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US500.F trade ideas

Is SPX500 Poised for an Upward Movement?OANDA:SPX500USD Daily Chart Current Price: 5,812.8 Analysis: Falling Broadening Wedge: Upon analysing the daily chart, the price is forming a Falling Broadening Wedge pattern, which typically indicates a continuation of the prevailing trend. This pattern often suggests increasing volatility, leading to a potential bullish breakout if the price breaches resistance levels. Support Levels: • 5,703.1 • 5,625.0 Resistance Levels: • 5,937.5 • 6,015.6 • 6,097.0 Happy Trading! Stay tuned for further updates and insights.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SpicyPips
S&P 500 prospects A significant number of companies in the S&P Index are invested in developing and innovating, especially in the technology sector. With the development of artificial intelligence (AI), we expect to see not just growth, but a real boom in the market, as AI promises to revolutionize many industries. The changes associated with AI can affect the efficiency of business processes, the creation of new products and services, and the competitiveness of companies. In addition, current economic policies characterized by low interest rates play a key role in this scenario. Low rates make the cost of borrowing much easier, which stimulates both economic activity and investment. Businesses can expand, invest in research and development, and at the same time consumers can afford to spend more, further supporting economic growth. This combination of factors, from the innovative power of tech giants to favorable monetary policy, creates a unique environment for significant growth in the S&P 500 Index. Investment in AI is expected to not only increase, but also lead to the creation of new markets and business models, which could provide sustainable and long-term growth for the economy and, by extension, for stocks. Analyzing the current market trends through the prism of technical analysis, we notice that the chart shows a structure resembling the formation of the fifth wave within the Elliott Wave Theory. Our forecasts and mathematical calculations indicate that this wave may peak at approximately $6100. In addition, we observe that market prices are firmly positioned above the significant level of the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is traditionally considered a sign of an uptrend or bull market. This indicator emphasizes the stability of the current uptrend. Additional confirmation that the $6,100 level is a promising level for profit taking is the extended Fibonacci level of 1,618. Best wishes, Horban Brothers.
TVC:SPXLong
by horbanbrothers
C WAVE CRASH Setup from 5880 to 5944 ideal target 5910 The chart posted is my view and it is BEARISH on ALL counts Waves A and C will be equal at 5944 but also can be counted as complete at 5880 area were wave C is .786 of wave A and wave A low 5119 x 1.382 = wave B top at 5669-5119 = 550 x 1.382 = 760 plus 5119 =5879 . .If we are in the The ending Diagonal we will stop at same targets .I will move to 100 % long puts at 5920 plus and in the QQQ at 503 Market if touched MIT
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
1
SP500: Markets watch for JOLTs and corporate resultsThis Tuesday, October 29, 2024, marks the start of a pivotal week for the markets, with several key reports that will define the trend of the coming days. In addition to corporate results and the JOLTs survey, multiple relevant economic indicators will be released throughout the day. Here are the five key highlights for today: 1. U.S. JOLTs survey. Today at 15:00 (Spanish time), the JOLTs survey will be released, revealing the number of job openings in the United States. This report will be crucial to understand the state of the labor market before the expected employment report this Friday. 8.04 million offers are expected, a slight increase from the previous 7.99 million, while job quits are estimated at 3.08 million. These data are crucial ahead of the employment report to be released on Friday. 2. Corporate results Some of the major companies reporting their results today include Banco Santander, Alphabet, Pfizer and AMD. These reports will have a strong impact and these results are expected to set the pace for the market, particularly in key sectors such as technology, pharmaceuticals and banking. Additional note: Who are the “Magnificent 7” backing? In addition, the tech giants, known as the “Magnificent 7” (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Nvidia, Meta and Tesla), have been in the spotlight for their financial support of the U.S. presidential campaign. Kamala Harris has received majority support from these companies, with the notable exception of Tesla, given Elon Musk's open support for Trump, which stands out in the political donation charts. This endorsement reinforces the influence of techs not only in the markets, but also in the political arena. 3. Volatility in cryptocurrencies and commodities. Cryptocurrencies continue to show volatility, with Bitcoin trading around $71,000 and Ethereum at $2,600. In addition, gold futures are holding around $2,763, while U.S. coffee is trading at $252. 4. Asian movements Asian indices show mixed signs, with rises in the Nikkei and Hang Seng, while the Shanghai Composite slips 0.8%. In Japan, job-to-applicant ratio (1.23) and unemployment rate (2.5%) figures were released, both in line with expectations. 