market predictionmaybe it will come down to the 1H FVG but i dont think so but im sure its going to take out the OB lol. I hope, or maybe this OB is strong and disregards all of the confluence and the trend, and dont forget the high impact news maybe thatll change the whole market trendby N8CY110
SPX 500 Returns to All-Time HighsDuring the last session, the SPX 500 index gained more than 1.2% following the release of PPI data in the United States. The core PPI (m/m) remained in line with expectations at 0.3% , providing a slight relief to the market, which had been on the edge after annual CPI inflation came in at 3.0%, exceeding the 2.9% forecast. This mixed inflation data has given the U.S. index an opportunity to recover, as it remains uncertain whether the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive interest rate policy. Persistently high rates have been impacting domestic consumption in the U.S. for several months, and if the central bank maintains rates at 4.5% in upcoming decisions, it could eventually become a bearish factor for the SPX 500. Momentum Builds In recent weeks, the SPX 500 had been trading within a sideways range, with a ceiling at 6,080 points and a floor at 5,840 points. However, the growing buying momentum has now pushed the index back toward all-time highs. If bullish pressure remains strong through the end of the week, a breakout from this range could pave the way for a more significant upward movement. MACD Indicator Both the signal line and the MACD line remain above the neutral level at 0 , adopting a steady upward slope. The histogram has begun to oscillate slightly above the zero level. If these conditions persist over the next sessions, bullish momentum could continue in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: 6,082 points – The most critical resistance level at the moment, corresponding to the previous all-time high. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce the current bullish bias, opening the door to a stronger uptrend. 5,960 points – Nearby support, aligning with the mid-range of the consolidation phase and coinciding with the Ichimoku cloud and the 50- and 100-period moving averages. If price action falls back below this level, it could strengthen selling pressure and delay the possibility of new highs in the short term. 5,840 points – Distant support level, where a pullback to this zone could put the long-term uptrend at risk. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst by FOREXcom2
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13SP:SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 13 OK - so the 30min 200MA AND 35EMA are right in the middle of the trading range. Literally just right in the middle so it’s gonna be a battle today. Top of the implied move is 6095 and the downtrend line is there off of all time highs. Friday’s top of the implied move is 609 Underneath - 50 Day Moving average at the bottom of the implied move at 6005, 1hr 200MA and stupid Willy is looking kind of sickly, lol. You can just look at this chart and see the sideways dueling momentum here by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading447
S&P 500 Consolidation – Breakout or More Range Trading?S&P 500 (SPX) Technical Analysis The price is currently consolidating between 6,031 and 6,098, awaiting a breakout direction. Bullish Scenario: Price is expected to retest 6,031 before attempting a move higher. Stabilizing above 6,031 will allow liquidity accumulation, potentially driving a rally toward 6,080 and 6,098. A breakout above 6,098 could extend gains to 6,122 and 6,150. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 6,010, this could confirm a shift to a bearish trend. Further downside targets include 5,979 and 5,920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6070 Resistance Levels: 6098, 6122, 6150 Support Levels: 6031, 6010, 5973 Trend Outlook: Bullish above 6,031, targeting 6,098 📈 Bearish below 6,010, targeting 5,979 📉 💬 Will S&P 500 hold above 6,031 or break lower? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥Shortby SroshMayi7
SPX (DROP WITHIN BEARISH FLAG)Hello Traders The price is currently moving within a bearish flag formation, suggesting that a downward continuation is likely. Before this decline, it is expected to approach the upper boundary of the flag, testing the resistance level. If the price fails to break above this level, a sharp drop is anticipated, initially targeting 6,002, followed by a move towards 5,947. For an upward scenario to materialize, the price must surpass the upper boundary of the channel and maintain stability above 6,102. A confirmed breakout would require a four-hour candle closure above this level, signaling the potential for further bullish momentum and the establishment of a new high. Dear Traders, if you find this analysis helpful or have your own insights, drop a comment below! I’d love to hear your thoughts .Shortby ArinaKarayi7
