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Should we get ready for Brent Crude oil at $94?Crude oil prices have risen by 18.5% since September, and the charts indicate the potential for a move toward $94 per barrel. This is based on the possibility that Brent crude oil may be forming the right shoulder of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. For confirmation, we would need the price to reach the low of the left shoulder at $74.96 before triggering the neckline at the October high of $80.99. If this happens, the pattern would complete, suggesting a target of $94. What are your thoughts? Do you think this pattern will play out, or was the October high a multi-month peak? This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
THINKMARKETS:BRENT
by ThinkMarkets
1
Oil’s Battle: Can Momentum Overcome Long-Term Weakness?Oil prices surged past critical technical levels last week as escalating Middle East tensions raised fears of significant supply disruptions. As bullish momentum builds in response to geopolitical risks, let’s explore the key levels to watch, where short-term gains could face resistance from lingering long-term weakness. Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Oil's Rally Last week, oil logged its biggest weekly gain in nearly two years, surging more than 8% as tensions in the Middle East intensified. The rally was sparked by growing fears of supply disruptions after Israel considered striking Iran’s oil infrastructure in retaliation for missile attacks. With Iran exporting 1.7 million barrels per day, any attack on its facilities could trigger a significant cut to global supply. The risk of a broader conflict extends beyond Iran. Should Tehran retaliate or block the Strait of Hormuz—through which nearly 20% of the world’s oil flows—oil shipments from key producers like Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Iraq could grind to a halt. Such a move would have devastating effects on global supply chains, with experts warning that oil prices could surge past $150 per barrel, leading to severe economic fallout. The mere speculation of these events has already fuelled the sharp rise in prices. Technical Levels Align for Oil's Next Test From a technical standpoint, oil’s rally has been impressive but faces a key test just ahead. Having broken through its 50-day moving average and the descending trendline, prices now sit just below the 200-day moving average—a major resistance zone that’s aligned with both the April and July swing highs. Additionally, the VWAP anchored to the April highs further bolsters this area as a point of confluence. The RSI is elevated but still not in overbought territory, which leaves room for more upside if prices can clear the 200-day moving average. However, a failure to break above this resistance zone could signal a temporary top, especially if geopolitical tensions cool. Brent Crude Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Hourly Candle Chart – A Battle of the Timeframes Drilling down to the detail of the hourly candle chart reveals a battle between short-term momentum and long-term weakness. Prices have already responded to the daily VWAP anchored to the April highs, causing a pullback on the hourly chart. Traders should also keep an eye on the upward-sloping VWAP anchored to the recent October lows, as this provides a true average price for those who bought at the recent lows. As these two VWAPs converge, we will see who wins—the short-term momentum traders or those looking to ride the longer-term weakness. Brent Crude Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 82.67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
by Capitalcom
XBR/USD Analysis: Brent Crude Price Fails to Hold Above $80XBR/USD Analysis: Brent Crude Price Fails to Hold Above $80 As shown on the XBR/USD chart, Brent crude oil prices surged by over 8.5% last week — marking the largest increase in 2024, driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East. Although oil prices continued to climb earlier this week, a pullback occurred on Tuesday, causing Brent crude to drop below the $80 level. It appears that market participants expect U.S. authorities to prevent the conflict from worsening ahead of the presidential elections, prompting them to lock in profits from previous long positions based on the technical outlook. XBR/USD Technical Analysis Today's analysis of the XBR/USD chart shows that Brent crude is moving within an upward channel (shown in blue) that began in the first half of September. The recent downturn (indicated by an arrow) comes as: → The price has entered a resistance zone, marked by the psychological $80 level and the August highs around $81.5. → The RSI indicator has risen above 85. → The price has touched the upper boundary of the channel. If tensions in the Middle East ease, we could see a pullback on the XBR/USD chart following the impressive rally. Brent crude prices may find support at the median line of the blue channel, the $77.50 level, and the purple lines marking last week’s strong price growth. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
2
