$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets Mar 26 2025AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:IWM AMEX:DIA
Went in with 5730/5745 @ 2.40 My bet is that we keep trading Sidewards today with the 35EMA as support.
4.50 and 5.50 orders still open
US500 trade ideas
Approaching Death Cross!When the 50 – day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crosses below the 200 – day SMA it’s called a “Death Cross” and frequently signals additional selling.
The S&P 500 (SPX) is close to a Death Cross!
S&POne last trade for the day, same as NAS100 this pair just swept sellers and went for buyers if this is an inverted sell we'll move with it
S&P 500: The Correction Is Not Over Yet – Targets Around 5000At the moment, the S&P 500 is holding relatively stable, but I believe the current decline is just part of a larger correction following decades of growth.
Right now, the index is retracing to the 50% pullback area (marked on the chart), which aligns with a typical retest before a potential continuation of the downward move. In this zone, a manipulation is likely, after which the decline may resume.
An additional confirmation of this scenario is the unfilled gap below, which remains uncovered. Historically, the market tends to close such gaps. Moreover, there are untested price levels lower on the chart, suggesting a high probability of further downside movement, with targets around 5000 points.
I will keep monitoring the situation and update my outlook as new data emerges.
S&P500 Short: Expecting Price to Fall back below trendlineFor this idea, there are 2 things to take note:
1. I believe the breakout to the upside to be a false breakout. Thus price should fall back into the channel.
2. The "C" wave is slightly shorter than "A" wave, but it shouldn't matter since corrective wave does not conform to the "3rd wave cannot be the shortest" rule.
If you are an active trader, you can choose to place your stop where I indicated. But if you are really more swing trader and can take wider swings, then I recommend putting stop above where the Fibonacci shows 1.
Good luck!
Nikkei, S&P500, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Short: Educational UpdateThis is really an extra video that I made because I see some educational value. I use Nikkei 225 to show repeating of patterns and the fractal nature of the market, S&P and Nasdaq to demonstrate the usage of Fibonacci levels and study of historical support and resistance, and finally Hang Seng to discuss on placing stop losses and how noise in lower time frames may require us to ignore certain "unclean" waves.
Overall, I still put this idea as a short because all the indices used are still short ideas in my opinion.
Good luck!
S&P 500 Correction Channel Keeps Bulls in Control, for NowThe S&P 500 has formed an uptrend channel after breaking out of the "tariff panic" downtrend, which had dragged the index down more than 10%. But is this new short-term uptrend merely a correction, or has the real direction changed? That’s the key question, one that will likely be answered in early April when the new tariffs take effect.
February consumer confidence data didn’t look promising, but much of the negativity had already been priced in during the earlier 10% sell-off. However, this week’s PCE report, combined with next week’s tariffs and jobs report, could become a catalyst for determining the short- to medium-term direction.
The 200-hour SMA has now reached the upper line of the trend channel. Together, they may create a strong resistance level. To the downside, 5700 is a key horizontal support level. By the end of this week, it will converge with the lower boundary of the channel, right as both the GDP and PCE data are released. Including the time factor, this confluence could mark the main short-term support.
As long as the trend channel holds, bulls remain in control.
Trading a Pause in the Price Action
Some candlestick patterns shout their intentions, while others quietly mark a pause before the next move. The Doji falls into the latter category—it doesn’t tell you which way the market is going next, but it does highlight a moment of indecision that often precedes a meaningful move.
While traders sometimes mistake it for a reversal signal, the real significance of a Doji comes when price decisively breaks beyond its range. Let’s explore what a Doji represents, why its range is key and how traders can use it in different market conditions.
What Is a Doji?
A standard Doji forms when a market opens and closes at or very near the same price. This creates a candle with a thin or non-existent body and wicks on either side, showing that price moved up and down during the session but failed to establish a clear direction by the close.
The key takeaway? A Doji does not indicate a directional bias—it simply reflects the natural market cycle between indecision and decisive direction. It tells us that neither buyers nor sellers had the upper hand during that period.
Standard Doji Pattern
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
The Doji’s Range: Why It’s Important
Rather than trading the Doji itself, the focus should be on its high and low. When price breaks and closes beyond the Doji’s range, that’s when a potential trade setup forms:
• A close above the Doji’s high suggests buyers have taken control, increasing the likelihood of further upside.
• A close below the Doji’s low signals sellers are in charge, making downside continuation more probable.
This makes the Doji a pattern that doesn’t rely on lagging indicators. It provides a forward-looking view, allowing traders to anticipate where momentum might emerge.
A single Doji can be significant, but clusters of Doji candles—where price hesitates over multiple sessions—can create even stronger setups, particularly when they resolve with a decisive breakout.
