Winter RallyWhile the market may appear stretched in the short term, analyzing the broader trend since 2009 on a logarithmic scale suggests the potential for a bull run extending through the winter and continuing into 2025Longby Johannesoh2
SPX: Trend is your friend The US Presidential elections set the stage for an upside for US equity markets, while Feds another rate cut by 25 bps nailed the upside. The hype was back on equity markets, and new all time highest levels followed. As analysts from Barclays explained : “ Equities are eager to price in Trump's domestic growth policies and hopes for easier regulation relative to the Biden administration”. The S&P 500 passed the 6K mark, reaching the highest ever level at 6.010, at Friday's trading session. Certainly, the star company of the week was Tesla, as Elon Musk was a strong supporter of the Presidential candidate Donald Trump. The company was traded higher by some 30% for the week. Also, all companies related to President elected Trump significantly gained. Also, as President elect Trump was quite supportive to the crypto industry during the campaign, his election pushed the crypto market strongly to the upside, and also companies within the crypto field. Coinbase gained some 47% for the week. The markets will most certainly continue with the current trend in the coming period, but economists are noting that substantial risks which might be waiting just around the corner. Among the highest are noted, increasing US Government debt, which is not going to be supported by potential tax cuts, as well as tariffs on a foreign goods, which might bring back inflation to the higher grounds, and increase of Feds rates accordingly. by XBTFX8
trump won, now whatThis is not a political analysis,idgf about who's your favourite party With that said: An easy way to run ur economy to the ground is through price controls, which was part of Harris's campaign platform. Joe did a great job and arguably saved the U.S. economy from a slump with initiatives like the infrastructure bill and the CHIPS Act. However, what concerns the average American most are the prices of gas and food. Harris's solution to these issues is a price ceiling, which is why many people felt that the orange man solution is more realistic however Tax cuts, the budget deficit, and inflation, along with tariffs, may lead the market to react positively a trend we have already observed. Inflation can drive growth for companies, which in turn boosts earnings and contributes to the US GDP growth. Additionally, the bond market is showing an upward yield curve, suggesting a liquidity preference, as money flows from risk-free investments like 10-year bonds into riskier assets such as equities or the stock market. The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut and efforts to reduce the balance sheet may be significant factors in this shift. However, there remains considerable uncertainty regarding the potential outcomes of these tax cuts and policies, which could result in a labor shortage and disruption in the labor market. The inflation accompanying the tariffs could lead to economic contraction, posing risks. Still, navigating these changes will not be plain, as the central bank is likely to respond to these policies, further deepening the uncertainty. there will be also some actual improvement in terms of foreign policy which can also lead to capital flowing from outside into us markets however, any sort of policy led by wall street has historically led to disasters and we expect no difference and the taxpayers will be left with the bill tap again I do not cheer for any party or their ideologies we'll watch the same market on asymmetrical information so make ur own inferenceby ri_da1
SPX: back on a trackTwo weeks ago markets passed through sort of a short term stress, related mostly to new names in the US administration, but it did not take too much time until the initial fear passed away. Markets were back on a track during the previous week. The S&P 500 made a move from 5.865 up to 5.969, where the index is ending the week. Interestingly, tech companies were not the one to shine this week, however, the market switched attention toward the industrial and consumer sectors. In this sense, market favorite Nvidia lost 3,2%, while Alphabet dropped by 1,7%. Analysts are commenting that such a trend might continue till the year-end, as investors are turning their attention toward the more cyclical sectors. On the other hand, analysts from Swiss UBS bank commented that they continued to stay bullish on tech companies, especially those related to AI. Analysts specifically mentioned NVDA. Still, they are pointing toward the potential risk in the year 2025, which are related to “the product transition and tariff-related uncertainties”. by XBTFX0
