VIX one more spike tomorrow into 1.618 imoVIX has one more push to go imo, this is not out of the woods just yet, its a begging.
It should see 55-65 Oct/Nov imo
VIX trade ideas
VIX Feels Like a Smoldering Volcano 🌋 Post-2020 Parabolic MoveThe consolidation pattern in the TVC:VIX VIX goes back to June 2020 after the initial COVID flash-crash scenario.
From June '21 to November '21, you started to see a bottoming formation turning into a new uptrend , subtle as might've been. The uptrend has chopped around in this rising channel since the end of 2021 up until the recent false breakdown during August 2022.
This head fake has allowed the TVC:VIX to retake the bottom of the channel and continue up and up after every headline the market fears. Despite the approach of overbought levels, the bear market rally on Wednesday, September 28 gave volatility room to run.
It appears probable a consolidation pattern around 36-38 will level off the relative strength as of late, occurring for the month of October when the market could stage a short-term rally. Coincidentally, this will set up the TVC:VIX right into the #MidTerms...
To be clear, sirens won't start popping off on AMEX:SPY , NASDAQ:QQQ , and AMEX:DIA until a decisive, sustained move over 36.79 occurs. If that happens, a move to 47.20 seems like a no-brainer.
Notably, that is a test of the top of the rising channel , confirming 2 technical scenarios with the midterm elections as the catalyst for the next leg.
Keep your head on a swivel and keep an eye on volatility of TVC:VIX , NASDAQ:TLT , and TVC:DXY for directional signposts in the broader market. Also, it's important to remember Jerome Powell and other Fed officials, Russian tensions, Europe energy or monetary headlines, and CPI could all eliminate this hypothesis.
Short term bearish VIXHey all, I think the VIX is going to pull back in the near future, but will eventually break out and head higher; the VIX has already been rejecting at resistance here, and I expect it to cool off before we see true capitulation int he stock market. I've noticed the VIX hasn't really spiked despite the market falling to this point, and I don't expect the market to fall much more in the immediate future as I am of the opinion that we're a bit extended to the downside. T
Volmagddeon 2.0 and Volatility Road MapI think, finally, after four years of institution distribution and retail gambling, we are at the conclusion of the 90 year bull market since the end of the Great Depression. Today, the volatility index breeched the support line since beginning of this near-term bear trend which started in Nov 2021. After at least a decade of manipulating capitalistic markets and converting them from fairly sound investment instruments to the largest gambling casino on Earth, the devil work of the central banks has finally caught up with them. There is nowhere left to hide today except the USD and eventually high yielding conservative bonds. Bond markets, metals, commodities, housing, crypto, stocks, all are heading to the abyss. One can join value investors or bears, like myself, but I'm fairly sure most of us have committed financial suicide, been burned at the stake by society or, at the least, beaten to a pulp over these years of trying to show the truth. That's why mostly I just tell folks to get out completely and be happy with a dragon's hoard of cash.
Enough ranting. Volatility is the Phoenix of the market, fire breathing Goddess of the truth. I think volmageddon 2.0 has arrived and we are in for a hell of a decade. Depression is in the cards. Hopefully we don't break out into WW3 but it's certainly possible. Hang on because after it's all over, we should enter the best phase of humanity yet... once all the lies & corruption have been cleansed.
GL to all!
VIX decade-long uptrend; where the line in the sand really isIf I could sleep for the next 6 months I would be able to guess very accurately how current world events unfolded from the decibel levels recorded here
$VIX @ pattern top, bottom for 2022? MOAC 2023?Other banks will probably follow the #BankofEngland
#Fed Reserve is watching & it fits SHORT TERM bull narrative
Updated $VIX - Don't see a major crash in 2022
#stocks #crypto #VIX $SPX $SPY $NDX #NDX $DJI #DowJones #NASDAQ100 $BTC $ETH
VIX Mid Term AnalyisVIX is an index representing the market's expectations for volatility and fear.
When VIX goes up, the volatility and fear are going up too, and as a result the markets usually goes down.
As you can see, the VIX broke last week a trend that continued for 250+ days, and currently it's retesting the line.
The RSI indicator is positive, not low but not too high, and no negative divergances.
The MACD indicator also shows strengh, while the blue line is above the orange line.
The SSL indicator is the same, completely positive.
30 is a strong support and I think that it'll hold it. We are going for a triple retest - for the trendline, the Fib .618, and the 30 support.
My targets are 35,38,45,48.
By this analysis, we can assume that the markets will have a high volatility in the coming weeks/months, and it might cause a continuation of the bear market in stocks and cryptos.