5. European Movements and Wall Street Today In Europe, highlights include the GfK consumer confidence index in Germany (-21) and Eurozone quarterly GDP (0.2%). In the United Kingdom, data such as mortgages and consumer credit will be released. On Wall Street, the previous day closed in positive territory, with the S&P 500 (+0.2%) and the Dow Jones (+0.6%) standing out. In addition, in the US, the Redbook index and the Conference Board's consumer confidence index will also be published. 6. Debt auctions and other financial indicators During the day, several countries will hold debt auctions, including Japan, New Zealand and the US, with a special focus on the US 7-year bond auction. In addition, reports related to inflation in the US will be released, as well as weekly API crude oil stocks. S&P 500 (AT Ticker: USA500) S&P500 has been moving in the 5,832 points area this week with a bearish presence. Although its long term channel continues to have bullish presence and is moving above the middle zone of its long term channel, it currently appears to be generating a sideways movement since October 14 indicating this indecision in the US market regarding the election. JOLT survey data could extend the value above the current high. The RSI is indicating 58.08% and has been below the 200-day RSI average of 61.40%, this may be indicating that the market is undecided on a possible Trump victory despite consistent support from the magnanimous 7 for a Democratic party that does not appear to be convincing the majority of voters. The strong trading area of the checkpoint (POC) is located in the area of 5,636 points, so a correction could be anticipated this month in the direction of 5,700 points if today's data does not accompany. The day is marked by a series of events that could generate movements in the markets, with the JOLTs survey and the results of important companies as key factors for investors. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
SPX500USD could go up some moreHi traders, Last week SPX500USD dropped into the Daily FVG and slowly went up again. I think next week we could see the last leg up to finish wave 5. Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish and a correction down on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 Remains Bullish Amid Suring Interest RatesThe S&P 500 experienced a turbulent week, dipping below several short-term trend-defining levels as markets reacted to heightened bond yields and shifting rate expectations. Despite the volatility, the overall trend remains bullish as long as the index stays above the critical support level of $5,760. The primary value area begins at $5,797, with initial resistance at $5,876 and a secondary target at $5,950. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
SLong
by ThinkMarkets
S&P500 Buy this pull back.S&P500 / US500 got rejected today on the Falling Resistance of the previous High. This is the very same pattern we had between Sep 26th - Oct 6th. After the pull back was completed near the previous Low, the price rebounded above the Falling Resistance to a +2.17% rise. Even the first rebound on the Rising Support, rose by +2.19%. Buy the current pull back and target 5900 (+2.17%). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheCryptagon
2
$spx going to 11k over the next 3 to 4 yearsIm expecting the current bull to continue for another few years, with a deep correction in between now and the expected target of 11 k, by 2028/29... From there I expect SP:SPX to enter a sideways bear market such as the ones of 68/75 and 2000/2009 in order to form the 4th base of the secular run since 1929 (shown the comments). Bears always get it wrong, because of their self-delusions about the world and often also themselves! It's bulls who - due to their prescience and foresight - actually get to foresee tops in the market. Bears never catch a top, if they do it's either by coincidence, luck or something a four year old could have seen, like the covid top... anyway... we see so much madness in the ideas section, it's even fun!
SP:SPX
by LotusTrading20
Brief drop due to Electrions chaos, then back up a month afterI was checking last elections on 2012, 2016 and 2020. Seems that there is a brief drop before elections each time (5% to 10%) in the overall S&P500 (SPX). This year, seems that drop is not meaningful yet. Regarthless, I think going defensive this week to be heavy in cash. Then buy back into the market if price hits 5400 previous to Dec. It it do, I'll buy back 25% of SPX and wait if the trend still going in the direction to hit ~5000. If it do, might be back fully invested into the market to hope for a bounce back up signal. We can protect ourselves of a 10% loss if I get this one right OR we can miss 5% on profits if the trend keeps going up in Nov and Dec. Messy chart but I put my resistances and trends in here. Any thoughts?
SP:SPXShort
by lealvillarreal
KEY LEVELS ON SP500💡 Today we analyze the key levels of the S&P 500 for the coming weeks. This week, we do not expect significant pullbacks in the S&P 500, and the price could even rise without approaching the first level. However, we are prepared to make gradual purchases at the beginning of next week. Here are the levels to consider: 1. 5600 points: A likely zone, especially if the Democrats win, adjusting policy expectations. 2. 5280 points: Less likely, but useful to mark in case of an unexpected trend change. 3. 4800 points: A long-term zone in the event of a significant pullback. This analysis is not an investment recommendation. In conclusion, it is most likely that the market will not reach these levels if Trump wins, and everything points to that being the case. However, we have marked them just in case.