Doji’s Range Becomes Significant
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Doji Breakout
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
How to Use the Doji in Trading
The Doji pattern works across all timeframes, from intraday charts to daily and even weekly price action. Looking at USD/JPY on the daily timeframe (see chart below), four Doji formations highlight how the pattern plays out in real-world trading:
USD/JPY Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Pattern 1 (Monday, 25th November 2024): A Doji formed, followed by a strong break below its range, leading to a clear move lower.
Patterns 2 & 3 (Early December 2024): Two Doji candles appeared close together, forming a Doji cluster. This hesitation phase was followed by a steady directional move higher.
Pattern 4 (Early February 2025): The initial break below the Doji’s range led to a short-lived move lower. However, price then pulled back, retested the Doji, and only after that retest did a more sustained downside move develop.
These examples show that the Doji is not a trading signal in isolation—it needs a decisive break to confirm the next move.
Trading the Doji Breakout
If a trader is looking to enter based on a Doji setup, they should consider the following:
• Wait for Confirmation – The most important factor is the breakout. A Doji on its own is just indecision; it’s the next candle that provides the real clue.
• Identify the Key Level – The high and low of the Doji form a mini-range. A close outside this range is the real signal.
• Manage Risk Properly – A common approach is to place a stop-loss just beyond the opposite side of the Doji’s range.
Because Doji candles highlight hesitation, they often form at key support or resistance levels. When price is already in an established trend, a Doji can act as a temporary pause before continuation.
Summary:
The Doji is a pause in price action, not a guarantee of reversal or continuation. The real significance lies in how price reacts after the Doji forms—a decisive break and close beyond its range is the key trigger.
While traders often focus on patterns that appear to provide clear direction, the Doji offers something different—it marks the moment before clarity emerges. Whether it leads to a breakout, a trend continuation, or a reversal depends entirely on the price action that follows.
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Mastering Market Movements: Understanding Impulses and CorrectioHello,
Navigating the stock market successfully isn’t just about luck—it requires a keen understanding of market trends and the ability to spot price patterns. One of the most useful concepts traders rely on is the interplay between impulses and corrections. Recognizing these alternating phases can provide valuable insights into potential price movements, allowing you to make more confident and informed trading decisions.
In this article, we’ll break down what impulses and corrections are, how to identify them, and how you can use them to improve your trading strategy.
Understanding Impulses and Corrections
Stock prices move in cycles, alternating between strong trends (impulses) and temporary retracements (corrections). These movements are driven by market psychology, where shifts in supply and demand dictate price action.
Impulses: The Driving Force of Trends
Impulses are powerful, directional moves in the market that reflect strong momentum. These often occur when sentiment aligns with fundamental catalysts, such as positive news, strong earnings reports, or broader market trends. Impulses are the backbone of trends and can provide great opportunities for traders who know how to recognize them.
To spot impulses, look for:
Strong Price Movement: Impulses are characterized by significant and sustained price shifts, indicating a surge in buying or selling pressure. This is as shown in the
Volume Expansion: When an impulse occurs, trading volume typically increases, confirming that more market participants are involved and supporting the price movement.
Break of Key Resistance or Support Levels: Impulses often push through important technical levels, signaling strength and the continuation of a trend.
Corrections: The Market Taking a Breather
Corrections, also called retracements or pullbacks, are temporary price reversals within an ongoing trend. They provide opportunities for the market to pause before resuming its dominant direction.
To identify corrections, watch for:
Counter-Trend Price Movement: Corrections move against the main trend but usually retrace only a portion (25% to 50%) of the previous impulse.
Lower Volume: Unlike impulses, corrections occur on decreased trading volume, suggesting a temporary decline in market participation.
Support and Resistance Levels: Corrections often find support or resistance at previously established price levels, which can serve as potential reversal zones.
Applying Impulses and Corrections in Trading
Understanding these market phases can significantly improve your trading approach. Here’s how:
Identifying Trends: By observing a sequence of impulses and corrections, you can determine the overall market direction and align your trades accordingly.
Finding Entry and Exit Points: Impulses signal strong trends, while corrections present opportunities to enter trades at better prices before the next move higher or lower.
Managing Risk: Setting stop-loss levels strategically—such as below key support levels during corrections—can help minimize losses while allowing room for potential gains.
Final Thoughts
Recognizing and utilizing impulses and corrections can make a huge difference in your trading success. By learning to identify these patterns, you’ll gain deeper insights into market behavior, improve your timing, and enhance your ability to make smart, strategic moves.
Take a look at the US500FU chart—it clearly illustrates impulses and corrections in action.
Good luck, and happy trading!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Still more upside for SPX500USDHi traders,
SPX500USD did exactly what I've predicted.
Last week I said we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that.
But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. This scenario is still in progress for next week.
So let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
SP500 - Long Strategy with FED effectI think that FED can give a pump to SP500, probably we will go directly to first 2 target than we can have a retest of support area. In any case there is a volume pressure under this price level so is aspected a long wave.
