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US500 trade ideas

Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG resistance area of 6176 (Wave 1).Colleagues, the previous forecast remains essentially unchanged, and the target is still 6176, but I think the forecast can be updated because the price has been flat for quite some time. I still expect the upward movement to continue in the large wave “1” and in the medium-order wave “5”. A small correction to the support area of 5873 is possible. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
17
The Midyear Mindset Reset: Reboot Your Trading Before Q3Because nothing says "trader growth" like admitting you’ve been winging it for six months. 👋 Welcome to Halftime — How’s Your P&L Looking? June’s closing bell isn’t just a date on the calendar — it’s that awkward moment where traders stare into the middle distance, coffee in hand, and quietly whisper: “Well… that went differently than I expected.” Whether you’ve been racking up wins, nursing drawdowns, or simply surviving market whiplash, midyear is nature’s way of handing you a clean slate. Before Q3 throws its inevitable curveballs, now’s your chance to pause, reset, and actually look at what the heck you’ve been doing. And, of course, prepare for the next batch of earnings reports . Spoiler: if your trading strategy this year has involved equal parts hope and caffeine, you’re not alone. 🔥 The Year So Far: Markets Kept It… Interesting Let’s quickly recap 2025 so far (because trauma processing is healthy). The Magnificent Seven? More like the Magnificent Two-And-A-Half. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT ran victory laps while everyone else tripped over AI headlines or regulatory landmines. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA moonwalked into trillion-dollar territory, then stumbled after export bans — but somehow still has every fund manager whispering “Blackwell” like it’s a secret password. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD set new highs north of $110K (who needs fiat when you can have memes?). The Fed teased cuts, inflation teased persistence, and Trump teased… well, everyone. And summer trading arrived with its usual low-volume traps, giving us breakouts that break hearts and liquidity that disappears faster than your broker’s customer support. In short: volatility? Check. Opportunity? Absolutely. Discipline? That depends on whether you’re still following your rules or trading on vibes. By June, most traders have crafted elaborate narratives in their heads. You know the type: "This breakout is different," "The Fed has to cut next month," and "There’s no way Nvidia can keep running like this." The problem is, markets don’t care about your narrative. They care about price, volume, sentiment — and sometimes, absolute chaos. That beautifully clean chart setup? It’s not asking for your prediction. It’s begging you to respond with discipline, not bravado. The traders who thrived in the first half didn’t win by forecasting every twist in the macro plotline. They won by following the tape. The breakout happened? They took it. The stop-loss hit? They respected it. That’s not luck — that’s execution. 🫶🏻 Emotional Capital: The Real Balance You Should Be Watching P&L tells one story. Emotional capital tells another. By June, a lot of traders aren’t out of money — they’re out of discipline. They’ve been revenge trading after a string of losses, chasing AI headlines that already ran, and convincing themselves they can “make it all back” on the next oversized position. Do you know that feeling? Resetting your trading mindset at midyear means recalibrating that emotional bankroll. Start by reviewing your trading journal (yes, you’re supposed to have one ). Revisit the trades that made sense and the ones that make you cringe. Recognize your patterns — your strengths, but also your weaknesses. Success leaves clues and there are lessons in failures. 💭 Clean Up the Clutter There’s a special type of fatigue that sets in after six months of consuming too much trading content. You start layering on indicators like toppings at a frozen yogurt bar — RSI, MACD, Stochastics, VWAP, Fibonacci, Elliott Waves, Gann fans... until your charts light up like the billboards in Times Square. The truth is, the best traders heading into Q3 are simplifying. They’re not chasing complexity; they’re chasing clarity. They know their setups, they trust their process, and they wait for clean signals. Summer trading especially demands this discipline. Liquidity gets thinner, breakouts fail more often , and the tape gets choppy. Complex systems may amplify the noise. Strip it down. Focus on price structure. Simplify your strategy so you can execute when real opportunities appear — not when your 12th oscillator blinks green. ⚾ You Don’t Need a Home Run At this stage of the year, many traders fall into what we’ll call the desperate hero phase. They feel behind. They want to make up for drawdowns. They want “the trade” that fixes everything. If you’ve missed making bank over the first half of the year, chances are, you want to catch up — and fast. Here’s a secret: The best traders aren’t always looking for grand slams. They’re playing small ball too — consistent singles, tight risk, controlled losses, steady gains. Q3 isn’t about doubling your account. It’s about staying alive long enough for your edge to show up and play out. The traders who make it to year-end consistently profitable aren’t the ones chasing massive wins. They’re the ones compounding quiet, boring, disciplined trades. Midyear Reset: Your Q3 Trading Checklist Here’s your brutally simple plan for the back half: ✅ Journal your biggest mistakes from H1 ✅ Cut your watchlist in half ✅ Size smaller than feels exciting ✅ Trust clean setups over crowded trades ✅ Stay curious — but stay selective ✅ Leave the FOMO trades to the TikTok influencers So the real question heading into Q3 isn’t whether markets will go up or down. It’s whether you will trade better or keep winging it. Happy midyear reset. Trade smarter, not harder.