Thanksgiving Thoughts on SPXHoliday Idea: I spy a two bar pattern for the last two weeks; Piercing Candlestick Pattern. A slight pullback may be possible. Above this week's close, I will target the previous week's open/high. A caution is that I see this on the weekly chart near ATH. A flip would be a break and close below last week's candle (5850). If we gap down Monday due to the location of that close, I'll wait to see if we get back above 5850. So I'm resting and betting on my understanding. Google Homework: piercing line candlestick patternLongby mommymiles0
SPX - long weekly good. origin - higher volume last week than the week before. this is what I like to see, pullback candles having low volume followed by in trend candle on higher volume. confirms bias. will look for price to pull into VA and then continue up. Longby Osiris9921
S&P 500 index short term outlookThe S&P 500 Index (SPX) is trading within an ascending channel on its daily chart, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. This structure is defined by parallel rising trendlines connecting higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buyer interest and sustained momentum. Recent price action shows a breakout above minor resistance near the 5,900 level, confirming bullish sentiment. The index is currently moving toward the midpoint of the channel, with potential to test the upper boundary near 6,100. The lower trendline offers solid support, maintaining the channel's integrity. Volume will be crucial in validating any further upward moves. Increased volume during an advance toward the upper boundary would strengthen the bullish case, while declining volume may indicate consolidation or a pause in the trend. For traders, entering a long position while the index remains in the channel could be a viable strategy. A breakout above the upper boundary could present additional upside potential, with profit targets based on the channel's height projected upward. Stop-loss orders can be placed below the lower trendline or the most recent swing low near the 5,800 level to manage risk. This setup suggests the SPX is poised for continued gains, provided the channel remains intact. However, a break below the lower trendline could signal a reversal, requiring caution and adjustment of trading strategies.by TraderhrTrading0
SPX500 at Key Resistance, Upside or Downside?Hello, VANTAGE:SP500 is approaching its previous high of 6034.06, with key resistance levels at 5977.6155 and 5994.981. If these levels can hold as support, we may see further upside potential. However, if they fail to act as support, a downside move is likely. Sellers are currently confident that the bears could take control soon, although this shift has not yet been confirmed. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344 by TradeWithTheTrend33441
SPX500 Monthly 50EMA Support Zone Possible support based on the 50EMA acting as demand line for the last 10 years Longby TradingMulaUpdated 113
Great trade in SPY!!!For an aggressive trader, you can buy now and place your stop at $5848, which is a safe zone because if the market falls below this price, the bull market would also be invalidated. My target would be $6193, which is the last leg plotted at the bottom of the pivot. To support this position, we observe that the SPX has pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci zone and the previous high, and the stochastic is in the oversold area. This trade offers a 4% gain and a 1.77% loss.Longby igorwolwacz1
Bulls And Bears zone for 11-21-2024On a daily chart, which gap is going to be filled in S&P 500 first. One on down side or upside. Level to watch: 5966 ---5964 Report to watch: US Existing Home Sales 10:00 AM ETby traderdan590
SP500 Short trading opportunity(day-to-overnight-trading) 1I expect a drop of about 20+- points all the way down to 5295 from 5310+- Stop Loss 5322+-, take profit is 5295+-. I am risking nothing but if I had not traded today I would possibly have risked 1 unit of the Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures (MES).Shortby ricomisterUpdated 2
NAS 100 Execution , Taken out at break even The luck was just not in my side , My TP was missed in just a Tick but the trade management was top notch and that is what am learning to do well , This was An A setup for me and a low because of the low hanging objective but I wanted to see the market deep more like 10 handles below the sell side liqudity , If you will be seeing this past 30th, my subscription will have expired I just had one month subscription so am asking someone of goodwill if he /she can gift me a subscription so I can compete on the leap completion , Thank you .Long10:39by murimilm20220
