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US500.F trade ideas

SPX: Liquidity Zone Breakout or Support Breakdown AheadTechnical Analysis: The price is testing the support line after pulling back from the liquidity zone around 5,863. If the price holds above the pivot line and breaks the liquidity zone, it could rally toward 5,939. A failure to hold the support line could lead to a bearish move, with potential targets at 5,781 and 5,732. Watch for confirmation at the liquidity zone for a bullish breakout or breakdown from the support line for further downside movement. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5832 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5803, 5781, 5732 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5832 Bullish above 5832
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Are Stocks Topping for Now?The S&P 500 has had a dramatic run, with gains in the last six weeks and 10 of the last 11 months. But will the run continue? The first pattern on today’s chart is last week’s low around 5804. The index crossed under it and stayed there yesterday, producing a lower low on the weekly chart. Ending the week below that level could resemble moments like late-July or early April, when pullbacks followed. Second, the index got rejected at or near highs on October 15 and 17. Those solid candles (marked with white arrows) may reflect selling pressures. MACD also turned lower and prices closed below the 8-day exponential moving average, which could suggest momentum is slowing. Next, the Nasdaq-100 stalled below its July peak. Does that reflect exhaustion among the biggest stocks in the market? This lethargic price action in the big growth names contrasts with Treasury yields pushing higher. That may also be a risk to equities and risk assets in general. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
SP:SPX
by TradeStation
SPX to turnaround?US500 - 24h expiry Broken out of the wedge to the downside. The formation has a measured move target of 5773. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. We look to Sell at 5847 (stop at 5865) Our profit targets will be 5802 and 5792 Resistance: 5845 / 5847 / 5857 Support: 5815 / 5800 / 5785 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by OANDA
Price Reversal at Key Support with Consolidation ExpectedTechnical Analysis: The price has reached the previously identified support zone and has once again reversed its course. At present, it is anticipated that the price will attempt to reach 5,863, provided it continues to trade above the 5,824 and 5,800 levels. However, the price is likely to remain in a consolidation phase between 5,863 and 5,824 until a decisive breakout occurs. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5837 Resistance Levels: 5863, 5891, 5939 Support Levels: 5824, 5812, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5824 Bullish above 5824
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P500 Index -Liquidity Zone consolidationTechnical Analysis: The price is currently trading within a liquidity zone between 5,849 and 5,891, showing consolidation. A retest of this liquidity zone is likely, with a potential rejection if the price fails to break above 5,891. If the price breaks and holds above the 5,891 level, the next target would be the resistance line at around 5,939. On the downside, a rejection from the liquidity zone could send the price back down towards the support line near 5,825 or even further towards 5,781. Correct Direction: Bearish: If the price fails to break above 5,891 and the liquidity zone holds as resistance, the price is likely to move towards 5,825 or lower. Bullish: If the price breaks and closes above 5,891, a bullish continuation towards 5,939 is expected. The overall bias is bearish unless there is a confirmed breakout above the liquidity zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5863 Resistance Levels: 5891, 5915, 5939 Support Levels: 5836, 5807, 5781 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5863 Bullish above 5891
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
DreamAnalysis | SPX500 at a Crossroads Key Trading Strategies✨ Today’s Focus: SPX500 (US500) – A Key Market Driver We dive into recent price movements and analyze critical market levels to identify potential trends. 📊 Current Market Overview: The price is currently consolidating within the Previous Weekly Range, showing little movement for now. However, it's important to note that the Previous Month's High (PMH) has already been taken, and the market needs to accumulate more liquidity before making a decisive move—hence the consolidation. 🔴 What to Expect: Short-Term vs. Long-Term Scenarios We'll explore both short-term and long-term outlooks, offering insights into bullish and bearish possibilities for day traders. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, we may see a retracement into the Fair Value Zone or the Equilibrium (50% of the range). However, without significant information from higher timeframes, it's best to wait for lower timeframe confirmations before entering a trade. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: From a long-term perspective, the price may dip lower to absorb sell-side liquidity before continuing its upward trend. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Keep an eye on these levels, which could impact price action: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) These levels highlight potential liquidity absorption points and areas where price might rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are key zones for potential retracement before the market resumes its trend. 🔔 1Hour Outlook: 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish setup, we need the Previous Week Low (PWL) to be taken out, or we can use the lower timeframes to identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) levels. Once price sweeps these liquidity levels, we can look for an entry model to target the Buy-Side Liquidity, such as the Previous Week High (PWH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: On the bearish side, lower timeframes are already offering potential entry models. With the monthly high (PMH) taken and a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence with the NASDAQ (US100), there’s a strong confluence for bearish continuation. 📝 Conclusion: Stay flexible as market conditions shift. Monitor these key levels and setups closely to fine-tune your strategy and seize high-probability trading opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Keep following as we track developments in NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Timely insights will be provided as trends unfold. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by DreamAnalysis
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.23.24Tomorrow’s implied move in SPX is between 5815 and 5885. That range comes from options and the 30-day average daily volatility, which aligns with Thursday’s implied move of 5805 to 5895. The first level to watch is the 35 EMA, which is cutting right across the trading range. It was below us at yesterday’s close, but depending on where futures open, it could be to the upside. Definitely keep an eye on that level. The next level of resistance is around 5870. We briefly got above this level to make all-time highs at 5878.37, and we’ve seen it hold as resistance before and after making those all-time highs last week. If we get above 5870, the next target is the all-time high, with 5885 as the top of the implied move. 5895 is the top of the implied move on Thursday’s contract. To the downside, if we can’t hold the 35 EMA, the next level to watch is 5825, which acted as support on both Monday and Tuesday. Below that, 5815 is the bottom of the implied move, and 5805 is the bottom of Thursday’s implied move. We also have the 30-minute 200 MA near the bottom of the trading range for the next two days, and with momentum still positive, that level could give us a technical bounce. Pair that with the support from last week around 5815, and it’s a good spot for a potential bounce.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
The Stock Market Tends To Crash Around October —Historical Trend➖ In 1929, the stock market started a major decline around October. ➖ In 1973, the stock market peaked in January and produced a lower high in October and then a major crash. ➖ In 1987, the stock market crashed in October ➖ In the year 2000, the major decline started right around October. ➖ In 2007 the stock market peaked and a major crash happened in October 2008. What's up with October? The S&P 500 Index is now trading at All-Time Highs. Volume has been dropping since March 2009. It is now October 2024 and the world is at war... Forever higher or market crash? Imagine, can it top in October 2024 and then a crash in October 2025? Based on past history, there are many potential variations for a bearish scenario. Namaste.