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
16
S&P 500 Futures Rise on Ceasefire Relief, Eyes on Fed PowellSPX500 OVERVIEW U.S. Futures Rise as Ceasefire Eases Tensions, Focus Turns to Powell U.S. stock futures climbed on Tuesday, with S&P 500 futures up 0.8%, extending gains from the previous session as Middle East tensions eased following a ceasefire announcement. President Trump confirmed a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, which appears to be holding for now—though early signs of potential violations have already emerged. Market attention is now firmly on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress today, where traders hope to gain more clarity on the Fed’s economic outlook and rate path. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500 The price touched resistance at 6,098 and is currently hovering near that level. Failure to break above 6,098 may trigger a short-term correction toward 6,041, before another push higher. A confirmed breakout above 6,098 would open the path toward the All-Time High (ATH) at 6,143, followed by extended targets. Support Levels: 6041 → 6010 → 5966 Resistance Levels: 6143 → 6175 → 6225 Stability above 6,098 confirms bullish continuation, while failure to hold may suggest a temporary pullback before resuming the uptrend.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
4
S&P500 1D Golden Cross, middle of 3y Channel, much upside to go!The S&P500 index (SPX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the final sell-off of the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The only time this pattern broke was for 4 days during the bottom formation (April 2025) of the recent Trade War. Ahead of the first 1D Golden Cross since January 26 2023, the market looks more bullish than ever as it is trading within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci range of this Channel Up, suggesting that there is considerable upside before it tops. The last Bullish Leg that started on the Channel Up bottom and peaked before a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test grew by +28.30%. Expecting a repeat of that, we may see the price targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 6550 before the next 1D MA50 pull-back. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
2
Bullish continuation?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which has been identiifed as ab overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 5,796.40 1st Support: 5,555.95 1st Resistance: 6,091.55 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by ICmarkets
1
Nasdaq All-Time Highs, S&P Close, Blast Off or Breakdown?What an incredible melt-up since April 7 lows in the US markets. Trump vs Musk - ignored Iran vs Israel - ignored High Valuations - ignored FED Pausing - ignored The US economy is resilient and it's a good thing because the world is performing really well (EX-US). Europe/China/India/Emerging Markets are outperforming the US by 15-16% YTD The USD is having one its worst years ever in 2025 Gold, Silver, Bitcoin are great diversifiers in my opinion for 2025 Oil prices are incredibly volatile and energy stocks and commodities in turn are showing volatility and big swings As we near end of month and end of Q2, I have to believe the market is due for a small pause or pullback sooner rather than later - but we'll see Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
1
SPX500 Holds Above 6,098 | Bullish Bias Toward ATH at 6,143OANDA:SPX500USD OVERVIEW S&P 500 Futures Subdued After Near-Record Close | Market Eyes Powell’s Comments U.S. stock futures were muted on Wednesday after the S&P 500 closed near an all-time high, following signals from Israel and Iran that their air conflict has ended. Investors now await further comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for clues on the monetary policy outlook. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – SPX500 The price remains in a bullish trend as long as it trades above 6,098, with upside potential toward the ATH at 6,143. However, a 1H or 4H candle close below 6,098 would likely trigger a bearish correction toward 6,056 and 6,041. Pivot Level: 6,098 Resistance Levels: 6,143 → 6,175 → 6,210 Support Levels: 6,066 → 6,041
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
2
SPX500: Bearish Momentum Below 5966, Bullish Recovery Above 6010SPX500 – Technical Overview SPX500 is currently exhibiting bearish momentum, largely driven by escalating tensions in the Middle East, which are contributing to heightened market volatility. At present, the price is approaching the pivot level at 5966. A confirmed 1-hour candle close below this level would likely reinforce the bearish bias, targeting 5938, and potentially extending the decline toward 5902 and 5858. However, if the price stabilizes above 5990, we may see a retest of the 6010 resistance. A breakout above this level would shift the momentum toward the upside, with further targets at 6041 and 6098. Key Levels • Pivot: 5966 • Support: 5938, 5902, 5858 • Resistance: 6010, 6041, 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
