US 10Y TREASURY: to be or not to be – recessionMarket uncertainty continues to be supported with tariffs-narrative induced by US Administration and other world governments. The tariffs-war intensified between the US and China, bringing them to the level of absurdity. The fear of stagflation is for one more time active on financial markets. The 1
US10Y This break-out will be massive.The U.S. Government Bonds 10YR Yield (US10Y) is trading within a 2-year Triangle pattern and following this week's trade events, got back on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). A potential break-out either way from this long-term pattern will be massive.
We do believe though that there are higher probab
US10Y 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows the US Government Bonds 10-Year Yield (US10Y) on a 30-minute timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis represented:
1. Downtrend Pattern:
A descending triangle or falling wedge formation is drawn using blue and green trendlines.
The chart shows a significant drop fr
The 10 Year: When Should We Worry?All over the media eyes are on yields but what exactly do the different potential rates of the 10-year yield mean in terms of debt servicing for the United States? I made this chart to visualize the danger points.
I am not saying I think we will get there I just wanted to know myself and help oth
10Y Bond Yield Long (Bond Short): Another recession signal?Take note that I do have a bias on when analyzing the bond yield. But the counts are valid nonetheless, except that another leg down is also valid (as briefly mentioned). Take this as a part 2 to the multi-assets analysis that I made on 11th April.
Double top in equities in 2025 as per 2006-2007 fractal1. This fractal follows the 2006-2007 cycle using US10Y (leading indicator).
2. The orange lines denote a peak in SPY. In this case, a second top in equities this cycle is expected in late Q4 2025, or early 2026 (latest).
3. The bottom in equities appear to be circa Q4 2026, or Q1 2027. Qualitativ
10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF📉 10YR Bond Yields: Panic on LTF, Calm on HTF
Yes, the recent spike in the 10-Year Yield is causing some short-term panic. But if you zoom out to the monthly timeframe, the bigger picture looks far more constructive.
🔍 Here’s what the chart says:
The MACD and RSI on the monthly are both pointing
WHY EVERYTHING IS GOING DOWN? ANSWER IS HERE!Understanding the Simultaneous Decline in EVERYTHING!
1. The Influence of U.S. Treasury Yields and Interest Rates
The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is a major benchmark in global finance. When yields rise, it signifies that bonds are becoming more attractive relative to riskier assets. Rising yi
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A graphical representation of the interest rates on debt for a range of maturities.
Related bonds
Frequently Asked Questions
The current yield rate is 4.333% — it's increased by 0.35% over the past week.
The current yield of United States 10 Year Government Bonds is 4.333%, whereas at the moment of issuance it was 3.520%, which means 23.10% change. Over the week the yield has increased by 0.35%, the month performance has showed a 0.77% increase, and it has fallen by −7.26% over the year.
Maturity date is when a debt comes due and all principal and/or interest must be repaid to creditors. For example, the United States 10 Year Government Bonds maturity date is Feb 15, 2035.
You can buy United States 10 Year Government Bonds through brokers — choose the one that suits your needs and go ahead. You can also purchase bonds directly from the issuing organization. Closely track the price dynamics and market news before making any decision.
A bond is a debt security issued by a corporation or a government. By buying bonds, investors loan the issuer money in return for an interest rate. By issuing bonds, the state receives funds that can then be injected into the economy, and corporations raise funds for new research or other operational activities. The alphanumeric code of government bonds represents the abbreviated name of the issuing state, as well as its time to maturity. For example, United States 10 Year Government Bonds is the US government bonds with the maturity of 10 years.
Bonds can be of various maturities, e.g. short-term (less than three years), medium-term (four to 10 years), or long-term ones (more than 10 years). So United States 10 Year Government Bonds are medium-term bonds — they have the maturity of 10 years.