30 year yield vs 10 year yield ratio chartGold not crumbling down makes me think it's expecting a HUGE bounce for the 30 year vs 10 year yield ratio.
Fuel reservoir is FULL and ready for take off!
#xauusd #xagusd #inflation #markets #nasdaq #fomc
TYX trade ideas
TYX 30 Year Bond YieldWith Fed Powell having his big speech last week, I wanted to take a look at the TYX which is the 30 year treasury bond yield. Although he noted that they won't necessarily hike interest rates in the short term, he did say that he would consider doing so Q2 and above depending on job growth and GDP growth. There was also a clear warning that the Fed would pullback on some of the bond purchasing two times in November and December going into 2022. The TYX normally responds to this in a bullish manner. With the CPI reports being the highest since 1990, consumers are taking hits with having to spend more money for the same products. In the most recent months, this hasn't really mattered to the average consumer. However, if the CPI reports continue to come in higher than forecasted, I'm sure that those same consumers would start pulling back their expenditures. Now taking a look at the chart, my focus is on the Daily TF where there seems to be a bullish flag forming and or an Eve and Eve double bottom that could be in the midst of forming if consolidation persists within the next 3 months. The Mac D indicator seems as if it needs to retrace the previous high and it has already surpassed the 38% retracement level and am looking for a bullish move out of the flag to reach the 61.80% retracement. If this happens and we cross above the 200 ema (already happening on the 15 min) we could be back in the 2's at some point in the near future.
What do you think?
Like, follow, agree, disagree!
Not advice! Just an Idea!
TYXLooks like we are at a resistance level. I want to see if price will retrace the previous low on the daily fib anywhere between 38% - 61% before any bullish run.
Gold vs Bond YieldsGold vs Bond Yields makes an almost perfect mirror image. Gold to bottom when Bond Yields peak. Million dollar question is how High the yields need to be before FED acts to execute YCC.
0% Yield coming if nothing changes, could be very soon.Current monetary policy has brought us this far, and until something changes, it looks like no matter how you look at it, 0% or negative rates are coming. The next 0-15 years should be very 'interest-ing.' If another crisis hits, and the Fed has to lower interest rates drastically, the support of this channel that has held for around 35 years, shows that it is already below 0%. Having at least SOME physical gold and cold storage crypto are good hedges against both of the eventual potential scenarios; an eventual spike in inflation and interest rates; or a Japanese style bumping along around 0% for decades scenario.
Long 30Y USTTime to get long on on the most hated instruments currently out there....the 30Y UST!
Wallz
30 year ratesOf course it looks very similar to TLT invert. But all daily, weekly and monthly seem to suggest a good chance of a rising rates. Somewhat concern for gold if negative correlation hold.
Preferred short term bet. More likely hike and fade.
Interests Rate Could Soon Have a Big Move UpHi All
I know its the end of the world - again.
The Corona virus is creating havoc and interest rates could soon be at zero.
Please see what happened the last time there was a crash in interest rates.
After the crash a big move up. Then it took years before the crash low was broken.
Mark
TYX - 30 year US Treasury Yield. One more low to go?Monthly chart: About 40 year cycle of declining interest cycle may be coming to an end in about a year, finally. Interest sensitive assets and securities may be impacted, some more severe than others.
TYX weekly - short term breakoutsoon will face resistance but may rally to 3.06 level short term. Long term trend is still down. Might be good opportunity for a short term TBT trade.
Real NewsS&P 500 vs. 10y30y credit spreads over time. Math wins. Just another Federal Reserve Asset Bubble. Can you see the decoupling at the conclusion of QE? Mean reversion imminent - higher yields or lower equity prices?
3/10/17 Could be an Important Day for TYXUS 30 Year Treasury yields as measured by TYX could have an important break through on 3/10/17 which is when the US Jobs payroll report comes out.
In December TYX hit a high of 3.20
In June 2015 TYX hit a high of 3.26
This very important double top could be breached on 3/10/17.
Daily RSI and MACD are no where near overbought indicating a lot of roam for yield to rise.
A breach of the double top will open the door for a run up to 4.00
Mark
