US500 Amatter of life and death ?Finally im watching US500 Below the 200 MA god knows what's gonna happen
US500 trade ideas
Still Bearish, Still Grinding – Patience Remains the KeyStill Bearish, Still Grinding – Patience Remains the Key | SPX Market Analysis 10 Mar 2025
Another week, another grinding bearish move—but are we truly breaking down, or is this just another market head-fake?
Friday gave us a tease of a breakdown, only to bounce right back into the range by the close. The overnight futures are dipping slightly, but we’re not yet below last week’s lows, meaning the bears haven’t fully taken control—yet.
The scenarios remain unchanged, the bias is still bearish, and patience remains the best strategy. We’re watching for confirmation—because in this kind of slow-motion market, forcing a trade only leads to frustration.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
The market is playing the ultimate waiting game, and traders are getting impatient. It’s been grinding lower, teasing a real breakdown, only to snap back into the range by the week’s end. It’s like watching a boxer throw a knockout punch—only for the opponent to wobble, but never hit the canvas.
The bearish move is still intact, but it’s moving in slow motion. It’s not a dramatic crash, but a controlled decline, inching lower each day.
📌 Friday’s Tease – The Breakdown That Wasn’t
The market attempted a decisive break lower but failed to hold.
By the close, price had bounced back into the range, leaving traders confused.
This type of fake breakdown is what traps emotional traders, forcing them to chase moves that never materialize.
📌 Overnight Futures – More of the Same?
Futures dipped slightly, but last week’s lows remain unbroken.
A real downside continuation requires price to actually commit below key levels.
For now, it’s just more of the same slow-motion grind.
📌 The Bearish Bias is Still in Play – But It Needs Confirmation
The larger descending channel is still guiding price lower.
The bias remains bearish, but conviction is lacking.
If the market doesn’t break soon, we could see another bounce-back-to-nowhere scenario.
📌 The Plan – Stay Hedged, Stay Patient
No need to force a position—the market hasn’t fully committed.
Let the range confirm a direction before taking on new risk.
Stay ready—because once the move happens, it could be fast.
Right now, the market is whispering, not shouting. The traders who listen to what price is actually doing, rather than what they want it to do, will be the ones who capitalize when the next real move arrives. 🚀📉
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Fun Fact
📢 Did you know? In 1986, a trader at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange accidentally placed a $7 billion order instead of $7 million, causing a massive market spike before it was caught and reversed.
💡 The Lesson? Even the smallest trading mistake can have enormous consequences—which is why having a structured system like the SPX Income System can help avoid costly errors and keep your trades under control.
SPX Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 5,770.40.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,863.87 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,757.1.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,713.4 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SPX: the “kangaroo” marketSince the establishment of financial markets there has been a market separation on bullish and bearish markets. Traders just invented the third option called the kangaroo market, in an attempt to describe recent developments of price movements. It refers to rare development of the price movements when the price of an asset goes strongly in one direction and then returns back to a starting position, all within one single trading day. It also reflects the level of uncertainty that is currently evident. The S&P 500 continues to be in a correction mood. The index was struggling to sustain the 6K level, however, the price moves from the previous week are showing that the market is slowly losing nerves. The worst week since September is behind, as analysts noted. On Monday, the index tried for one more time to reach the 6K resistance, and then finally reverted to the downside. The lowest weekly level was at 5.670, which was the last time traded in July 2024, while a total weekly loss accounts for 3,1%.
Jobs report posted on Friday, brought figures which were lower from market expectation, with a 151K in NFPs. The unemployment rate was also higher by 1pp, ending the month at 4,1%. This is not a good sign for the economy, adding to its high uncertainty over US Administration trade tariffs. Currently, trade tariffs are playing a crucial role when it comes to market sentiment. In this sense, the negative sentiment might continue, but unfortunately, also the kangaroo moves. The market is trying to find new grounds, which might take some time.
Bearish Outlook for US500: Watching 5,200 SupportAfter testing support at the end of February, the US500 fell below this key level at the start of March, signaling the potential for a deeper correction.
In my view, this scenario is likely, and any rebound this week could present a good selling opportunity for speculators.
My target for this correction is the 5,200 support zone. A stabilization above 6,000 would invalidate this outlook.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
#SPX - 10 MarSPX made a pin bar on Friday. Path of least resistance is to the upside. 5690 if traded today, is a low risk level to go long to target 5810 and 5860.
SPX 500 - Let's wait until revise pattern is there. Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
S&P 500 BUY Buying area with support and the beginning of the foS&P Analysis Technically, looking at the analysis, we see that it is poised for a potential move, but the immediate outlook is vague due to the downtrend not being broken yet, traders are advised to focus on key support and resistance levels to navigate the market effectively. The short-term support of the S&P is located at 5,667 and 5,653 around the area, which is considered a critical area for further price gains. A drop below this level may indicate potential downside risks, although a quick recovery is possible given the overall uptrend.
On the positive side, the resistance area between 5,965 and 6,100 is important, and traders may consider taking short positions if the price moves into this range. However, the general short-term trading strategy remains focused on buying on dips and selling on rallies, with a particular focus on the support at 5,661 and resistance at 6,100 -.
Trading Recommendations
Entry Price ⚜️
BUY. 5,763 ♻️
TP. 1. 5,829🔰
TP. 2. 5,898🔰
TP. 3. 5,961🔰
TP. 4. 6,028🔰
TP. 5. 6,100🔰
Stop Loss;
SL. 5,560📛⛔️
US500: Bearish Pattern Signals A Bigger DeclineUS500: Bearish Pattern Signals A Bigger Decline
The US500 index has broken down from another bearish pattern, signaling the beginning of a bearish movement. The price could continue to move down to the 5718 and 5780 areas, where it may find strong support.