Risk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment MattersRisk and Probability in Trading — Why Risk Assessment Matters More Than Chasing the “Holy Grail” In trading, most participants and analysts are focused on finding the so-called “Holy Grail” — the perfect entry point where the price moves in the desired direction and yields profit. However, few actually assess the risks involved, as if success is possible without factoring them in. Market reviews are often filled with levels, forecasts, and price directions, but rarely include probability estimates or potential losses. In my view, the real Holy Grail isn't a guaranteed profitable entry, but a scenario where the market offers a position with minimal risk relative to historical context. To identify such setups, we need a risk scale based on historical data — how favorable the current risk-to-reward ratio is compared to the past. It’s also crucial to understand that no one can predict price direction with certainty. The key to opening a position is not hope, but evaluating all possible scenarios — upward, downward, or sideways — and knowing the outcome in each case. Risk management is more than just placing a stop-loss; it’s a structured approach that should be central to any trading strategy. What Are Minimal Risks? “Minimal risk” is a relative concept — it only makes sense when measured against a defined scale. Building such a scale requires historical statistics: what were the maximum and minimum losses and profits for similar positions in the past? Profit-to-Loss Ratio The idea behind the search for the “Holy Grail” is to find moments when the market offers the best possible profit-to-risk ratio. For example, if the current ratio is 10, and historically it has ranged from 0 (low risk) to 100 (high risk), then 10 may be a good entry point. If the ratio approaches 80–90, it signals that the position is extremely risky. Why Are Probability and Risk Assessment Important? Market reviews often talk about resistance levels, volatility, and price direction — but rarely address the risks of different scenarios. No expert can predict market movements with certainty — if they could, they’d be billionaires. Opening positions without accounting for risks and scenario probabilities is extremely dangerous. How to Factor in Risks When Entering a Position The key question is: what will the profit-to-loss ratio be after entering a position, depending on whether the price goes up, down, or stays flat? It’s important to understand the consequences of each case and make decisions based on risk assessment. Risk Management Must Account for the Inability to React Instantly Conventional tools like stop-losses and limit orders often fail to protect capital effectively during sudden price spikes. These tools are particularly vulnerable when market makers or high-frequency algorithms trigger stop levels en masse. This highlights the need for more resilient risk management instruments — ones that can respond to volatility instantly and automatically. Options are one such tool, capable of limiting losses regardless of market dynamics. Without robust risk management, long-term profitability becomes statistically unlikely. Sooner or later, the market will present a scenario that can wipe out your capital — unless you’re properly protected. Important note: this is not an endorsement of options or any specific broker. It’s simply a conclusion based on the logic of building effective capital protection. If a broker only provides access to linear instruments (futures, spot, stocks) without the ability to hedge, it will inevitably lead to capital erosion — even for systematic traders. And if this article gets more than 100 rockets, I’ll continue sharing specific examples of low-risk trading assessments.
SP:SPX
by wien6000796
1
Meta & Microsoft: How Two Tech Titans Outran a Sinking Mag 7Forget about the Magnificent Seven and say hello to M&M — the only two winners of the year so far. If you blinked during the first half of 2025, you might’ve missed it: the mighty Magnificent Seven are starting to look more like a Scraggly Five. While Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA fumbled its autonomy narrative and Apple NASDAQ:AAPL spent more time designing slides for the WWDC than in keynotes, two names quietly did the thing — created shareholder value. Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT Both are up more than 13% year-to-date each, sitting comfortably at the top of the gains leaderboard. For comparison: Nvidia managed just 3% (and that’s with all the AI hype), and everyone else? Down. Flat. Or just ghosted by Wall Street. The iPhone maker? How’s 20% to the downside? Let’s break down how Meta and Microsoft dodged the selloff. 