Nightly Predictions for 12.17.2024🔮
⏰8:30am
Core Retail Sales m/m
Retail Sales m/m
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
US500.PRO.OTMS trade ideas
A bullish outlook for S&P 500 trading next weekRecent Performance: The S&P 500 has shown a mixed performance recently,
grappling with volatility yet managing to hold above significant support
levels. After reaching highs earlier this month, the index has pulled back
slightly, indicating some weakness in momentum. Despite this, seasonal
trends towards year-end may provide a boost, although the declining market
breadth suggests underlying challenges.
- Key Insights: Investors should be cautious yet optimistic about the S&P 500 as
we approach potential seasonal rallies. The mixed signals from market
breadth and expert commentary on overvaluation underscore the importance of
strategic trading. Focus on key support levels to confirm bullish trends and
prepare to act if resistance levels are breached.
- Expert Analysis: Market experts express a cautiously optimistic sentiment,
with some anticipating a "Santa Rally" while others warn of the risks
associated with overvaluation. The anticipation of potential Federal Reserve
rate cuts adds to the bullish sentiment, though concerns over rising
inflation and jobless claims need to be monitored closely.
- Price Targets: Based on the current analysis, next week’s price targets and
stop levels are set as follows:
- Next week targets: T1 = 6,100, T2 = 6,200
- Stop levels: S1 = 6,040, S2 = 6,020
- News Impact: Key economic data releases, particularly the Federal Reserve
meeting on December 18, are expected to play a significant role in market
movements. Additionally, earnings reports from major corporations, along
with the evolving geopolitical climate and challenges in China's economy,
will further influence the sentiment surrounding the S&P 500, demanding
vigilant attention from investors.
BUY Order US500 DAILY TIMEFRAMEi noticed past day the us500 just pass the tenkansen of ichimoku kinkohyo, so why not take the risk ?
Sp500 for buyThe S&P 500 is currently showing bullish momentum, supported by strong corporate earnings and stabilizing economic conditions. As of today, it is trading at 5,699.98, reflecting significant growth year-to-date. Analysts project further upside due to strong fundamentals, including earnings growth and resilience in consumer spending. Technical analysis indicates the index remains within an upward channel, with potential resistance near 6,100, suggesting room for gains if economic stability persists
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.16.2024🔮
📅Mon Dec 16
⏰9:45am
Flash Manufacturing PMI
📅Tue Dec 17
⏰8:30am
Retail Sales m/m
📅Wed Dec 18
⏰2:00pm
FOMC Statement
📅Thu Dec 19
⏰8:30am
Final GDP q/q
Unemployment Claims
📅Fri Dec 20
⏰8:30am
Core PCE Price Index m/m
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SPX 12-10/12-11SPX levels used for entry exit on /es eth trades - this one I'd have run short and trim for +7
SPX 12-15/12-16 Support and Resistance levels - Overnight levels - Playing ES contracts on these levels of US500
SPX 12-12/12-13Support and Resistance levels - Overnight levels - Playing ES contracts on these levels of US500
S&P 500 1WCorrection on the table and long consolidation until the end of April 2025
Not expected to fall below 5600
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SPX Long in Long term to $5050, the up to $6060On the basis of previous cycles analysis.
S&P 500 index is now in the 1st wave of the new growth cycle. Technically and fundamentally now I expect the downside to $4200, but not for long.
After this SPX is going to reach the $5050 price level.
Then after 2nd wave correction (10%) 6 month before US President election SPX starts its 3rd wave up to $6060.
SPX on a long timeframeThis chart is mostly for me, so I can come back to it, later... but as you can see, we'll go up and down, but likely to go more up than down :)
us500 LONGus500 LONG
Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
INSTRUCTIONS:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
SPX Intraday LevelsIf you missed SPX short opportunity in last 2 days, you can still have one today hopefully.
Spx: When Copper met SugarAn interesting thing when you see divergence of the copper and sugar futures and what happens to markets after they redirect. Could be nothing..but monthly topping tail seems to be useful on S&P to start roll over
SPX500 H4 I Bearish Momentum?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we will wait for price to pullback to our sell entry at 6,072.05, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit will be set at 6,031.03, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 6,110.58, above the 127.2% Fibo extension
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S&P500: Crossed under the 4H MA50. Bearish.S&P500 is headed towards a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.952, MACD = 52.430, ADX = 39.810) as today the price hit the 4H MA50 after more than 2 weeks. Every time the index crossed under the 4H MA50 since October 21st, it declined more to the 4H MA200. The long term pattern remains a Channel Up but short term the strenght behind the 4H RSI drop favors going short. Target a potential contact point with the 4H MA200 (TP = 5,960).
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12/09 Weekly SPX InsightsLast week’s assessment aligned well with the anticipated positive SPX range. The index moved sharply up toward the 6100 area, yet as Friday’s session progressed, the call resistance around 6100 capped further upward momentum.
Looking ahead, I have doubts that the previously unbridled optimism will persist. Currently, we find ourselves in a “chop zone,” suggesting that the short-term direction is less clear.
In aggregating GEX (Gamma Exposure) levels and examining the landscape a week out, it appears that 6100 remains a strong call resistance level. Meanwhile, the HVL (High Volatility Level) has crept closer to around 6080, placing the market uncomfortably close to a higher-volatility environment. Below 6080, the market may experience increased turbulence, potentially retesting 6035 and then 6000.
On the other hand, if the index can break and hold above 6100, an upward gamma squeeze could emerge, pushing prices even higher. Currently, overall GEX sentiment is negative, but the approach toward the HVL zone suggests caution. From these conditions, I’m not expecting a strong, sustained rally in the immediate term.
In terms of intraday and short-term dynamics, 0DTE (same-day expiry) sessions and Fridays continue to hold relatively higher positive gamma exposure compared to other days.
Volatility indicators:
VIX: remains low
IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): also low
Put Pricing Skew: currently low, although it has begun to show a very slight uptick
Key Levels for This Week (for educational reference):
Above 6100: Omni-bullish environment
Between 6100–6065: Chop zone (directionally uncertain; not ideal for unhedged directional trades)
Below 6080: Bearish tilt, with targets around T1: 6035 and T2: 6000 (near the 16-delta OTM put level)
On Wednesday, inflation data is scheduled for release. Anticipation alone may drive volatility, so it’s something to keep on the radar for educational scenario planning.
SPX ShortThese were 2 scalp short entries on SPX with the help of 5 and 1M chart too.
price broke through POC and PD AVAAPs on volume after NY opened up so I went short.
1st entry was till Thursday's POC and S1. when price broke through that and held below the zone on volume, this is where I went in with max position for scalp.
S&P500 is still strong🟢 S&P500 is still strong
The USA index is showing strength amid geopolitical tensions.
Right now, the index is in a clear bull trend since 2023 and we are far from a clear corrective pattern.
Take care if the price approach the red trendline, breaking that trendline could be a first signal of a neutral or bear market unfolding.
For now is better to hold or even buy if the price arrives to previous highs. Previous highs are a good point to buy with low risk-to-return ratios.
