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US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield

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US10Y trade ideas

US 10Y TREASURY: FOMC rate decisionSurprisingly low Non-farm payrolls of 12K surprised markets and shaped investors sentiment as of the end of the previous week. The US Treasury yields were heading higher testing shortly the level of 4,3%, however, Friday's noisy NFPs pushed the yields toward the 4,36% level. The week ahead will be the crucial one of the further courses of the 10Y Treasury benchmark. On November 7th, the FOMC will decide on the further course of US interest rates. It is to be seen how Fed currently perceives the US jobs market, and whether such a low jobs level will have an impact on Fed decision. At this moment, the market is expecting to see a further 25 bps cut. At this moment, there is an indication of a possibility that the market will test the level of 4,4%, before the yields ease a bit back. Still, due to US Presidential elections and the FOMC rate decision, this might be another highly volatile week on US financial markets.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
1
Hidden Bearish Divergence on Yield US Treasury 10YrWhile RSI 14 reach above 70, TVC:US10Y formed a lower low compare to when the last time RSI 14 were above 70 (Apr'24). They say this is a hidden Divergence, a Bearish one. I predict the Yield will fall to 3.6% but still within the Bullish Continuation pattern in the medium to long term. Meaning that the strengthening price of US Bond is temporary before they fall and push the yield higher to the level of Global Financial Crisis in 2008.
TVC:US10YLong
by mmdcharts
1
US 10Y TREASURY: PCE and NFP aheadDuring the previous week there has been a lack of new macro data which would point to markets the course of inflation and potential next Feds move regarding interest rates. Still, the markets are watching closely any statements from Fed officials, and trying to position according to the current sentiment. Considering that statements from Feds officials were pretty cautious regarding the future rate cuts, the markets reacted by increasing yields. The US 10Y benchmark started the week by testing the 4,0% level, and moved to the highest weekly level at 4,25%. Yields eased on Friday, ending the week at 4,18%. The week ahead is bringing a release of new PCE and Non-farm payrolls data, which would most certainly bring some increased volatility back to the market. There is the potential that the yields might continue to slow down during the week, however, in case of any surprises related to macro data, yields could also hit the 4,25% level for one more time.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
1
US10Y: Rejection at the top of the 1W Channel Down. Prime short.The U.S. Government Bonds 10 YR Yield may still be bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 59.113, MACD = 0.016, ADX = 38.613), but this week's candle is getting rejected at the top of the 1 year Channel Down. If it closes in red it will be the first in almost 2 months and a clear technical signal that a bearish reversal has started. The 1W RSI has also started to reverse. As a consequence, we are turning bearish on the US10Y as of now, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 3.480) where the previous LL was formed. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:US10YShort
by InvestingScope
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value. Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart. #US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
TVC:US10Y
by AFCapital21
US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analysis(What we need to know)!Today, I want to analyze the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield ( TVC:US10Y ) for you in the weekly time frame . In fact, the US 10-Year Government Bonds shows the yield rate of ten-year US Treasury bonds and is a measure of investors' confidence in the US economy . As such, this index influences capital allocation across various markets and impacts broader financial conditions . ----------------------------------------------------- The US 10-Year Government Bond Yield(US10Y) started its upward trend after COVID-19 . After breaking the Important Resistance line and 200_SMA(Monthly) , we can hope for the continuation of US10Y's upward trend. (The Important Resistance line started in 1981 , so it was very important.) According to the Elliott wave theory , US10Y seems to be completing main wave 4 , so main wave 3 was of the Extended type . If the upper line of the descending channel breaks, we can be more sure of the end of main wave 4. I expect US10Y to rise at least as wide as the descending channel width and up to the Resistance zone(5.55%-4.92%) after the descending channel break , completing the main wave 5 . If the Resistance zone(5.55%-4.92%) is broken, we can expect a further increase in US10Y . Now let's see if the US 10-Year Government Bond Yield(US10Y) increases , what will be the effect on other assets? Impact of Rising 10-Year Bond Yields on Key Assets: Bitcoin( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) and Other Cryptocurrencies : As bond yields increase, riskier assets like Bitcoin may face downward pressure. Investors are often drawn to safer investments, such as bonds, when yields rise, making cryptocurrencies less attractive. Gold( OANDA:XAUUSD ) : Higher bond yields usually put pressure on gold prices. Since gold does not offer any yield, a rising yield on bonds increases the opportunity cost of holding gold, causing a potential decline in its price. U.S. Stocks : Rising bond yields can lead to lower stock values, particularly in riskier sectors like tech. Higher bond yields often translate into increased borrowing costs, impacting growth and profitability, especially for companies that rely heavily on credit. US 10-Year Government Bond Yield Analyze (US10Y%), Weekly time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:US10YLong
