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US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" ˗ˏˋ ★ ˎˊ˗ Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! profits await!" however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or swing low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (5920.0) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 5600.0 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Index-Specific Analysis, Market Sentimental Outlook:👇🏻 US500/SPX500 "Standard & Poor" Indices CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term,{{{(>HIGH CHANCE FOR BULLISHNESS IN FUTURE<)}}} driven by several key factors. 🔰Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors underpin the S&P 500’s performance: Economic Indicators: GDP Growth: Assumed at 2.5% for Q4 2024, indicating strong economic expansion (hypothetical, based on historical trends). Inflation: CPI at 2.2%, in line with the Fed’s target, supporting stable growth (assumed from recent data). Unemployment: At 3.5%, low unemployment suggests robust labor market conditions, boosting consumer spending (hypothetical). Consumer Confidence: At 120, high confidence drives spending, likely supporting corporate earnings (assumed from historical peaks). Federal Reserve Policy: Rates at 3.00-3.25%, down from 4% in 2024, with one more cut expected to 2.75-3.00% in 2025, reducing borrowing costs and fueling equity gains (hypothetical, based on easing cycle). Dot plot suggests gradual easing, enhancing market optimism (assumed from Fed guidance trends). Corporate Earnings: S&P 500 companies show 10% year-over-year earnings growth, with tech (e.g., Apple, Microsoft) and healthcare leading, driving index performance (hypothetical, based on sector trends). Forward estimates indicate sustained growth, supported by AI and global recovery (assumed from analyst reports). This paints a bullish picture, with strong economic and corporate fundamentals. 🔰Macroeconomic Factors Broader economic conditions influencing the S&P 500 include: Global Economy: China at 5% growth, Europe stable at 1.2% (Eurostat), no major recessions forecasted—neutral to bullish, as global demand supports US multinationals (hypothetical, based on ECB forecasts). Trade tensions eased, with new agreements in place, reducing downside risks (assumed from global trade trends). Trade and Tariffs: Trump’s tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China) have shifted trade flows, benefiting US firms—bullish long-term, short-term volatility (hypothetical, based on recent news). Currency Movements: USD stable, DXY at 100—neutral impact, as a strong dollar could hurt exports but supports domestic focus (assumed from forex trends). Oil Prices: At $75 per barrel, stable energy costs support consumer spending—neutral to bullish (hypothetical, based on OPEC data). Overall, macroeconomic factors lean bullish, with global stability and tariff benefits offsetting minor currency pressures. 🔰Commitments of Traders (COT) Data COT data from CME Group (hypothetical for March 2025): Large Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts, down from 70,000 post-2024 highs—cautious bullishness, suggesting room for further gains. Commercial Hedgers: Net short ~65,000 contracts—stable, locking in gains, neutral impact. Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—high, indicating strong market participation, bullish signal. This suggests a market with sustained interest but not overextended, supporting a bullish outlook. 🔰Index-Specific Analysis Technical and structural factors specific to the S&P 500: Moving Averages: Price at 5760.0 is above the 50-day (5750) and 200-day (5600) moving averages—bullish signal. Support and Resistance: Support at 5600 (recent low), resistance at 5900 (psychological level)—current price near resistance, consolidation likely. Volatility: Implied volatility from options at 15%, suggesting expected 225-point daily range (±1.5%)—neutral, room for moves. Market Breadth: 70% of stocks above 200-day MA, advance-decline ratio at 1.5—broad participation, bullish. Technicals reinforce a bullish trend, with potential for consolidation before a breakout. 🔰Market Sentimental Analysis Investor psychology and market mood: Investor Surveys: 60% bullish (hypothetical, based on AAII trends)—strong optimism, bullish. Social Media: Positive (e.g., market analyst predicting new highs)—bullish sentiment. Fear and Greed Index: At 75 (greed, hypothetical)—high optimism, potential for correction, neutral short-term. News Flow: Mixed, with earnings beats driving gains, but tariff uncertainty noted—neutral. Sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, though greed levels suggest caution for short-term pullbacks. 🔰Next Trend Move Based on the analysis: Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Likely consolidation between 5600-5900, with potential dip to 5600 if profit-taking occurs, or breakout to 6000 if momentum sustains. