dollar can support Nasdaq by boosting earnings of multinational tech firms through favorable currency translation, while a stronger dollar can weigh on exports and earnings.
4. Interplay Between NASS100, US10Y, and DXY
Rising US10Y yields tend to put downward pressure on Nasdaq 100 due to increased discount rates and borrowing costs for growth companies.
DXY movements influence Nasdaq via currency effects on multinational revenues and investor risk appetite.
Recent geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties have increased market volatility, occasionally decoupling typical correlations.
Softer inflation and weak labor data have temporarily boosted investor sentiment, supporting modest Nasdaq gains despite yield pressures.
Conclusion
the Nasdaq 100 faces pressure from rising US 10-year Treasury yields, which increase discount rates on tech stocks, while geopolitical tensions and trade uncertainties add volatility. The US Dollar Index’s relative weakness provides some support to Nasdaq earnings, partially offsetting yield headwinds. Market participants remain cautious, balancing inflation data, Fed policy, and global risks in their outlook.
#NASS100
NASDAQ Midweek Review | Trend, Liquidity, PrecisionSingle-chart post today showing the execution trail behind two solid wins on NASDAQ.
Top-down bias was aligned — bulls clearly in control, so I stuck with trend direction. No need to fight momentum. As a trend trader, I don’t counter — that mindset shift alone is what keeps me consistent and clean with entries.
Chart shows the 30M view — where structure, liquidity, and timing came together. Both setups were built off elite structure reads. Liquidity played its part: manipulation, sweep, confirmation, and execution.
Bias: Bullish
HTF Alignment: Bullish trend continuation
Entry Frame: 30M precision
Key Insight: Liquidity isn’t noise — it’s narrative.
Mindset Note: Counter-trading is a shortcut to inconsistency. Stay with flow, respect structure.
Bless Trading!
Can Geopolitics Power Tech's Ascent?The Nasdaq index recently experienced a significant surge, driven largely by an unexpected de-escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran. Following a weekend where U.S. forces reportedly attacked Iranian nuclear sites, investors braced for a volatile Monday. However, Iran's measured response - a missile strike on a U.S. base in Qatar, notably without casualties or significant damage - signaled a clear intent to avoid wider conflict. This pivotal moment culminated in President Trump's announcement of a "Complete and Total CEASEFIRE" on Truth Social, which immediately sent U.S. stock futures, including the Nasdaq, soaring. This rapid shift from geopolitical brinkmanship to a declared truce fundamentally altered risk perceptions, alleviating immediate concerns that had weighed on global markets.
This geopolitical calm proved particularly beneficial for the Nasdaq, an index heavily weighted towards technology and growth stocks. These companies, often characterized by global supply chains and reliance on stable international markets, thrive in environments of reduced uncertainty. Unlike sectors tied to commodity prices, tech firms derive their value from innovation, data, and software assets, which are less susceptible to direct geopolitical disruptions when tensions ease. The perceived de-escalation of conflict not only boosted investor confidence in these growth-oriented companies but also potentially reduced pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy, a factor that profoundly impacts the borrowing costs and valuations of high-growth technology firms.
Beyond the immediate geopolitical relief, other crucial factors are shaping the market's trajectory. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, where he will discuss monetary policy, remains a key focus. Investors are closely scrutinizing his remarks for any indications regarding future interest rate adjustments, particularly given current expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025. Additionally, significant corporate earnings reports from major companies like Carnival Corporation (CCL), FedEx (FDX), and BlackBerry (BB) are due. These reports will offer vital insights into various sectors' health, providing a more granular understanding of consumer spending, global logistics, and software security, thereby influencing overall market sentiment and the Nasdaq's continued performance.
Nasdaq100 OANDA:NAS100USD has reached the previous highest level.
We see that the trendline has made a high possibility of the nasdaq 100 to reach a new high level because the price has gone above the previous high level, and came back to test it.
Now the price is going back up. It is fascinating as to what nasdaq100 will do next and how
other indices will be affected, including Gold and forex...
My opinion on nasdaq100:
1. It has made a different move compared to the previous high levels when they reached this level. Previously when the price reached the horizontal line (the resistance level) price began to push down and create very long spikes.
2. Nasdaq100 will go way too high and spike on that highest trendline. Spike from that level thereby create a new resistance level.
3. And then price will begin to push down strong. This will happen only if there will be a very strong spike meaning an incredible amount of sells pushing the price down.
US100 - USTEC - Sells....📉 Textbook Short with ELFIEDT – RSI + Reversion
Instrument: US Tech 100 (USTEC)
Timeframe: 15-Minute
Date: 25 June 2025
Indicator: ELFIEDT RSI + Reversion
🔍 What Happened:
On 25 June, just after the New York open, ELFIEDT’s “DOWN” signals triggered in rapid succession—right near the session high around 22,296.
