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NDQ trade ideas

WHERE TO GO....NDXGood Morning, I entered a trade with QQQ yesterday as the market has signaled a strong movement for the bulls. By no means is this a confirmed moved however I saw an opportunity for early entry. We still need to beat out the overall trend reversal resistance which is at the 19,700 mark of April 2th. Prior to that we need to make it through: 18,400$ First resistance. 19,000 2nd Resistance. Trend is showing that we will break both of those levels. Enjoy!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by mindfullylost
3
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders! As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week. Key Observations: 1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity: The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance. 2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity: Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone. Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium. 3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps: With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling. Trading Strategy: Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones. Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Technical Breakdown on US100 Cash CFD | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 18,758.52 Value Area Low (VAL): Approx. 18,259.03 Point of Control (POC): Recent Session POC: 18,758.52 Previous Session POC: 18,259.03 High-volume nodes: Clustered around 18,600–18,750 – area of high interest and possible re-accumulation. Low-volume gaps: Below 18,300 – could act as fast-move zones on breakdown. b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Above 18,800 (recent swing high). Below 18,250 (previous swing low). Absorption Zones (Delta Volume Focus): Strong absorption around 18,580–18,600; price has consolidated here indicating order filling. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: High-volume swing low: 18,259.03 (POC) – strong buying response seen post drop. High-volume swing high: 18,758.52 – rejection seen here on low follow-through. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Currently Range-bound (CVD not showing clear accumulation/distribution trend). ADX Strength: ADX ≈ 18–20: Suggests weakening trend; possible sideways movement. DI+ ≈ DI-: Confirms indecision. CVD Confirmation: CVD flattening at resistance suggests equal pressure from buyers and sellers. No strong rising or falling trend in CVD; supports ranging bias. 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 18,259.03 Previous swing low/absorption: 18,300 Resistance: VAH: 18,758.52 Rejection level: 18,800 b) Gann-Based Levels: Confirmed Gann Lows: 18,259 Key Retracement Levels: 1/3 retrace from recent high: ~18,430 1/2 retrace: ~18,500 2/3 retrace: ~18,580 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by ADX near 20 and mixed CVD). b) Notable Patterns: Bearish rejection at VAH zone. Potential descending channel forming from highs. Fake-out above 18,750 followed by rejection – possible liquidity grab. 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,300–18,350 (absorption + VAL zone) Targets: T1: 18,580 T2: 18,750 Stop-Loss: Below 18,250 RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: Near 18,750–18,800 (rejection area) Target: T1: 18,300 Stop-Loss: Above 18,850 RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk 1–2% of total capital per trade for optimal drawdown management.
FX:NAS100Short
by ProspireWealth
NASDAQ-100 (NDX) daily analysis by TradingDONAlright, folks: here’s my take on today’s 15‑minute CAPITALCOM:US100 action—Buckle up.📈 **When the Market Faked Us Out** I was watching price flirt with a fresh high up around 18,500–18,550, but it couldn’t stick. You know that moment: the rally teases you into thinking bulls have taken over, then promptly rolls over. I marked the false higher‑high with a tiny red “X” on my chart—classic stop‑hunt before the reversal. In plain English: institutions swept buy stops, then handed off into those get‑rich‑quick hopes. **Key Zones:** - **Premium (18,800+):** Smart money sells here—price always stalls or dumps. - **Discount (18,000–18,100):** Institutions buy the dip—bounces here carry weight. **FVGs & Stop‑Hunt:** I’ve got Fair Value Gaps around 17,600–17,750 that act like magnets on a pullback. The drop to 17,562.6 was a classic sell‑side stop hunt before the big reversal. - Distribution hit the Premium zone. - Accumulation’s brewing in the Discount zone + FVGs. - That sweep of 17,562.6 was classic smart‑money stop‑hunt + scoop. - 💡My long at ~17,880 sits at a neat support confluence—so, for now, I’m leaning bullish to the next structural level. *This is my educational breakdown of ICT concepts—not trading advice. Do your own homework and manage risk.*
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by iamtradingdon
Bullish Breakout on NAS100 – Momentum ShiftingNASDAQ 100 (US100) – Bullish Setup Developing 1. Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of the falling wedge (purple trendlines), signaling a potential reversal to the upside. 2. Retesting Breakout Zone: Current price action is retesting the breakout level near the 18,000 zone, indicating potential support forming. 3. Trendline Confluence: The breakout aligns with the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel (blue), acting as dynamic support. 4. Strong Bullish Rejection at Lows: Price showed strong buying interest near 17,700, forming a bullish rejection wick and bounce. 5. Clean Target Ahead: Next key resistance zone lies around 18,540, where price may face selling pressure again – this matches previous structure and descending channel resistance. 6.Momentum Shift Noted: Lower highs and lower lows structure has been invalidated, hinting at a possible trend shift. Thanks for your Time..
FX:NAS100Long
by Naren_2410
1
NAS100 - Will the stock market go bullish?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for the next Nasdaq long positions with a good risk-reward ratio. Economists remain divided over whether President Donald Trump’s tariff policies are weakening the economy enough to trigger a recession. Some believe the possibility of a recession is significant, citing the rising costs of tariffs that are burdening both businesses and consumers. Others argue that the U.S. economy is strong enough to weather the trade war without falling into recession, pointing to resilient employment levels and consumer spending. Forecasting experts also express differing views regarding the risk that Trump’s tariff campaign could tip the economy into a downturn. A Wall Street Journal survey conducted in April among 57 economists revealed that, on average, participants estimated a 45% chance of a recession occurring within the next 12 months—up from just 20% in the January survey. The economic outlook took a notable downturn in February, when Trump began announcing tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. Many forecasters, who had expected a “soft landing” from post-pandemic inflation, are now preparing for a possible recession, as these tariffs and other economic barriers are forcing both households and businesses to tighten spending. A separate survey of financial professionals working with businesses found that many companies have recently faced greater difficulty in collecting payments from clients, indicating growing financial strain among key economic players. The Credit Managers’ Index, overseen by the National Association of Credit Management and monitored by economist Chris Kuehl, still showed growth in March, though at a slower pace than before. On the more optimistic side is Allen Sinai from Decision Economics, who assigns only a 20% probability to a recession within the next year. Although this is an increase from his January estimate of 10%, he still considers it an unlikely scenario. Sinai’s primary reason for optimism is the strength of the labor market, which has remained stable since recovering from the massive layoffs during the COVID-19 lockdowns. March’s unemployment rate was 4.2%—close to historic lows—and not indicative of an economy in recession. One major point of disagreement between recession pessimists and optimists lies in the interpretation of consumer sentiment data. Surveys have shown that people are increasingly worried about inflation, the job market, and their personal finances. If such concerns lead to more cautious consumer spending, it could weigh heavily on the overall economy. The upcoming week is expected to begin quietly in terms of economic data releases, particularly due to global markets being closed on Monday in observance of Easter. However, midweek brings key reports that could significantly influence market expectations. On Wednesday, the preliminary S&P Global composite purchasing managers’ index for April and March new home sales figures are due. Thursday will feature a packed slate of indicators, including durable goods orders, jobless claims, existing home sales, and the final reading of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index. Alongside the data releases, investors will closely monitor remarks from Federal Reserve officials. Following Jerome Powell’s firm stance last week, upcoming speeches by Kashkari, Goolsbee, and Harker could shape or reinforce market expectations regarding the Fed’s future policy path. Meanwhile, Apple is grappling with mounting challenges in the global marketplace. In China, the company has lost a significant portion of its market share, with sales declining by 9%, while Huawei’s sales have grown by 10%, and Xiaomi now holds the top spot with an 18.6% market share. These shifts reflect a notable pivot in Chinese consumer preferences toward domestic brands. Furthermore, U.S.-imposed tariffs on Chinese goods have put additional pressure on Apple’s profit margins in its home market, placing the company in a tough position.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18030 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 17830 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path. Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
3
Downtrend looks to be continuing with a new lower highAre we targeting a new lower low? Time will tell, but with every passing day the true nature of a sitting president full of hot air comes to light. The words that are spewed will have less and less gravity on the markets until his words are put out onto deaf ears and the markets can get back to a functioning state. When you hear a liar speak the first time you don't know the words are lies, but eventually you just stop listening to the nonsense because it all seems like lies after. Either way the words hold little punch. Shock and Shock is the ploy, I guess? I'm not shocked any longer and maybe the markets will get it too eventually.