SPX Trades today Pre market plan worker well today Scenario #1: gap down to 6000 we see a bounce to 6034 and then dump back to 6000 again. 6000 fails and we move to 5980 Scenario #2: Gap down to 6000 we see a bounce to 6034 but can’t hold so we move back to 6020 and hold. We slowly creep up back to 6034 and end up closing near 6050. Dump due to CPI coming in hot, if markets can hold 6000 then it shows we are super resilient to any news.04:30by Beyond_Charts1
US 500 Index – Buyers and Sellers Continue to Battle it OutSince the high of 6101 on December 6th, the US 500 index has entered a period of choppy sideways price activity, reflecting a 2 month timeline when buyers and sellers have been in balance. This range has faked out those traders looking for a fresh series of all time highs or for moves back down to lower levels which were last seen in the middle of 2024. This sideways activity highlights where buyers of the index, found towards the lower extremes of the range around 5760/5800, while being able to halt further price weakness and push prices higher again, are unable to overcome the strength of selling pressure encountered towards the upper extremes of the range, currently located between 6100/6120. It’s here that fresh sellers materialise again and have been able to turn price action lower. It’s not like the US 500 hasn’t had some volatility drivers during this period. The Federal Reserve (Fed) have paused interest rate cuts, President Trump has initiated a series of trade tariffs on global trading partners, DeepSeek disrupted the AI party, earnings season, the list continues. However, so far nothing has managed to shape sentiment enough to see a clear trend develop. Today’s focus is likely to be on US CPI data, which is released at 1330 GMT. Traders came into the year with a sensitivity to US inflation and that hasn’t gone away, especially given last week’s fall in consumer sentiment which was driven largely by concerns around price rises over the next year. An above market expectation print in the CPI reading may be seen as a negative for the US 500 index, as it could take Fed rate cuts later in the year off the table, while an in line or lower print, could help to maintain the current status quo for price moves. Defining the Range: For the US 500 index, upper extremes of the range can potentially be defined by drawing a trendline connecting the December 6th 2024 high at 6101, with the January 24th 2025 all-time high at 6118, and extending it forward. This outlines a possible higher resistance level which currently stands at 6129. A parallel line can then be drawn using the December 20th low at 5973, which suggests 5803 may be the potential lower extreme of the current sideways range. Looking forward, while much will of course depend on future market trends and sentiment, traders may find it useful to watch how these 2 levels are defended over an important US economic data release such as today's US CPI, given that a closing break of either level is required to potentially suggest the next directional move. Upside Potential: Closes above 6129, while no guarantee it will result in a sustained phase of price strength, could be a catalyst to extend what may still be classed as a long term uptrend pattern in price. Downside Potential: A negative reaction to the US CPI data and subsequent close under the lower limits of the range at 5803, might reflect a more extended period of price weakness and possible deeper retracement of the positive uptrend pattern which has been evident since October 2022. If that were to be the case, support initially may be found at 5726, 5605 or even 5484, all of which can be seen on the chart above. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted. by Pepperstone6
S&P 500 SELL ANALYSIS SMART MONEY CONCEPT Here on S&P 500 price has form a supply around level of 6081.93 which is likely to continue going down so trader should go for short with expect profit target of 5956.53 . Use money managementShortby FrankFx142
Analysis and updateLast week SPX500USD followed the prediction in my outlook. It finished the corrective move down into the lower 4H FVG and after that it went (corrective) up again. So now on Monday is the decision. If Monday closes below current price action this pair could go down lower for the break of the low from the (orange) Y-wave. But if Monday closes above current price action, we could see this pair go up again for a new ATH. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for the bigger correction down to finish and a change in orderflow to bullish again. After that you could trade longs. Shortby Disco-Dave4
Capital Rotation Caps Stock MarketsCorrections are normal for stock markets, most of the time. However, they are not fine and generally more nefarious when they happen along side gold breaking out versus spx. That is when the Capital Rotation Event comes into play.by Badcharts7
