Swiss Franc Index (SXY) & Swiss Franc PairsAs a safe-haven currency, the Swiss Franc (CHF) retained its strength throughout 2024, even as rate cuts from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) encouraged temporary rebounds by other currencies. Despite these rate cuts, the Franc maintained a bullish trajectory, targeting a key supply zone near the 122 level. We expect this region to act as a resistance point, triggering bearish order flow towards the close of Q1 2025.
The CHF’s resilience makes it a currency to watch, particularly in risk-off environments or during geopolitical uncertainty.
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SXY trade ideas
SWISS FRANC INDEX-SXYOn the monthly chart, the Swiss Franc index, SXY is pushing higher to mitigate a supply zone. The price rally caused an aggressive bearish move across all CHF pairs. Presently, we are in a period of minor correction. The slide is expected to continue, thereafter we will look to trade the bullish correction once we have a shift in order flow and market structure.
Evil Swiss bank on the verge of stopping the manipulation!It is obvious to everyone that SNB is the biggest criminal in this business that always manipulates the market. In the past, they used to do this secretly, but now they are so shameless that they don't even care that everyone knows about it. Hopefully, we are about to start a new cycle where the evil Swiss bank will stop manipulating for a while...
USD CHFSXY is still keeping its feet in ascending channel
Three white soldiers show much stronger ascending momentum as compared to 3 bearish candles - today price at one point found support at .618 level
Closure below .618 will see price testing .786 level - that will be last stop b4 break below ascending channel, after that we will head towards completion of ABCD pattern
After tomorrows bullish candle closure we can consider longing CHF against some weakening currency , in case of break below we can short CHF against USD until .786 level is tested, and then further to ABCD target if .786 is breached too
Seasonals show that in first 2 months of Q4 SXY has tendency to retrace
Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighboursThe USD has lived up to its classification as a safe-haven currency since the beginning of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Other safe-haven currencies, such as the Swiss franc and the Japanese yen, have failed in this respect. Both have lost strength over the past month and a half. The Swiss franc index has fallen 1.2% over this time, while the Japanese yen has plummeted 8.6%.
The physical approximation of Switzerland to the Ukrainian border might explain why the Swiss franc has failed to live up to its safe-haven status. The same reasoning cannot be applied to the yen as Japan has a 5000-mile wide buffer between it and the locale of the conflict. Nevertheless, Switzerland is not the only European country that has been affected by the Ukraine invasion, many of them being direct or close neighbours of Ukraine.
Spotlight on the currencies of Ukraine’s neighbours
The currencies of several close and bordering countries of Ukraine have followed a similar pattern since Russia entered Ukraine for its ‘special military operation’ on 24 February 2022.
The Czech koruna, Polish zloty, and the Hungarian forint each spent the period of 24 February until the 7 March considerably weakening against the US dollar. The US dollar strengthened in a range of 9% to 14% against these pairs. The two weeks before 24 February saw gradual but moderate de-risking in these European currencies, with the US dollar gaining in the range of 2% to 3.5%.
Strangely, significant movement was seen on the bookends of this period, on the 24 February, 6 March, and 7 March. All the stranger for the very sharp reversals that took place on 8 and 9 March. This may have been when it became evident that Russia had botched its invasion. The reversals that occurred were not entirely successful in erasing the losses the currencies made since 24 February. The Czech koruna (USDCZK) has fared the best during this affair so far, weakening by only -3% and followed by the Polish zloty (USDPLN) at -4.9% and the Hungarian forint (USDHUF) at -7.8%.
SXY ''CHF'' SellGood morning All,
We are looking to continue selling Swiss index.
On the lower TF price has broken down and retest the broken trendline. Selling inside the channel and wave 3 down gives us a good risk to reward trade.
Entry and Sl Marked.
As always Likes, share and comments welcome.
Many Thanks