SP:SPXShort
by AlanSantana
S&P 500 Index - Already dropped and still...Technical Analysis: The price dropped after stabilizing below 5863 and is still running to get 5825 and 5781 If the price breaks and holds above the 5878 level, the next target would be the resistance line at around 5,939. On the downside, a rejection from the liquidity zone could send the price back down towards the support line near 5,825 or even further towards 5,781. Direction: Bearish: If the price fails to break above 5878 and 5,891 and the liquidity zone holds as resistance, the price will likely move towards 5,825 or lower. Bullish: If the price breaks and closes above 5,891, a bullish continuation towards 5,939 is expected. The overall bias is bearish unless there is a confirmed breakout above the liquidity zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5837 Resistance Levels: 5865, 5891, 5915 Support Levels: 5812, 5781, 5761 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5848 Bullish above 5878
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPx / Bearish Momentum Awaits Retest, Key Levels in FocusTechnical Analysis The price will likely attempt a retest around 5,755 or 5,781, after which a renewed bearish trend could push it toward 5,675 and 5,643. Bearish Scenario: Consistent stability below 5,781 may lead to a downward move targeting 5,734. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close below 5,734 could activate the next bearish zone. Bullish Scenario: Should the price stabilize above 5,746, some bullish momentum may emerge toward 5,781. However, a reversal with stability above 5,803 would signal potential movement upwards, with targets at 5,824 and 5,850. Further Bearish Continuation: For a deeper decline, the price should establish stability below 5,715, paving the way for a drop toward 5,675. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5734 Resistance Levels: 5755, 5781, 5803 Support Levels: 5715, 5675, 5643
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
How the U.S. Presidential Election May Impact the S&P 500 IndexHow the U.S. Presidential Election May Impact the S&P 500 Index Today, 5 November, the U.S. presidential election is underway, and it may serve as a significant driver of volatility for global stock markets. According to EuroNews, heightened market fluctuations are expected throughout the voting period on 5 November, potentially mirroring reactions observed during the Brexit referendum and the 2016 U.S. election. Newsweek notes that historically, U.S. stock markets tend to rise regardless of the election winner. In 2020, for example, American stocks rose immediately after election day and continued upward even as Trump contested the results. Investor’s Business Daily highlights Tony Roth, CIO of Wilmington Trust, who argues that U.S. stock markets could climb regardless of whether Harris or Trump wins, as both candidates provide viable economic paths that could support market sentiment. On 14 October, analysing the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), we plotted three narrow upward channels (shown in blue), noting: → each channel has a similar slope and width; → connecting the maximum of Channel 1, the peak and trough of Channel 2, and the low of Channel 3 outlines a larger channel (in orange). Today’s technical analysis of the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) shows the current index level near the lower edge of the third blue channel, with additional support around: → former resistance at $5678; → the lower orange boundary. Election results may trigger a volatility spike, potentially testing or reinforcing these support levels, which could shape future market momentum. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 05/11/2024Election Jitters: U.S. Presidential Race Fuels Risk-Off Sentiment Amid Policy Uncertainty and Global Tensions The U.S. presidential election is significantly influencing risk-on and risk-off sentiment as investors brace for potential shifts in policy that could impact economic and market stability. With the election approaching, uncertainty around the potential outcomes and their implications for fiscal, trade, and regulatory policies is driving a more cautious, risk-off sentiment among market participants. In typical election cycles, markets tend to exhibit volatility as investors anticipate changes in the policy environment. For 2024, there is particular focus on key issues such as tax policy, technology regulation, healthcare, and foreign policy—all of which could have far-reaching impacts on sectors like tech, healthcare, energy, and financial services. Market participants are also considering the candidates' approaches to fiscal stimulus, which may affect economic growth projections and thus influence the overall risk environment. Additionally, recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and ongoing conflict in Ukraine are intensifying risk-off behavior. Investors are favoring safe-haven assets like the U.S. dollar, gold, and government bonds as they hedge against potential economic disruptions that might follow election results, especially if there are significant shifts in foreign policy. However, specific sectors may also show risk-on tendencies if the anticipated policy shifts favor growth or deregulation in areas like infrastructure, clean energy, or technology. For example, market segments aligned with clean energy could see optimism, while regulatory uncertainties may weigh on tech stocks. Overall, the looming U.S. election is adding a layer of risk-off sentiment as investors weigh the prospects of economic shifts in a complex global landscape. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AfreeBit