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US500 trade ideas

US500 StanceThe equal lows from the 4H price action had me thinking. If we look at it from a range perspective, there is still a wide gap left from the 4H change of character, ever since it took the last low of the lower lows, it never gave a single percent to the area's retracement. This might be a daily timeframe FOMO trap. whereby recovery of the market from sells to buys will be pumped to only drop again. In terms of entry. There is a zone with mind for us to consider seeing if it holds. because right now there is some dying triangle pattern towards it. should it delay, but keep showing some sell intent. we will wait for the session to sweep its high and sell it. should it fail, a further analysis will take through
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheDemoTrader_SA
SPX50 18 March 2025 Market Analysis Yesterday closed as a bull bar in its upper half with a long tail above. We said that the parabolic wedge (3 pushes - 28 Feb, 7 Mar, and 13 Mar). That increases the odds of a minor pullback. The pullback is currently underway. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs. Traders will see if they can continue to create follow-through buying. The next target for the bulls are the 20-day EMA or the January 13 low. For today, the bulls want a retest of yesterday's (Mar 17) high followed by another leg up. The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase. The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increases the odds of sellers above the first pullback. This remains true. That means the first pullback would likely only be minor. Because of the climactic selloff and parabolic wedge, the market may try to form a minor pullback which is currently underway. Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down increases and traders will sell the pullback. For now, traders will see if the bulls can create a strong retest of yesterday's (Mar 17) high followed by a breakout above. Or will the retest lacks follow-through buying, stalling around or below yesterday's high area? If this is the case, the market may selloff in the second half of the day.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
1
Trump Tariffs: Strategic Impact and Investment ImplicationsIn the short to medium term, equity markets will experience significant volatility due to new tariff implementations. However, in the long term, these tariffs could lead to a stronger domestic economy, benefiting the working class and middle class while revitalizing industrial production in the U.S. Macroeconomic Impact Depreciation of the U.S. Dollar A depreciating USD acts as a natural tariff, making imports more expensive while simultaneously boosting U.S. exports. Countries with weaker currencies relative to the dollar, such as Mauritius (where our currency has depreciated by nearly 40% against the USD), already experience higher costs when purchasing from U.S. retailers like Amazon. Inflation Trends and Precious Metals Despite widespread fears of inflation—reflected in gold prices reaching all-time highs—actual inflation remains relatively stable (~2%). Factors such as import/export balances, currency devaluation, and consumer demand will likely offset inflationary pressures. Once investors recognize this, precious metals may undergo a correction. Federal Reserve Policy and Interest Rates The Federal Reserve's traditional mechanism of recession control—interest rate adjustments—is currently ineffective. With reports of declining payroll numbers, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates to prevent a mass exodus of aging investors (boomers) from the stock market. However, this time, rate cuts may not drive asset inflation as they did during COVID-19. Investment Strategy: Navigating Market Changes Short-Term: Uncertainty leading to stability Bear Market Risks: Until tariff negotiations stabilize and currency depreciation takes effect, expect equity market volatility. Investment Approach: Buy high-quality corporate bonds in consumer staples with exposure to multiple currencies. Hold cash reserves across multiple currencies to mitigate risk. Prioritizing fixed-income securities (bonds, term deposits). Consider real estate in stable emerging markets, where high-net-worth investors may shift investment focus. Mid-Term: Seeds start to reap Sector Focus: multinational companies benefiting from U.S. exports, particularly in non-tariff-heavy industries. Stock Selection: Identify firms that continued capital investment during the downturn and are now positioned for growth. Long-Term (2028+) Monitoring Indicators: Track interest rate trends and their impact on asset accumulation by wealthy investors. Observe precious metal prices as an indicator of capital reallocation to assets. Investment Approach: Consider REITs and undervalued real estate investments. Double down on assets if economic policies shift under a Democratic administration.