NASDAQ:NDX
by Badbub69
NAS100USD: Bearish Bias Expected to Hold After RetracementGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we maintain a bearish outlook despite short-term bullish movements in price action. These bullish signs appear to be corrective and in alignment with institutional objectives to rebalance inefficiencies created during yesterday’s sharp decline. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Inefficiency Rebalancing Completed: Price has retraced to fill fair value gaps left behind by recent downside volatility. With those inefficiencies now rebalanced, we anticipate a continuation of the dominant bearish institutional order flow. 2. Buy Stops Taken – Institutional Order Pairing: The sweep of buy stops confirms liquidity collection for institutional sell-side positioning. This aligns with a classic distribution phase, where institutions utilize buy-side liquidity to enter short positions. 3. Institutional Resistance – Rejection Block: Price is currently reacting at a key institutional resistance zone, known as the rejection block. This zone, formed prior to the latest downside move, may act as the final area of resistance before renewed bearish continuation. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Monitor price behavior at the rejection block. Upon confirmation, this area offers a high-probability setup for short entries. Profit Targets: Focus on targeting liquidity pools resting at deeper discount levels. These areas represent logical destinations for price based on institutional order flow dynamics. Remain diligent and patient in your execution. Let the market confirm the direction before committing to a position. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 18,144.20 which is an overlap resistance. Stop loss is at 18,800.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 16,779.34 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:NAS100Short
by Tradu
Definite downward trend. Great buying potential in near future.Hello all traders and learner charters. As you can see definite downward trend. Some are even saying sell everything. I added the five year percentages, as you can see its not very promising for the moment, but definitely promising for anyone wanting to get into nasdaq or SP500. There are seldom opportunities like this. I would suggest to keep watching it, as a lot of people who rode the bull market after Trump call, have taken there profits and sold. This trend will force others to sell as no one wants to make a loss on nasdaq. So with that in mind, it will be red all over for a while I would say about two weeks maybe even more, but if you just keep on buying little amounts DCA dollar cost averaging, you will get some good buying positions down low. And then hold them for the next few years. This is a great opportunity. Good luck.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by patrick58
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – Hanzo’s Strike Setup 🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M) ——————— 💯 Main Focus: Bullish Breakout at 18160 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. 💯 Main Focus: Bearish Breakout at 18000 We are watching this zone closely. 📌 If price breaks with high volume, it confirms Smart Money is in control, and a strong move may follow. ——— 🔻 Every warrior needs a tribe. Follow Hanzo. Support the path. Analysis 👌 Bearish Signs (15M TF): • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18700 • Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 18400 • Strong Rejections seen at: ➗ 18400 – Major support ➗ 19000 – Proven resistance ——— 🩸 Key Zones to Watch: • 18700 – Bearish breakout level • 19130 – Strong resistance (tested 6 times) • 18400 – Equal lows
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NAS100USD: Bearish Momentum Likely to Extend in NY SessionGreetings Traders! At present, NAS100USD continues to reflect clear bearish institutional order flow. This is evidenced by the consistent formation of lower lows and the way bearish arrays—such as fair value gaps and order blocks—continue to hold as effective resistance zones. Key Observations: Sustained Bearish Structure: The market has maintained a downward trajectory, with each rally being absorbed by bearish arrays. This behavior reinforces the dominance of institutional selling pressure. High Volatility Window – New York Session: With the New York session now underway, heightened volatility is expected. This presents a favorable environment for bearish continuation trades, particularly if price respects the key supply zones. Trading Strategy: Entry Consideration: I am awaiting a retracement into a key bearish array—either a fair value gap or a bearish order block. Upon confirmation of rejection from these zones, I will seek to enter short positions. Profit Targets: The primary objective will be to target liquidity pools residing at lower discount levels. These areas represent external liquidity where institutional participants are likely to complete order execution. By aligning with the prevailing bearish institutional narrative and waiting for high-probability confirmations within premium zones, we can strategically position ourselves to benefit from further downside momentum during this high-impact session. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
2
NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐 Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment. 1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️ The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively. A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating. 2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️ My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4). This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area. Anticipated Scenario: I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it. Point of Interest (POI): The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍 3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15): Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫 The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level). What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows). Confirmation Signal: For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for: A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high). Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows. Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level. Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary). Synthesized Outlook & Strategy: The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback. The Strategy: Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘‍♀️ Confirmation: Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉 Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry. Targets: Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯 Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️ Fundamental Check: cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
3