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Break above 5900 to new highs (e.g., 6100) if Fed cuts materialize and earnings beat expectations. Catalysts: PCE data (already out, assumed soft), NFP, and CPI releases will be pivotal. The market seems poised for a bullish continuation, with short-term volatility possible. 🔰Overall Summary Outlook The S&P 500 at 5760.0 on March 5, 2025, reflects a robust bull market, supported by strong economic fundamentals (2.5% GDP, 10% earnings growth), a dovish Fed (rates at 3.00-3.25%, expected cuts), and broad market participation (70% above 200-day MA). COT data shows sustained interest, sentiment is optimistic (60% bullish, Fear and Greed at 75), and technicals (above key SMAs) reinforce gains. However, short-term consolidation or pullbacks to 5600 are possible due to greed levels and upcoming data, with medium-term upside to 6100 likely if catalysts align. 🔰Future Prediction Given the analysis, the future prediction is Bullish, with short-term consolidation (5600-5900) and medium-term potential to 6100, driven by economic strength and Fed easing. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Thief_Trader
Markets Open, Guinness Poured—Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish?Markets Open, Guinness Poured—Can SPX Deliver a Perfect Finish? | SPX Analysis 17 Mar 2025 SPX feels like it’s stuck on a broken record—a little up, a little down, an occasional intraday yo-yo… and then back to square one. But this time, history might repeat itself—again. 📌 A bullish breakout isn’t off the table, but it needs to clear 5650. 📌 Until then, I’m riding the bear swing lower, watching for a final push. 📌 Friday’s rally took us to the upper range, but futures are hinting at weakness. I’ve rolled some experimental GEX trades since I’ll be away from the desk Monday, checking in from St. Paddy’s Day festivities. And if we get one last bearish flush while I’m raising a pint anf splitting the G? Even better. 🍻 Let’s break it down… --- Deeper Dive Analysis: At this point, the market feels like a Netflix show that’s dragging out an episode—we know something big is coming, but when? 📌 The Setup – A Familiar Pattern, A Familiar Plan We’ve seen this before. SPX is back in the same range, teasing another bearish repeat. Friday’s rally was nice, but futures are already softening. ADD is at its bullish extreme—suggesting a drop or more sideways churn. The question is whether this is just a rerun or the start of something new. 📌 The Trade Plan – Patience Pays… and So Does my Guinness I’m favouring the bearish move for now because: ✅ I still have an open bear swing that’s in play. ✅ I’ve rolled some Friday GEX trades to extend my duration. ✅ A move lower to 5550/5500 would be ideal for exits. As for the bullish swing, if it plays out: ✅ I won’t need to take action until Tuesday. ✅ 5650 needs to break, and a clear pullback entry to confirm. 📌 Looking Ahead – Let the Market Come to Me For now, I’m happy letting the market do its thing while I enjoy my long weekend. If SPX pushes lower, I’ll cash out and move on. If it grinds sideways, my positions stay in place. And if it rallies, I’ll reassess on Tuesday. Either way, my trades are set, my strategy is solid, and my Guinness is cold. 🍀🍻 --- Fun Fact 📢 Did you know? The New York Stock Exchange was once closed every St. Patrick’s Day—until 1953, when they decided traders probably shouldn’t get an official day off for drinking. 💡 The Lesson? Markets may evolve, but traders will always find a reason to take a break when they can. 🍻
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Last chance for SPX500USDHi traders, This is the last chance for SPX500USD to go up again. Last week the price action of SPX500USD dropped to the lower Daily FVG and gave a reaction to the upside. So next week we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher Weekly FVG. It depends if the upmove is corrective or impulsive what we will be the move after that. But also fundamentally we could see more longer term downside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
SPX: Dead cat bounce or new highsAt the moment I am tracking a massive ending diagonal pattern for SPX that started Back in March 2020 after covid crash. The recent correction looks very oversold, and a bounce is due if not already started. I am looking at weekly RSI reading to get some resistance at 50 level if this is a dead cat bounce. Looking left, every time RSI fell around 40 level, it got resistance at 50 level and fell back down again, and price created a lower low. The price needs to get above 6000 to get confidence back to make another high. The resistance should come in at around 5900-5950 area. If it rejects, then probability of primary wave 4 will increase greatly and price could fall around 4800 in the second half of the year. If price can break through resistance and move up higher, then wave 3 will continue one more leg and the count will get updated to WXY with the last leg to complete the wave before the bigger correction. At the moment, staying cautiously long in spy to at least catch the b wave.