by pejman_zwin
9
US 10Y TREASURY: retail sales eased the sentimentThe US Treasury market was under influence of the posted data for the Retail Sales in the US in September, as a potential add-on to the total inflation in the country. Released data were in line with the market consensus, as the indicator was higher by 0,4% in September, leading to yearly increase of 1,7%. Without other posted data which would add to the potential move of the inflation in the US, the 10Y US yields eased a bit, and tested the 4,0% level. Still, at Friday trading session, yields ended the week a bit higher, at the level of 4,075%. In the week ahead there are no macro data scheduled for a release, which could point to potential inflation movements, in which sense, it could be expected a relatively calmer week when US yields are in question. There is some probability that yields could test the 4,0% level for one more time, while odds are quite low for the move toward the upside.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
Bond Divergences: ECB Under Pressure from FedThe European Central Bank (ECB) is under pressure to cut interest rates for the third time this year, prompted by the surprise 50 basis point cut announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. Although the ECB had planned to wait until December to make another cut, recent economic data, such as weak PMIs and falling inflation in the Eurozone, have forced its hand, making an October cut inevitable. As the Fed slows its cutting cycle, the ECB seems trapped with no choice but to press ahead, despite the risks of further euro depreciation and rising inflationary pressures. The divergence between the monetary policies of the two central banks also reflects a widening gap in bond markets. In this context, the gap between US and German bonds continues to widen. US 10-year bond yields have risen sharply, while in Germany the increase has been minimal, reaching a gap of 183 basis points, the widest since July. According to Goldman Sachs, this gap could reach 200 points in the coming months, driven by solid growth in the US economy, while the eurozone continues to struggle with weakness in Germany and France. This has led more investors to opt for U.S. bonds, exacerbating pressure on the ECB to lower rates. Elsewhere, in Asia, bond inflows declined in September, with a net total of $4.99 billion, well down from $14.09 billion in the previous month. This slowdown reflects investor caution about possible Fed rate cuts and uncertainties related to the US elections. However, the inclusion of Asian bonds in global indices could revitalize inflows in the future as investors seek new opportunities in the region. Looking at the performance of US, German and Eurozone 10-year bonds, we can note that the first two have followed relatively similar candlestick trajectories, while the Eurozone bond has experienced greater fluctuations and volatility. This has generated significant disparities, including relevant price gaps in mid-July. If we compare the US bond, which currently trades at 4.038%, with the German bond, which stands at 2.208%, we see that, although Germany is trying to keep pace with the US, Europe is not helping to boost German bond yields. In fact, the Eurozone bond appears to be moving steadily in the opposite direction to the other two. It will be interesting to see whether the German bond continues to replicate the performance of the U.S. bond or whether it starts to correlate with the U.S. bond. In summary, central banks in Europe and the US are on divergent paths, which is reflected in the bond market, with the ECB facing difficult decisions and global investors readjusting their strategies depending on monetary policy and geopolitical uncertainties. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
TVC:US10YLong
by ActivTrades
INCOMING LOWER HIGHS!!When they bring the talking heads on TV and make them say: "we haven't seen anything yet, yields are going higher!", you know it's time to buy them! Every single time they do this, bonds yields are either making higher highs or very close to those "local tops". It was identical prior to October 7th of last year. Look it up as a reference. If you don't like that relation, how about you look up Ray Dalio 'warning us, poor naive investors' to NOT BUY LONG TERM NOTES. Yields going up is nothing but a big lie in my moronic opinion. This is the next 'Lower high' and I think we're now heading with clean air down to 3.26% on the 10yr note.
TVC:US10Y
by salomondrin