IT IS TIME!!VIX is on a major trend line and significant FIBO support. Will it push up from here to new ATH?
GOODLUCK!
VIX trade ideas
VIX: Another Warning Sign!Hello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX).
In this chart, you can see the VIX moving along a support trendline. When the VIX spikes upwards that means the markets (specifically S&P 500; generally all markets) start to move downwards. Every few years the VIX starts to slowly move upwards on a new support and resistance trend line before coming back down to the bottom support line. The current structure of the VIX looks very similar to the formation of the Great Recession so I show that on the chart as a possibility. I also note two support and resistance lines which the VIX could move on as it moves higher. Lastly noted is the RSI which is moving up a support line. This is a monthly chart so have some patience.
I may be completely wrong with the prediction of the VIX moving higher, but with the inflation issue, global economic condition, stock markets crashing, companies preparing for a downturn, interest rates moving higher, the US Dollar Index (DXY) moving higher and crypto market crashing, I would assume my prediction may be on point.
Click on the chart below on why I exited the crypto and stock market in December 2021:
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
MOVE vs VIX"Sometimes we see things in this world that defy belief. When that happens, you have only two choices. Either believe what you see with your own two eyes, or you give up drinking."
bullish pattern on vixbullish pattern almost finished .. once finished wave 5 we will see a really take off in this falling wedge
VIX at a key level here $VIXTVC:VIX
Just something to keep an eye on here as this market rally has been red hot this week
VIX is at a demand line dating back to 2018 and is seeing a reaction
Be interesting to see what kind of follow thru this sees in the coming weeks.
Happy Trading
VixSince January there hasn't been one reason for this thing to break out; NOT.ONE.
CPI coming in better than expected
PCE coming in as expected or better than
PPI Coming in as expected or better than
Powell talking a hawkish game but only raising 25bps
Even the ADP came in lower ...
With that being said for the sake of common sense now I'll get to the technicals.
Forming a bullish wedge here on the chart with bullish divergence on the RSI.
Hourly RSI over sold but that could just lead to a pop to the 20ma.
So that brings us back to this daily wedge pattern. sometimes patterns need Catalyst or "News" to breakout; I thought today's rate hike would be that Catalyst. Looking ahead , besides ECB rate decision tomorrow, and Fridays January unemployment I don't see a Catalyst coming in the next week to make this breakout.
Sometimes there is just a cycle correction like what happens after the summer months in early Sept and sometimes in mid to late Feb.
For now we wait an see , if vix loses support here, we head back. To 16.50 which is its yearly trendline support
VIX Bullish AFVIX is getting ready to be green again and to destroy S&P, and the BTC
Volatile blood is getting ready to enter the play without a doubt
VIX approaching bottom Us $ vix has been always great chart to identify sp500 top
When vix is bottomed it means sp500 has topped
Price has bottomed as per my analysis
Got Volatility? Analyzing the Vix and discussing why we the markets could be in for a surprise in the next 1-2weeks as the vix hits major support.
However if no surprise arises, and the vix confirms below key support, we may continue an upward grind.
One more week of the bull marketSPX can hit 4400. The last week drop in VIX to 18 was unconvincing. We need more, and more will be delivered over the next few days. Those are the last days of the bull market, so some fireworks across all departments (Stocks, Treasuries and FX) should be expected.
VIX Moving UpAll Index Indicators point toward exhaustion. Save some extraordinarily good news, we are moving back above 20 with a short time horizon target of 22.
VIX is self-explanatory viewIts just a matter of time, and that time is coming up very soon!
We have very successfully shorted Fri close and covered in pre-market today!
Wow. If this plays out look out stock market.Giant double bottom with a bullish symmetrical continuation triangle forming at the end which can clearly be seen on the 4 hour chart. This is the daily chart. If the VIX makes its way up to form the neckline of this double bottom then we are no where remotely close to the end of this bear market : ( let's hope not.
Possible VIX OutcomeDrew a Bullish Symmetrical Continuation Triangle. You can see a Double Bottom being formed within the Triangle which is how they are made. The relative strength does match. A rising VIX means a lowering stock market. The DXY is rising as well which rises with the VIX as stocks lower.
$VIX @ lower level of symmetrical triangle$VIX is beginning to wake up
$VXN also (for $NDX)
Both @ lower ends of spectrum while Indices are at upper end
Next few days important
#FederalBank meets as well
#stocks #crypto #bonds
VIX GAPS COULD NOT BE EASIER!Here we have another gap, and these really seem to play well on the VIX! Not guaranteed but something to watch. DXY is holding strong as well ;) Not financial advice, DYOR
www.investopedia.com
Gaps are spaces on a chart that emerge when the price of the financial instrument significantly changes with little or no trading in-between.
Gaps occur unexpectedly as the perceived value of the investment changes, due to underlying fundamental or technical factors.
Gaps are classified as breakaway, exhaustion, common, or continuation, based on when they occur in a price pattern and what they signal.
How to Play the Gaps
There are many ways to take advantage of these gaps, with a few strategies more popular than others. Some traders will buy when fundamental or technical factors favor a gap on the next trading day. For example, they'll buy a stock after hours when a positive earnings report is released, hoping for a gap up on the following trading day. Traders might also buy or sell into highly liquid or illiquid positions at the beginning of a price movement, hoping for a good fill and a continued trend. For example, they may buy a currency when it is gapping up very quickly on low liquidity and there is no significant resistance overhead.
Some traders will fade gaps in the opposite direction once a high or low point has been determined (often through other forms of technical analysis). For example, if a stock gaps up on some speculative report, experienced traders may fade the gap by shorting the stock. Lastly, traders might buy when the price level reaches the prior support after the gap has been filled. An example of this strategy is outlined below.
Here are the key things you will want to remember when trading gaps:
Once a stock has started to fill the gap, it will rarely stop, because there is often no immediate support or resistance.
Exhaustion gaps and continuation gaps predict the price moving in two different directions—be sure you correctly classify the gap you are going to play.
Retail investors are the ones who usually exhibit irrational exuberance; however, institutional investors may play along to help their portfolios, so be careful when using this indicator and wait for the price to start to break before taking a position.
Be sure to watch the volume. High volume should be present in breakaway gaps, while low volume should occur in exhaustion gaps.
VIX long, but how long?VIX price movement is clearly narrowing from a charting technical view, but within the economic fundamentals we have the FED raising rates at an extremely fast pace into a slowdown. Their publicly stated inflation projection was clearly wrong, I highly doubt they will squash inflation with much accuracy given these blunt force tools. For this reason the VIX could go well beyond the 35-40 range if the FED over raised rates. Since Powell was guessing on inflation after injecting more money into the system than ever before(no data to support obviously), it’s fair to assume there is no data to support the current pace and magnitude of raises in this slowing environment. If the current pace is perfect(again no data it would be almost lucky) then the VIX could fall from 35. My base case is the VIX goes over 40 and the FED cuts rates to fix their second mess later this year.
VIX Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
VIX is trading in a downtrend
Below the falling resistance
So I am bearish bissed
And I think that we will
See a bearish continuation
Sell!
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10 VIX 15 feb 23 85 CALL @ 0,04 10 VIX 15 feb 23 85 CALL @ 0,04. Our VIX model is going long. FOMC is next week so would keep an eye on the VIX
✅VIX NEXT MOVE|SHORT🔥
✅VIX broke the key structure level
While trading in a strong downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bearish continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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VIX Below Key LevelVIX is below the key long term support. Risk is back on for now. Not to see it will stay that way.