S&P 500. First 5 waves upIm aiming for this. First need to see the 5 waves to the upside. Then draw fib tool over all the 5 waves and buy at the 0.5 or 0.382 fib to go op more. Trade save
Buy SnP500Ready to Rally? I think so.
My best trading strategy is to follow the big money—to follow the actions of the market conductor. Right now, I see buying activity in the market and believe this idea has strong potential.
This is a med-term trade, so size your position wisely to avoid overloading your portfolio with a single trade. There are and will be plenty of great opportunities in the market. Give this position the time and space to realize its full potential.
Exact targets are unknown.
The best way to proceed here is by using a trailing stop-loss.
The first Stop Loss is set at 5495.
As the asset rises. move the stop loss higher.
Pre-dump Stop Hunt Seems Likely HereMy previous forecast into the high of the rally was for a capitulation from the high, no major retracement in the drop and then once we broke the low - slam to 5500.
This trade went well in the first stages. Top where it was expected. Sell off in the style expected. New low as expected - but there has yet to be a big follow through.
This failed follow through (even although we are still sitting at the lows right now) makes me worry about the different trap variants of the break I expect.
Here's the setup I am looking at. It's a bullish butterfly-like pattern off the high.
I say butterfly-like because it doesn't perfectly fit the rules. C is a new high, for one. But I find this general M type of shape is useful for spotting lows or breaks. I tend to bracket all these things under a "butterfly". I know it's a misterm as per the books, but it serves the purpose I am using it for.
Three main things can happen off a butterfly decision. One is the 1.61 breaks and we slam to 2.20. This was the OG forecast of 5500. This is the rarer of the outcomes but it happens so fast there's not time to deal with it - which is why I planned and positioned for this into the rally high.
Second thing that can happen it a low. Butterfly can work. All can be well with the world. For a few reasons I don't think that's happening but it's a risk to be aware of. This could be a low.
Finally, we have the dead cat and break pattern - the one that is the primary plan for now if we make the bounce.
Here's an example of one of those.
Notice how this trades under the support and then puts in a series of small spike out candles - then it makes the bull trap. Stalls a while and then the next break is the actionable one.
Look at this little zone - we game this zone on both sides before the move.
These look similar.
If the break does not come now I think we'll see a bull trap atypical to the previous ones in that is moderately breaks the lower highs we've seen in all the previous rallies. Giving bears good reason to puke their positions and bulls good reason to think the low is in. Barcode there for a while and then setup the bigger trade.
Ideally here I'd like to make a little money in the rally. Use this to bankroll my speculative OTM puts.
Breaks lower are liable to cause an instant pivot to the plan for the run away break - but this bull trap move would be far more befitting of a pre-crash move I think.
It really does feel a little too easy right now. Would be so many fewer bears if we made that little spike and stuck stubbornly at the high of it for a while.
I've been hitting every rally in SPX since 6150. Done a lot of offloading of my positions yesterday and anything I am holding I have hedged with 580 calls.
We may be very close, within months, of a real break - but we might have a big distraction rally to come first.
No one has called me names for being a bear of late ... concerning. A good bounce would fix that.
Take ProfitsIf you took the trade, good job.
We are at the 200 SMA, and this is a natural location to take profits.
Expecting some additional chop, the market never moves in a straight line... but the worst of it is over. If we retest the lows, I will buy again. If we retest the highs... or take too long... I will monitor for a new short.
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S&P 500 Below 200-Day Average: Double Top Targets 5400I wrote before about the S&P 500 when it was at its peak, showing that "head and shoulders" pattern, and it hit its target. Now, the index has been tradin’ below the 200-day moving average for 10 sessions and is strugglin’ to get back above it. There’s also a "double top" pattern formin’, targetin’ around the 5400 level. Next week’s gonna be big—needs to climb back above that 200-day average, or the odds of more downside are gonna go up. And that 5400 level might not be the final stop, ‘cause there are other patterns that ain’t done yet. Once it hits that level, they’ll complete and signal even lower targets.
US500 Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US500.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,754.53.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,665.70 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SPX Present Day vs. 21-22 Price PathTVC:SPX
An interesting chart setup into next week (close underneath the broadening pattern), and current price action overlaid with the 2021-2022 price path for an idea of where price might go.
Goodluck!
Bullish momentum to extend?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 5,671.90
1st Support: 5,599.90
1st Resistance: 5,843.10
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S&P 500 ,,, End of correctionUptrend
Based on my strategy, the corrective wave appears to have terminated with today's daily candle. Notably, a descending trend line and a major level have been broken. If today's daily candle had no upper shadow, I would consider taking buying positions.
SPX us500The index has a target price range of 5991, there is a possibility of going up from this moment, but another possibility is that the range of 5520 will be touched and then it will move up.