The Potential Surge in Oil Prices Amid Middle East Tensions The Potential Surge in Oil Prices Amid Middle East Tensions Introduction: The Current Oil Market Landscape Oil prices have always been closely tied to both geopolitical tensions and broader economic trends. At present, the market is contending with a confluence of factors that could lead to a significant rise in prices. Most notably, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran presents a serious risk of supply disruptions in the Middle East, a region that plays a pivotal role in global oil production. However, beyond geopolitical factors, economic measures around the world—such as new stimulus initiatives in China, anticipated global interest rate cuts, and potential central bank actions to inject liquidity into financial markets—also suggest that oil could be on the cusp of a major price surge. Recent price movements have kept oil within a downward channel, with current prices hovering near $77 per barrel, as indicated in the accompanying chart. Yet, this downward trend may be short-lived. Once oil prices break above key technical levels, such as $87 per barrel, we could see prices escalate rapidly to $90, $95, and ultimately $100. From that point, the market could enter a new bullish phase, with prices potentially reaching as high as $120, spurred by both geopolitical tensions and increasing real demand. Geopolitical Factors Driving Oil Prices: The Middle East in Focus The Middle East, home to many of the world’s largest oil-producing nations, has long been a region of strategic importance to the global energy market. The current conflict between Israel and Iran is reigniting concerns about potential disruptions in oil supply, particularly if the situation escalates into a wider regional conflict. The Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global oil shipments, could become a flashpoint if tensions rise. In past conflicts, any disruptions to this narrow passage have sent oil prices soaring due to the immense volume of oil that flows through the region daily. Iran, already constrained by international sanctions, may retaliate by targeting infrastructure or further disrupting oil shipments, while other regional players like Saudi Arabia and the UAE could find themselves drawn into the conflict. Even the perception of instability in the region can cause volatility in oil prices, as traders and speculators seek to hedge against potential supply shocks. Given this backdrop, oil prices are highly sensitive to any developments in the Middle East, and further escalation could push prices beyond key resistance levels. The Economic Context: Global Stimulus and Interest Rate Cuts Beyond geopolitical risks, there are several macroeconomic factors that strongly suggest oil prices are poised for a significant increase. First, the Chinese government has recently introduced a series of stimulus measures aimed at bolstering its economy, which has faced challenges in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and ongoing issues in the real estate sector. These measures are expected to drive demand for commodities, including oil, as China, the world’s largest importer of oil, ramps up its industrial activity and consumer consumption. Simultaneously, central banks across the world are likely to cut interest rates in the near future as global economic growth shows signs of slowing. With inflation moderating in several advanced economies, central banks like the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and others could pivot toward a more accommodative monetary policy to support growth. Rate cuts tend to increase liquidity in the financial system, making borrowing cheaper and encouraging investment. As liquidity flows into the markets, demand for oil typically increases, as businesses expand operations and consumers spend more on goods and services that require energy inputs. Moreover, there are growing expectations of additional stimulus measures from other major economies to prevent recessionary pressures from taking hold. This influx of liquidity, coupled with China’s own stimulus efforts, is likely to drive global demand for oil higher, reinforcing the upward pressure on prices. The combination of increased demand from economic recovery and potential supply risks due to Middle Eastern tensions creates a perfect storm for oil prices to break out of their current bearish trend. U.S. Strategic Oil Reserves and National Security Concerns Adding to the bullish case for oil is the fact that the United States' Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is currently at depleted levels. Over the past two years, the U.S. government has released significant amounts of oil from the SPR in an attempt to curb rising domestic gasoline prices and stabilize global energy markets. However, these releases have reduced the reserve to its lowest levels in decades, and any further large-scale drawdowns are unlikely due to national security concerns. The U.S. government will likely prioritize maintaining the remaining reserves for genuine emergencies, rather than using them as a tool to stabilize market prices. This depletion of the U.S. oil reserves further tightens the global supply picture, as one of the world's largest emergency stockpiles is no longer available as a buffer against sudden supply shocks. In the event of a major supply disruption—whether due to a conflict in the Middle East or other unforeseen events—the absence of a large SPR release would