FRED:SP500
by shamchittesh
SPX 500 17 March Market Analysis The weekly candlestick closed in its upper half with a long tail below. The market formed a parabolic wedge (3 pushes - 28 Feb, 7 Mar, and 13 Mar). That increases the odds of a minor pullback. The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback. They need to create credible buying pressure - consecutive bull bars closing near their highs. Until they can do that, traders may not want to buy aggressively. The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low. The 9-bar bear microchannel on the daily chart and the 4-bar bear microchannel on the weekly chart increases the odds of sellers above the first pullback. For now, because of the climactic selloff and parabolic wedge, the market may try to form a minor pullback. Traders will see the strength of the buying pressure. If it is strong, they may look for a retest of the breakout point - Jan 13 low. If the pullback lacks follow-through buying, the odds of another leg down increases and traders will sell the pullback.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
S&P500 4HR // 17 March 2025 AnalysisWe can see the S&P500 going into a downtrend. Waiting to see what the price does when it reached the trendline and the marked support/resistance zone around the 5750.00 area. Potential sells if we can get a good rejection off the area as well as the trendline. A good target would be the 5500.00 area. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
FX:SPX500Short
by thebrowntrader
Short setup on SPX (x2)After the most recent upward move, the SPX shows clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup. Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving upward and it's now near its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend. This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration. Three additional signs support this setup: The RSI Exhaustion shows recent bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely. The price has formed a top just shy of its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator. A major level has formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level turned into support, it originated as resistance and could well revert back to it should be price start to drop further. Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
TVC:SPXShort
by a.b
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: "SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 👉Fundamental Analysis Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average. Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes. 👉Macro Economics GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target. Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year. 👉COT Data Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment. Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market. 👉Market Sentimental Analysis Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend. Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold. 👉Positioning Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend. Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal. 👉Next Trend Move Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions. Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600. 👉Overall Summary Outlook Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth. Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments. 👉Real-Time Market Feed SPX500 Price: 5990.0 24-Hour Change: -1.2% 24-Hour High: 6050.0 24-Hour Low: 5950.0 Trading Volume: 2.2 billion 👉Prediction Next Target T1: 5875 (short-term target) T2: 5750 (medium-term target) T3: 5650 (long-term target) 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by Thief_Trader
Trump and the Market's Turmoil📉 Hey hey, here we are. It's been an eventful last week or two to say in the least for everyone. We've seen one of the worlds most followed stock-market benchmarks slide into correction territory following some of Trumps remarks and actions in the last week or two already under his administration prompting fears and a growing pessimism from Investors with Washington's whipsaw of policy changes an announcements, particularly in reference to the latest tariff's trump has been threatening other countries with and imposed. 📉 Currently CNN has the Fear and Greed Index for the market at 21 signifying Extreme Fear driving the market which for the most part is thanks to trump following all the anxiety surrounding Trump's tariff threats and actions. On top of this in Trumps' latest Fox interview on Sunday when asked if he was expecting a recession this year Trump responded in full; "I hate to predict things like that". Understandably so, this prompted a rather steep sell off and turn around for the SP:SPX leading investors to exit and jump ship rather quick. 📉 Understandably so, the markets are in turmoil right now, Investors are trying to figure out what our next move might be, as to whether or not we'll possibly slide more now that we're in correction territory or whether or not we've reverse and manage to regain and recoup some of the ground we've lost following the slew of announcements, tariffs, and threat's trump's made the last few weeks. 📉 We're basically stuck within this descending channel so for technical analysis we'll have to lookout for a clean breakout before we can anticipate or look to any upside or positive moves back up, and even so we already know that'll be much easier said than done, especially with Trump still threatening tariffs and Investors worrying about the impact all these actions will play in the near future and further out. 📉 Today's already going positively with us seeing a 600 point bounce already but we already know it'll take much more than just one green day before we can hold that outlook, especially after what the last week or two have done to us. 📉 I'll leave the idea here for now, we'll be back to keep things updated and posted but definitely keep an eye out for a breakout and we'll be looking to our 200 EMA to watch for a convergence which would be a great help if we could regain that and hopefully get out of this Extreme Fear sentiment. 📉 Till then, wishing all the best, thank you sm for all the support and till next, have a great day! ~ Rock '
SP:SPX
by Rocksorgate
1
spx 500 sell Concept: Looking for a sell setup when price reaches a 4-hour demand zone. Price should first take out the previous day's high (PDH) (liquidity grab). After the reaction at the previous day's low (PDL), an inducement should form. The setup is confirmed when the market structure shifts (MSS) after the liquidity grab. Execution Plan: Identify the 4H Demand Zone Look for a strong bullish order block or fair value gap (FVG) in the 4-hour timeframe. Wait for Liquidity Grab at PDH Price should sweep the previous day’s high to trap breakout buyers. Monitor Reaction at PDL If price reacts from the previous day’s low and forms an inducement, it confirms liquidity engineering. Look for Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Entry Confirmation Enter a sell trade when price breaks a lower timeframe structure (M5 or M15) with a strong bearish candle. Use a fair value gap (FVG) or an order block as an entry trigger. Set Stop Loss & Take Profit Stop Loss: Above the liquidity grab (PDH or 4H OB). Take Profit: 1st target at the previous day's low (PDL), extended target at a discount level (Fibonacci 0.62). Indicators & Tools:
FX:SPX500Short
by lasinsraj
S&P INTRADAY bearish & oversold capped by resistance at 5714The US Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 3.2% year-on-year in February, down from 3.7% in January and slightly below the expected 3.3%. The core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose by 3.4% annually, also lower than the 3.8% recorded in January. On a monthly basis, the PPI remained unchanged, while the core PPI saw a slight 0.1% decline. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5714 Resistance Level 2: 5770 Resistance Level 3: 5805 Support Level 1: 5523 Support Level 2: 5480 Support Level 3: 5300 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation