JSE Top40 (J200): Return of the BearsThe JSE Top40 is looking weary, I am looking at this as a setting up of a topping formation for the weekly cycle for the following reasons:
1. RSI has begun falling, building negative divergence while price is still ranging in what appears to be some distribution.
2. In recent times, the Top40 has not managed above 20% distance from 200DMA, best being out of October 2020 low +21%, we managed 19% currently.
3. The uptrend has been on for 21 weeks, unless we have a long cycle, we within time for a top before going down for +10 weeks.
In this environment, one is best taking profit & seek shelter in shares that move contrary to the index. Price interaction with the green and blue trendlines will be of interest for the daily cycle going into March 2023.