leave the global market more vulnerable, driving prices higher. This, combined with the aforementioned stimulus measures, could create a significant imbalance between supply and demand, leading to sustained upward pressure on oil prices. Technical Analysis of Oil Prices: Breaking Out of the Downward Channel From a technical standpoint, the oil market is currently trading within a downward channel, as depicted in the accompanying chart. Prices have been steadily declining over the past few months, reflecting a bearish sentiment in the market. However, this trend may be nearing a turning point, particularly as oil prices approach key resistance levels. The first significant level to watch is $87 per barrel. This price has served as a formidable resistance in recent weeks, and breaking above this level would be a clear signal that the market is shifting from a bearish to a bullish phase. Once $87 is breached, the next targets would be $90 and $95, both of which represent important psychological and technical barriers. If oil prices can sustain a move above $95, it would set the stage for a test of the $100 mark—a critical level that has historically acted as both a resistance and support point for oil prices. The $100 level is particularly important because it marks the top of the current downward channel, and a move above this threshold would indicate a reversal of the broader downtrend. A successful breakout above $100 could see oil prices enter a new bullish phase, with the potential to climb as high as $120 per barrel, particularly if geopolitical risks remain elevated and global demand continues to increase due to economic stimulus measures. The Role of Market Sentiment and Future Outlook While technical analysis and geopolitical factors provide strong arguments for a potential rise in oil prices, market sentiment will also play a crucial role in determining the future trajectory of the market. Currently, investor sentiment is mixed, with many traders cautious about the outlook for global economic growth. However, as central banks around the world begin to ease monetary policy and introduce new stimulus measures, sentiment could shift rapidly toward a more bullish outlook for oil. In particular, hedge funds and large institutional investors are closely monitoring developments in the Middle East, as well as economic indicators from major economies like the U.S. and China. If tensions between Israel and Iran escalate further or if there is a significant disruption to oil supply, it could lead to a sharp rise in speculative buying, driving prices higher. At the same time, if global economic growth accelerates due to stimulus measures, real demand for oil will increase, providing fundamental support for higher prices. Conclusion: A Bullish Outlook for Oil Prices? In summary, oil prices are currently at a critical juncture, with both geopolitical and macroeconomic factors pointing toward a potential breakout from the current downward trend. While the market remains trapped in a downward channel for now, key technical levels, such as $87 per barrel, suggest that a significant move higher could be imminent. Once prices break through $87, the next targets would be $90, $95, and ultimately $100—beyond which the market could enter a new bullish phase. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the conflict between Israel and Iran, are a major risk factor that could disrupt global oil supplies and send prices soaring. At the same time, new stimulus measures in China, along with anticipated global interest rate cuts and potential central bank interventions to inject liquidity into the markets, are expected to drive demand for oil higher. The depletion of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve further tightens the supply side, adding to the bullish case for oil. Ultimately, oil prices could rise as high as $120 per barrel if these factors align, creating a perfect storm of increased demand, constrained supply, and heightened geopolitical risks. For traders and investors, the oil market presents significant opportunities in the months ahead, as both technical and fundamental indicators point to a potential surge in prices.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by strip
2
Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Sept 30 - Oct 4Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: Brent Crude Oil, GBP/CAD, US Dollar, Lockheed Martin Stock Welcome to the 100th edition of our Weekly Market Wrap video series! Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights. – XBR/USD Analysis: Brent Oil Price Soars After Attack on Israel – Analysis of GBP/CAD: Price Falls Below 1.800 Level – Dollar Strengthens Ahead of Employment Data Release – Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Price Surpasses $600 for the First Time Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions. #marketwrap #marketanalysis #forexmarketanalysis #stockmarketanalysis 🌐 FXOpen official website: www.fxopen.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing your money.