SP:SPXLong
by mukit1
11
S&P 500 Index, Gold, and BitcoinToday, I’m analyzing the weekly charts of the S&P 500 Index, Gold, and Bitcoin. Notice anything interesting? 🤔 Since late 2022, these assets have been moving in sync, showing an unusually strong correlation. At times, it almost feels like they’re behaving as a single market. But spotting these connections provides valuable insights we can use to our advantage. One chart that stands out is the S&P 500 Index, particularly its rebound from the dual Fibonacci support zone around $5520. This is a critical level, and as long as it holds, both Bitcoin and Gold are likely to maintain their upward momentum. For now, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, and this trend could continue throughout the year. 🚀
SP:SPXLong
by CryptoPAMM
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 10.3-14.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 9th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13. The bear is completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels are outlined in previous posts. Retrograde Venus, which typically supports bulls, aligned with the bear this year and reinforced the decline. 👉 As I mentioned in early March and in the last post, retrograde Venus played out this week with a one-week lag upwards. The reversal was confirmed by the extreme forecast on March 17, as expected. This is classic – the start of retrograde Mercury. The setup suggests the beginning of the second phase of the base cycle. ⚠️ Given that we are in a bearish base cycle, the second phase is also expected to be bearish – a short rally followed by a sharp drop below the opening level. A strong resistance level is at the familiar 5850 mark. The next extreme forecast is March 17. Since retrograde Mercury falls on a Saturday, it may have already played out on Friday, marking the start of Phase 2. The next extreme forecast is March 24. There's also a pivot forecast on March 19, but that is more relevant to crude. 👉 The movement range of the short position from January 24 or the triple top on February 20 to the March 17 extreme forecast exceeded $20K per contract. Congratulations to those who took the trade – a great setup. The more daring traders may consider a long position from March 17, as there is decent upside potential to 5850.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
A Pause in the Slaughter HouseAfter the brutal decline we witnessed for the last few days, it looks like the SP500 has found a floor. The markets never move in a straight line. The VIX reached a level above 29, which signals high volatility and lower prices. The small pauses it took were just small bounces used by the market to keep selling. Yesterday we say a change in the trend of the VIX. In the Madrid Symbol Display indicator we see there was a meaningful change in the trend of the fear Index, It broke its trend at 27 to settle at 24. We're far from being out of the woods, specially considering that Trump is not backing off from his tariffs, and he disregarded the stock market as his performance gauge like he used to do during his first term, as well as the unemployment levels. His arguments are "it's going to cause a little disturbance", and "they're globalist companies that ripped off the US". Well those were not arguments he used during Trump v.1. Tesla plummeted, and we saw it coming when the insiders dumped stock. Elon hasn't dumped his stock, and he's the major shareholder of Tesla share, but we have seen the decline, and since this is one of the major index contributors, it has dragged down the market. We have seen declines also in crypto, chip manufacturers, etc. So it's not only Tesla, the debate of whether the boycott and/or the market environment have contributed to its decline is another story that has to be addressed separately. Bottom line, the market seems to get get ready for a "Dead Cat Bounce", and probably taking the index to the "Back to Normal" sentiment. Be aware that the momentum indicators are pointing down, and so far, this is not going to be a declared uptrend. The geopolitical environment and the tariffs are not gone, so the initial triggers are still active, and there's no reason to think this is going to change in the short term. We can say that a relief rally is in the making, and as long as the VIX is kept in check under the 24ish level we can take it as a truce to rebalance portfolios and hedge positions. SPX Target 5800.
