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US Government Bonds 2 YR Yield

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US02Y trade ideas

What is your best trade idea for the second half of 2022?Hey everyone! 👋 This week we thought it would be fun to hear from the community 🧏 In the comments below, share your top trade idea for the second half of 2022! What trends do you think will be the most relevant? Will there be any big macroeconomic changes? Will inflation increase? Decrease? Any assets you see that are mispriced bigtime? Let us know in the comments below and drop some alpha for the community! We'll send our favorite commenter a super-rare TradingView mug ;) Winner announced on Monday morning at market open. Cheers to all, and have a great weekend! -Team TradingView
TVC:US02Y
by TradingView
155
33. A lesson on 'When will the FED pivot"???Dear followers, From lesson 32 yesterday, we discuss that as far as EURUSD is concerned, SELLERS are currently in control. The million dollar question is, when will BUYERS be in control again? The answer is obviously knowing when the FED will pivot - stop raising rates!!! One of the clear indication when this might happen is by looking at the MARKET. The MARKET always tell the truth. This can be seen from the US02Y, which is reflective of short term interest rate condition. Currently, it is trading above the 50MA. Once it drops below 50MA, this might be an indication from the market that the FED may be pausing its rate hikes. This is when we need to be careful in our trades and start to slow down our EURUSD sell orders. P/S : As always, do not just believe what I say. Use your common sense.
TVC:US02Y
by i_am_siew
RECESSION CXLD???Just an update and observation, for each major time of sustained economic distress, the candle body has pushed past 0.618 so the recent wick could have been initial panic given current events. Even the inverted yield curve during pandemic was quickly squashed b/c money printer go brrrrr. I will not discount a possible change but will be watching for any moves past this level. ───────────────▄▄───▐█ ───▄▄▄───▄██▄──█▀───█─▄ ─▄██▀█▌─██▄▄──▐█▀▄─▐█▀ ▐█▀▀▌───▄▀▌─▌─█─▌──▌─▌ ▌▀▄─▐──▀▄─▐▄─▐▄▐▄─▐▄─▐▄ Thanks for reading, still evolving in this game.
TVC:US02Y
by Miles-Maddox
1
Out The MoneynessThe 2yr yield is inverted to emphasize value rather than yield. The untethering of the DXY from the treasuries are something to watch. There's a lot to see here. Im viewing it from the lenses of liquidity and solvency. This is developing. The purpose of this post is to serve as a repository of notes along the way regarding this topic. DXY shows relative strength of the dollar. But the bonds sell off seems to show it as contextually weak albeit stronger (and in this case the most liquid). I would view this more as a moment of underperforming by the least in a group of underperformers rather than outright comparative outperformance. Notable Events since the 6/10 CPI print Yield curve inversion along multiple points of the curve as the short end yields higher than the long end 75 bps being priced in, market wide, some stating as early as this Wednesday's announcement for June. Consensus give 95% probability for July. ~175bps being priced in with high probablility to september. WSJ piece by Timiraos re the coming hikes. Celsius (large cap crypto lender) becomes defacto insolvent during what looks like a bank run. Dollar withdrawals are suspended. www.washingtonpost.com Binance briefly halts dollar withdrawals from the BTC network. One of its networks briefly down due to a "stuck transaction" twitter.com ECB Fragmentation is popping up with increased frequency in the 10y sovereigns. Draghi's "whatever it takes" comments see the Italian 10yr sell off at a rate leading the euro area sell offs. In the beginnings of the overnight session South Korea warns "The financial markets and economy are in critical condition." President Yoon: " The government intends to use all supply-side tools to keep inflation under control" - Yonhap Meanwhile the BoJ amidst zero-bid scenarios on their 10y sovereigns and declares a backstop bid of 800bln yen at the next auction. The lack of liquidity in its bonds is causing havoc to the Yen. BoJ is expected to step in to defend the currency. This may have implications on its regional emerging market peers. See Further Comments for updates.
TVC:US02Y
by tradingonatoilet
2 year yield breakoutMixed picture here. The US 2 year yield which is usually predictive of the Fed funds rate has pushed higher than a line of long term resistance. It is possible to look at this as a breakout from a grand supercycle falling wedge after a previous false breakout. The RSI chart has a rolling over / topping look to it which may indicate that this rally in yield will run out of gas and I will be looking for it putting in a base of support before calling this a bond market bear and predicting much higher interest rates.
TVC:US02Y
by MrAndroid
USA 2 Years Bond USA Sun Storm Investment Trading Desk & NexGen Wealth Management Service Present's: SSITD & NexGen Portfolio of the Week Series Focus: Worldwide By Sun Storm Investment Research & NexGen Wealth Management Service A Profit & Solutions Strategy & Research Trading | Investment | Stocks | ETF | Mutual Funds | Crypto | Bonds | Options | Dividend | Futures | USA | Canada | UK | Germany | France | Italy | Rest of Europe | Mexico | India Disclaimer: Sun Storm Investment and NexGen are not registered financial advisors, so please do your own research before trading & investing anything. This is information is for only research purposes not for actual trading & investing decision. #debadipb #profitsolutions
TVC:US02Y
by Sunstorminvest
US02Y­-US10Y 🎯Wells Fargo Chart of the Week 🎯💰🤔Hey Fam. 😊🙏Just wanted to share this information with you all.. I found it very interesting.. This was a chart of week that Wells Fargo shared on there site. I thought it was interesting how they saw a 4 week inversion roughly 43 weeks on average in regards to our last seven Recessions before they happened (Shaded Areas on chart) Before a US recession officially started.. which is roughly about 10 months..🎯💰🤔👌🙏😊
TVC:US02YEducation
by robinstallsforyou2
Yields are on the verge of breaking-out.In log mode, we can clearly see the trend of yields dating back to the late 1970s. Consistently lower yields on both the 2 year and the 10 year government bonds. Representative of both the long and short duration bonds and their yields. What we can see happening here is a breakout of this downtrend. We are already at between 2.5-3% on the 10YR and the 2YR yield. The Federal Reserve's planned tightening schedule combined with the inflation panic will drive both of these metrics up into the 3% range and beyond. The only way yields could reverse here is through seeing a risk-off move from equities into bonds which would drive up bond prices and in turn, drive down yields. Similarly, higher-yields could tempt investors into bonds at a point in which many stocks have already entered a bear market and many are set to underperform. Market breadth is set to shrink dramatically as equity bulls focus their efforts into a narrower set of large-cap stocks. The FED has an interest rates decision next week amd therefore this quarter will be crucial in determining the direction of the markets.
TVC:US02Y
by RogueEconomics