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E-mini S&P 500 Futures (CME) (OANDA EU Clients)

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US500.PRO.OTMS trade ideas

SPX: Presidential elections and FOMCThe US stocks had a relatively mixed week. The S&P 500 started the week with the negative sentiment, around the level of 5.840, and moved in Thursday trading session to the lowest weekly level at 5.705. Still, during Friday the index managed to gain some 0,4%, ending the week at the level of 5.728. The Non-farm payrolls were the major surprise for the markets during the previous week. The US economy added only 12.000 new jobs in October, which was the lowest level since the pandemic. Analysts are noting that such a weak performance is a result of hurricanes and labor strikes, and that the labor market in the US stands on solid grounds. Amazon was one of the companies which was in the spotlight of investors, with a weekly gain of 6,2%, as the company continues to strengthen its cloud and advertising business above market current expectations. Intel was another company which strongly outperformed market forecasts, gaining 7,8% for the week. Regardless of a bumpy start of November, this might continue for the week ahead. Namely, two quite important events for the US are scheduled for the week ahead - on November 5th the US Presidential elections and FOMC rate decision on November 7th. These two events are implying that higher volatility and market nervousness might continue for another week.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
SPX500USD Will Go Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 5,736.0. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 5,643.6 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
1
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the S&P 500 index exhibited considerable weakness by completing the Inner Index Dip at 5733, in conjunction with the Mean Support level of 5798, while leaving the gap by not reaching the secondary Mean Support level of 5700. This development of fulfilling the gap will likely stimulate a significant rebound toward the Mean Resistance level of 5775, with the possibility of further extension. The 5700 support level is critical for facilitating a primary recovery and advancing into the subsequent phase of the bullish trend. However, it is imperative to acknowledge that achieving and penetrating the 5700 level could instigate a downward spiral in price action to Mean Sup 5620.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
11/04 Weekly SPX Market Analysis with seamless GEX levelsThe U.S. presidential election is on November 5, and this week we can expect increased volatility due to the uncertainty. For options traders, one thing is certain: volatility will likely rise leading up to the election, peak around the results, and then gradually subside as the “fireworks” end. It’s essential to consider this in every trading decision. While the current Implied Volatility (IVx) isn’t extremely high, the IV Rank (IVR) is quite strong at 41, and this is likely to remain due to the increasing uncertainty. Based on the blue OTM (Out of The Money) delta curves, the market is currently pricing in a strong downward movement for the week, aligning with the negative gamma zone and negative gamma profile. For a bullish shift, we would need a strong push above 5845 to enter positive gamma territory (HVL level is the battleneck). ⏩ The 5700 level is a key PUT support across multiple timeframes. If this level breaks, turbulence is expected, with increased downward movement likely to follow, first to 5650 and potentially down to 5600, where larger PUT gamma walls are located. ⏩ According to the 16-delta OTM curve, a close above the previous all-time high is less likely. If there’s a strong breakout to the upside, the positive gamma threshold stands at 5850, and above this, buyer pressure could extend up to 5925. ⏩ I consider the 5700-5845 range as a “chop zone,” where high volatility is expected this week. In this zone, bears and bulls will be in constant battle, and I do not expect a clear trend. I focused on Friday’s expiration in this analysis, as market outlooks remain highly uncertain ahead of the election. The strong PUT pricing skew is a natural phenomenon and is expected to increase, especially since we are in a negative gamma zone. For December expirations, PUT options cost nearly twice as much as CALL options, as shown by our oscillator for 12/20 expiry. There’s already ~6% IV backwardation between the 11/08 and 11/11 expirations, making this ideal for time spreads. However, caution is warranted—front-month PUT calendar and diagonal spreads can easily turn negative if front IV rises more than back IV. Remember! It’s not mandatory to trade during highly uncertain periods! Staying out of the market is also a position, and sitting in cash is actually the safest choice, especially in a volatile week like this. ⏩ You can check my previous week's analysis, every one was accurate, I hope this one will useful too. 10/28 SPX 10/21 SPX 10/14 SPX 10/28 QQQ 10/14 QQQ
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
SPx / Bearish Momentum Awaits Retest, Key Levels in FocusTechnical Analysis The price will likely attempt a retest around 5,755 or 5,781, after which a renewed bearish trend could push it toward 5,675 and 5,643. Bearish Scenario: Consistent stability below 5,781 may lead to a downward move targeting 5,734. A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close below 5,734 could activate the next bearish zone. Bullish Scenario: Should the price stabilize above 5,746, some bullish momentum may emerge toward 5,781. However, a reversal with stability above 5,803 would signal potential movement upwards, with targets at 5,824 and 5,850. Further Bearish Continuation: For a deeper decline, the price should establish stability below 5,715, paving the way for a drop toward 5,675. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5734 Resistance Levels: 5755, 5781, 5803 Support Levels: 5715, 5675, 5643
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,735.3. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,643.6. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SignalProvider
2
Election Volatility Shakes Up US MarketsS&P 500 ● The index retreated from its all-time high of 5,880, initiating a downward trend. ● A breakdown below the Rising Wedge pattern has been confirmed. ● Key support levels to watch: ➖ Immediate support: 5,670 ➖ Strong support: 5,400 Nasdaq Composite ● The index has hit an all-time high near the 18,750 level before beginning to retreat. ● After breaking through the trendline support, the index is currently hovering slightly above the next immediate support level. ● If it dips below this support, we could see a significant drop, potentially driving the index down to the 16,670 level. **This market volatility is consistent with historical trends during US presidential election years. The 2024 election is particularly unpredictable due to conflicting economic indicators and potential delays in results.
SP:SPXShort
by NaranjCapital
GAME OVER!!!...ASCENDING WEDGE BROKEN DOWN!!...TIME TO GO!!!The pattern is similar for QQQ and SOX. Market is very vulnerable now. Optimism professional and retail is at all time high now. We may not even need a catalyst. ITS OVER!!! Very soon we may be at the neckline. Major indexes may be forming a giant Head and Shoulders reversal pattern (it is clearer on QQQ and SOX, or MSFT because they are weaker). We may now have just started the right shoulder. Disclaimer: Don't trade based on this message. I may be completely wrong.
SP:SPXShort
by I_AM_FROM_THE_FUTURE
SPX in monthly (log)Hello community, A quick review of the month on the SPX index. A red candle for this month of October. I have indicated in orange the simple 12-period average (monthly) The price is in the upper part of the channel, I don't see anything alarming on the chart. The trend is still bullish, I prefer to invest my money in the American market, than on the old continent which is very sick! Whether it is Harris against Trump, the new president will have a country in working order to face the future. I have confidence in the USA. Make your opinion, before placing an order. ► Thank you for boosting, commenting, subscribing!
SP:SPXLong
by DL_INVEST
November Trading Competition Chart Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (SPX500USD 1D chart) In order to maintain the uptrend, it must rise above 5738.2 and be maintained. Since the StochRSI indicator is currently expected to create a double bottom, if the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone, it is highly likely to create a large uptrend. Accordingly, I think the 5738.2 point is a very important support and resistance point. - (XAUUSD 1D chart) BW(100) indicator is created at 2748.960, and HA-High indicator is created at 2734.472. Accordingly, the point of observation is whether it can receive support and rise around 2734.472-2748.960. - The fact that BW(100), HA-High indicators are created means that a high point section has been formed. Therefore, if it receives resistance from BW(100), HA-High indicators and falls, you should basically think that the decline is likely to continue until it meets BW(0), HA-Low indicators and respond accordingly. Therefore, whether there is support around 2734.472-2748.960 is important. - Since the StochRSI indicator appears to have entered the oversold zone, we need to check where it is located when it rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA. - (XAGUSD 1D chart) The chart can be seen as already in the process of decline. However, since it is maintaining an upward channel, we need to keep in mind the possibility of creating a pull back pattern. Accordingly, the area around 3188144 is expected to be an important support and resistance zone. The HA-High indicator is created at the 32.99790 point, and the BW(100) indicator is created at the 34.86 point. Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will be restricted from breaking through the 3299790-34.86 zone upward. - (EURUSD 1D chart) I think the 1.08821 point is a very important section in the trend. I think it is likely to have difficulty turning into an upward trend until it rises above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. Therefore, I think it would be advantageous to proceed with a trade after confirming support near 1.08821. - (WTICOUSD 1D chart) The oil chart is in a reverse arrangement. Accordingly, I think it would be advantageous to trade with a sell (SHORT) position. It is currently rising above 71.6167 and rising above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart. In order to maintain this rise, it needs to be maintained around 71.955. - HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to trade using the Heikin-Ashi chart. The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that a low point range has been formed. Therefore, if it is supported near HA-Low and rises, you should basically think of a response plan by thinking that it will continue to rise until it meets the HA-High indicator. The HA-Low or HA-HIgh indicators are designed to display box ranges differently from other indicators. Therefore, in order to escape the low point range formed by the HA-Low indicator, it must rise above the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box. Therefore, it can be said that it has escaped the low point range if it rises and is maintained above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (72.606). - StochRSI indicator is not a universal indicator, but basically - When the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to sell, - When it is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy. From that perspective, I think the current rise is more likely to be a rebound rather than a rise. - (BTCUSD 1D chart) The important support and resistance areas from the current price position are as follows: - 71288.90-72322.91 - 68343.64-69795.79 - 65910.71 The three areas above are important support and resistance areas. - As explained on the oil chart, since the StochRSI indicator is below the 50 point, you should focus on finding a time to buy. Therefore, if you are trading for the first time, you can trade depending on whether there is support near 68343.64. However, since the current trend is an upward trend, if you trade with a sell (SHORT) position, you need to respond quickly and briefly. - (ETHUSD 1D chart) ETH is currently moving sideways in the box section. Therefore, the trend is expected to be determined depending on which direction it deviates from the 2272.88-2707.12 section. Therefore, you should think about trading within the box section and create a response plan. Then, when it deviates from the box section, you should switch to a trading strategy to eat the trend. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
OANDA:SPX500USD
by readCrypto
SPX 500 I Two areas of potential long opportunity Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** SPX500 Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
SP:SPXLong
by BKTradingAcademy
2
Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 01/11/2024The market has shifted to a clear risk-off sentiment, with investors moving into safe-haven assets amid mounting global uncertainties. Safe havens like the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and gold are experiencing increased demand, reflecting heightened caution. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, are driving this shift, while recent central bank statements signal a focus on economic stability rather than aggressive growth. Equities and riskier assets, including high-yield currencies and speculative investments, are seeing reduced interest as investors prioritize stability and capital preservation in this more conservative market climate​ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AfreeBit