S&P500 - DTF UptrendMajor Resistance: 6020 Major Support: 5702 If the trend continues to break 6020 we can enter the bullish side trade. There are no signs of reversal as of now. It is safe to assume the trend is on the upsideLongby ShahzaibNaveed0
S&P500 - Parallel ChannelThere's a continuous parallel channel towards the bullish side. Bounce on Fib levels 0.618, 0.50, 0.382, and 0.236, and continuing the trend is a strong bullish sign towards an uptrend. A bearish divergence on the RSI oscillator nut looks invalidated as it took a dip for several weeks.Longby ShahzaibNaveed0
US500 STILL REMAINS BULLISHUS500 remains in a bullish trend, but the ongoing pullback suggests a potential correction toward 5840–5880. This zone, supported by the Ichimoku cloud and imbalance on a 1D TF, and could serve as a strong area for a bullish rebound. A breakout above 6,000 would confirm the next leg of the bullish rally, while a breakdown below 5,740 could trigger a deeper correction. Longby HorazioUpdated 0
#SPX 1 hour chart of SPX..... We may see an retrace in fews days as trump will enter in 🏡 by Kajal_160
S&P 500 index Wave Analysis 19 November 2024 - S&P 500 index reversed from support zone - Likely to rise to resistance level 6000.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 5850.00 (former multi-day resistance from October). The support level 5850.00 was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band, support trendline from August and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from the start of November. Given the clear daily uptrend, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next round resistance level 6000.00. Longby FxProGlobal0
S& P 500 _ USD _ Active _ Short _ Trading _ Strategy_ Under _ TrS& P 500 _ USD _ Active _ Short _ Trading _ Strategy_ Under _ Trading _ Venue _ OANDA . Next Price = $5,930.1 $5,942.6 _____________ Drop = $5,886.5 , $5,870.0 _________________ 1st Trade: $5,968.6 Drop to $5,934.5 _________________ Breakout Distribution prices: 2nd Trade : $5,999.9 $6,015.5 $6,065.5Shortby Skill-Knowledge-Conduct1
US500 long-Price stalled on a daily key level. -Wyckoff side way move with a possible shake out point confirmed by the big bull leg afterwards. -Entry order right at the splitting line of the range. -Stop loss order below the second lowest point. -First target right at the bottom extreme of the next range. 3 r/r Longby koumkouat0
Local correctionI think it can still go a little bit lower. ________________________________UShortby Supergalactic0
Retesting support on the S&PThe Dow ended a touch lower last night, but otherwise US stock indices closed with modest gains. Earlier in the session, all the majors rallied off intermediate support levels which were being tested after last week’s pullback. Overnight, the major indices built on Monday’s gains but then sold off sharply on the European open. Investors were rattled by a statement from Russian President Vladimir Putin concerning the use of nuclear weapons, should Russia be attacked by conventional weapons backed by a nuclear power. This has taken the Dow, S&P, NASDAQ and Russell 2000 back to support once again, indicating that investors remain nervous with the stock price of many corporations trading at rarified levels. Just focusing on the S&P, there’s a band of support which runs down from 5,870 to 5,800. So far, support has held at the top end of this range which is positive news for the bulls. If prices can continue to steady, then there’s a reasonable chance that US stock indices could soon have another attempt to take out the record closes hit at the beginning of last week. But there are also reasons to be cautious. Geopolitical concerns aside, the giant corporations in the ‘Magnificent Seven’ currently account for around a third of the S&P 500 by market capitalisation. That represents a significant overvaluation. This could be tested after tomorrow’s close when NVIDIA, currently the largest corporation in the world by market capitalisation, releases its latest earnings update. If the generative AI chipmaker beats forecasts, and once again issues positive forward guidance, then this could provide a base for another surge in tech stocks. But any slither of disappointment could result in a sharp sell-off as investors rush to cut their long side exposure. Investors are already getting antsy following reports yesterday that NVIDIA’s new Blackwell chip has been overheating. The other concern is elevated bond yields. US Treasuries have rallied sharply since mid-September, following the Fed’s 50 basis point rate cut. Yields jumped again after Trump’s election victory. The key 10-year has pulled back from its highest levels, and is down around 4 basis points this morning on safe-haven bond buying. But it remains elevated, and not far below 4.50% - a level which could, if breached, cause concern for investors, leading to a drop in risk appetite. by TradeNation1