VIX Magic Bowls in ActionAs you can see from the images below, all of the bowls are the same size with similar action from the support lines.
This time out the VIX has broken out of the fallen wedge and looks to have confirmed it by touching down.
These have been quite accurate so far and I believe that we'll reach 34 by next friday.
Sounds quite silly, but the bowls are all of the same size and have performed quite well over the last 5 of them and I'm in a long position to take advantage of them again.
VIX watch 36 If the VIX push up into the 36-40 range it has been a good spot to look for reversals on the broader indexes. Above 40, however things could get ugly. A move above 40 usually means the market is in full free fall mode.
Volatility Is Still Very Tame Compared To 2020Volatility is still very tame compared to 2020.
Market bottoms are typically marked by emotional, indiscriminate, capitulative selling. The VIX Index implies we have not seen that yet.
The VIX Index is now trying to break out of a multi month base.
VIX Weekly Rally?The VIX is the CBOE Volatility Index of the S&P 500 Index.
The VIX is generally inverse of the Market's Movement, specifically the S&P
Volatility is not stable for markets and acts similar to a greed/fear indicator for the markets.
The Higher the Volatility (VIX) The greater the Fear
VIX has been in an uptrend the past few months since the Bear Market Kicked off earlier in 2022
Vix Uptrend = Market DownTrend & an increase of volatility
The VIX has been forming this pennant-type resistance and support, and now has been testing the upper ends of this. The weekly chart on the VIX is creating a breakout with Momentum Squeezing thru to the upside as well.
TTM_SQUEEZE Represents price consolidation, and breakouts through momentum indications similar to MACD.
We are currently seeing a flip to the upside in the weekly chart.
This would be bad for financial markets and can definitely indicate another large pullback coming with little VIX Resistance above until $40 Zone.
We have not 100% broken these yet though, so patience is key and seeing how price reacts around these levels is key.
VIX one more push to 1.618 Lets satisfy this and finish this move up at 1.618 and mark a temp bottom on the indexes.
Going to be 60% long when we hit that target.
Will add when I see bottoming signals, aka wave 2
Hitting 36.50 VIX should conicide with 3588-80 hit imo
$VIX Has Reached Another FCP Zone - W Pattern Complete #VIXTraders and Investors,
The VIX picked up a lot of strength and violated the bearish flag that was earlier forming. Now it has just completed a W pattern which means that it can take a bit of correction. An extended version of this W pattern places the price in the next FCP zone as well. So although there are chances of it falling down, a little more strength can also push it higher. So watch this carefully along with indices.
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The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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sell vix outside upper envelopevix and vix products are selling off outside upper envelope. if we remain in a daily uptrend there could be room to jump back in but my guess is the market is bouncing for now.
VIX Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
VIX went up sharply and is now
Retesting a falling resistance line
From where a pullback is possible
But because its VIX which grows
Much faster than falls
The short is risky therefore
Use small portion of the account
For this trade!
Sell!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
5th time's a Charm for VIX - 40 in trade into OctoberCharts sez it all.
Although I'd like to add it amazes me how many Gurus fail
to comprehend what is ongoing.
Simply amazing.
Think Bank Credit.
Think UK Mortagage Halt.
Think EuroDollar.
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Good Luck.
VIX (after today's close) is in buy zone for markets A good spike up to hit 1.618 tomorrow will be perfect to mark a temp buyable bottom.
Fear and Greed is at 18 (extreme low)
Tomorrow I start buying!
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VIX SPX SHORT SALE SALE VOLUME PMIIdentical chart as below, but with VIX in the main panel instead of UVXY
doubt there will bear market , its corrrection expect bounce dowi personnelly feel this is dip to buy rather to exit, its what vix suggest.. multiple hurdles on upper end.so expect dow and nasdaq to reverse for bear trap..
VIX hitting resistance!Traders,
The fear index is up against resistance. Do we come down now? Data from other sources and charts is telling me we might.
Stew
Watch out for VIX breakoutThe VIX has setup this triangle pattern over the past year, if it manages to breakout of this range then I would expect a large and fast sell off in risk assets.
Another rejection here would lead to a relief rally perhaps until the VIX reaches the lower trendline.
Straddles might be the best way to play this trade.
VIX - Next Phase: FEARBased on cycles, markets can experices a lot of fear int eh next pahse.
Stocks are down, but volatility is still relatively low, we need more fear and blood on the stock market before this one can stabilize, when least expected.
Puts are already at the extremes..
