US Recession Imminent! WARNING!Bond traders are best when it comes to economics. Stock traders not so much.
As the chart shows, historically, when rates bunch up, what follows is a recession. During the recession, the economy tries to fix itself by fanning out the yield curve, marking it cheaper to borrow and boosting the econom
Bullish Bond BonanzaThis chart is simply ultra bullish.
This idea attempts to highlight a bullish pattern, within an ultra bullish pattern.
The first pattern is an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern which has formed over 16 years!
In Oct 23, US30Y breached the 16 year Year High and since then we have created a doub
Potential Bond Duration Spread - 'Riding The Yield Curve'I expect short-dated treasury yields to drop, increasing their price
ie. buy short-dated treausries
could also go short ultras but my view is that yields will slowly come down across the board so I will not be buying the spread
COT positioning shows commercials favour shorter duration bonds
Plotting the decline in ratesplease approximate the next number in the following number sequence: 1187, 850, 455, 266
...
Therefore, the next number in the sequence might be approximately 163
falls in rates are happening faster and faster. forecasts.org predicting 2% rates by april in the 30Y with the drop starting in oct/nov
US Government Bonds 30YR Yeld (US30Y)As inflation trends closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target,
speculation grows around a potential interest rate cut.
The futures market anticipates a 50-basis-point reduction
at the conclusion of the Fed’s September meeting and for rates
to be a full percentage point lower than the current 5.2
See all ideas
A graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities.
Related bonds
Frequently Asked Questions
The current yield rate is 4.831% — it's increased by 11.28% over the past week.
The current yield of United States 30 Year Government Bonds is 4.831%, whereas at the moment of issuance it was 9.021%, which means −46.45% change. Over the week the yield has increased by 11.28%, the month performance has showed a 5.11% increase, and it has risen by 4.05% over the year.
Maturity date is when a debt comes due and all principal and/or interest must be repaid to creditors. For example, the United States 30 Year Government Bonds maturity date is Feb 15, 2055.
You can buy United States 30 Year Government Bonds through brokers — choose the one that suits your needs and go ahead. You can also purchase bonds directly from the issuing organization. Closely track the price dynamics and market news before making any decision.
A bond is a debt security issued by a corporation or a government. By buying bonds, investors loan the issuer money in return for an interest rate. By issuing bonds, the state receives funds that can then be injected into the economy, and corporations raise funds for new research or other operational activities. The alphanumeric code of government bonds represents the abbreviated name of the issuing state, as well as its time to maturity. For example, United States 30 Year Government Bonds is the US government bonds with the maturity of 30 years.
Bonds can be of various maturities, e.g. short-term (less than three years), medium-term (four to 10 years), or long-term ones (more than 10 years). So United States 30 Year Government Bonds are long-term bonds — they have the maturity of 30 years.