📞 Meta: Not About That Meta Meta NASDAQ:META came into 2025 like it had something to prove. Zuck had long gone full avatar with the metaverse. But now? Now he wants to win AI — and he’s putting his money where his data is. Meta’s latest foray into AI is a $14.3 billion investment into Scale AI. A 49% non-voting stake in the AI darling isn’t for fun — but for function. It’s a full-court press to close the Llama-size gap between Meta’s in-house models and the heavyweights like OpenAI and Anthropic. Scale AI, already one of Meta’s biggest vendors, processes and labels the data that fuels Meta’s large language models. It was only a matter of time before Zuck decided, “Hey, let’s just own a piece of the pipeline.” And in true tech soap opera fashion, Scale CEO Alexandr Wang last week confirmed in an internal memo he’s leaving to join Meta full-time. For those keeping score: Wang, born in 1997, became the youngest billionaire in 2021. Now, he’s headed into the belly of the Menlo Park beast. Wall Street seems to dig that. The stock shot up when the news leaked , as investors rewarded Meta for looking less like a social media giant and more like a serious AI player — even if it still serves your aunt’s minion memes. 👾 Microsoft: The OS of Enterprise Still Runs Smooth Meanwhile in Redmond, Satya Nadella was out here quietly running the table. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT hit an all-time high of $480 on June 12, pushing its market cap to a record-breaking $3.5 trillion. For about a day or two before that, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA was on top — and then Microsoft did what Microsoft always does: calmly pressed Ctrl+Alt+Delete on its competition and reclaimed its spot as Earth’s most valuable company . How did that happen? Certainly not overnight. Azure continues to gobble cloud market share, Microsoft 365 is still the gold standard for digital productivity, and Teams — love it or hate it — is now basically corporate law. But don’t sleep on its AI game. Microsoft isn’t just throwing money at OpenAI, it’s embedding AI into everything it touches. Outlook, Excel, Word — all getting their Copilot upgrades. Want to finish that quarterly report faster? Let AI do it. Want it rewritten in pirate-speak? AI’s got you. Microsoft isn’t just building tools. It’s establishing an infrastructure for the new AI economy. And traders see that. They understand that while Nvidia sells the shovels, Microsoft owns the mine. 👩🏻‍💻 Why the Rest of the Mag 7 Didn’t Make the Cut Quick vibe check: Apple NASDAQ:AAPL Still chasing the AI breakthrough. No one talks about the Vision Pro headset anymore, and the annual WWDC event wasn’t anything special. The stock is down 20% on the year. Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA Robotaxis are coming ( maybe even this week ). But earnings pressure and margin squeeze made investors wish for more than tweets and timelines. The shares are underwater by 14% YTD. Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN E-commerce growth hit cruise control, and its AI presence still feels more like an R&D lab than a monetized machine. The stock is staring at a 3.7% loss, largely thanks to Amazon getting slapped in the face from Trump’s tariffs . Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL Search is still dominant, but Gemini’s bumpy launch and questionable performance has traders waiting for Google to actually ship something great, and not just strip the results from the iconic blue links . The stock is down 8%. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA Yes, still the king of chips. And yes, it’s still delivering. But with valuation stretched like Lululemons in a CrossFit class and export bans weighing heavy , it’s getting harder to maintain the pace. 🍻 Trading Lesson: Leadership Rotates If you’re a trader who’s been glued to Nvidia’s every tick or still buying dips on Apple because it “has to come back,” let this be your mid-year reminder: the market doesn’t care what used to lead. Leadership rotates. Fundamentals shift. And sometimes, the best trade is the one hiding behind less hype and more function. Case in point: While Apple’s been trying to find a catalyst, Meta just found a whole new business partner. While Nvidia’s been spinning plates on export rules, Microsoft’s just printing money off the back of Office subscriptions and Azure servers. 👀 What Happens Next? With the second half of the year approaching, all eyes are on: Meta’s AI ambitions — can the Scale deal accelerate model performance fast enough to close the gap with rivals? Microsoft’s cloud dominance — can Azure continue its double-digit growth without hitting the regulatory radar? Earnings, earnings, earnings — it’s almost the season again! Earnings reports kick off in about a month and things will get cracking. Whatever happens, don’t bet the farm on what used to work. Watch the rotation. Track the strategy shifts. And for the love of charts — keep one eye on the Earnings Calendar . 💬 Final Thought If Meta and Microsoft can shine while their peers flounder, what does that say about the real winners in this new AI economy? Maybe it’s not about who builds the flashiest model — but who actually knows how to monetize it. What’s your thought?