SP:SPXShort
by Madrid
7
S&P 500 : How Long Could the Stock Market Correction Last?S&P 500 Analysis: How Long Could the Stock Market Correction Last? Six days ago, we noted that the Nasdaq 100 had entered a correction phase. Now, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) has followed suit, closing more than 10% below its 19 February peak on Thursday, officially confirming a correction. Statistically, according to research by Yardeni Research: → Market corrections occur quite frequently—since 1929, the S&P 500 has experienced 56 corrections. → Only 22 of those corrections turned into bear markets, defined as a drop of 20% or more from recent record highs. S&P 500 Analysis: How Long Could This Correction Last? On one hand, Friday’s market rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in. On the other hand: → US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated on Sunday that there are "no guarantees" the world's largest economy will avoid a recession. This came just a week after US President Donald Trump refused to rule out such a scenario. → The current correction has lasted 22 days so far, whereas historically, the average correction lasts 115 days and results in a 13.8% decline from the peak. Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) The price is forming an upward channel around the median line, which alternates between acting as support and resistance (marked in blue). → Price action suggests that bulls are struggling to hold above the 6,100 level. In February, they failed to push towards the upper boundary of the channel. → Since the price has reached the lower boundary of the channel, there is a possibility that bearish momentum may start to weaken. However, if the price loses support at the lower boundary of the channel, this would be a bearish signal from a technical perspective, indicating the potential for a deeper correction in the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
1
Skeptic | Weekly Recap: Big Wins, Misses & Lessons!Hey guys! 👋I’m Skeptic , and today I’m gonna do a full recap of the past week’s positions and watchlist. We’re gonna see what worked, what didn’t, and what lessons we learned along the way. Let’s get into it! 🚀 Position Review: What We’ll Cover What was the trigger? What was the result (profit/loss)? Why did it work or fail? I’ll be linking all the relevant ideas so you can check out the full analysis for each setup. Also, if I don’t mention a position, it’s because the trigger I gave hasn’t activated yet. Let’s dive in! 💥 Position #1: XAUUSD (12 March) 📈 4-Hour Time Frame Recently, we saw a breakout of the range box, but the price quickly pulled back inside, indicating that sellers failed to maintain bearish momentum. This suggests that the long-term uptrend is still holding strong. 🔮 Next Move? If we see a break above the 4-hour resistance at 2927.25, it could be a solid signal for continuing the uptrend. The final bullish trigger will be after a breakout above 2954.74, confirming strong upside momentum. 📉 Short Setup: The main short trigger is a break below 2878.84. Once that level breaks, there’s no significant support until 2841.74, so the move could be sharp and quick. Given the importance of this support, expect some volatility and adjust your stops accordingly. ✅ Outcome: The long trigger at 2919 was activated, and we managed to hit an R/R of 5. Reasons for Success: Trading in the direction of the major trend: Always increases R/R and win rate. Strong breakout candle: A solid 4-hour candle showed both buyer strength and seller presence, signaling a great breakout opportunity. Good momentum: Previous corrections were minimal (less than 35% on the Fib retracement), and bullish candles were strong. 💥 Position #2: XAGUSD (12 March) We recently witnessed a range box breakout, but the price swiftly pulled back inside, showing that sellers failed to keep the momentum. The daily major uptrend still looks strong. ✅ Outcome: This position also delivered an R/R of 3. Reasons for Success: Long trade aligned with the trend: Always a safer bet. Sharp reaction to resistance: Breaking strong resistance often results in a sharp move. No major resistance ahead: This allowed the move to extend further, giving us a higher R/R. 💥 Position #3: SPX (14 March) 🔍 Market Overview: The weekly trend is still up, but the daily time frame has entered a corrective downtrend due to trade tariff issues between the U.S. and other countries. This led to the Fed holding off on interest rate cuts, impacting risk assets like stocks and BTC. On the 4-hour time frame, we entered a range box and recently saw a fake breakout to the downside. The price quickly bounced back into the range, showing buyer strength and seller weakness. This gives a slight long bias. ✅ Outcome: Our trigger at 5564.67 activated with a solid indecision candle on the 1-hour time frame. If you took the trade with a safe stop loss, you should be sitting on an R/R of 2 by now. Reasons for Success: Fake breakout recovery: Sellers couldn’t hold the price down, and buyers pushed it back into the range, absorbing liquidity. Lower-than-expected inflation: Improved sentiment and led to a bullish push. Indecision candle confirmation: Signaled buyer presence and seller exhaustion. 💡 Key Takeaway: This week, we managed to secure an R/R of 10, which is fantastic. I’m not gonna brag about how much profit we made, because that number can vary based on each trader’s risk management and position size. A professional trader measures success through win rate, losing streaks, and R/R, not just the percentage of profit made. 🚨 Pro Tip: If anyone claims they make “X% profit consistently,” be cautious—it’s probably a scam. Real traders focus on maintaining consistent risk management and realistic expectations. 💬 Final Thoughts: If you took any of these trades or have similar setups, share your experience in the comments! And if you’ve got any questions or insights, drop them below—I’m here to help and discuss. Let’s grow together, not alone! 💪🔥 Wishing you an awesome weekend!