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Petrolio in declino dal 2022: quali le prospettive adesso? Da inizio anno il petrolio sta guadagnando solo il 2% ma se ci concentriamo sui massimi di aprile 2024, dove il prezzo del petrolio ha raggiunto gli 88$ al barile, i prezzi sono scesi di oltre il 25%. Nel 2022, post pandemia, abbiamo assistito a picchi che non si registravano dal 2008, intorno ai 120$ al barile per poi cominciare una lenta discesa fino ai giorni nostri. Cosa sta causando questa tendenza di lungo periodo di deprezzamento del petrolio? I CFD/Spread Bets sono strumenti complessi e comportano un rischio significativo di perdere denaro rapidamente a causa della leva finanziaria. 82,67% di conti di investitori al dettaglio perdono denaro nelle negoziazioni in CFD con questo fornitore. Valuta se comprendi il funzionamento dei CFD/Spread Bets e se puoi permetterti di correre l'elevato rischio di perdere il tuo denaro. Si prega di notare che gli Spread Bets sono disponibili solo per i residenti in UK. Andiamo ad analizzare i 2 fattori principali: OPEC+ L’OPEC è l’organizzazione dei principali paesi esportatori di Petrolio ed è stata fondata nel 1960. L’organizzazione inizialmente era composta da Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Arabia Saudita e Venezuela ma successivamente ha accolto altri membri, fino a raggiungere l’attuale composizione di13 partecipanti. Nel 2016, gli stati membri hanno firmato un accordo con altri 10 paesi produttori di petrolio per creare quello che ora è noto come OPEC+ (OPEC PLUS). L'obiettivo di questa organizzazione è di gestire la produzione petrolifera e coordinare la produzione, governando, in parte, i prezzi globali del petrolio. I risultati passati non sono indicativi dei risultati futuri. Il prezzo di un bene o di una materia prima, come il petrolio, si basa sulla domanda e sull’offerta. Controllando l’offerta, i paesi OPEC possono determinare i prezzi del petrolio? La risposta è NO! L’organizzazione non è in grado di controllare la domanda mondiale di petrolio, che dipende principalmente dall’andamento delle maggiori economie. La diminuzione della domanda è proprio il motivo del calo dei prezzi del petrolio degli ultimi anni. Da febbraio 2024, otto membri dell’OPEC+, tra cui Arabia Saudita e Russia (i più grandi produttori di petrolio), hanno volontariamente ridotto la loro produzione di circa 2,2 milioni di barili al giorno (riduzione dell’offerta). Sebbene inizialmente l’OPEC avesse pianificato di diminuire questi tagli a partire da ottobre 2024, il calo attuale dei prezzi del petrolio ha portato a un’estensione dei tagli volontari per altri due mesi (almeno fino a dicembre 2024). CINA La Cina è una delle economie più grandi al mondo, di conseguenza l’andamento della propria economia e in particolare la bilancia dell’import export è capace di influenzare i prezzi di materie prime e beni finali a livello globale, tra cui il petrolio. Analizzando i dati ufficiali delle importazioni cinesi degli ultimi anni è possibile notare come sia stato registrato un calo importante dai massimi del 2021, andate addirittura in territorio negativo a metà 2023. Importazioni basse si traducono in offerta in eccesso (a parità di produzione), obbligando i produttori OPEC a dover tagliare la produzione per mantenere bilanciata la domanda e l’offerta. L’OPEC sta attualmente tagliando la produzione di un totale di 5,8 milioni di barili al giorno, pari a circa il 5,7% della domanda globale. Nell’ultimo report ufficiale dell’OPEC, si nota come le proiezioni future della domanda di petrolio cinese per l’ultimo trimestre del 2024 e per tutto il 2025 non sono riviste a rialzo, ma anzi, rimangono in territorio estremamente basso. I risultati passati non sono indicativi dei risultati futuri. I risultati passati non sono indicativi dei risultati futuri. La produzione industriale cinese rimane ai minimi annuali e il settore manifatturiero si trova in fase di rallentamento. Le proiezioni economiche cinesi non sono rosee e sarà difficile vedere una ripresa entro la fine 2024. Il governo cinese nelle ultime settimane ha attuato diverse politiche fiscali di stimolo, come il taglio dei tassi di interesse e l’iniezione di liquidità all’interno del mercato.Purtroppo per la Cina pesa molto il tracollo immobiliare visto nel 2023, con il default di Evergrande e altri istituti immobiliari. GUERRE-GEOPOLITICA Le guerre e le tensioni geopolitiche hanno sempre influenzato i prezzi del petrolio nella storia e proprio in questi mesi stiamo vivendo, purtroppo, due guerre coinvolgenti grandi potenze su due fronti diversi: Russia-Ucraina e Israele e Palestina/Libano. Negli ultimi giorni le notizie di attacchi iraniani sopra Israele hanno riacceso i prezzi del petrolio, che guadagna oltre il 6% dai minimi del 12 settembre. Attualmente scambia sopra i 70$ al barile. I risultati passati non sono indicativi dei risultati futuri. I motivi dell’aumento dei prezzi sono da ricercarsi nella paura che sorgano ulteriori problemi di approvvigionamento in caso di attacchi a siti di estrazioni o alle esportazioni tramite navi cargo o mezzi su ruote. Nonostante le guerre e la geopolitica riescono a spingere al rialzo i prezzi del petrolio, solitamente ciò avviene sui periodi relativamente brevi, di conseguenza appena le tensioni si allentano i prezzi tendono a riprendere la tendenza principale. Oltre ai punti citati in questo articolo ci sono tanti altri motivi e altri paesi che influenzano i prezzi del petrolio. Disclaimer:La finalità del presente articolo è meramente informativa e didattica. Le informazioni