The bearish movement is also attributed to the turmoil created by Trump's tariffs on major trading partners, including China, Canada, and Mexico. These actions may create problems for US companies. The index is showing these problems by moving down today and opening the door to further decline.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
S&P 500 Index Analysis (1H Timeframe)Current Price: 5,770.19 USD (+31.66 / +0.55%)
Buy Zone: Above 5,767.11 with a target around 5,863.34.
Stop Loss: Below 5,725.01 to minimize potential loss.
Trend: The price is showing signs of recovery after a downtrend, and a potential upward move is expected if the price stays above support.
Advice: Enter a buy position if the price remains stable above 5,767.11 and target 5,863.34. Close the position if the price falls below 5,725.01.
Expecting a "lost decade" for stock markets.Expecting a "lost decade" for stock markets.
Price is stretched above the historical moving average
Inclining 300 Month Moving average
S&P500 Bearish ScenarioS&P500 seems to be following bearish harmonic crab pattern. This might signal a global recession if it fails to break the current high by retesting it.
Validation of a long term top in the SPX continues to playballLast week I posted an update on my SPX cash index analysis...found below.
At the end of last week, we see where the price action has been filling in nicely as of Friday. Some key take-a-ways. First, is the price action has breached the area that I am counting as the wave 4 of one lesser degree. This would be an initial clue that the bull market pattern that started back in August of last year is cracking. This would be the area that I am counting as the intermediate wave (4). I am forecasting this recent price action down is the Minor A wave of the beginning of a stair stepped decline that has a high probability of coming back into that area of the August 2024 lows after we retrace higher in a minor B wave, labeled in Red.
What's important about price coming back into this area of approximately 5121-4950 is this the area that price could hold and manage a higher high, essentially meaning that my count is off by one degree...and what I am counting as a wave (III) super-cycle top will get pushed out to end of 2025-2026. However, to breach this area even incrementally, would provide much the same clues we're getting now, about price breaching the minor wave 4 of one lesser degree.
Below this must hold area, is where my forecast of a super-cycle wave (III) gets confirmation...until then we look for clues of validation...but confirmation does not come until price cane breach this area. To breach this area would reflect in price action that resembles the below.
US500 Signaling Optimism!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈Long-term, US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising wedge pattern marked in blue.
This month, US500 has been in a correction phase, retesting the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and previous ATH.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #US500 is hovering around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.3-7.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 8th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13—still in Phase 1. The bear is completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels were outlined in the previous post. Based on cycle timing and structure, signs of Phase 1 completion are emerging.
👉 Retrograde Venus pushed indices lower after Friday’s attempt to bounce. On March 3, the extreme forecast provided an excellent intraday shorting opportunity right after the regular trading session opened—the market never looked back.
⚠️ Short positions remain from January 24 or the triple top on February 20. The next extreme forecast is March 17—a classic setup coinciding with the start of retrograde Mercury.
At the beginning of the week of March 10, there’s a chance of retrograde Venus retracement lagging upwards (mentioned in the last report). This could mark the closure of Phase 1 of the base cycle.
Market Snapshotwww.saferbankingresearch.com
In light of Jerome Powell speaking Friday thought this was a great article
The below quote is from the FED as referenced in the article and Avi Gilburt rightfully asks why they would make stress tests LESS STRINGENT....hmmnnn
"The current severely adverse scenario features a slightly smaller increase in the unemployment rate in the United States compared to the 2024 severely adverse scenario. The current severely adverse scenario also features slightly smaller declines in house prices, which reflects the Scenario Design Framework’s response to the slightly lower ratio of nominal house prices to per capita disposable income at the end of 2024.
The current severely adverse scenario reflects a decline in commercial real estate prices that is 10 percentage points smaller compared to the previous year’s severely adverse scenario, recognizing that those prices have already declined by a little more than 10% relative to their most recent peaks and limiting the procyclicality in the stress tests.
The potential for spillover effects in asset markets and sharp changes in investor sentiment are captured by a decline in equity prices and an increase in corporate bond spreads, although these changes are less severe relative to last year’s scenario, reflecting less severe stress in commercial real estate markets.
The international component of the current severely adverse scenario shows a recessionary episode that, relative to last year’s severely adverse scenario, is the same for the euro area and less severe in all other countries or country blocs."
SPX Is About to Explode – Here’s What I’m WatchingSPX is at a critical level, and whichever way it breaks, the move could be huge. Here’s my take:
If we drop below 5663, I see a move down to 5534 – 5445. If that zone fails, we could head toward 5332, and if selling pressure keeps up, 5234 might be next.
But if we break above 5800, the bulls could take over, pushing to 5972, and maybe even 6149.
It’s all about reaction levels now. I’m watching these zones closely—what’s your take? Are we heading up or breaking down?
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
SPX: dead cat bounce last Friday?I examine the latest action which doesn't give me hope that it found a bottom just yet.
SPX/DJT technical analysisChart comparing SPX and DJT.
SPX drawn with expanded flat, (b) is 200% of (a) and completes with ending diagonal wedge.
DJT drawn with regular flat, (b) ~90% of (a), wave (c) began in November of 2024 and currently in wave iii of (c).
Bears looking for SPX pitchfork support to break and become resistance, both SPX and DJT looking to eventually break October 2022 low and approach March 2020 lows to complete their corrective structures.
SPX - short-term analysishi traders,
Let's have a look at SPX.
There are bullish divergences in the 4-hour time frame.
We should get a small bounce, but as the higher time frames are still bearish, I expect this bounce to be short-lifted.
Anyway, it's an opportunity for the Bulls to play the long position.
The target is show on the chart.