VANTAGE:SP500
by AnalisisDeBolsaDiario
US500 evening updateBearish count for US500. Pitchfork drawn from March 2020 low, January 2022 high, October 2022 low. October 2022 low saw price bounce off .5 fib drawn from January 2022 high to March 2020 low. Price has been targeting the median line (red line) of the pitchfork since October 2022, but it has never tagged it. Price teased above the 0.5 line twice (in teal), once in July 2024 and once in October 2024 (green ellipses). Price attempted to get above .5 line again today and was promptly rejected. Price has formed an impulse off 5 August low, with 1>3>5. I would say this is a short opportunity; if price is to stay below resistance of 5884.7 and below .5 line of pitchfork. If median line cannot be tagged, then price will find its way (quickly) back to October 2022 low. Key support is 5088.9.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by discobiscuit
1
Preparing For Pre Election Volatility - Stay Protected From RiskI wanted to highlight what I believe is the most likely 5 to 10+ day price activity and why I believe traders should immediately begin to prepare for extreme price volatility. I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a very moderate rally phase over the next 2 to 4 days, then peak near Oct 30-31 and shift into a very aggressive downward price trend. That downward trend could evaporate 5.5 to 8.5%++ (possibly even resulting in a 10-14% downward price move in some of the most volatile tech sector stocks/ETFs). Traders really need to understand the risks of holding positions through the election vs. the opportunities of CASHING out of 80-85% of your holdings and attempting to buy back into those same symbols at a 5.5 to 8.5% discount on November 6-8. Think about it. Why take the 6 to 10%+ risk when you don't have to. Again, I'm trying to help you plan and prepare for what I believe is likely to happen. I could be wrong - we'll see. But, even if I'm wrong about some of my expected ranges, you would still be able to buy back into these shares at a reasonable price no matter what happens. Remember, a quick 6 to 10% pullback can provide a very good opportunity for skilled traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
FX:SPX500Long
by BradMatheny
S&P500 Has it topped?The S&P500 index (SPX) is ahead of critical crossroads for the short-term as the Bullish Megaphone pattern that is in effect since April 01, is showing strong signs of topping. Even though the price isn't on the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone, the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today and practically is repeating the sequence of the index' previous Leg from April 19 to July 17, which ended also on a MACD Bearish Cross. As you can see besides the Bearish Cross, even the price action between the two fractals has gone through very similar phases. The current Bullish Leg is in the form of a Rising Wedge. Despite the Bearish Cross, the trend remains bullish within this pattern until the Wedge's bottom breaks. As a result, it is more likely to see at least 6000 next. If however the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have a confirmed sell signal at hand, based on which we will short and target 5600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
Why Buying High and Selling Low Hurts Your PortfolioStock trading can be a pathway to wealth, but it requires a disciplined approach and a deep understanding of market dynamics. One of the most common errors traders make is buying high and selling low. This mistake, driven by emotions like greed and fear, occurs when traders buy stocks at peak prices due to hype, only to sell them later at a loss when panic sets in. This fundamental error not only undermines trading performance but also runs counter to the basic principle of buying low and selling high. Understanding the Classic Mistake "Buying high and selling low" refers to purchasing stocks at elevated prices, often driven by market euphoria, and selling them at lower prices out of panic during a downturn. For example, consider a trader who buys tech stocks during a strong rally, expecting continued gains. When the market corrects and prices drop, the trader panics and sells at a loss, embodying the classic mistake. SPX Chart Daily with RSI Indicator Psychological and Emotional Triggers The root cause of buying high and selling low often lies in emotional and psychological triggers: --Greed: This can push traders to chase rising stocks, leading to buying at inflated prices. --Fear: Panic can set in during downturns, prompting traders to sell prematurely to avoid further losses. --Cognitive Biases: FOMO (fear of missing out) and loss aversion further exacerbate this behavior, clouding judgment and increasing the likelihood of impulsive trading decisions. Trading with divergences is a powerful tool for identifying potential reversals. Why It’s a Problem The impact of buying high and selling low can be devastating. Repeated losses from this mistake can erode capital, reduce recovery potential, and derail long-term financial goals. --Market Timing Issues: Poor timing, especially in volatile markets, often leads to buying during uptrends and selling during downtrends. --Profitability Impact: The repeated pattern of trading against the trend limits profitability, making it harder to grow wealth over time. Identifying the Mistake in Practice Recognizing this mistake early is crucial. Common scenarios include: --Bull Markets: FOMO can drive traders to buy during rallies, often at inflated prices. --Market Corrections: Panic selling during downturns leads to locking in losses, even if the stock rebounds soon after. Warning Signs include overbought/oversold conditions, excessive market hype, and impulsive decisions based on emotional reactions. Strategies to Avoid Buying High and Selling Low To avoid this mistake, traders must employ a disciplined approach: --Develop a Trading Plan: Set clear entry/exit criteria, define risk management rules, and commit to the plan even during volatility. --Use Technical Analysis: Tools like Moving Averages and RSI help identify overbought/oversold conditions, guiding better entry/exit decisions. RSI as Technical Tool on Nasdaq NQ1! --Set Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels: These predefined levels limit potential losses and lock in gains, preventing emotional decisions. Psychological and Behavioral Adjustments Improving trading performance involves managing emotions and making rational decisions: --Managing Emotions: Techniques like journaling and mindfulness can help traders remain calm and focused. --Improving Decision-Making: Objective analysis, regular review of trades, and checklists can ensure systematic, data-driven decision-making. Conclusion The mistake of buying high and selling low is a common pitfall in stock trading, driven by emotional biases and poor timing. By understanding this mistake, developing a solid trading plan, using technical tools, and setting Stop Loss/Take Profit levels, traders can significantly reduce losses and enhance profitability. Implementing disciplined practices and improving decision-making processes are key to overcoming this classic error and achieving long-term trading success.
SP:SPXEducation
by FOREXN1
3
S&P 500: Temporary correction due to rising bond yields?The U.S. stock market, especially the S&P 500, has experienced a recent correction due to rising 10-year Treasury yields, which have reached their highest level since July. While this increase has put pressure on stocks, some analysts believe the impact could be temporary. The S&P 500(Ticker AT:USA500), which has shown positive performance in 2024, continues to be driven by a strong economy and solid corporate results. Despite the recent downturn, there is optimism about the market's upside potential, especially in cyclical sectors such as financials and industrials. The expectation is that economic growth and corporate earnings will continue to support the index, despite concerns about higher bond yields. The rise in yields reflects the strength of the U.S. economy, which has raised concerns among some investors, but does not appear to be enough of an obstacle to slow the market's long-term rally. In recent years, the market has shown resilience in the face of high yields, suggesting that this correction may only be a temporary adjustment. Sectors with upside potential based on the context of recent market movements: 1. Technology: o Technology companies such as Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia remain key, especially with the growth of artificial intelligence, semiconductors, and demand for cloud software and services. 2. Energy: o With the rise of renewable energy and the global energy transition, companies like ExxonMobil (in the traditional sector) and NextEra Energy (in clean energy) may have upside potential in this environment. 3. Healthcare: o Biotech and pharmaceutical companies such as Pfizer and Johnson & Johnson maintain an attractive profile thanks to innovation in medical treatments and the stability of the sector. 4. Financials: o Banks and insurers tend to benefit from rising Treasury yields, with companies like JPMorgan Chase or Bank of America being in a good position to take advantage of a strong economic environment. 5. Industrials: o With global infrastructure improving and demand picking up, companies like Caterpillar and Honeywell have room for growth. 6. Real Estate: o Despite interest rate sensitivity, companies like Prologis (logistics real estate) are well positioned for an environment of expanding logistics needs, driven by e-commerce. Looking at the S&P500 chart, it is currently located in the upper zone of the channel at 5,827.90 points near the historical high of 5,886.35 points. The initial support zone of the current impulse is located at 5,151.97 points, with other support zones above that position the last support at 5,636.80 points. The price bell control point (POC) is located precisely in this zone. It would not be unusual to see the index looking for 6,000 points and executing a healthy price correction in the direction of the indicated control point. If this price were to be pierced to the downside, the next control zone would be located at 5,398.75 points. At the moment, it appears that bonds seem to be exerting more pressure than expected, the strong economy could keep the index in this bullish directionality. In summary, although the rise in Treasury yields has impacted the S&P 500, the uptrend is expected to continue, driven by a favorable economic environment and solid corporate earnings. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
2