Bearish Bias Locked int - Now We wait for the dropBearish Bias Locked In – Now We Wait for the Drop | SPX Market Analysis 11 Feb 2025 The bullish chapter is closed, and our focus is now entirely bearish as we eye a move toward 5980. Futures are already pointing lower, teasing a 20-point drop at the open. Will we get the full range move, or will SPX keep stalling? Either way, we’re locked and loaded—now, we wait for the market to tip its hand. --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📉 Bearish Positions Locked In SPX is now fully bearish, with bullish trades wrapped up profitably or at break-even following the bear turn signal. This continues to aligns perfectly with our 6 money-making patterns, where we expect a move from range highs to range lows. 📊 Futures Hint at a Lower Open Overnight futures are already down 20 points, suggesting: ✅ A weaker SPX open ✅ A potential move toward 5980 ✅ Confirmation that momentum is shifting lower 🔍 ADD Still Has Room to Fall Yesterday’s ADD reading hit the upper bullish extreme That leaves plenty of downside wiggle room If ADD pushes lower, indexes could also follow through ⏳ For Now, It’s a Waiting Game The bearish setup is in place Price action will dictate the next move A clean range move to 5980 remains the primary target 🚀 Key Takeaway? The market is aligning with expectations, but we still need follow-through to lock in profits. Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? In 1987, the Dow dropped 22.6% in a single day—the biggest percentage crash in history. That’s the equivalent of the S&P 500 dropping over 1,000 points today! 💡 The Lesson? Even in structured markets, major moves can happen fast. This is why having a rule-based trading system keeps you ahead of the chaos.Shortby MrPhilNewton1
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 3.2-7.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 4th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). The pivot forecast on February 3 pushed the market upward after the overnight tariff gap. If you remember, I was in a short position at Friday’s close on January 31. I got tempted by the overnight tariff hysteria and closed my position in the morning. The European morning provided a great intraday opportunity to buy back the market with a good profit and open a long position on the pivot forecast. ⚠️ The cycle’s beginning looks very bearish, with a short rise followed by a steep drop below the opening level. I anticipated this in early January. By Friday’s close, signs of a double top at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels appeared. Strong hands with stops above the double top level should have held their short positions from January 24. The impulse from the January 29 extreme forecast is still active. Two long cycles remain open, as noted in the early January post. by irinawest112
[02/03] SPX Weekly GEX OutlookSPX shifted into a strong sideways trend after recent market whipsaws, but premarket today saw a sharp sell-off. Now, let’s break down the GEX levels set for Friday’s weekly expiration (first weekly expiry). These are already reflected in today’s GEX data—check them on your indicator! COMMENT: This week, we’ve started updating our seamless GEX & options indicators before the market opens . This has been a long-standing request from users—especially 0DTE traders, who will likely benefit the most. Key GEX Levels for SPX 📍 Highest Positive Call Wall (Call Resistance): 6075 Acted as resistance last Friday, as it often does initially. 📍 Sideways Zone: 6000-6070 (Transition Zone with GAMMA flip) Wide Transition Zone → Expect high volatility or slow drifting within this range. Easy flow between positive and negative GEX profiles, meaning potential sharp moves in either direction. 📍 Put Support (Sum 4DTE): 5900 Very deep support—market is clearly pricing in fear of a potential future drop. 📌Below 6000, there are only negative NetGEX strikes down to 5900, which signals a lack of strong support until that level. What This Means for the Week 📊 SPX opened (gapped down) in negative GEX territory—if buyers don’t reclaim this zone, we are in for a highly volatile week, potentially with a spiking VIX. 🚫 No reason for bullish optimism unless we break above 6070—until then, expect uncertainty and potential downside pressure. PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET by TanukiTradeUpdated 7
SPX500The S&P 500 (SPX500) is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It is widely regarded as a benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. stock market and economy. The index includes companies from various sectors, including technology, healthcare, finance, and consumer goods. Trading activity is highest during U.S. market hours, with additional volatility during major economic events and earnings reports. Investors and traders use the S&P 500 for long-term investments, portfolio diversification, and market trend analysis.Shortby HavalMamar1
ATH + 160 COMING !?Nothing special .. Just some support/ resistance Fibo. ATH marking. And it may come... 1.618 Longby scalpandswings1
The S&P 500 and US DebtThis chart shows the relationship between US Debt and the S&P 500 over the past few decades.by CryptoCurrentlyYT2
