s&p500“The S&P 500 is too expensive for me to buy right now, so I have decided to sell. I am looking for long-term buying opportunities in the blue box area.”Shortby shadowfund20240
SPX: supported by consumer spendingThe Fed's favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index, was standing behind the increased investors optimism during the previous week. The Index reached the level of 2.5% in July, which was lower from market expectation of 2.6%. The US equities reacted positively, in expectation of the first Fed's rate cut. The S&P 500 gained more than 1%, ending the week at the level of 5.648. The index ended August with a gain of 2.3%. Additional support to the surging index came from good results which companies posted for the Q2. There are still only seven companies included in the S&P 500 which are pending results posts. The major companies in the tech industry continue to drive the index to the higher grounds. Market favorite stock, Nvidia, posted increased earnings by 13% for the second quarter. Almost all industries included in the index posted high results for Q2, except materials and real estate industries, which ended the quarter in a correction. The optimism on financial markets is expected to continue, taking into account posted consumer spending data. With the increase in consumer spending, investors are now expecting that the Q3 data will also be positive, and are adjusting accordingly. Also, analysts are currently making corrections of GDP projections for this year. Atlanta's Federal Reserve GDP now also made a correction of GDP growth expectations to 2.5% from 2.0% expected previously. by XBTFX11
SPX VS T10Y2Y crash incomingBlue lines show when T10Y2Y crosses upward of zero line and usually a crash follows, but may pump a little then dump or start dumping a little before then continue downShortby mosavage95886
SPX500 SHORTOn the daily timeframe, the price is bearish so I am looking for short opportunities. Based on my chart, the price is making a liquidity area that is ready to be swept and a higher chance to get back to the supply zone then continue the bearish trend. I am going to put an aggressive entry because of these confluences. Trade at your own risk! Shortby TraderSammy19980
More upside for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made a bigger correction down and went up again. For next week we could see more upside for this pair to finish the last impulsive leg (wave 5). Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! EduwaveLongby EduwaveTrading1
SPX500USD Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,664.8. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 5,801.1 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Longby SignalProvider111
Video series on the Introduction to Market Structure (Part 3)In this video series, we provide an overview of the formation of highs and lows, and how trends develop in the market. We also introduce and analyze support and resistance zones within charts. Additionally, we introduce a factor that can reinforce the likelihood of forming uptrends and downtrends on the charts.Education03:52by SpaceIchimoku4
10 year bear s and p 500 by 2031-32We will see a 10 year bear market by 2031 at the earliest00:23by joevarghese21223
Sp500S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Update: Closing Price: 5648.39 (as of last week’s close) Outlook: The SPX appears poised for a potential rally, with immediate resistance levels identified at 5700.00, 5800.00, and 6000.00. Based on current technical indicators and market conditions, a continuation of the bullish trend to the 5800.00 level within the next month seems plausible. Technical Indicators Supporting a Bullish Move: Moving Averages: The SPX is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a strong bullish trend. The positive crossover between these moving averages often signals sustained upward momentum. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently positioned in the bullish zone (above 50) and has not yet reached overbought conditions. This suggests that there is room for further upside before any potential reversal. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, and the histogram is in positive territory. This indicates that the momentum is favorable and supports the possibility of further gains. Volume: Recent upward movements have been accompanied by increasing trading volume, which validates the strength of the rally and suggests that buying interest remains robust. Summary: Given the strong technical indicators and the current market environment, the SPX is well-positioned to advance towards the 5800.00 level over the next month. Current buying opportunities appear favorable for potentially significant gains.by Al-Reshad1
Weekly Outlook Sep 2-6 $SPYAMEX:SPY breadth is weakening on the 200, 50, and 20 D (see chart) When the market is running low on breadth, there will be some rotation or correction. Selling expensive stocks for cheaper ones (most likely cyclical's) will cause some selling pressure on the bigger names like NVDA, AAPL etc. Expect sidways choppiness for the majority of the market. Ichimoku still indicating bullish continuation. Q4 will be good. Target at 6000 remains.by SolenyaResearch0