qui riportate non costituiscono consulenza in materia di investimenti e non contemplano la situazione finanziaria o gli obiettivi individuali degli investitori. Le informazioni relative ai risultati passati non sono un indicatore affidabile dei risultati futuri. Per quanto permesso dalla legge, in nessun caso, Capital.com (o un suo affiliato o dipendente) assume responsabilità per qualsiasi perdita incorsa a causa dell’utilizzazione delle informazioni fornite. Chi agisce in base a tali informazioni lo fa a proprio rischio. Qualsiasi informazione che possa essere intesa come “ricerca di investimento” non è stata preparata in conformità ai requisiti legali stabiliti per promuovere l’indipendenza della ricerca di investimento e dunque deve essere considerata comunicazione di marketing. I CFD/Spread Bets sono strumenti complessi e comportano un rischio significativo di perdere denaro rapidamente a causa della leva finanziaria. 82,67%% di conti di investitori al dettaglio perdono denaro nelle negoziazioni in CFD con questo fornitore. Valuta se comprendi il funzionamento dei CFD/Spread Bets e se puoi permetterti di correre l'elevato rischio di perdere il tuo denaro. Si prega di notare che gli Spread Bets sono disponibili solo per i residenti in UK.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_BRENT
by Capitalcom
Brent rises on geopolitical risks Oil prices have seen a notable rise, driven by rising tensions in the Middle East that threaten to disrupt crude flows from one of the world's most productive regions. In recent sessions, Brent crude futures have risen 1.27% to $74.84 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has also seen increases, trading at $71.09. The escalation of hostilities between Israel and Iranian-backed armed groups, such as Hezbollah, has generated concern in global markets. Israel recently carried out bombings in Beirut, escalating tensions and increasing nervousness about the possible repercussions on the region's energy infrastructure. However, despite the rise in prices, the oil market remains relatively stable, with U.S. crude inventories reporting an increase of 3.9 million barrels, suggesting adequate supply to cope with any disruption. This abundant supply limits Brent's gains, as many investors believe that OPEC's ability to offset any supply losses could moderate the impact of a prolonged conflict. It is appreciable that while prices could remain elevated in the short term, Iran's oil infrastructure would not be a primary target for Israel, as an attack on these facilities could drive oil prices towards unsustainable levels for the global economy. In conclusion, as geopolitical tensions continue to affect the oil outlook, the market appears to be well supplied, limiting gains amid uncertainty. Investors are closely monitoring the situation, waiting for a development that could alter this dynamic. Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTLong
by ActivTrades
BRENT oilChart: Brent Crude Oil on the 15-minute time frame. Key Elements: The green channel shows the price oscillating downward, with the price breaking out of this channel to the upside. Order blocks (in gray and red) are noted between the $71.5 - $72.5 range, which may act as zones of institutional buying or selling. MY green prediction line indicates a belief that the price will rise significantly after it hits the liquidity zone around $70.04. This implies that the downward liquidity sweep has potentially completed and now buyers are likely to push the price higher. Overall Analysis: Daily: The price filled a liquidity zone around $70 and may be ready to reverse or retrace upward. 15-minute: On a shorter time frame, it seems like you're predicting a breakout from the order block and a bullish move. This setup could indicate a potential opportunity for a long position if the price respects the order blocks and liquidity fill around the $70 zone
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Broker_Hunter
XBR/USD Analysis: Brent Oil Price Soars After Attack on IsraelXBR/USD Analysis: Brent Oil Price Soars After Attack on Israel Following Israel's military operation in Lebanon, Iran launched a missile strike on Israel on October 1. Financial markets reacted sharply as soon as the first reports of the attack emerged: → U.S. stock indices dropped significantly, and Bitcoin also fell, with BTC/USD nearing the psychological $60,000 mark at yesterday's low. → Gold surged to $2670, though supply forces have since curbed the panic buying, and XAU/USD has dropped back below $2650. Oil prices also spiked. Unlike other financial assets, there has been no correction on the XBR/USD chart today, despite the end of the missile strike on Israel. This highlights oil's heightened sensitivity to Middle Eastern tensions. According to today’s technical analysis of XBR/USD: → Brent oil price movements have formed an upward channel (shown in blue), beginning in early September. Following the news of the missile attack, the price has climbed into the upper half of the channel. → Interestingly, just before this surge, the price had hit a multi-week low with a false bearish breakout below the psychological $70 per barrel level. Given Israel’s vow to retaliate for Iran's strike, it’s reasonable to assume that oil demand may remain high, potentially pushing XBR/USD towards the upper boundary of the channel, surpassing the current resistance at $75. Brent oil could find support at the median line of the blue channel and the $72.50 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen
1
Análise de Mercado: BRENT e GOLD - DiárioPETRÓLEO Os preços do petróleo caíram no início da sessão europeia, enquanto os mercados descartam as preocupações sobre a escalada de tensões no Médio Oriente e o seu potencial impacto nas reservas de crude, focando-se em vez disso no excesso de oferta e na fraca procura. A China, o maior importador de crude do mundo, tem mostrado uma procura retraída, já que o seu crescimento económico continua a abrandar. Entretanto, a OPEC+, liderada pela Arábia Saudita, parece pronta para aumentar a produção em dezembro. Tendo em conta estes fatores, os preços do Brent deverão permanecer em torno dos níveis atuais, cerca de 70 dólares por barril, com a possibilidade de uma nova descida. OURO Os preços do ouro subiram ligeiramente no início desta terça-feira, recuperando parte das perdas das duas sessões anteriores. A procura pelo metal precioso mantém-se forte, com os preços a oscilar abaixo dos máximos históricos da semana passada, devido ao seu estatuto como ativo de refúgio e à perspetiva de taxas de juro mais baixas nos EUA. No entanto, o pacote de estímulos recentemente anunciado pelo banco central da China limitou, em parte, a valorização do ouro. As medidas, que visam revitalizar a enfraquecida economia chinesa, aumentaram o apetite pelo risco nos mercados financeiros, impulsionando especialmente as ações chinesas e desviando algum investimento do ouro. Neste contexto, os traders estão agora atentos a uma série de dados que serão divulgados até ao final da semana, incluindo os números do emprego e os indicadores PMI nos EUA. Leituras fortes podem trazer obstáculos adicionais para o ouro, enquanto dados mais fracos podem reacender a sua trajetória ascendente. Ricardo Evangelista – Analista Sénior, ActivTrades Aproveite a chance de fortalecer seu portfólio investindo em dólar! Diversifique seus ativos com uma moeda forte e proteja seu patrimônio contra a inflação e instabilidades econômicas. Dolarize já seus investimentos e conquiste segurança e crescimento para seu capital. Fique atendo às próximas atualizações e aproveite as oportunidades que a Dolarização pode te proporcionar! #Gold #Xau #Oil #Brent #Commodities #China #MiddleEastConflict #DolarizeJá
ACTIVTRADES:BRENT
by ActivTrades
BRENT CRUDE OIL may drop in price by as much as -65%Today we would like to share my opinion on the possible price of Brent Crude Oil in the coming years, analyzing the chart on a monthly timeframe The war in Ukraine is not just a war between the two countries, it is a geopolitical problem that will affect all world economies. The world's economies have not yet recovered from the Covid-19, and here is another blow. Expensive energy will stop buying due to the excessive cost of production of "everything", the purchasing power of the population falls. Declining demand for oil will bring down the price. The fall in the price of Brent oil -25% in the coming months in the area of ​​$78-80 per barrel will be just the beginning. But looking at the schedule, is striking the price zone of $36-46 to be a strong mirror level and this is -65% of the current price Maybe this is a fair price for oil, from where a total restart of the world economy can take place by purchasing cheap energy resources. Perhaps this is symbolic, but for the first time on the historical price chart of Brent, the zone of $36-46 was established as important when there were powerful geopolitical world changes: 1979-1980 - the Islamic Revolution and 1990-1991 - the collapse of the USSR
TVC:UKOILShort
by P_S_trade
109
Brent Crude Oil Price Drops to Yearly LowBrent Crude Oil Price Drops to Yearly Low When analysing the oil market on the XBR/USD chart on 4th September, with Brent crude trading near its yearly low, we: → noted the formation of a descending channel (marked in red); → highlighted key support (marked in yellow), which has now been broken; → suggested the likelihood of an interim upward correction, potentially rising to $74.50. Since then, Brent crude oil: → climbed to $75; → tested the yellow line from below; → then reversed downwards, reaffirming the relevance of the red descending channel (as the bullish breakout attempt failed). Bearish sentiment was fuelled by reports of a potential increase in global oil supply, particularly due to higher production in Libya and Saudi Arabia. Could Brent crude prices continue to fall? From a technical analysis perspective of the XBR/USD chart today: → The price is in the upper half of the descending channel, indicating that while bears may control the market, it may not be enough to expect a sustained downward trend. → Bulls appear to be active as the price nears the psychological level of $70. This was evident with yesterday’s halt in the price decline around $70.60. → Price dynamics are revealing clearer signs of an upward channel (shown by the purple lines). Considering the above, we cannot rule out the possibility of Brent crude making another attempt to break through the upper boundary of the red channel in the near future. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XBRUSD
by FXOpen