SP:SPX
by TradingView
9
🇺🇸 America at the Crossroads: Golden Age or Great Reset? As the S&P 500 crosses 6,000 , investors celebrate yet another all-time high. But beneath the surface of this rally lies an uncomfortable truth: we are standing at a national and market inflection point. This isn’t just another leg up. This is the top of a century-long trend channel, a moment where all prior historical peaks have led to sharp reversion . Will this time be different? 📉 Or are we heading into the final blow-off top of a fiat-fueled bull market ? 📈 Or is this the birth of a new nominal supercycle — a “Golden Age” driven by AI, deglobalization, and fiscal firehoses? 📊 The Chart That Frames the Future This chart stretches back to 1926. Price now presses against the upper blue boundary , just like in: 1929 → Great Depression 2000 → Dot-com Crash 2021 → Post-COVID Inflation Panic Every previous touch has ended in multi-year mean reversion . Will we now break out — or break down? 🕰️ The Fiat Currency Clock Is Ticking “The average lifespan of a fiat currency is 80–100 years.” The U.S. defaulted on gold bonds in 199 and the U.S. dollar was untethered from gold in 1971. We're many years into a fiat system. Every fiat regime in history has collapsed under debt, inflation, and loss of confidence . 📉 K-Shaped Economy and the Strained Consumer Since 2008, monetary policy has disproportionately enriched capital holders. Asset owners got rich. Wage earners stagnated. Now we see: -Record-high credit card interest -Rising consumer delinquencies -Real wages trailing inflation This is not a healthy economy — it’s a two-speed system with widening fractures. 📈 The Most Expensive Market in History? CAPE Ratio : ~33x — rivaling 1929 and 2000 ZIRP is gone , yet valuations remain elevated Investors are pushed out the risk curve by low real bond yields This is the result of TINA (There Is No Alternative) — but that narrative is fragile. 🏦 Cracks in the Core: Treasuries and Liquidity The U.S. Treasury market is flashing red: Weakening auction demand Foreign buyers (like China, Japan) stepping back Bank of Japan may be forced to liquidate U.S. debt Liquidity is thinning — just like in 2007 🤖 AI and the Accelerating Wealth Gap AI is a double-edged sword: It boosts productivity But it eliminates mid-skill jobs It consolidates wealth into a few mega-cap tech monopolies And it strains an already outdated energy grid AI could fuel inequality and fragility . 🌍 End of Globalization and Rise of BRICS The BRICS alliance is actively challenging dollar hegemony Trade is shifting to commodity-backed and bilateral settlement U.S. foreign policy is being stress-tested on multiple fronts (Ukraine, Taiwan, Middle East) The post-WWII order is unraveling. And America must adapt — or lose ground. ⚠️ Blow-Off Top Before the Storm? This market feels like a blow-off top : Narrow breadth Retail mania AI euphoria Massive fiscal deficits All-time high valuations Next step? A potential deflationary bust , followed by a stimulus-fueled inflationary wave — especially in energy and commodities. ⚡ Power Grid Risk in an Electrified World AI and EVs demand **enormous energy inputs**. But: U.S. grid is **underdeveloped** Transmission infrastructure is outdated Blackouts are increasing China, meanwhile, has been quietly building resilient grid systems for over a decade taking advantage of Nuclear, while The U.S. risks falling behind. 🌀 The Fourth Turning: Crisis as Catalyst “History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” – Mark Twain According to Fourth Turning theory, we are nearing the climax of a ~100-year generational cycle — a period marked by institutional breakdown, global conflict, and radical transformation. Each cycle contains four “turnings,” and we are now deep into the fourth: the Crisis phase. The current Fourth Turning began in 2008 with the Global Financial Crisis. It is expected to resolve sometime between 2025 and the early 2030s — a period of upheaval that mirrors previous turning points such as: The Great Depression & World War II (1929–1946) The American Civil War (1861–1865) The Revolutionary War (1775–1794) As Neil Howe writes in The Fourth Turning Is Here (2023): “Each Fourth Turning is a time of radical disruption — a time when an old order is replaced by a new one, often through war, collapse, or revolution. ” Today, we face: Political polarization at generational extremes Sovereign debt levels previously only seen during world wars Eroding trust in media, financial institutions, and government Technological upheaval via AI and automation Geopolitical flashpoints from Ukraine to Taiwan The market, the dollar, and our political system are not outside this cycle — they are central to it. The question is no longer whether we are in a transformation, but: What kind of world will emerge on the other side? 🚧 The Fork in the Road: Two Futures We stand at a fork in the road — not just for markets, but for **America’s future**: 🟢 Path 1: The Breakout – Golden Age AI revolution supercharges GDP Commodities rise but wages lag Treasury/Fed normalize debt via inflation S&P and assets soar in **nominal terms**, even if real value lags 🔴 Path 2: The Reversion – Great Reset Credit cycle breaks Liquidity vanishes Markets mean revert 40–60% Global capital flees to safety 🧠 Final Thought: Don’t Chase the Top “At the top of a long-term channel, humility is a better strategy than hubris.” Now is not the time to blindly chase momentum. Whether we break out or break down, the risks are rising — and history offers few second chances after peaks like this. We stand not only at a technical inflection, but at a civilizational one. The Fourth Turning is reaching its apex, and markets are reflecting that tension — between collapse and rebirth, between order and entropy. 📌 Hedge. 📌 Diversify. 📌 Prepare. Because one way or another, America is crossing a threshold — and there’s no going back.
SP:SPX
by jonlorquet
2
Stock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire AnnouncementStock Markets Rebound Following Trump’s Ceasefire Announcement Last night, U.S. President Donald Trump made a social media post announcing a ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel. According to his own words, the ceasefire is set to last “forever.” This announcement triggered a sharp bullish impulse (indicated by the blue arrow) on the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), pushing the price to a new high above the 6074 level. Just yesterday, traders feared that the United States could be drawn into yet another costly war following bomber strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities. However, today the stock markets are recovering, signalling growing optimism and a waning of fears over a major escalation of the conflict. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart When analysing the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) seven days ago, we identified an ascending channel. The angle of the trend remains relevant, while the width of the channel has expanded due to the downward movement caused by tensions in the Middle East. Notably: → the price marked the lower boundary of the channel as well as the internal lines (shown by black dots) dividing the channel into quarters; → the latest bullish impulse suggests that the upward trend is resuming after breaking out of the correction phase (indicated by red lines). It is possible that in the near future, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) could reach the median line of the channel. There, the price may consolidate, reflecting a balance between buyers and sellers—particularly if the peace in the Middle East proves to be lasting. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD broke the low of the previous week just as I've said in my outlook. After that it went up again. This pair is still in a bigger correction down. So next week it could drop again into the direction of the bullish Weekly FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade short term shorts to the previous Weekly lows. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500: The Wedge, the Oil, and the Yen The S&P 500 SP:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY appears to have completed a rising ending diagonal — a classic reversal structure. The 6050 zone stands out as strong resistance — notably, no monthly candle has ever closed above this level. 🧭 Minimum correction targets: filling the weekly FVG a retest of the 20-week moving average retracement to the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone from the recent leg 📌 Fundamentals support the downside: Iran–Israel tensions are pushing oil prices higher → which fuels inflation expectations Rising CPI in Japan may accelerate the carry trade unwind and lead to a stronger yen OANDA:USDJPY Seasonality also leans bearish during the summer months ⚠️ Bottom line: momentum is fading. A cooling phase is likely next — time to focus on risk management.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by shakatrade1_618
SPX: geopolitics, Fed, inflationDuring the previous week the S&P 500 was moving in a mixed manner. The trading range was between levels 6.039 and 5.967 where the index is closing the week. Traders and investors had quite a lot of topics to cover in order to decide which side should be traded. The tensions in the Middle East were one of them, continuing for the second week in a row. The FOMC meeting was held, with the Fed holding interest rates steady, for another meeting. Still, the Fed continues to count with two rate cuts till the end of this year. The Fed expects that implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration might affect short term inflationary pressures, but it should be a one-off effect. Some positivity for markets came from the statement of the Fed Governor Waller, who noted that the Fed might make the first rate cut in July. On the opposite side was San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who noted that she would be more confident to cut rates, after she is certain that the trade tariffs would not make a significant impact on inflation. Uncertainty still holds on markets, especially after news posted by the Wall Street Journal, noting that the U.S. might cancel technology waivers, impacting some chipmakers. The tech companies involved in the semiconducting business dropped in value. Friday's trading session Nvidia ended by 1,12% lower, AMZN also closed the week with a drop of 1,33%. This week on the opposite side was Apple, with a gain of 2,25%. As long as uncertainty shapes investors sentiment, the market will lack optimism. The volatility on the US equity markets might continue, with possibly negative trends. The week ahead brings the PCE data as well as Fed Chair Powell`s testimony in front of the Congress, in which sense, the volatility will most certainly hold.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
Us500:What is going to happen?hello friends👋 This time we are here with the analysis of us500, an important and vital index in the market that is being talked about a lot these days. Well, let's go to the analysis, you will see that with the drop we had, a lower floor was made and the price was quickly supported and pumped by buyers. Now it is clear that an ascending pattern has been formed, which is a very strong support in the specified area and a good buying point that you can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management. Note that if the floor is broken and the stop loss is placed, our bullish pattern becomes invalid and we have to wait for lower floors. 🔥Follow us for more signals🔥 *Trade safely with us*
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TheHunters_Company
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