SPX500 TREND LINES AND PIVOT POINT VIEWThe SPX500 if manage to close above the last high of 5670 on Daily TF then expect the price to hit the TL.R at 5764 from where the prices can fall back a bit and then move for the next target to TL.B2 at 5810 and if it closes above that point then you can expect the price to move to take over the PIVOT R3 at 61110, but if it is rejected then expect the price to fall towards PIVOT R2. Trend Line green and TL.R form a widening channel. If the price fall back the TL.B1 and Closes Below Pivot R2, then Expect the price bounce from the Trend line green. The main scenario of the price action shows that if the price is not rejected from the previous high of 5670, then price will surely lead to take over the TL.R and TL.B2. On Contrary if price rejected sharply from the TL.B2 and closes below PIVOT R2, then price may continue to fall towards PIVOT R1. Please leave your comments and your suggestions. Longby taranquilo1
SPX target 6280-6430 area in Jan 2025In my view last bearish move was wave #4 of 1-2-3-4-5 Elliot waves, now I expect last wave targeting area 6280-6430 in the beginning of 2025 then a massive crash will lead SPX to 3375-3400 areaby mpdUpdated 117
SPX analysis at Time One daily timeThis index continues its upward trend and the ceiling of 48,000 will be broken The price has made its protected floor by hitting its local support and is doing fractal behavior to break the price ceiling. I watch the market Not financial advice Longby fiftytwohertzwhaleUpdated 7
US500 bullish analysisWatching for this possibility to develop next week: a push towards ATHs followed by one more move down towards 5528.6 to complete an expanding triangle wave 4. This development would be helpful in terms of validating market structure, as well as a nice trade targeting 5800-6200.by discobiscuit0
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable fluctuations, initially reaching the Mean Support level of 5570 and subsequently demonstrating resilience by rebounding toward the specified targets outlined in the preceding weekly analysis, encompassing the completed Inner Index Rally at 5666 and Key Resistance level at 5667. Beyond those targets, the focus is on attaining the extended rebound targets, specifically the next Inner Index Rally at 5745 and the long-awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840. It is essential to recognize that achieving these targets will likely prompt a selling price action.by TradeSelecter4
S&P 500 (SPX) Chart and Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) * Weekend Crypto Session Trend |Time Frame Conductive | Daily Time Frame - General Trend - Measurement on Session - Signpost * Support & Resistance * Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead # Position & Risk Reward | 15 Minutes Time Frame - Measurement on Session * Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618 * Extension | 0.88 & 1 Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | BuyLongby jasper162310
SPX dollar adjustedSPX is entering into a distribution phase before a leg down. Moves between a 25% range could happen in the distribution phase and could last a long time. The move down afterwards could be very high. by edgargargar225
SPX500 4hr Buy Stop💹 Indices: 📈 4hr Long Buy Stop 🎯 BUY STOP - 5630.8 💵 TAKE PROFIT - 5735.1 🔴 STOP LOSS - 5596.0 ⚠️ Reminder: If price trades below the 10ema remember to cancel/close your buy stop position.Longby angelvalentinx1
Why ORB + VWAP is Your New Best Friend in Trading -No, SeriouslySP:SPX Hey there, traders! Deno Trading here;👋 Stop feeling like the market is just a one big, mysterious puzzle, and felt you're missing the piece that makes everything click? Well, strap in, because today we're diving into the magic of the Open Range Breakout (ORB) strategy, sprinkled with a little VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) magic dust. Spoiler alert: This combo is like peanut butter and jelly for traders—simple, effective, and deliciously profitable. The Chart (aka "The Battlefield") Take a look at the chart above—our trusty S&P 500 on a 15-minute time frame. Notice those blue zones? That’s your ORB, the first 15-30 minutes of market action where all the cool kids (a.k.a. the big institutions) are making their moves. The VWAP line? That’s the referee, keeping everyone honest. Now, let’s break down why ORB works most of the time (we're not wizards, after all, just really good strategists). ORB: The Reliable Wingman Imagine ORB as your super-reliable wingman. It’s there at the start of the trading day, setting the boundaries. If the price breaks out of this range, it’s like getting the go-ahead from your wingman to approach—“Yeah, this one's a keeper.” In our chart, you can see how every time the price breaks above or below the ORB, it either rockets off to the moon 🌕 or dives deep into the abyss. And just like in life, we always want to go with the flow—if the price breaks out, we’re in for the ride. VWAP: The Truth Serum Now, let’s talk VWAP. Think of VWAP as the lie detector of the trading world. When the price is above VWAP, it’s like the market is saying, “I’m feeling good, let’s keep pushing higher.” Below VWAP? Well, it’s like the market’s had a rough night out, and it’s probably heading home early. In this chart, you’ll notice how the price interacts with VWAP after breaking out of the ORB. When the price stays above VWAP after a breakout, it’s a sign that the bulls are in control—cue the confetti! 