The market had been pushing upward aggressively, but ELFIEDT detected a shift in momentum and printed multiple clear short signals before the reversal even began.
💰 The Outcome:
Price dropped sharply from the signal zone, falling more than 70 points shortly after.
Anyone following the system’s guidance would have had:
✅ A clean short entry
✅ A tight risk level (just above the signal candle)
✅ A fast move in their favor
This is exactly how the ELFIEDT system is designed to operate—catching turning points early and cleanly.
📌 Why It Matters:
ELFIEDT doesn’t just follow price. It detects exhaustion, imbalance, and timing shifts with precision—giving you clear, visual BUY and SELL labels on the chart.
You don’t need to second guess or overanalyze—just follow the signals.
📈 Trade with Confidence:
This chart is a perfect example of how ELFIEDT helps traders stay ahead of reversals, avoid chasing, and trade with structure.
Let the indicator do the heavy lifting—your job is execution.
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (Part 41)We are entering week 12 since the market signaled it's lowest point of 2025...and the 2nd week of the upper level consolidation between the last Daily Low and the current daily High...
This was confirmed by the the daily consolidation point created by the lowest point of last week on Thursday at 9:49 am... (See M1 Chart)
The market then bought 4,700 for a nice consolidatory trend move in favor of the bulls.
This was followed up with a quick hard sell which is expected in consolidated market such as we have.
There will be lot's of great opportunities favoring buyers and sellers, however the main moves for me are always the buys from my largest HL and the market has proven that over the last 11 weeks the lows have been intact.
Just remember any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to another HL on the largest timeframe.
I do not react to news as the market only trades the defined structure...any craziness that happens in the world only creates volatility within an already established market structure.
So for this week...it's business as usual...I wait for my next entry at the HL just below 21449.0 or at the next confirmed HL.
Happy trading...
My strategy is and will always be:
HL's to HH's Guaranteed!
#oneauberstrategy
USNAS100 -Risk-Off Sentiment Keeps USNAS100 in Bearish TerritoryUSNAS100 – Bearish Momentum Holds as Traders Watch Geopolitical Risks and Fed Signals
The NASDAQ (USNAS100) remains under pressure as market sentiment stays cautious amid ongoing Middle East tensions and uncertainty ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve outlook. While the geopolitical escalation has not triggered panic, it continues to weigh on risk appetite—particularly in tech-heavy indices.
Technical Outlook:
The price currently appears to be heading toward 21635. A 1H close below this level is expected to confirm further downside toward 21470.
A break below the key support zone could open the door to the next bearish leg targeting 21065.
To shift the structure to bullish, the price would need a confirmed 4H candle close above the 21790–21850 resistance zone.
Key Levels:
• Support: 21635, 21470, 21375
• Resistance: 21930, 22090, 22200
US100 (NASDAQ 100 Index) – Breakout with Clear Upside ProjectionUS100 has broken out cleanly above the key resistance at 22,097.1, indicating bullish continuation. The breakout is supported by strong upward momentum, targeting the next key level around 23,441.9, as illustrated by the projected range.
Support at: 22,097.1 🔽 | 20,750.0 🔽
Resistance at: 23,441.9 🔼
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Sustained price action above 22,097.1 keeps the bullish breakout valid, aiming toward 23,441.9.
🔽 Bearish: A drop back below 22,097.1 would invalidate the breakout, possibly pulling price toward 20,750.0.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
NAS100 | 15min | Breakout or Breakdown SetupPrice is currently testing the descending trendline and a key demand zone after a short-term selloff. Entry taken at a possible liquidity grab with bullish intent, targeting a breakout above the trendline. If rejection continues, a drop towards the lower liquidity area near 22,060 is likely. Watching for confirmation on the next 1–2 candles.
NAS100 | LTF viewpointWe are currently caught between 2 LQC candles that have both swept LQ and we are waiting for the break of the trend to the upside as we have tapped into to 68 & 72% fib levels
So the is a high chance we continue to the upside with NASDAQ BUT if market decides to disregard that setup o9f UPSIDE momentum the is a chance of sellers stepping into the market only if of LQC(liquidity swept candle) decides to not hold then we can begin looking for SELLING OPPORTUNITIES
FEEL FREE TO DROP A FEW ADVICES IN THE COMMENT SECTION IF YOU HAVE SOMETHING SIMILAR THAT SUPPORTS MY ANALYSIS OR IF YOU ARE SEEING SOMETHING DIFFERENT
USTECH H4 AnalysisUSTECH Showing a bullish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 22,106.35 and higher TO 23,200. If no, Can rally between 20,800, 20,400 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