Sideways Markets? Heres why Im still getting paidSideways Market? Here’s Why I’m Still Getting Paid | SPX Market Analysis 12 Feb 2025 The markets may be moving like molasses, but that’s no problem when you’re getting paid to wait. While others are watching charts in frustration, our Theta decay is quietly dripping profits into our accounts. No rush, no panic—just letting the market do its thing while we collect. Let’s break it down… --- SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 📉 Markets Are Moving Sideways—And That’s OK SPX is stuck in a range, drifting aimlessly while traders wait for direction. But unlike those who need a big breakout to make money, we’re already profiting while standing still. 💰 Theta Decay – The Power of Getting Paid to Wait While the market meanders, options lose value That lost value turns into profits for our income trades Instead of hoping for a massive move, we collect steady gains 📌 The Current Market View We still anticipate a move from the upper range to the lower range 📉 No need to force trades—our edge is patience If SPX moves, great. If not, we still win 🔑 Why Income Trading Wins in a Sideways Market Unlike traditional trading methods where: ❌ You need a strong directional move to profit ❌ You rely on timing the market perfectly ❌ You risk getting stopped out too soon We simply: ✅ Let Theta decay work in our favour ✅ Profit even when the market goes nowhere ✅ Have time on our side—no need for constant action 📌 Final Takeaway? The market may be stuck, but profits aren’t. Theta is working, our positions are intact, and there’s no stress—just steady gains. --- Fun Fact: 📢 Did you know? The S&P 500 has spent nearly 80% of its time trading sideways rather than trending up or down. 💡 The Lesson? The market isn’t always moving—but smart traders don’t need it to. That’s why income trading thrives when others struggle.Shortby MrPhilNewton1
S&P consolidation continuesThe S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.by TradeNation6
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 10 Alright, so 35EMA is right at the 30min 200MA. This is a critical level and in SPX we’re bearish already and looking for a follow through. Expected move today 5970-6080 5 Day moving average underneath us and 1hr 200MA in range as well. Downtrend above everything - and a red signal line. I’m looking for a close near the 50DMA. Shortby SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 4
Still thinking of putting money in the bank ?Interest rates are coming down.....globally....... A quick look at this chart shows you are way off better putting some money in the these assets than earning the paltry interest at banks. Of course, crypto may not be everyone's cup of tea. But how about coffee? Many of you (not me, haha, I quitted drinking coffee) are coffee drinkers and yet have no idea the price of coffee grains has shot up the roof over the last two years. And how about gold? This ancient asset class has been around since our forefathers and certain things cannot be change. It has deep roots. The thinking that it is an inflation hedge still holds true for many and there are still people rushing to buy gold in anticipation of the forthcoming inflation in US. And that will further drives up its prices. A no brainer method of investing is putting money in the SPX ETF. See , it has returned 60% since the beginning of January 2023. You did nothing at all. Just sit there and collect your money (if you sell). For those who like the tech stocks, there is the QQQ ETF investing into the space of Meta, Amazon, Apple, etc. The so called magnificent seven stocks of the SPX index are certainly driving the US stock market higher and higher. Lastly, even the USDJPY currency pair would yield you above 4.75% return, much better than most fixed deposits in the banks. 2025, I hope you allocate some funds into different asset classes that suits your financial situation and prosper even more !Longby dchua19691
SPX Real Value ATH? Repeat 25 year 1930-1955 recovery fractalMeasuring SPX real valuation (SPX versus money supply) Spx is on its way to recovering the 2000 all time high that wa seen in the dot com bubble. The real valuation has never recovered this point. This fractal is very similar to the 25 year recovery from the 1930 crash is this lining up for continued bullish momentum into a new territory of value for Equities as Ai ushers in real value creation to companies and economies in the US and around the world. Hmmmm. Bullish? Rethinking this after Real valuation highs have been broken (see related posts) and since i believe that this is justified since technological innovation is driving more value to equity versus other investment types (bonds, commodies, maybe even land) . *****Land is interesting since new technology makes land more productive you actually need less of it to do the same things. very very interesting, but i would not count against it as a store of value as more dollars are printed.*** fun times. lets see what this looks like in the futureby SnarkyPuppy110
New All Time Highs There are some readings on the chart that shows that the price might create new all time highs in the next period. 1, With all negative news for the last weeks, the trend did not continued lower, but instead it has created a false break 2, There a many rejections created in the last week, showing that the sellers do not have power to push price down 3, We are still in an uptrend All this might indicate that the price might continue higher. Probably a strong bullish candle will indicate a buy signal.Longby MariusStanescu2