🎉 But when it dips below, the bears start growling, and you might want to reconsider your long positions. Jokes Aside But Hey: ORB Always Works (Except When It Doesn’t) Let’s be real for a second—ORB mostly works. Kind of like how your Wi-Fi mostly works until you really need it. But when ORB does work, it’s like hitting the jackpot. You’re basically riding the wave that everyone else is trying to catch. And if it doesn’t work? Well, blame it on the market gremlins and move on. Why and Why again: ORB + VWAP = Trading BFFs Let me wrap up that if you’re not using ORB with VWAP, you’re missing out on a killer combo. These two are like Batman and Robin, or coffee and donuts—they just make sense together. So, the next time you’re staring at your charts, remember: Trust in the ORB, let VWAP be your guide, and don’t forget to laugh at the market’s little quirks and use the news as your catalysts. Because at the end of the day, trading should be fun, profitable, and maybe just a little bit magical. Now go forth and conquer those charts, my fellow traders! 🚀 Deno Trading in and out!20:00by Deno_Trading1
Key stores of value over economic history: SP500 vs GoldWhen the pandemic shocked markets in 2020, the Fed quickly printed trillions of dollars (while purchasing bonds to support corporations and the government). As the U.S central bank’s balance sheet surged, so did the broad money supply in close parallel with stock markets and gold prices. Unlike the Fed’s intervention during the Great Financial Crisis — plus a similarly unprecedented fiscal expansion — consumer prices spiked at the fastest pace since the 1970’s. Since 2019 (and even as far back as 1971 when the U.S. broke the dollar’s tie to gold), both gold and especially the S&P 500 have been reliable “stores of value.” Since around 1970, both gold and the S&P 500 (which looks even more impressive accounting for dividends) are up nearly 7,000% versus a dollar designed to lose value every year. Granted there have also been several harrowing drawdowns for both the S&P 500 and gold. Meanwhile, consumer prices are up *only* 700% since the dollar lost its golden luster. If history is any guide… It leaves us with a simple framework for wealth preservation: If you work hard to earn $10,000, don’t let it decay under your metaphorical mattress for multiple decades thereafter. Gold and the S&P 500 have historically been reliable assets to preserve wealth. However, timing is greatly important as well.by MikeCoMacro0
Opening (IRA): SPX Oct 18th -5590P/Nov 15th 5590P Calendar... for a 30.15 debit. Comments: Opening a calendar here at or near ATH's and in (fairly) low IV. Selling the front month 40 delta put and buying the back month same strike put. I'm indicating that the setup is bearish, but it's starting as basically neutral from a delta standpoint with the metrics being .08 long delta/13.22 theta, but will benefit from movement into the put strikes, as well as any accompanying IV expansion that occurs. Peak profitability of this setup generally occurs when the stock price falls to the strikes near the expiration of the short option, but calculating the max profit is impossible due to the expiration of the short put leg before the long put leg coupled with any rolls of the short put that might be undertaken to reduce cost basis of the setup. Conversely, max loss starts out as what you paid to get filled for the setup, but you'll generally have a few rolling opportunities of the short put to reduce cost basis further in the event that it doesn't hit your take profit before the short put reaches expiration. Here, I'll look to money/take/run at 10% of what I put it on for and look to roll out the front month on approaching worthless to the following week to reduce cost basis in the setup.Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 1
SPX500 Bullish Bias!SPX500 went down and Made a retest of a horizontal Support level of 5595.23 And as it is a strong level we Will be expecting a local Bullish rebound!Longby kacim_elloittUpdated 7
SPX forming a top?US500 - 24h expiry Levels above 5630 continue to attract sellers. The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5544 from 5650 to 5585. Bespoke support is located at 5540. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. Economic figures could adversley affect the short term technical picture. We look to Sell at 5630 (stop at 5665) Our profit targets will be 5540 and 5470 Resistance: 5630 / 5650 / 5680 Support: 5545 / 5540 / 5470 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.Shortby OANDA118