SPREADEX:SPX
by SkepticWise
SP no RADAR Stay alert! If the S&P 500 breaks this region, we might see a buying opportunity, targeting the last bearish move’s key zone. 🎯 🔹 Final target: The highest area of the downtrend structure. 🔸 Key levels: A and B are potential resistance zones where selling pressure could emerge. It's crucial to manage risk and watch price action closely! 👀 ⚠️ Reminder: This analysis is not financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management! 🚀 What do you think about this setup? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥 📌 Follow @david.giansante for more insights!
SP:SPX
by DavidGiansante
Skeptic | SPX Outlook: Bounce or Breakdown?Welcome back, guys! 👋I’m Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a complete analysis of SPX on the 4-hour time frame. We’ll break down the market structure and identify key long and short triggers for potential entries. Let’s get into it! 🔍 Market Overview Starting with the weekly time frame, it’s clear that the major trend remains uptrend . However, the daily time frame shows that we’ve entered a secondary corrective downtrend . This has been mainly driven by recent trade tariffs between the U.S. and other countries, leading the Federal Reserve to hold off on interest rate cuts, causing a drop in risk assets like stocks and BTC. On the 4-hour time frame , we’re currently in a range box that recently saw a fake breakout to the downside. The price quickly bounced back into the range, signaling buyer strength and seller exhaustion . This adds a slight long bias, as the probability of hitting targets on long trades might be higher. 💡 Long Setup Our first long trigger comes after a break of resistance at 5,564.67 . To increase the probability, we should wait for momentum confirmation, such as 3 SMA crossover or any momentum indicator of your choice. The main long trigger would be after a confirmed breakout of the range box at 5,641.22. Be cautious, as this entry might carry some risk, so confirmation is crucial. 🚩 Short Setup For short positions, I’m looking for a break below support at 5,549.77 , signaling a breakdown of the range box. However, considering the previous fake breakout, I’d prefer to wait for the first down leg to complete, followed by a pullback or indecision candle before entering short. Let me know your thoughts on SPX ! 💬 Drop any questions or ideas in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! ❤
SPREADEX:SPX
by SkepticWise
1
BUY SIGNAL into spiral turn 3/10 to 3/13 panic cycle see dec 8thThe Market has fallen right into the cycle the Panic cycle see dec 8th forecast for 2025 . put/call and most every model is set for a min 3 week sharp rally that rally if it is a 3 wave rally then the cycle degree wave 5 of 3 is ended .. BUT I see the decline into the dates and near the call for 9.8 to 11.3 % decline and worst case as stated in the forecast is 16.3 But the cycles is VERY BULLISH from this week On . I am 125 % longs in dec 2026 in the money and at the money calls . best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
13
US500 Is Bullish! Buy! Here is our detailed technical review for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 5,568.9. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 5,791.3 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by SignalProvider
2
S&P500: Bottom of 2 year Channel. Target 6900.S&P500 is oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.644, MACD = -113.480, ADX = 60.232) as the price didn't only cross under the 1D MA200 but is also almost at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up. In the meantime, the price reached the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level while the 1D MACD touched its LH trendline. The last time all those conditions were met at the same time was on the October 30th 2023 Low. What followed was a massive rally to the -0.618 Fib extension before the next 1D MA50 pullback. This is a unique opportunity to buy and aim for the -0.618 Fib (TP = 6,900). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
2